So far I am off to a 4-5-2 start in my college football prognosticating session, unacceptable. I went 3-2 this past Saturday also unacceptable. 5-0 and maybe 4-1 is acceptable so I have some work to do. I have zeroed in on some teams to ride and will continue to do so until the wheels fall off. So lets see what I have for this Saturday's slate of money-makers:
Alabama -7 The Tide historically struggle in Fayetteville, and the Razorbacks are a solid team in the SEC, this will be Alabama's biggest test of the season. I say that because The Tide have 3 new DB's in the secondary, and of course the Razorbacks have Ryan Mallet and 2 stud WR's. Nick Saban went berserk of Bama giving up 13 points to the Blue Devils at the half. So I am sure he is hammering his defense with drills as I type this. The Razorback D had problems with Andy Murray and Georgia was able to pull even at 24 late in the game. I expect a steady diet of Ingram and Richardson to keep Arkansas offense on the sideline. Alabama will help their young secondary with their usual pressure on Mallet. Arkansas is a solid club but I don't think they have the horses to stay within a TD of the Tide.
4 units. Loss.
Tulane +20 Betting on the Green Wave? First time for everything my friends. Tulane lost to Ole Miss in their last game by 14 points. If Masoli couldn't put up more than 27 on them what makes one think that a 3rd stringer from Houston will be able to? Granted Masoli is nothing special, but unless Houston trots out Andre Ware I don't see how they win by more than 20. I like the Green Wave in a covered loss.
2 units. Win.
Gamecocks +3 I'm buying the Gamecocks this year, and conversely selling Auburn. They squeaked a win by Clemson last week, I'm not impressed. South Carolina is a psychical team on defense and offense. Garcia has weapons in Lattimore, Gurley and Jefferies. Garcia has to be able to handle the crowd in Auburn, if he has a decent game I like the Gamecocks to win this one outright but I will take the points.
1 unit. Loss.
UNLV -10 The Rebels play the Lobos in Las Vegas, both teams have 0-3 records, but at least UNLV has put up some type of resistance, seeking their first win of the season at home against the lowly Lobos is a good spot for them and my bank account. I will continue betting on whomever plays New Mexico until the wheels come off.
1 unit. Win.
Stanford -5 The Trees have quietly put together a solid squad in Palo Alto. I look for them to take the Pac-10 this year. ND has owned Stanford this entire decade with the exception of last year. I don't see how Harbaugh and Luck go into South Bend without having something to prove. Plus Luck can use the NBC nationwide stage to show off his skills and help his case for the Heisman.
4 units. Win.
There it is readers, tune into the radio show tomorrow night @ 9:00 PM EST @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory I should have my NFL action posted later today.
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
NCAA Week #3 & NFL Week #2 Pick em
I'm putting out a combined blog this week due to the fact that I will be leaving tomorrow morning to head for College Station, I will be in attendance for the Texas A&M game on Saturday night. So ladies don't be afraid to approach The Blanket if you see me out and about, as I will no doubt be celebrating my 4 day escape from my captors. After a rough Saturday I desperately need a bounce back, so lets visit my picks for all this weeks action. Also don't forget to tune into the radio show tonight at 11:00PM EST time, you can catch us at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
NCAA ACTION WEEK #3:
Cal -3 The Bears have crushed both opponents they have played thus far, and our home dog on a weeknight theory has been non-productive this far. So I am going to go against the grain on this one. The Pomeranian Pack has provided they are purely paper tigers, choking again and again on their home turf on an ESPN televised game. I foresee that trend continuing here. Cal is looking to stay lockstep with Oregon in the Pac-10 and the Ducks will cruise this week when they host Portland St. Cal by 5.
1 Unit.
ECU +20 I'm not so much betting against the Hokies in this contest as I am siding with a 3 touchdown spread, the Hokies season is over, they have no reason to get up for this game. ECU coach Ruffin McNeil has his Pirates playing at a high level and they will not be distracted by the VT logo on the side of the Hokies helmets as the Pirates have defeated them recently. For me this is too many points to pass up on a game between 2 teams headed the opposite direction.
4 units.
Arkansas +3 If Ryan Mallet wants to stay on top of the Heisman race he will have a nice game against UGA as Denard Robinson is making a large case to get some much deserved hype. The Bulldogs seemed to struggle mightily against South Carolina. The Razorbacks defense is no picnic and with AJ Green still I don't know how Andy Murray will look, even though they are at home I don't like the Bulldogs as favorites here. Lets hope for a big day from Mallet and Josh Childs.
1 unit.
Alabama -24 Duke is 0-5 all time when playing AP ranked #1 teams, losing by an average of 30.3 points. Although the Blue Devils are at home and much improved I don't know how they will fare against the Tide defense, and I'm sure Saban will have his team ready to ensure they don't have a let down here. Bama handled a decent Penn State squad with ease as the Nittany Lions narrowly avoided the shut out. Heisman winner Mark Ingram will be back so the Blue Devils will have to deal with him and Richardson platooning out of the backfield. McCelroy does not get enough credit in my opinion and should have a sold game on Tobacco Road. I don't like laying this many points but lets see how it works out.
2 units.
Utah -23 Screw it. Another game where I have to eat alot of points. New Mexico might actually make this game competitive if they field their basketball team. This is Utah's first road test of the season, not that its actually a "test" but................Utah has beaten a solid Pitt team (thanks for that push btw) and beat a pesky UNLV team by 28 last week. So I hope they take advantage of this poor sacrificial sheep in this contest as New Mexico has definitely become a sheep dressed in Wolves helmets.
There are my five NCAA picks I really need to get back on track with my NCAA picks as I have stumbled out of the gate the last two seasons.
Now lets get to my NFL Picks:
There aren't many games I'm that excited about this Sunday, so I will only be taking like 5 games. I would also like to thank the 49ers for making me look like an a**hole. That was awesome, pricks.
Eagles -4 Shaun Hill. Sorry just don't think he can get it done. If Stafford were playing I might go the other way but we won't be seeing him for a while because Julius Peppers almost killed him last Sunday. My dogs won't be speaking to my for laying money on a dog murderer but they will come around if I take my winnings and buy them some Greenies. The Lions will be game playing for Vick, so they won't be as back on their heels as the Packers where when he game into the game after Matthews gave Kolb the Diamond Cutter on Sunday. What worries me here is Detroit's awful secondary, Shaun Hill and the Lions inability to run the ball. In other words I don't see how the Lions can get pumped up for this game losing on a terrible call and down their ace QB.
2 units.
Ravens -1 Another road tilt on a short week? Are you serious Blanket?! Yes I am and here is why, the Bengals beat the Ravens twice last season. I'm sure that doesn't sit well with Ray Lewis, the Ravens will be flying high coming off their win against the Jets so I don't see any opportunity for a let down here. Flacco had a pretty solid game against the Jets, I also think the Ravens will have alot of success with Rice and Mcgahee running the ball as the Patriots pretty much gashed them last week with Fred Taylor. Boldin is the prototypical Raven and should have another productive week here. Payback time for the Bengals as Palmer will be too scared to throw against the Ravens and I don't see Benson having much success on the ground. I know the Bengals scored a few points last week but that was in dumpster fire time.
3 units.
Patriots -2 I know what your saying "alright this guy is crazy, the Jets are going to win the Superbowl this year" good luck with that my money loving friends. The Jets won't even win the AFC East write that down. Lets think about this OK, the Jets have a great defense but they simply can't score. The Sanchise is too scared to throw the ball down field, Shonn Greene has Petersonitus and can't catch out of the backfield, Dustin Keller still doesn't know where he is, Braylon Edwards is garbage, Holmes is suspended. Moss looks to be having fun but will be taking out as he goes for a 60 minute vaca on Revis Island, that leaves Welker versus Cromartie/ Wilson, did you see Cromartie/ Wilson against the Ravens WR's not too hot. Cromartie won't be able to keep up with Welkers cuts. Brady is on the top of his game and him and Belicheck figured the Jets out the 2nd time they played them last season. The Pats I am quite certain aren't too pleased with the Jets pre season non stop press junket/ dog and pony show. This one could get out of hand as The Hoodie is known to be a tad spiteful.
5 units.
Miami +6 The Vikings looked bad versus the Saints, the Dolphins didn't look to hot in Buffalo coming out of there with a 5 point win. That being sad Buffalo has been a house of horrors for the Dolphins the last few years. Also not really talked about is the fact the Bills have a great secondary, top 5 in the NFL. I have to question how the Vikings will get up for this game. Favre still doesn't have anyone to throw to. AP is due for a couple of fumbles, not to mention Favre looked less than polished against the Saints. I expect the Dolphins to keep this game close, the Vikings should squeak out a 2 point win. Tony Sporano likes to cover on the road (see last week) lets hope that trend continues here.
1 unit.
Saints -6 I expect Brees and company will have his team ready to go and they have had plenty of time to fix their shortcomings they had against the Vikqueens. I don't like Alex Smith in this spot, I don't care if its a Monday night home game or night. The 49ers are garbage, if they couldn't run against Seattle how are they going to accomplish that against the Saints and do you really trust the Smith to Crabtree connection? I didn't think so.
1 unit.
There you have it all my money makers in one nice wrapped package, I'm out. Be sure and catch the radio show tonight @ 11 PM.
NCAA ACTION WEEK #3:
Cal -3 The Bears have crushed both opponents they have played thus far, and our home dog on a weeknight theory has been non-productive this far. So I am going to go against the grain on this one. The Pomeranian Pack has provided they are purely paper tigers, choking again and again on their home turf on an ESPN televised game. I foresee that trend continuing here. Cal is looking to stay lockstep with Oregon in the Pac-10 and the Ducks will cruise this week when they host Portland St. Cal by 5.
1 Unit.
ECU +20 I'm not so much betting against the Hokies in this contest as I am siding with a 3 touchdown spread, the Hokies season is over, they have no reason to get up for this game. ECU coach Ruffin McNeil has his Pirates playing at a high level and they will not be distracted by the VT logo on the side of the Hokies helmets as the Pirates have defeated them recently. For me this is too many points to pass up on a game between 2 teams headed the opposite direction.
4 units.
Arkansas +3 If Ryan Mallet wants to stay on top of the Heisman race he will have a nice game against UGA as Denard Robinson is making a large case to get some much deserved hype. The Bulldogs seemed to struggle mightily against South Carolina. The Razorbacks defense is no picnic and with AJ Green still I don't know how Andy Murray will look, even though they are at home I don't like the Bulldogs as favorites here. Lets hope for a big day from Mallet and Josh Childs.
1 unit.
Alabama -24 Duke is 0-5 all time when playing AP ranked #1 teams, losing by an average of 30.3 points. Although the Blue Devils are at home and much improved I don't know how they will fare against the Tide defense, and I'm sure Saban will have his team ready to ensure they don't have a let down here. Bama handled a decent Penn State squad with ease as the Nittany Lions narrowly avoided the shut out. Heisman winner Mark Ingram will be back so the Blue Devils will have to deal with him and Richardson platooning out of the backfield. McCelroy does not get enough credit in my opinion and should have a sold game on Tobacco Road. I don't like laying this many points but lets see how it works out.
2 units.
Utah -23 Screw it. Another game where I have to eat alot of points. New Mexico might actually make this game competitive if they field their basketball team. This is Utah's first road test of the season, not that its actually a "test" but................Utah has beaten a solid Pitt team (thanks for that push btw) and beat a pesky UNLV team by 28 last week. So I hope they take advantage of this poor sacrificial sheep in this contest as New Mexico has definitely become a sheep dressed in Wolves helmets.
There are my five NCAA picks I really need to get back on track with my NCAA picks as I have stumbled out of the gate the last two seasons.
Now lets get to my NFL Picks:
There aren't many games I'm that excited about this Sunday, so I will only be taking like 5 games. I would also like to thank the 49ers for making me look like an a**hole. That was awesome, pricks.
Eagles -4 Shaun Hill. Sorry just don't think he can get it done. If Stafford were playing I might go the other way but we won't be seeing him for a while because Julius Peppers almost killed him last Sunday. My dogs won't be speaking to my for laying money on a dog murderer but they will come around if I take my winnings and buy them some Greenies. The Lions will be game playing for Vick, so they won't be as back on their heels as the Packers where when he game into the game after Matthews gave Kolb the Diamond Cutter on Sunday. What worries me here is Detroit's awful secondary, Shaun Hill and the Lions inability to run the ball. In other words I don't see how the Lions can get pumped up for this game losing on a terrible call and down their ace QB.
2 units.
Ravens -1 Another road tilt on a short week? Are you serious Blanket?! Yes I am and here is why, the Bengals beat the Ravens twice last season. I'm sure that doesn't sit well with Ray Lewis, the Ravens will be flying high coming off their win against the Jets so I don't see any opportunity for a let down here. Flacco had a pretty solid game against the Jets, I also think the Ravens will have alot of success with Rice and Mcgahee running the ball as the Patriots pretty much gashed them last week with Fred Taylor. Boldin is the prototypical Raven and should have another productive week here. Payback time for the Bengals as Palmer will be too scared to throw against the Ravens and I don't see Benson having much success on the ground. I know the Bengals scored a few points last week but that was in dumpster fire time.
3 units.
Patriots -2 I know what your saying "alright this guy is crazy, the Jets are going to win the Superbowl this year" good luck with that my money loving friends. The Jets won't even win the AFC East write that down. Lets think about this OK, the Jets have a great defense but they simply can't score. The Sanchise is too scared to throw the ball down field, Shonn Greene has Petersonitus and can't catch out of the backfield, Dustin Keller still doesn't know where he is, Braylon Edwards is garbage, Holmes is suspended. Moss looks to be having fun but will be taking out as he goes for a 60 minute vaca on Revis Island, that leaves Welker versus Cromartie/ Wilson, did you see Cromartie/ Wilson against the Ravens WR's not too hot. Cromartie won't be able to keep up with Welkers cuts. Brady is on the top of his game and him and Belicheck figured the Jets out the 2nd time they played them last season. The Pats I am quite certain aren't too pleased with the Jets pre season non stop press junket/ dog and pony show. This one could get out of hand as The Hoodie is known to be a tad spiteful.
5 units.
Miami +6 The Vikings looked bad versus the Saints, the Dolphins didn't look to hot in Buffalo coming out of there with a 5 point win. That being sad Buffalo has been a house of horrors for the Dolphins the last few years. Also not really talked about is the fact the Bills have a great secondary, top 5 in the NFL. I have to question how the Vikings will get up for this game. Favre still doesn't have anyone to throw to. AP is due for a couple of fumbles, not to mention Favre looked less than polished against the Saints. I expect the Dolphins to keep this game close, the Vikings should squeak out a 2 point win. Tony Sporano likes to cover on the road (see last week) lets hope that trend continues here.
1 unit.
Saints -6 I expect Brees and company will have his team ready to go and they have had plenty of time to fix their shortcomings they had against the Vikqueens. I don't like Alex Smith in this spot, I don't care if its a Monday night home game or night. The 49ers are garbage, if they couldn't run against Seattle how are they going to accomplish that against the Saints and do you really trust the Smith to Crabtree connection? I didn't think so.
1 unit.
There you have it all my money makers in one nice wrapped package, I'm out. Be sure and catch the radio show tonight @ 11 PM.
Friday, September 10, 2010
NFL Week One Picks
NFL kicked off last night with the Saints squeaking a win out at home. They earned me a little cash as I tend to be cautious the first week with my plays. I took the Saints ML -250 and I made a little spending money on their 5 point win. I hope for your bank accounts sake you are now following our new radio show at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory if not why do you hate money so much?? Lets get to the picks.
49ers -3 This will be my first big play of the season, I know, I know, I am contradicting myself from what I stated above. That being said this will be a 5 unit play for me. The 49ers kept most of their offensive weapons on the shelf for the preseason, Alex Smith has improved. Normally going to play the Seahawks at home is not a fun task but, who exactly is going to block for the aging Matt Hasselbeck? Both Willis and Okung are out and Seattle's O-line is a dumpster fire. San Fran will have no problem stopping the Seahawks run game and Hassellbeck will have no time to throw. I don't even know if the Seahawks will find the endzone.
5 Units. Loss.
Packers -3 On the road in Philly for their season opener, Philly is a decent squad, but I do see some holes in the O-line and secondary. Kolb is facing a daunting task in his season debut. The Packers if you have been listening to the show are my favorites to win the Superbowl I have them beating the Ravens. Rodgers was untouchable in the preseason. The Packers are finally able to offer him some pass protection. Rodgers also has a ton of weapons at his disposal Jennings, Driver and Finely are all excellent options, I look for the Pack to leave Philly with a win. Packers win this game by 6.
1 Unit. Win.
Ravens +3 My Superbowl pick to play the Packers this year. I'm not buying the Jets this season. I don't even see them winning the conference as I think the Patriots will be a sleeper this season. Joe Flacco in my opinion will have a great year with his two new toys he gets to play with plus the Ravens do posses a top 5 back and a great offensive line. The defense is a year older but they are always a stalwart. Sanchez was unimpressive in the preseason and I don't see him doing much against the Ravens D. I'll take the points and the money. The Ravens won't be bothered by the Jets home opener in their new stadium on Monday night.
1 Unit. Win.
Texans +3 I think this is the year the Texans finally get over the hump with the Colts. The public and their hard earned money is flying the Colts way, to the tune of over 90%. I'm going against the grain here and I like getting three at home. The Texans are 8-1 ATS as dogs at home since 2006, another disturbing trend is the Superbowl Hangover Theory in which Superbowl losers are 3-13 ATS in their first game since the big one. I think the Colts secondary and their running game is suspect. They also have some holes on their O-line lets hope Schaub and company can keep this one close.
1 Unit. Win.
Lions +7 I believe the last time I took the Lions they burned me, if I remember correctly they went up 17 points and I was already getting them at +8 so I already started spending that money in my mind, that game was 2 years ago against the Bucs. Different times now for the Lions as they are actually projected to win a few games this year.The Lions are a publicly backed dog to the tune of 64%, the public is actually putting their hard earned money on the Lions? wow. The Bears were undefeated in losing this preseason and there is the old saying the preseason doesn't count but, it does matter. The Lions are full of young stars like Stafford, Johnson and Best. It seems Cutler is worried about beating his interception total for last year because all preseason long he was holding onto the ball like it owed him money. I am concerned about the pass protection for Cutler in this contest. Let's see we have a Mike Martz offense and a Lions D-line featuring Suh and Vanden Bosch, Cutler might get sacked between 6-10 times this game. Even though the Bears D-line has improved with the addition of Peppers he does have a knack for loafing and he already signed his big contract so we will see what production he puts up. Lions take this game by 4 and we cover comfortably, sorry battle!
3 Units. Win.
There you go, 5 games to help cover your mortgage refi in this wonderful economy, take some of the money I win you this weekend and by the wife, girlfriend or mistress a nice new dress or some new shoes! Also I will be posting other picks sans write up because I go over each game on our radio show and you know that because you are listening!
Rest of my picks:
Raiders +7 (1 Unit) Loss
Patriots -4 (1 Unit) Win
Browns +3 (1 Unit) Push
Broncos +3 (1 Unit) Loss.
Chargers -5 (1 Unit)
49ers -3 This will be my first big play of the season, I know, I know, I am contradicting myself from what I stated above. That being said this will be a 5 unit play for me. The 49ers kept most of their offensive weapons on the shelf for the preseason, Alex Smith has improved. Normally going to play the Seahawks at home is not a fun task but, who exactly is going to block for the aging Matt Hasselbeck? Both Willis and Okung are out and Seattle's O-line is a dumpster fire. San Fran will have no problem stopping the Seahawks run game and Hassellbeck will have no time to throw. I don't even know if the Seahawks will find the endzone.
5 Units. Loss.
Packers -3 On the road in Philly for their season opener, Philly is a decent squad, but I do see some holes in the O-line and secondary. Kolb is facing a daunting task in his season debut. The Packers if you have been listening to the show are my favorites to win the Superbowl I have them beating the Ravens. Rodgers was untouchable in the preseason. The Packers are finally able to offer him some pass protection. Rodgers also has a ton of weapons at his disposal Jennings, Driver and Finely are all excellent options, I look for the Pack to leave Philly with a win. Packers win this game by 6.
1 Unit. Win.
Ravens +3 My Superbowl pick to play the Packers this year. I'm not buying the Jets this season. I don't even see them winning the conference as I think the Patriots will be a sleeper this season. Joe Flacco in my opinion will have a great year with his two new toys he gets to play with plus the Ravens do posses a top 5 back and a great offensive line. The defense is a year older but they are always a stalwart. Sanchez was unimpressive in the preseason and I don't see him doing much against the Ravens D. I'll take the points and the money. The Ravens won't be bothered by the Jets home opener in their new stadium on Monday night.
1 Unit. Win.
Texans +3 I think this is the year the Texans finally get over the hump with the Colts. The public and their hard earned money is flying the Colts way, to the tune of over 90%. I'm going against the grain here and I like getting three at home. The Texans are 8-1 ATS as dogs at home since 2006, another disturbing trend is the Superbowl Hangover Theory in which Superbowl losers are 3-13 ATS in their first game since the big one. I think the Colts secondary and their running game is suspect. They also have some holes on their O-line lets hope Schaub and company can keep this one close.
1 Unit. Win.
Lions +7 I believe the last time I took the Lions they burned me, if I remember correctly they went up 17 points and I was already getting them at +8 so I already started spending that money in my mind, that game was 2 years ago against the Bucs. Different times now for the Lions as they are actually projected to win a few games this year.The Lions are a publicly backed dog to the tune of 64%, the public is actually putting their hard earned money on the Lions? wow. The Bears were undefeated in losing this preseason and there is the old saying the preseason doesn't count but, it does matter. The Lions are full of young stars like Stafford, Johnson and Best. It seems Cutler is worried about beating his interception total for last year because all preseason long he was holding onto the ball like it owed him money. I am concerned about the pass protection for Cutler in this contest. Let's see we have a Mike Martz offense and a Lions D-line featuring Suh and Vanden Bosch, Cutler might get sacked between 6-10 times this game. Even though the Bears D-line has improved with the addition of Peppers he does have a knack for loafing and he already signed his big contract so we will see what production he puts up. Lions take this game by 4 and we cover comfortably, sorry battle!
3 Units. Win.
There you go, 5 games to help cover your mortgage refi in this wonderful economy, take some of the money I win you this weekend and by the wife, girlfriend or mistress a nice new dress or some new shoes! Also I will be posting other picks sans write up because I go over each game on our radio show and you know that because you are listening!
Rest of my picks:
Raiders +7 (1 Unit) Loss
Patriots -4 (1 Unit) Win
Browns +3 (1 Unit) Push
Broncos +3 (1 Unit) Loss.
Chargers -5 (1 Unit)
Wednesday, September 8, 2010
Week #2 NCAA Picks
For my official picks of the 2010 season my record is 0-0-1. I was not able to post all of my picks due to the fact I have to attend this awful place called work daily. Also I was able to get all my picks out on our fresh new radio show, be sure to check it out on Thursday September 9th @ 7:00PM tune or click in at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory it will be worth your while. On our next show we will be doing a recap of last weeks games and give you some NCAA winners and NFL winners to add a cash mix in to your bank account. We will also delve into some relative sports headlines throughout the past week. So lets see what teams will be our top earners this Saturday, don't forget to tune in Thursday for more in depth analysis.
$$$$$$$$$$Thursday Night Home Dog Special$$$$$$$$$$$
Mississippi State +3 Dan Mullen had his defense and offense hitting on all cylinders as they took apart there C-USA opponents Memphis. I don't know why the Tigers are favored on the road here. The Arkansas Red Wolves gave the Tigers all they could handle on Auburn's home turf. Lets hope we steal some money from Vegas here, I like money more than Cam Newton likes stealing laptops.........OH!! Push.
Florida State +8 Christian Ponder had a nice outing against Samford, Jimbo Fishers alma matter recieved no quarters from the Seminole onslaught. Oklahoma squeaked out a win versus perenial power house Utah State Aggies. If Oklahoma does win it will be a squeaker. I expect FSU to be within a touchdown this whole contest, if they aren't ahead. Diondre Borrell had alot of success against the Sooners, like I said I think Ponder can keep this game close. Loss.
Michigan +4 Richie Rod really needs this win on Notre Dames turf. Last week the Wolverines dispatched a solid UCONN team although the Huskies contributed to their own demise by dropping 6 balls. The Michigan D kept Jordan Todman in check and Denard Robinson went nuts on UCONN D. Last year a lesser Michigan squad beat ND by 4 with Jimmy Claussen and Golden Tate on the field, this time around Dane Crist and Armando Allen won't be enough as the Irish fall short. Win.
Miami +9 Jacory Harris > Tyrelle Pryor. The Buckeyes will have trouble with Miami's swarming defense and will not be able to match the Canes speed. Miami is being overlooked early in the season and will be looking forward to this game to make a statement. If Ohio State does win it won't be by more than a touchdown. Loss.
South Florida +17 If USF can avoid some early special teams mistakes (see last weeks game) and play the type of defense they are capable of I see no reason why they wont cover the 16. UF did not look sharp against a dreadful Miami of Ohio squad, the offense sputtered but the defense managed to pull Urban's boys out of the fire. BJ Daniels is going to have to play turnover free football and be effective with his throws, hopefully the Bulls can pull this one out or there will be alot of broken furniture in my apartment. I just feel that 16 is too big a number in this spot. Loss.
$$$$$$$$$$Thursday Night Home Dog Special$$$$$$$$$$$
Mississippi State +3 Dan Mullen had his defense and offense hitting on all cylinders as they took apart there C-USA opponents Memphis. I don't know why the Tigers are favored on the road here. The Arkansas Red Wolves gave the Tigers all they could handle on Auburn's home turf. Lets hope we steal some money from Vegas here, I like money more than Cam Newton likes stealing laptops.........OH!! Push.
Florida State +8 Christian Ponder had a nice outing against Samford, Jimbo Fishers alma matter recieved no quarters from the Seminole onslaught. Oklahoma squeaked out a win versus perenial power house Utah State Aggies. If Oklahoma does win it will be a squeaker. I expect FSU to be within a touchdown this whole contest, if they aren't ahead. Diondre Borrell had alot of success against the Sooners, like I said I think Ponder can keep this game close. Loss.
Michigan +4 Richie Rod really needs this win on Notre Dames turf. Last week the Wolverines dispatched a solid UCONN team although the Huskies contributed to their own demise by dropping 6 balls. The Michigan D kept Jordan Todman in check and Denard Robinson went nuts on UCONN D. Last year a lesser Michigan squad beat ND by 4 with Jimmy Claussen and Golden Tate on the field, this time around Dane Crist and Armando Allen won't be enough as the Irish fall short. Win.
Miami +9 Jacory Harris > Tyrelle Pryor. The Buckeyes will have trouble with Miami's swarming defense and will not be able to match the Canes speed. Miami is being overlooked early in the season and will be looking forward to this game to make a statement. If Ohio State does win it won't be by more than a touchdown. Loss.
South Florida +17 If USF can avoid some early special teams mistakes (see last weeks game) and play the type of defense they are capable of I see no reason why they wont cover the 16. UF did not look sharp against a dreadful Miami of Ohio squad, the offense sputtered but the defense managed to pull Urban's boys out of the fire. BJ Daniels is going to have to play turnover free football and be effective with his throws, hopefully the Bulls can pull this one out or there will be alot of broken furniture in my apartment. I just feel that 16 is too big a number in this spot. Loss.
Thursday, September 2, 2010
NCAA Week #1 Football Picks
Here we go right to the point, I'm starting off with a weeknight opening kick off pick. I will be back with some more oicks for Saturday. To get the season off on the right foot I'm going with the following:
Pitt +3 Utah has alot of players gone from last years team. Pitt has alot of starters returning not to include Bill Stull. A new QB will be broken in by the mustache tonight. Look for it to be the Dion Lewis show here and Pitt will bring some defense to the Utes. Utah is also 0-5 against AP top 25 teams on opening week. 15 game winning streak comes to and end tonight. Enjoy.
Pitt +3 Utah has alot of players gone from last years team. Pitt has alot of starters returning not to include Bill Stull. A new QB will be broken in by the mustache tonight. Look for it to be the Dion Lewis show here and Pitt will bring some defense to the Utes. Utah is also 0-5 against AP top 25 teams on opening week. 15 game winning streak comes to and end tonight. Enjoy.
Sunday, August 29, 2010
Testing 1....2.....3......
It's about that time for college football to kick off again. For those of you miffed with my absence I have been in Ft. Benning Georgia training Americas next generation of defenders for the US Army working 16 hour days with no days off has not been conducive for updating my blog. Can't wait till February to get out of here and back to Tampa, good times that will be for sure. Until then I will be posting my NFL and College picks as per usual. See you soon.
Thursday, December 3, 2009
NCAA Week #14
Here we go, last week to add some respectability to my college record. I am at a 43-41-3 mark right now. I have to at least finish the season in the black. Lets get to the action.
West Virginia +2 I think the wrong team is favored here. West Virginia has been playing and winning some close games against solid teams this year. Bill Stewart finally got a signature win last week against Pitt. This should relieve some of the pressure on the Mountaineers. Their defense played very well against solid teams like Pitt and Cincy. I think Brown and Divine coupled with the WVU defense can get it done on the road against Rutgers.Win.
Cincinatti Bearcats -2 This game boiled down to coaching, I still think of Wandtstedt as the coach who ruined the Bears, but he seemed to find his niche at Pitt. Cincy's Brian Kelly is the hot ticket item this season. Cincy's offense is a machine that will keep churning in this contest, Pitt might slow it down a little with their defense but Stull has been somewhat careless with the ball lately, which keeps me from going the other way in this contest. Should be a well played game but I look for Cincy to pull it out by 4. Loss.
New Mexico State +48 Boise State doesn't even score 48 points a game, they average about 42 a contest so as long as the Aggies can stumble across a touchdown I feel pretty comfortable getting the 48 points here. Boise State should have a BCS game wrapped up, the Oklahoma State loss really helped there cause and I can't see them getting shortchanged for the second year in a row. I say this because I think Boise St will win this game comfortably (21 points) but it won't be a total blowout since they have already proved their point.Win.
Florida -6 Should be an interesting game, Tim Tebow just doesn't lose these types of games. Alabama was unimpressive versus Auburn. Even with Dunlap out I think the Gators are just too much for the Tide to handle. Ingram should be stacked up by the Gators D-line and LB's forcing McCelroy to move the chains himself against a solid Florida secondary. Both coaches are great at their craft, but Florida will also have the refs on their side and who can bet against that?Loss.
UCONN -7 The Huskies have been underrated all year, they have lost all there game by a combined 15 points. USF has to travel to frigid North Hartford for this Saturday night contest. UCONN can become bowl eligible with a win here and will be hungry for that. I don't see how USF can stop Todman and Dixon, UCONN usually runs all over the Bulls year in and year out. Frazier has also proved he can throw the ball and UCONN can put up points. On the other side UCONN's defense is pretty good and should have no problems stopping the Bulls rushing "attack" and bottling up BJ Daniels. I think USF will get blown out in this game. Daniels spends too much time running around in the backfield instead of looking down field to make a play. Claussen had trouble against UCONN's secondary, so how can Daniels do any better? Loss.
Nebraska +14 I have a weird feeling about this game. Nebraska has a solid defense so this should be a low scoring affair. That being said the Huskers offense can be anemic at times. I think Texas wins this game but it will be a close, hard fought game. Texas A&M showed that the Longhorns can be run on so Helu Jr. should have a nice game here taking some of the pressure off Zac Lee. Pelini's squad keeps this one close. Win.
Season Record 46-44-1 (I am done with college football)
There you have it, hopefully I can end the College football season on a high note.
West Virginia +2 I think the wrong team is favored here. West Virginia has been playing and winning some close games against solid teams this year. Bill Stewart finally got a signature win last week against Pitt. This should relieve some of the pressure on the Mountaineers. Their defense played very well against solid teams like Pitt and Cincy. I think Brown and Divine coupled with the WVU defense can get it done on the road against Rutgers.Win.
Cincinatti Bearcats -2 This game boiled down to coaching, I still think of Wandtstedt as the coach who ruined the Bears, but he seemed to find his niche at Pitt. Cincy's Brian Kelly is the hot ticket item this season. Cincy's offense is a machine that will keep churning in this contest, Pitt might slow it down a little with their defense but Stull has been somewhat careless with the ball lately, which keeps me from going the other way in this contest. Should be a well played game but I look for Cincy to pull it out by 4. Loss.
New Mexico State +48 Boise State doesn't even score 48 points a game, they average about 42 a contest so as long as the Aggies can stumble across a touchdown I feel pretty comfortable getting the 48 points here. Boise State should have a BCS game wrapped up, the Oklahoma State loss really helped there cause and I can't see them getting shortchanged for the second year in a row. I say this because I think Boise St will win this game comfortably (21 points) but it won't be a total blowout since they have already proved their point.Win.
Florida -6 Should be an interesting game, Tim Tebow just doesn't lose these types of games. Alabama was unimpressive versus Auburn. Even with Dunlap out I think the Gators are just too much for the Tide to handle. Ingram should be stacked up by the Gators D-line and LB's forcing McCelroy to move the chains himself against a solid Florida secondary. Both coaches are great at their craft, but Florida will also have the refs on their side and who can bet against that?Loss.
UCONN -7 The Huskies have been underrated all year, they have lost all there game by a combined 15 points. USF has to travel to frigid North Hartford for this Saturday night contest. UCONN can become bowl eligible with a win here and will be hungry for that. I don't see how USF can stop Todman and Dixon, UCONN usually runs all over the Bulls year in and year out. Frazier has also proved he can throw the ball and UCONN can put up points. On the other side UCONN's defense is pretty good and should have no problems stopping the Bulls rushing "attack" and bottling up BJ Daniels. I think USF will get blown out in this game. Daniels spends too much time running around in the backfield instead of looking down field to make a play. Claussen had trouble against UCONN's secondary, so how can Daniels do any better? Loss.
Nebraska +14 I have a weird feeling about this game. Nebraska has a solid defense so this should be a low scoring affair. That being said the Huskers offense can be anemic at times. I think Texas wins this game but it will be a close, hard fought game. Texas A&M showed that the Longhorns can be run on so Helu Jr. should have a nice game here taking some of the pressure off Zac Lee. Pelini's squad keeps this one close. Win.
Season Record 46-44-1 (I am done with college football)
There you have it, hopefully I can end the College football season on a high note.
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