Down to the wire getting my picks in again this week, good thing all my games are on Saturday I guess. Anyway, I am pressed for time so lets get to the picks:
L'ville +1 L'ville has been playing some decent ball and have improved at the QB position this year and their defense has been coming along as well. I like them on the road against UCONN here as the Huskies haven't exactly been a powerhouse either. Cardinals outright.Win.
3 Units.
Arkansas -13 I wanted to punch myself for not taking the Razorbacks last week, oh well. The Bulldogs are an eyesore on offense and Tyler Wilson and his record setting WR's should have success against the "vaunted" defense of the Bulldogs. Just can't fathom how MSU will keep pace on the scoreboard with that offense. Arkansas will big play their way to a comfortable win.Win.
3 Units.
Vanderbilt -1 The Commodores are one of my best kept secrets this season, defense travels well and they will be up for the challenge in Knoxville against their in state rival. Vandy and Jordan Rodgers are heading in the right direction, towards my bank! Loss.
3 Units.
Miami -1 I took alot of road teams with small spreads this weekend. While Miami's record is not impressive their schedule is. USF is garbage, the team does not care for the coach and it shows in their play. Miami will exact revenge for last year in this game. Miami has been a pretty consistent team ATS this year while USF has not. Canes win comfortably.Win.
4 Units.
Kansas State +8 The Wildcats continue to get zero respect from Vegas and I have been riding them to a payday week in and week out. They have lost 2 games to teams from Oklahoma, maybe you had heard of them. Texas is overrated as per usual as Mizzou spelled out last week. I like the Cats to keep this game within 3 points. Win.
3 Units.
There you have it, let's hope I can pull even with that Chicago Kid character this weekend as he has been applying the pressure to me all season long!
Showing posts with label gambling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gambling. Show all posts
Thursday, November 17, 2011
Thursday, November 10, 2011
NCAA Week #11 Picks & NFL Week 10 Pick 'em
Decent week last week, overdue as well. Here is my latest attempt on getting to the top of the food chain in our yearly handicapping challenge. Actually getting my picks up in time for once, that is called progress my friends! Here is what I have for you this weekend:
Houston -35 The Cougars keep lighting up the scoreboard and that trend will continue this week as I think they will win this game by 42-45 points over the Green Wave, Tulane is a bad team and Houston really needs the style points to keep their boat in the race.Win.
2 Units.
West Virginia +4 The Mountaineers need this game badly to get a shot at a BCS bowl game, they have the offense to do it, but will their defense show up? I don't think Cincy is 4 points better than WVU at this point. Getting some value here after the Mountaineers lost to L'ville last week, who is a bit of an underrated team defensively and they have been getting some decent QB play as of late too. WVU keeps it within 3.Win.
2 Units.
Oklahoma State -17 Pokes survived a scare last weekend, Tech got blown out yet again. I'm not buying the Red Raiders win versus Oklahoma, since then they have been laying eggs true to form. The Cowboys are sitting pretty at #2 and won't take Tech lightly. Pokes cruise.Win.
3 Units.
Kansas State +5 The Wildcats are at home and coming off a close loss to Ok. State. Here comes A&M who has folded up shop for this season and will be without their leading rusher. I know KSU will do some scoring against a permeable A&M defense, they keep it within 5.Win.
3 Units.
TCU +16 Boise St. has failed to cover in 3 of 5 games, 2 of which were at home. You don't think TCU would love to ruin their season. Even at home 16 points is too much for 2 programs who know each other well. TCU keeps it close throughout.Win.
3 Units.
NFL Picks:
Houston -35 The Cougars keep lighting up the scoreboard and that trend will continue this week as I think they will win this game by 42-45 points over the Green Wave, Tulane is a bad team and Houston really needs the style points to keep their boat in the race.Win.
2 Units.
West Virginia +4 The Mountaineers need this game badly to get a shot at a BCS bowl game, they have the offense to do it, but will their defense show up? I don't think Cincy is 4 points better than WVU at this point. Getting some value here after the Mountaineers lost to L'ville last week, who is a bit of an underrated team defensively and they have been getting some decent QB play as of late too. WVU keeps it within 3.Win.
2 Units.
Oklahoma State -17 Pokes survived a scare last weekend, Tech got blown out yet again. I'm not buying the Red Raiders win versus Oklahoma, since then they have been laying eggs true to form. The Cowboys are sitting pretty at #2 and won't take Tech lightly. Pokes cruise.Win.
3 Units.
Kansas State +5 The Wildcats are at home and coming off a close loss to Ok. State. Here comes A&M who has folded up shop for this season and will be without their leading rusher. I know KSU will do some scoring against a permeable A&M defense, they keep it within 5.Win.
3 Units.
TCU +16 Boise St. has failed to cover in 3 of 5 games, 2 of which were at home. You don't think TCU would love to ruin their season. Even at home 16 points is too much for 2 programs who know each other well. TCU keeps it close throughout.Win.
3 Units.
NFL Picks:
Saturday, November 5, 2011
NCAA Week 10 Pick em
Little late posting my picks as I have been under the weather. Miserable week last week that's pretty much been a microcosm of my season. Lets get to my latest attempt to go 0-5.
Tulsa +2 This game has already been played and I do have my bet slip handy for any doubters! I took Tulsa bc UCF has been unable to produce any offense with consistency this season an Tulsa has plenty of offense. Win.
3 Units.
Vanderbilt +13 The Commodores are a solid defensive squad, with Jordan Rodgers at QB now they should be able to move the ball. Florida makes too many mistakes, even though they are home I have my doubts about how excited they will be to play Vandy. Vandy keeps it to close for comfort1! Win.
3 Units.
Rutgers +3 Why is USF favored on the road? How many conference wins do they have again? Enough said, Rutgers is no powerhouse but they are at home against an underwhelming opponent, Rutgers outright. Win.
3 Units.
LSU +5 I can't see this game turning into a shootout, both teams are very talented on both sides of the ball. Its in Crimson Tide country so that explains 3 of the 5 points here, not sure where Vegas feels LSU needs another 2. Lets not forget that LSU has beaten 5 ranked opponents this year and always plays Alabama tough. I will take the points here. Win.
3 Units.
Houston -28 UAB surprised UCF by finding an offense, they won't be as fortunate here as Houston looks to bulid on their undefeated effort thus far, I don't see the Blazers being in this game for long, could be covering by halftime! Win.
3 Units.
NFL Week 9 Picks:
Falcons -7 Colts are bad, Falcons need a win. Win.
Buccaneers +9 Too many points here, Tampa just beat Brees and company 3 weeks ago, this is a FG win for the Saints. Loss.
Bengals +3 Cincy is a solid squad, not sure why the Titans are favored here. Dalton has played well and seems to enjoy AJ Green's company and the offense-less Titans will not be able to move the ball against the Bengals D. Win.
Bears +8 Too many points here again, Philly getting too much credit off their Dallas win ands the Bears always play the Eagles tough.Win.
Tulsa +2 This game has already been played and I do have my bet slip handy for any doubters! I took Tulsa bc UCF has been unable to produce any offense with consistency this season an Tulsa has plenty of offense. Win.
3 Units.
Vanderbilt +13 The Commodores are a solid defensive squad, with Jordan Rodgers at QB now they should be able to move the ball. Florida makes too many mistakes, even though they are home I have my doubts about how excited they will be to play Vandy. Vandy keeps it to close for comfort1! Win.
3 Units.
Rutgers +3 Why is USF favored on the road? How many conference wins do they have again? Enough said, Rutgers is no powerhouse but they are at home against an underwhelming opponent, Rutgers outright. Win.
3 Units.
LSU +5 I can't see this game turning into a shootout, both teams are very talented on both sides of the ball. Its in Crimson Tide country so that explains 3 of the 5 points here, not sure where Vegas feels LSU needs another 2. Lets not forget that LSU has beaten 5 ranked opponents this year and always plays Alabama tough. I will take the points here. Win.
3 Units.
Houston -28 UAB surprised UCF by finding an offense, they won't be as fortunate here as Houston looks to bulid on their undefeated effort thus far, I don't see the Blazers being in this game for long, could be covering by halftime! Win.
3 Units.
NFL Week 9 Picks:
Falcons -7 Colts are bad, Falcons need a win. Win.
Buccaneers +9 Too many points here, Tampa just beat Brees and company 3 weeks ago, this is a FG win for the Saints. Loss.
Bengals +3 Cincy is a solid squad, not sure why the Titans are favored here. Dalton has played well and seems to enjoy AJ Green's company and the offense-less Titans will not be able to move the ball against the Bengals D. Win.
Bears +8 Too many points here again, Philly getting too much credit off their Dallas win ands the Bears always play the Eagles tough.Win.
Friday, October 28, 2011
NCAA Week 9 Pick 'em
3-2 last week, started off strong and fizzled out late. I hit my big 8 unit play and still have some ground to make up in my pick em league. Started out with a win last night as Houston covered the 28.5 vs Rice. Lets see what I have on tap for Saturday:
Michigan State +4 Not sure about the Huskers laying 4 here even if they are at home. Sparty is a consistent team and Martinez worries me at QB for Nebraska. Sparty outright.
5 Units.
Badgers -7 Another road team for me as I look for Wiscy to rebound in a big way. I don't think the Buckeyes match up well here. The Badgers will be angry and looking to make a statement here. This could get ugly.
4 Units.
Clemson -4 Why stop now right? Hopefully Clemson's defense shows up here because if Clemson falls behind early they might be in trouble against the GT clock eating offense. Too many weapons on the Clemson offense I like them here.
3 Units.
Kansas State +14 Oklahoma on the road after a deflating loss to Tech, KSU continues to get no respect from Vegas and have enough offense to stay with the Sooners. I'll take the points.
3 Units.
Oklahoma State -14 Recurring theme here, Cowboys offense is strong, Baylor will hang around in the first half but the Pokes will pull away in the second half.
3 Units.
Bonus Pick:
Stanford -8 This one almost made the cut, I like this game but its not in my top 5. This game will be a repeat of last year.
Michigan State +4 Not sure about the Huskers laying 4 here even if they are at home. Sparty is a consistent team and Martinez worries me at QB for Nebraska. Sparty outright.
5 Units.
Badgers -7 Another road team for me as I look for Wiscy to rebound in a big way. I don't think the Buckeyes match up well here. The Badgers will be angry and looking to make a statement here. This could get ugly.
4 Units.
Clemson -4 Why stop now right? Hopefully Clemson's defense shows up here because if Clemson falls behind early they might be in trouble against the GT clock eating offense. Too many weapons on the Clemson offense I like them here.
3 Units.
Kansas State +14 Oklahoma on the road after a deflating loss to Tech, KSU continues to get no respect from Vegas and have enough offense to stay with the Sooners. I'll take the points.
3 Units.
Oklahoma State -14 Recurring theme here, Cowboys offense is strong, Baylor will hang around in the first half but the Pokes will pull away in the second half.
3 Units.
Bonus Pick:
Stanford -8 This one almost made the cut, I like this game but its not in my top 5. This game will be a repeat of last year.
Wednesday, October 19, 2011
NCAA Week #8 Pick 'em
Decent Saturday last week going 4-2, maybe I am turning the corner halfway through the season. Who knows, but lets hope my winning continues. Lets get to the picks.
Cincinnati +3 USF can't stop the run, Isiah Pead will rack up the mileage, enough to upgrade to 1st class on the flight home. Collaras is mobile and will through all over the non existent defense. The Bulls will struggle to move the ball and will ultimately be embarrassed on Homecoming yet again.Win.
8 Units.
Washington +21 The Huskies are playing well in conference play, they won't pull out the victory here, but they have enough offense to stay within 21. Stanford starts slow and has not been as good as everyone thought this year, tight game going into the half, Stanford pulls away in the 2nd and wins by 17.Loss.
2 Units.
Oklahoma State -7 Another road team here, for some reason the Tigers get alot of credit from Vegas, Oklahoma State just has too many weapons on offense. Cowboys by 10.Win.
3 Units.
Kansas State -11 I have been riding the 'Cats all year, why stop now? Statement game here as the in state rival Jayhawks will be at home, won't matter though. Wildcats by 14.Win.
3 Units.
Wisconsin -9 Badgers head to Lansing to avenge a loss, Sparty could be a little flat here as they just came off an emotional senior sweep of cross state rival Michigan, Russell Wilson will prove the difference and Sparty goes down, Badgers by 10.Loss.
3 Units.
Sweetheart Teaser special:
Oklahoma State +6
Kansas State +1.5
Washington +34
Wisconsin +4.5
Cincinnati +3 USF can't stop the run, Isiah Pead will rack up the mileage, enough to upgrade to 1st class on the flight home. Collaras is mobile and will through all over the non existent defense. The Bulls will struggle to move the ball and will ultimately be embarrassed on Homecoming yet again.Win.
8 Units.
Washington +21 The Huskies are playing well in conference play, they won't pull out the victory here, but they have enough offense to stay within 21. Stanford starts slow and has not been as good as everyone thought this year, tight game going into the half, Stanford pulls away in the 2nd and wins by 17.Loss.
2 Units.
Oklahoma State -7 Another road team here, for some reason the Tigers get alot of credit from Vegas, Oklahoma State just has too many weapons on offense. Cowboys by 10.Win.
3 Units.
Kansas State -11 I have been riding the 'Cats all year, why stop now? Statement game here as the in state rival Jayhawks will be at home, won't matter though. Wildcats by 14.Win.
3 Units.
Wisconsin -9 Badgers head to Lansing to avenge a loss, Sparty could be a little flat here as they just came off an emotional senior sweep of cross state rival Michigan, Russell Wilson will prove the difference and Sparty goes down, Badgers by 10.Loss.
3 Units.
Sweetheart Teaser special:
Oklahoma State +6
Kansas State +1.5
Washington +34
Wisconsin +4.5
Thursday, October 13, 2011
Week 7 NCAA & NFL Week 6 Picks
Undefeated in my NFL picks last week, about time.............not so much with my college action. So here is my money offering this week. Short and sweet.............
LSU -17 Vols are at home but missing 2 of their few offensive pieces. Tigers will be all over them, I don't care how many Vols fans show up.Win.
4 Units.
Kansas State +4 Wrong team favored here. Tech isn't that good. Wildcats getting zero respect. I'll take the money. K State outright. Win.
4 Units.
Ok State -8 Everytime I play Ok State they lay an egg, just a hunch here. Texas got blown out last game against the Sooners, they just don't have the time to recover and plan for Wheeden and Co.Win.
2 Units.
Baylor +9 A&M missing too many players on offense and defense in this contest, especially going against RG3.Loss.
3 Units.
Michigan +2 Wolverines getting disrespected here, I think Northwestern is better than Sparty. Wolverines pull it out.Loss.
2 Units.
BONUS PICK:
Clemson -9 Terrapins are not living up to Edsel's expectations, Tigers keep rolling along. Win.
NFL Picks:
Panthers +4 Falcons just lost their Superbowl against the Pack. Statement game for Cam Newton, Panthers outright.Loss.
5 Units.
Bills +3 Vegas is telling me at +3 the Bills and Giants are even teams.........no. Giants are pure garbage. Bills outright.Push.
3 Units.
Patriots -7 Cowboys lose big, Dallas hates Romo even more, same story different week.Loss.
Enjoy! www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory check the show out................right now would be a good time.
LSU -17 Vols are at home but missing 2 of their few offensive pieces. Tigers will be all over them, I don't care how many Vols fans show up.Win.
4 Units.
Kansas State +4 Wrong team favored here. Tech isn't that good. Wildcats getting zero respect. I'll take the money. K State outright. Win.
4 Units.
Ok State -8 Everytime I play Ok State they lay an egg, just a hunch here. Texas got blown out last game against the Sooners, they just don't have the time to recover and plan for Wheeden and Co.Win.
2 Units.
Baylor +9 A&M missing too many players on offense and defense in this contest, especially going against RG3.Loss.
3 Units.
Michigan +2 Wolverines getting disrespected here, I think Northwestern is better than Sparty. Wolverines pull it out.Loss.
2 Units.
BONUS PICK:
Clemson -9 Terrapins are not living up to Edsel's expectations, Tigers keep rolling along. Win.
NFL Picks:
Panthers +4 Falcons just lost their Superbowl against the Pack. Statement game for Cam Newton, Panthers outright.Loss.
5 Units.
Bills +3 Vegas is telling me at +3 the Bills and Giants are even teams.........no. Giants are pure garbage. Bills outright.Push.
3 Units.
Patriots -7 Cowboys lose big, Dallas hates Romo even more, same story different week.Loss.
Enjoy! www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory check the show out................right now would be a good time.
Saturday, October 8, 2011
NCAA Week 6 and NFL Week 5 Picks
I need to hire a secretary to do my typing for me each week as I am pressed for time as per usual this week. Maybe this secretary can make my picks too, couldn't do any worse I'm sure. No excuses though as I charge ahead looking to get back to respectability. Here we go:
NCAA Action:
Iowa +4 The Hawkeyes always save their best for Penn St., even in Happy Valley that trend continues here as both teams are mediocre. I will accept the 4 points in this rivalry.Loss.
3 Units.
Kansas State +4 A live home dog here. I like the Cats in this spot. This is a good K-State squad who Bill Snyder has been piloting under the radar. Mizzou has been getting alot of credit thus far in the season and I am not quite sure as to why.Win.
3 Units.
LSU -14 Poor Gators, a beating by the hands of Bama at home in the Swamp now they have to get up for the Tigers in Death Valley. This game will be a measuring stick for the Hat as he looks to have a feeding frenzy against a UF squad who will be starting a back up QB in Driskell. Although this kid is supposed to be really good, he won't be ready for whats going to happen in Baton Rouge.Win.
3 Units.
East Carolina +12 I'm sensing a purple team theme this weekend. Houston is garbage and Kennum has done a backwards march and slid way down in Heisman relativity. Too many points here for a Houston squad that has been highly unimpressive thus far. East Carolina can score points and I am fairly certain they can keep this one within 10. Loss.
3 Units.
Nebraska -11 The Huskers are looking for their first Big 10 statement game and just as the doctor ordered here comes the Buckeyes into Lincoln. The Buckeyes had trouble to say the least finding the endzone against Sparty and that trend will continue as Ohio State is again missing players due to suspensions for getting a little bit too much compensation for their summer jobs. Martinez bounces back into Pellini's good graces with a solid outing. Loss.
3 Units.
NFL Picks
Not much on the slate this weekend for NFL action, wasn't blown away by any of the spreads.
Packers -6 The Falcons are garbage and will get blown out at home in storybook style. The Packers are unstoppable on offense and the Falcons D gave up 28 to Tavaris Jackson last week. The Falcons offense is having an identity crisis and as long as they keep this up they will continue to struggle.Win.
5 Units.
Bills +3 Jumping back on the Bills this week as the public has faded them for losing to the Bengals. The Eagles are still getting credit because the public hates money. Not sure how a 1-3 team is better than an at home 3-1 team but I will take the money. Buffalo outright. Win.
3 Units.
Bengals +3 Gabbert will struggle against this undervalued Cincy D. The Jags can stop the run game, but the Bengals do not really have one. I like getting 3 points here in this game which will be a battle of field goals and field position. Win.
3 Units
Enjoy & go get paid! and as always check out the show at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
NCAA Action:
Iowa +4 The Hawkeyes always save their best for Penn St., even in Happy Valley that trend continues here as both teams are mediocre. I will accept the 4 points in this rivalry.Loss.
3 Units.
Kansas State +4 A live home dog here. I like the Cats in this spot. This is a good K-State squad who Bill Snyder has been piloting under the radar. Mizzou has been getting alot of credit thus far in the season and I am not quite sure as to why.Win.
3 Units.
LSU -14 Poor Gators, a beating by the hands of Bama at home in the Swamp now they have to get up for the Tigers in Death Valley. This game will be a measuring stick for the Hat as he looks to have a feeding frenzy against a UF squad who will be starting a back up QB in Driskell. Although this kid is supposed to be really good, he won't be ready for whats going to happen in Baton Rouge.Win.
3 Units.
East Carolina +12 I'm sensing a purple team theme this weekend. Houston is garbage and Kennum has done a backwards march and slid way down in Heisman relativity. Too many points here for a Houston squad that has been highly unimpressive thus far. East Carolina can score points and I am fairly certain they can keep this one within 10. Loss.
3 Units.
Nebraska -11 The Huskers are looking for their first Big 10 statement game and just as the doctor ordered here comes the Buckeyes into Lincoln. The Buckeyes had trouble to say the least finding the endzone against Sparty and that trend will continue as Ohio State is again missing players due to suspensions for getting a little bit too much compensation for their summer jobs. Martinez bounces back into Pellini's good graces with a solid outing. Loss.
3 Units.
NFL Picks
Not much on the slate this weekend for NFL action, wasn't blown away by any of the spreads.
Packers -6 The Falcons are garbage and will get blown out at home in storybook style. The Packers are unstoppable on offense and the Falcons D gave up 28 to Tavaris Jackson last week. The Falcons offense is having an identity crisis and as long as they keep this up they will continue to struggle.Win.
5 Units.
Bills +3 Jumping back on the Bills this week as the public has faded them for losing to the Bengals. The Eagles are still getting credit because the public hates money. Not sure how a 1-3 team is better than an at home 3-1 team but I will take the money. Buffalo outright. Win.
3 Units.
Bengals +3 Gabbert will struggle against this undervalued Cincy D. The Jags can stop the run game, but the Bengals do not really have one. I like getting 3 points here in this game which will be a battle of field goals and field position. Win.
3 Units
Enjoy & go get paid! and as always check out the show at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Tuesday, September 6, 2011
NFL 2011 Week #1 Picks
What we generally do............in this country, is I make a bet................and Vegas pays me for it! Had a decent week #1 in college action going 4-1 (thanks again Oregon) and picking up 9 units. Lets hope that translates in to more of Vegas hard earned $$ finding its way to my online superfund!
Packers -4 I looked at the opening weekend lines and I thought "what can I use you fah?" rhetorical question......money is the answer. Packers have all their weapons back and last time I looked in the dictionary the Saints got phonebooked by the Seattle Seahawks. The Saints haven't really made enough improvements to make me think they can stay within 4 points of the Superbowl champs at home. Win!
3 Units.
Steelers +3 Guy at work today asked me if I knew who John Lennon was, I responded of course with "yeah, he was the President before Lincoln." He said "you must be a gambler" I said you show me a point spread and I'll get you something out of it. Steelers on the road @ the Ravens. Same story as above, this game is always tight, so I take the team that's getting points. The principles of detection tell me that's the Steelers.Loss.
2 Units.
Bears +3 NFC title game team getting points at home against an over hyped Atlanta squad? Yes please. Cutler will have a chip on his shoulder in this one. Atlanta has too many holes on defense for me to buy them here and they will be more worried about the Bucs week #2 due to the division game and all. Bears outright.Win!
3 Units.
Rams +6 (and climbing) Are you a psychiatrist? Well, if I was I would ask why the Eagles are laying 6 on the road to Bradford & Company and I bet if I was Sigmund Freud himself I wouldn't get an answer. The public will pound Philly all year long due to the self imposed "Dream Team" moniker. Look out for St. Louis this year, they have some nice pieces and some progressing young talent.Loss.
2 Units.
Giants -3 Some people don't trust a handicapper with an immaculate record, I have an immaculate record. Go ahead Giants lose on September 11th to the Redskins, the press will chop you up and feed you to the poor. Redskins are home, but it won't help. This team is going to be bad. Loss.
2 Units.
Pats-7 You fellas from Providence? "Isn't any business of yours now is it?" You deliverin' money or somethin? Because if you are it will probably belong to me after the Pats continue their domination of the Fish on Monday night in South Beach.Win!
2 Units
Lions +1 I thought it was nice you asked me which hand I gamble with, as I remember Vegas isn't that sentimental. The Lions are looking pretty good. The edge I see hear is Detroit's D-line versus the Bucs O-line, win for Detroit. I'm a little concerned that Freeman won't have time to find his WR's. Stafford will be upright and can really throw the ball around, Megatron has a big day, so does my bank account. Win!
Enjoy! Short and to the point (that's what she said)
Packers -4 I looked at the opening weekend lines and I thought "what can I use you fah?" rhetorical question......money is the answer. Packers have all their weapons back and last time I looked in the dictionary the Saints got phonebooked by the Seattle Seahawks. The Saints haven't really made enough improvements to make me think they can stay within 4 points of the Superbowl champs at home. Win!
3 Units.
Steelers +3 Guy at work today asked me if I knew who John Lennon was, I responded of course with "yeah, he was the President before Lincoln." He said "you must be a gambler" I said you show me a point spread and I'll get you something out of it. Steelers on the road @ the Ravens. Same story as above, this game is always tight, so I take the team that's getting points. The principles of detection tell me that's the Steelers.Loss.
2 Units.
Bears +3 NFC title game team getting points at home against an over hyped Atlanta squad? Yes please. Cutler will have a chip on his shoulder in this one. Atlanta has too many holes on defense for me to buy them here and they will be more worried about the Bucs week #2 due to the division game and all. Bears outright.Win!
3 Units.
Rams +6 (and climbing) Are you a psychiatrist? Well, if I was I would ask why the Eagles are laying 6 on the road to Bradford & Company and I bet if I was Sigmund Freud himself I wouldn't get an answer. The public will pound Philly all year long due to the self imposed "Dream Team" moniker. Look out for St. Louis this year, they have some nice pieces and some progressing young talent.Loss.
2 Units.
Giants -3 Some people don't trust a handicapper with an immaculate record, I have an immaculate record. Go ahead Giants lose on September 11th to the Redskins, the press will chop you up and feed you to the poor. Redskins are home, but it won't help. This team is going to be bad. Loss.
2 Units.
Pats-7 You fellas from Providence? "Isn't any business of yours now is it?" You deliverin' money or somethin? Because if you are it will probably belong to me after the Pats continue their domination of the Fish on Monday night in South Beach.Win!
2 Units
Lions +1 I thought it was nice you asked me which hand I gamble with, as I remember Vegas isn't that sentimental. The Lions are looking pretty good. The edge I see hear is Detroit's D-line versus the Bucs O-line, win for Detroit. I'm a little concerned that Freeman won't have time to find his WR's. Stafford will be upright and can really throw the ball around, Megatron has a big day, so does my bank account. Win!
Enjoy! Short and to the point (that's what she said)
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
NCAA Week #4 Winners
So far I am off to a 4-5-2 start in my college football prognosticating session, unacceptable. I went 3-2 this past Saturday also unacceptable. 5-0 and maybe 4-1 is acceptable so I have some work to do. I have zeroed in on some teams to ride and will continue to do so until the wheels fall off. So lets see what I have for this Saturday's slate of money-makers:
Alabama -7 The Tide historically struggle in Fayetteville, and the Razorbacks are a solid team in the SEC, this will be Alabama's biggest test of the season. I say that because The Tide have 3 new DB's in the secondary, and of course the Razorbacks have Ryan Mallet and 2 stud WR's. Nick Saban went berserk of Bama giving up 13 points to the Blue Devils at the half. So I am sure he is hammering his defense with drills as I type this. The Razorback D had problems with Andy Murray and Georgia was able to pull even at 24 late in the game. I expect a steady diet of Ingram and Richardson to keep Arkansas offense on the sideline. Alabama will help their young secondary with their usual pressure on Mallet. Arkansas is a solid club but I don't think they have the horses to stay within a TD of the Tide.
4 units. Loss.
Tulane +20 Betting on the Green Wave? First time for everything my friends. Tulane lost to Ole Miss in their last game by 14 points. If Masoli couldn't put up more than 27 on them what makes one think that a 3rd stringer from Houston will be able to? Granted Masoli is nothing special, but unless Houston trots out Andre Ware I don't see how they win by more than 20. I like the Green Wave in a covered loss.
2 units. Win.
Gamecocks +3 I'm buying the Gamecocks this year, and conversely selling Auburn. They squeaked a win by Clemson last week, I'm not impressed. South Carolina is a psychical team on defense and offense. Garcia has weapons in Lattimore, Gurley and Jefferies. Garcia has to be able to handle the crowd in Auburn, if he has a decent game I like the Gamecocks to win this one outright but I will take the points.
1 unit. Loss.
UNLV -10 The Rebels play the Lobos in Las Vegas, both teams have 0-3 records, but at least UNLV has put up some type of resistance, seeking their first win of the season at home against the lowly Lobos is a good spot for them and my bank account. I will continue betting on whomever plays New Mexico until the wheels come off.
1 unit. Win.
Stanford -5 The Trees have quietly put together a solid squad in Palo Alto. I look for them to take the Pac-10 this year. ND has owned Stanford this entire decade with the exception of last year. I don't see how Harbaugh and Luck go into South Bend without having something to prove. Plus Luck can use the NBC nationwide stage to show off his skills and help his case for the Heisman.
4 units. Win.
There it is readers, tune into the radio show tomorrow night @ 9:00 PM EST @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory I should have my NFL action posted later today.
Alabama -7 The Tide historically struggle in Fayetteville, and the Razorbacks are a solid team in the SEC, this will be Alabama's biggest test of the season. I say that because The Tide have 3 new DB's in the secondary, and of course the Razorbacks have Ryan Mallet and 2 stud WR's. Nick Saban went berserk of Bama giving up 13 points to the Blue Devils at the half. So I am sure he is hammering his defense with drills as I type this. The Razorback D had problems with Andy Murray and Georgia was able to pull even at 24 late in the game. I expect a steady diet of Ingram and Richardson to keep Arkansas offense on the sideline. Alabama will help their young secondary with their usual pressure on Mallet. Arkansas is a solid club but I don't think they have the horses to stay within a TD of the Tide.
4 units. Loss.
Tulane +20 Betting on the Green Wave? First time for everything my friends. Tulane lost to Ole Miss in their last game by 14 points. If Masoli couldn't put up more than 27 on them what makes one think that a 3rd stringer from Houston will be able to? Granted Masoli is nothing special, but unless Houston trots out Andre Ware I don't see how they win by more than 20. I like the Green Wave in a covered loss.
2 units. Win.
Gamecocks +3 I'm buying the Gamecocks this year, and conversely selling Auburn. They squeaked a win by Clemson last week, I'm not impressed. South Carolina is a psychical team on defense and offense. Garcia has weapons in Lattimore, Gurley and Jefferies. Garcia has to be able to handle the crowd in Auburn, if he has a decent game I like the Gamecocks to win this one outright but I will take the points.
1 unit. Loss.
UNLV -10 The Rebels play the Lobos in Las Vegas, both teams have 0-3 records, but at least UNLV has put up some type of resistance, seeking their first win of the season at home against the lowly Lobos is a good spot for them and my bank account. I will continue betting on whomever plays New Mexico until the wheels come off.
1 unit. Win.
Stanford -5 The Trees have quietly put together a solid squad in Palo Alto. I look for them to take the Pac-10 this year. ND has owned Stanford this entire decade with the exception of last year. I don't see how Harbaugh and Luck go into South Bend without having something to prove. Plus Luck can use the NBC nationwide stage to show off his skills and help his case for the Heisman.
4 units. Win.
There it is readers, tune into the radio show tomorrow night @ 9:00 PM EST @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory I should have my NFL action posted later today.
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
NCAA Week #3 & NFL Week #2 Pick em
I'm putting out a combined blog this week due to the fact that I will be leaving tomorrow morning to head for College Station, I will be in attendance for the Texas A&M game on Saturday night. So ladies don't be afraid to approach The Blanket if you see me out and about, as I will no doubt be celebrating my 4 day escape from my captors. After a rough Saturday I desperately need a bounce back, so lets visit my picks for all this weeks action. Also don't forget to tune into the radio show tonight at 11:00PM EST time, you can catch us at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
NCAA ACTION WEEK #3:
Cal -3 The Bears have crushed both opponents they have played thus far, and our home dog on a weeknight theory has been non-productive this far. So I am going to go against the grain on this one. The Pomeranian Pack has provided they are purely paper tigers, choking again and again on their home turf on an ESPN televised game. I foresee that trend continuing here. Cal is looking to stay lockstep with Oregon in the Pac-10 and the Ducks will cruise this week when they host Portland St. Cal by 5.
1 Unit.
ECU +20 I'm not so much betting against the Hokies in this contest as I am siding with a 3 touchdown spread, the Hokies season is over, they have no reason to get up for this game. ECU coach Ruffin McNeil has his Pirates playing at a high level and they will not be distracted by the VT logo on the side of the Hokies helmets as the Pirates have defeated them recently. For me this is too many points to pass up on a game between 2 teams headed the opposite direction.
4 units.
Arkansas +3 If Ryan Mallet wants to stay on top of the Heisman race he will have a nice game against UGA as Denard Robinson is making a large case to get some much deserved hype. The Bulldogs seemed to struggle mightily against South Carolina. The Razorbacks defense is no picnic and with AJ Green still I don't know how Andy Murray will look, even though they are at home I don't like the Bulldogs as favorites here. Lets hope for a big day from Mallet and Josh Childs.
1 unit.
Alabama -24 Duke is 0-5 all time when playing AP ranked #1 teams, losing by an average of 30.3 points. Although the Blue Devils are at home and much improved I don't know how they will fare against the Tide defense, and I'm sure Saban will have his team ready to ensure they don't have a let down here. Bama handled a decent Penn State squad with ease as the Nittany Lions narrowly avoided the shut out. Heisman winner Mark Ingram will be back so the Blue Devils will have to deal with him and Richardson platooning out of the backfield. McCelroy does not get enough credit in my opinion and should have a sold game on Tobacco Road. I don't like laying this many points but lets see how it works out.
2 units.
Utah -23 Screw it. Another game where I have to eat alot of points. New Mexico might actually make this game competitive if they field their basketball team. This is Utah's first road test of the season, not that its actually a "test" but................Utah has beaten a solid Pitt team (thanks for that push btw) and beat a pesky UNLV team by 28 last week. So I hope they take advantage of this poor sacrificial sheep in this contest as New Mexico has definitely become a sheep dressed in Wolves helmets.
There are my five NCAA picks I really need to get back on track with my NCAA picks as I have stumbled out of the gate the last two seasons.
Now lets get to my NFL Picks:
There aren't many games I'm that excited about this Sunday, so I will only be taking like 5 games. I would also like to thank the 49ers for making me look like an a**hole. That was awesome, pricks.
Eagles -4 Shaun Hill. Sorry just don't think he can get it done. If Stafford were playing I might go the other way but we won't be seeing him for a while because Julius Peppers almost killed him last Sunday. My dogs won't be speaking to my for laying money on a dog murderer but they will come around if I take my winnings and buy them some Greenies. The Lions will be game playing for Vick, so they won't be as back on their heels as the Packers where when he game into the game after Matthews gave Kolb the Diamond Cutter on Sunday. What worries me here is Detroit's awful secondary, Shaun Hill and the Lions inability to run the ball. In other words I don't see how the Lions can get pumped up for this game losing on a terrible call and down their ace QB.
2 units.
Ravens -1 Another road tilt on a short week? Are you serious Blanket?! Yes I am and here is why, the Bengals beat the Ravens twice last season. I'm sure that doesn't sit well with Ray Lewis, the Ravens will be flying high coming off their win against the Jets so I don't see any opportunity for a let down here. Flacco had a pretty solid game against the Jets, I also think the Ravens will have alot of success with Rice and Mcgahee running the ball as the Patriots pretty much gashed them last week with Fred Taylor. Boldin is the prototypical Raven and should have another productive week here. Payback time for the Bengals as Palmer will be too scared to throw against the Ravens and I don't see Benson having much success on the ground. I know the Bengals scored a few points last week but that was in dumpster fire time.
3 units.
Patriots -2 I know what your saying "alright this guy is crazy, the Jets are going to win the Superbowl this year" good luck with that my money loving friends. The Jets won't even win the AFC East write that down. Lets think about this OK, the Jets have a great defense but they simply can't score. The Sanchise is too scared to throw the ball down field, Shonn Greene has Petersonitus and can't catch out of the backfield, Dustin Keller still doesn't know where he is, Braylon Edwards is garbage, Holmes is suspended. Moss looks to be having fun but will be taking out as he goes for a 60 minute vaca on Revis Island, that leaves Welker versus Cromartie/ Wilson, did you see Cromartie/ Wilson against the Ravens WR's not too hot. Cromartie won't be able to keep up with Welkers cuts. Brady is on the top of his game and him and Belicheck figured the Jets out the 2nd time they played them last season. The Pats I am quite certain aren't too pleased with the Jets pre season non stop press junket/ dog and pony show. This one could get out of hand as The Hoodie is known to be a tad spiteful.
5 units.
Miami +6 The Vikings looked bad versus the Saints, the Dolphins didn't look to hot in Buffalo coming out of there with a 5 point win. That being sad Buffalo has been a house of horrors for the Dolphins the last few years. Also not really talked about is the fact the Bills have a great secondary, top 5 in the NFL. I have to question how the Vikings will get up for this game. Favre still doesn't have anyone to throw to. AP is due for a couple of fumbles, not to mention Favre looked less than polished against the Saints. I expect the Dolphins to keep this game close, the Vikings should squeak out a 2 point win. Tony Sporano likes to cover on the road (see last week) lets hope that trend continues here.
1 unit.
Saints -6 I expect Brees and company will have his team ready to go and they have had plenty of time to fix their shortcomings they had against the Vikqueens. I don't like Alex Smith in this spot, I don't care if its a Monday night home game or night. The 49ers are garbage, if they couldn't run against Seattle how are they going to accomplish that against the Saints and do you really trust the Smith to Crabtree connection? I didn't think so.
1 unit.
There you have it all my money makers in one nice wrapped package, I'm out. Be sure and catch the radio show tonight @ 11 PM.
NCAA ACTION WEEK #3:
Cal -3 The Bears have crushed both opponents they have played thus far, and our home dog on a weeknight theory has been non-productive this far. So I am going to go against the grain on this one. The Pomeranian Pack has provided they are purely paper tigers, choking again and again on their home turf on an ESPN televised game. I foresee that trend continuing here. Cal is looking to stay lockstep with Oregon in the Pac-10 and the Ducks will cruise this week when they host Portland St. Cal by 5.
1 Unit.
ECU +20 I'm not so much betting against the Hokies in this contest as I am siding with a 3 touchdown spread, the Hokies season is over, they have no reason to get up for this game. ECU coach Ruffin McNeil has his Pirates playing at a high level and they will not be distracted by the VT logo on the side of the Hokies helmets as the Pirates have defeated them recently. For me this is too many points to pass up on a game between 2 teams headed the opposite direction.
4 units.
Arkansas +3 If Ryan Mallet wants to stay on top of the Heisman race he will have a nice game against UGA as Denard Robinson is making a large case to get some much deserved hype. The Bulldogs seemed to struggle mightily against South Carolina. The Razorbacks defense is no picnic and with AJ Green still I don't know how Andy Murray will look, even though they are at home I don't like the Bulldogs as favorites here. Lets hope for a big day from Mallet and Josh Childs.
1 unit.
Alabama -24 Duke is 0-5 all time when playing AP ranked #1 teams, losing by an average of 30.3 points. Although the Blue Devils are at home and much improved I don't know how they will fare against the Tide defense, and I'm sure Saban will have his team ready to ensure they don't have a let down here. Bama handled a decent Penn State squad with ease as the Nittany Lions narrowly avoided the shut out. Heisman winner Mark Ingram will be back so the Blue Devils will have to deal with him and Richardson platooning out of the backfield. McCelroy does not get enough credit in my opinion and should have a sold game on Tobacco Road. I don't like laying this many points but lets see how it works out.
2 units.
Utah -23 Screw it. Another game where I have to eat alot of points. New Mexico might actually make this game competitive if they field their basketball team. This is Utah's first road test of the season, not that its actually a "test" but................Utah has beaten a solid Pitt team (thanks for that push btw) and beat a pesky UNLV team by 28 last week. So I hope they take advantage of this poor sacrificial sheep in this contest as New Mexico has definitely become a sheep dressed in Wolves helmets.
There are my five NCAA picks I really need to get back on track with my NCAA picks as I have stumbled out of the gate the last two seasons.
Now lets get to my NFL Picks:
There aren't many games I'm that excited about this Sunday, so I will only be taking like 5 games. I would also like to thank the 49ers for making me look like an a**hole. That was awesome, pricks.
Eagles -4 Shaun Hill. Sorry just don't think he can get it done. If Stafford were playing I might go the other way but we won't be seeing him for a while because Julius Peppers almost killed him last Sunday. My dogs won't be speaking to my for laying money on a dog murderer but they will come around if I take my winnings and buy them some Greenies. The Lions will be game playing for Vick, so they won't be as back on their heels as the Packers where when he game into the game after Matthews gave Kolb the Diamond Cutter on Sunday. What worries me here is Detroit's awful secondary, Shaun Hill and the Lions inability to run the ball. In other words I don't see how the Lions can get pumped up for this game losing on a terrible call and down their ace QB.
2 units.
Ravens -1 Another road tilt on a short week? Are you serious Blanket?! Yes I am and here is why, the Bengals beat the Ravens twice last season. I'm sure that doesn't sit well with Ray Lewis, the Ravens will be flying high coming off their win against the Jets so I don't see any opportunity for a let down here. Flacco had a pretty solid game against the Jets, I also think the Ravens will have alot of success with Rice and Mcgahee running the ball as the Patriots pretty much gashed them last week with Fred Taylor. Boldin is the prototypical Raven and should have another productive week here. Payback time for the Bengals as Palmer will be too scared to throw against the Ravens and I don't see Benson having much success on the ground. I know the Bengals scored a few points last week but that was in dumpster fire time.
3 units.
Patriots -2 I know what your saying "alright this guy is crazy, the Jets are going to win the Superbowl this year" good luck with that my money loving friends. The Jets won't even win the AFC East write that down. Lets think about this OK, the Jets have a great defense but they simply can't score. The Sanchise is too scared to throw the ball down field, Shonn Greene has Petersonitus and can't catch out of the backfield, Dustin Keller still doesn't know where he is, Braylon Edwards is garbage, Holmes is suspended. Moss looks to be having fun but will be taking out as he goes for a 60 minute vaca on Revis Island, that leaves Welker versus Cromartie/ Wilson, did you see Cromartie/ Wilson against the Ravens WR's not too hot. Cromartie won't be able to keep up with Welkers cuts. Brady is on the top of his game and him and Belicheck figured the Jets out the 2nd time they played them last season. The Pats I am quite certain aren't too pleased with the Jets pre season non stop press junket/ dog and pony show. This one could get out of hand as The Hoodie is known to be a tad spiteful.
5 units.
Miami +6 The Vikings looked bad versus the Saints, the Dolphins didn't look to hot in Buffalo coming out of there with a 5 point win. That being sad Buffalo has been a house of horrors for the Dolphins the last few years. Also not really talked about is the fact the Bills have a great secondary, top 5 in the NFL. I have to question how the Vikings will get up for this game. Favre still doesn't have anyone to throw to. AP is due for a couple of fumbles, not to mention Favre looked less than polished against the Saints. I expect the Dolphins to keep this game close, the Vikings should squeak out a 2 point win. Tony Sporano likes to cover on the road (see last week) lets hope that trend continues here.
1 unit.
Saints -6 I expect Brees and company will have his team ready to go and they have had plenty of time to fix their shortcomings they had against the Vikqueens. I don't like Alex Smith in this spot, I don't care if its a Monday night home game or night. The 49ers are garbage, if they couldn't run against Seattle how are they going to accomplish that against the Saints and do you really trust the Smith to Crabtree connection? I didn't think so.
1 unit.
There you have it all my money makers in one nice wrapped package, I'm out. Be sure and catch the radio show tonight @ 11 PM.
Wednesday, September 8, 2010
Week #2 NCAA Picks
For my official picks of the 2010 season my record is 0-0-1. I was not able to post all of my picks due to the fact I have to attend this awful place called work daily. Also I was able to get all my picks out on our fresh new radio show, be sure to check it out on Thursday September 9th @ 7:00PM tune or click in at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory it will be worth your while. On our next show we will be doing a recap of last weeks games and give you some NCAA winners and NFL winners to add a cash mix in to your bank account. We will also delve into some relative sports headlines throughout the past week. So lets see what teams will be our top earners this Saturday, don't forget to tune in Thursday for more in depth analysis.
$$$$$$$$$$Thursday Night Home Dog Special$$$$$$$$$$$
Mississippi State +3 Dan Mullen had his defense and offense hitting on all cylinders as they took apart there C-USA opponents Memphis. I don't know why the Tigers are favored on the road here. The Arkansas Red Wolves gave the Tigers all they could handle on Auburn's home turf. Lets hope we steal some money from Vegas here, I like money more than Cam Newton likes stealing laptops.........OH!! Push.
Florida State +8 Christian Ponder had a nice outing against Samford, Jimbo Fishers alma matter recieved no quarters from the Seminole onslaught. Oklahoma squeaked out a win versus perenial power house Utah State Aggies. If Oklahoma does win it will be a squeaker. I expect FSU to be within a touchdown this whole contest, if they aren't ahead. Diondre Borrell had alot of success against the Sooners, like I said I think Ponder can keep this game close. Loss.
Michigan +4 Richie Rod really needs this win on Notre Dames turf. Last week the Wolverines dispatched a solid UCONN team although the Huskies contributed to their own demise by dropping 6 balls. The Michigan D kept Jordan Todman in check and Denard Robinson went nuts on UCONN D. Last year a lesser Michigan squad beat ND by 4 with Jimmy Claussen and Golden Tate on the field, this time around Dane Crist and Armando Allen won't be enough as the Irish fall short. Win.
Miami +9 Jacory Harris > Tyrelle Pryor. The Buckeyes will have trouble with Miami's swarming defense and will not be able to match the Canes speed. Miami is being overlooked early in the season and will be looking forward to this game to make a statement. If Ohio State does win it won't be by more than a touchdown. Loss.
South Florida +17 If USF can avoid some early special teams mistakes (see last weeks game) and play the type of defense they are capable of I see no reason why they wont cover the 16. UF did not look sharp against a dreadful Miami of Ohio squad, the offense sputtered but the defense managed to pull Urban's boys out of the fire. BJ Daniels is going to have to play turnover free football and be effective with his throws, hopefully the Bulls can pull this one out or there will be alot of broken furniture in my apartment. I just feel that 16 is too big a number in this spot. Loss.
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Mississippi State +3 Dan Mullen had his defense and offense hitting on all cylinders as they took apart there C-USA opponents Memphis. I don't know why the Tigers are favored on the road here. The Arkansas Red Wolves gave the Tigers all they could handle on Auburn's home turf. Lets hope we steal some money from Vegas here, I like money more than Cam Newton likes stealing laptops.........OH!! Push.
Florida State +8 Christian Ponder had a nice outing against Samford, Jimbo Fishers alma matter recieved no quarters from the Seminole onslaught. Oklahoma squeaked out a win versus perenial power house Utah State Aggies. If Oklahoma does win it will be a squeaker. I expect FSU to be within a touchdown this whole contest, if they aren't ahead. Diondre Borrell had alot of success against the Sooners, like I said I think Ponder can keep this game close. Loss.
Michigan +4 Richie Rod really needs this win on Notre Dames turf. Last week the Wolverines dispatched a solid UCONN team although the Huskies contributed to their own demise by dropping 6 balls. The Michigan D kept Jordan Todman in check and Denard Robinson went nuts on UCONN D. Last year a lesser Michigan squad beat ND by 4 with Jimmy Claussen and Golden Tate on the field, this time around Dane Crist and Armando Allen won't be enough as the Irish fall short. Win.
Miami +9 Jacory Harris > Tyrelle Pryor. The Buckeyes will have trouble with Miami's swarming defense and will not be able to match the Canes speed. Miami is being overlooked early in the season and will be looking forward to this game to make a statement. If Ohio State does win it won't be by more than a touchdown. Loss.
South Florida +17 If USF can avoid some early special teams mistakes (see last weeks game) and play the type of defense they are capable of I see no reason why they wont cover the 16. UF did not look sharp against a dreadful Miami of Ohio squad, the offense sputtered but the defense managed to pull Urban's boys out of the fire. BJ Daniels is going to have to play turnover free football and be effective with his throws, hopefully the Bulls can pull this one out or there will be alot of broken furniture in my apartment. I just feel that 16 is too big a number in this spot. Loss.
Monday, November 30, 2009
NFL Week #13 The Early Bird Specials
Here are some early plays as The Blanket will be out of town until late Thursday and I don't want to get behind in my handicapping. The Blanket has been hovering around 58% on action in November and the hate mail is starting to hit my Yahoo account. Lets not forget that I am 61-31-1 in NFL action against the spread. I had an off November but now its time for my late season surge. Just collected on 2 unit play on the Saints game and its time to do some reinvesting!!
LATE PICKS ADDED********Patroits @ Miami also ML Dogs are posted.
Bills +3 Hmmm is Coach Fewell onto something here? Running Fred Jackson? Fitzpatrick throwing deep? The Bills made me pay on Sunday, so hopefully they will be generous to me this Sunday. I like to take the Bills on the road, and technically they will be the home team in this contest versus the Jets in Toronto. I am thinking this team is getting behind Coach Fewell who was a Bears assistant but, he knew how to coach so the Bears sent him packing, they can't have that in Chicago. Terrell Owens should be happy now that balls are heading his way and Fred Jackson has replaced degenerate Marshawn Lynch effectively. The Bills are solid against the pass and middle of the road versus the run. Delhomme gift wrapped that game for the Jets last week as NY managed 13 points off 4 picks thrown by Jake, he is awful and the Panthers are done. Sanchez had a knee problem in last weeks game so who knows how effective he will be in this contest. Looks like the Bills are believing in themselves again. 3 units.Loss.
Broncos -4 Huge bounce back game for the Broncos on Thanksgiving night. Denver is now 7-4 and in possession of a wildcard spot. Orton had a good game against the Giants, who have a much better pass rush than the Chiefs. The home team has won 14 of 16 in this series, but the Chiefs are terrible and they embarrassed me as they got blown out last week against San Diego. Some might think the Broncos will sleepwalk through this contest, I don't the Broncos need an easy win against a garbage team like KC to bolster their playoff hopes and McDaniels should have them ready to build upon the beating they put on the Giants. The Broncos really need this game as they have a showdown with the Colts looming. 2 units.Win.
Texans Pick The Texans season is over as far as the playoffs are concerned, so why not ruin the Jags season while they are at it? The Jags are clinging to wildcard hopes and the Texans will extinguish that flame here. Jacksonville, much like the Eagles are a team that tends to get up off the floor when everyone is down on them, but I think the Texans will step on their throats here. The Texans got caught celebrating what they thought was a win a little to early. Garrard while having a solid year has had a real problem with fumbling the football thanks to his pedestrian offensive line. The Texans have improved against the run, but the numbers are skewed a little bit since they have played to Colts pass happy offense twice in recent games. MJD hasn't had a big game in a while, Sims-Walker was ineffective against the 49ers secondary so I do not see it getting better with Dunta Robinson covering him. Schaub has alot of weapons in the passing game and the Jags secondary is depleted, I like the Texans here. 2 units. Loss.
Cowboys Pick It's December will Tony Romo have another meltdown? I don't see it happening. The distractions for Romo have been dealt with and he seems to be moving on, so I think he will reverse that trend. This is a revenge game for them against the reeling Giants who have been really disappointing so far this year after starting so well. Romo torched a solid Raiders secondary with ease and the Giants are still hurting for help in the secondary Jones and Williams should carry over their success from last week. The Cowboys running attack has been getting healthy while Bradshaw is still banged up for the Giants. The Cowboys need this game to get some separation on the Giants and can't afford to get swept, the Cowboys also need to stay up on the Eagles who should win with ease this week against the Falcons. 2 units.Loss.
49ers Pick Revenge game for the 49ers as they travel to Qwest field. The 49ers have lost some games but have been in all of them Alex Smith and Crabtree look good and TE Vernon Davis is really emerging as a solid option. The 49ers are still in the hunt for the NFC West and can't afford to drop a conference game to Seattle who is dead in the water. The Seahawks just want this disaster season to be over with and I can't see them getting up for this game against a 49ers team coming off a solid performance against the Jags. 3 units.Loss.
Eagles -5 Mike Vick back in Atanta..........who cares, he only has 6 more passing yards then me this season. The Falcons couldn't win this game with Ryan starting. Historically the Eagles own the Falcons and I see that trend continuing here. Redman holds onto the ball way to long and with Sam Baker getting benched Trent Cole might spend more time in the Falcons backfield then Norwood and Snelling combined. Samuels should be back for this game and he will take Roddy White out of this contest, Jackson is still undecided for this game, I personally do not think he will play and have replaced him with Jason Avant in my fantasy league, but Philly still has alot of weapons that the Falcons abysmal secondary will not be able to contain. This game could get ugly, unless I am missing something here I am going to make this a big play. Atlanta has been decent against the run but Philly and Andy Reid hate running the ball and are a prolific screen team which will rack up huge yardage against the Falcons. 5 units.Win.
Chargers -13 The Browns lost Shaun Rogers for the season with an Achilles. The Browns simply can't run or throw the ball. They covered for me last week but the Bengals simply can't put points up in bunches so that was an easy play. The Chargers are rolling right now, with a 6 game winning streak I don't think they will slow down here. Thanks to Cassell I lost on my Chiefs pick last week and was embarrassed as Cassell put the ball on the ground and threw pics. I have learned my lesson. I think the Chargers are good for 24 points in this game, the Browns maybe 6-7 points. Without Rogers rushing the passer Rivers will have plenty of time to pick the Browns secondary apart, the Browns should find themselves in an early hole which will mean Quinn will be forced to throw alot. That will be good news for us. 4 units. Loss.
Vikings -3 Looks like Warner will be back for this game. Could the Cards be seeking revenge for last years behind the Woodshed beating they took by the Vikings last year?? Remember who the QB was for that game, I do not think he is as good as Favre do you? The Vikings are going to continue to win as they try to chase the Saints down so they can get home field advantage and the Cards have been iffy at home. I question Wisenhut's call on letting Warner start against the Vikings defense especially with Gandy out and Allen coming after him. I'm about of a Warner honk and would like to see him come back for 2010 to improve his numbers for his HOF bid. I just think for this game that the Vikings just have too many weapons for Arizona and Favre has been lights out this year. 3 units.
Titans +7 The Colts do not care about going 16-0. One of their players recently said "records don't win rings". Very true. VY just doesn't lose games. Chris Johnson although not as fast as Rajon Rondo (hahahahahaha) is a machine right now and I think the improved play of the Titans secondary coupled with their offense lets them win this game by 3 points. I will also be making a small play on the Titans ML as well. 1 unit.Loss.
Rams +9lger was playing I would make this game a multi-unit play. The Bears will not be able to get up for the Rams after getting boatraced by the Vikings and Steven Jackson will be able to keep the Rams in this game. The Bears are really struggling on both sides of the ball. Kyle Boller had a decent game passing last week against Seattle. I just have a feeling the Bears are in a bad spot and their season is over so the Rams could be getting their second win here. 1 unit.Win.
Patriots -4 This line came out for like a half an hour at -6, now it has re posted at -4. Smells bad. I was thinking about making a nice size play on it, but now I don't trust it. Especially with all the money landing on the Patriots. There was a trend on Miami vs New England and now I cannot find it, so we will have to go with the trend that the Patriots never lose two games in a row. Miami has really been taking chunks out of my account and I am not pleased with them. Miami usually plays New England tough, but I think Brady is fuming right now and the Dolphins will not be able to stop Welker and Moss. Joey Porter is also out for this game. 3 units.Loss.
$$$$$$$$$$ML dogs$$$$$$$$$
Titans +215
Bucs +185
Rams +350
LATE PICKS ADDED********Patroits @ Miami also ML Dogs are posted.
Bills +3 Hmmm is Coach Fewell onto something here? Running Fred Jackson? Fitzpatrick throwing deep? The Bills made me pay on Sunday, so hopefully they will be generous to me this Sunday. I like to take the Bills on the road, and technically they will be the home team in this contest versus the Jets in Toronto. I am thinking this team is getting behind Coach Fewell who was a Bears assistant but, he knew how to coach so the Bears sent him packing, they can't have that in Chicago. Terrell Owens should be happy now that balls are heading his way and Fred Jackson has replaced degenerate Marshawn Lynch effectively. The Bills are solid against the pass and middle of the road versus the run. Delhomme gift wrapped that game for the Jets last week as NY managed 13 points off 4 picks thrown by Jake, he is awful and the Panthers are done. Sanchez had a knee problem in last weeks game so who knows how effective he will be in this contest. Looks like the Bills are believing in themselves again. 3 units.Loss.
Broncos -4 Huge bounce back game for the Broncos on Thanksgiving night. Denver is now 7-4 and in possession of a wildcard spot. Orton had a good game against the Giants, who have a much better pass rush than the Chiefs. The home team has won 14 of 16 in this series, but the Chiefs are terrible and they embarrassed me as they got blown out last week against San Diego. Some might think the Broncos will sleepwalk through this contest, I don't the Broncos need an easy win against a garbage team like KC to bolster their playoff hopes and McDaniels should have them ready to build upon the beating they put on the Giants. The Broncos really need this game as they have a showdown with the Colts looming. 2 units.Win.
Texans Pick The Texans season is over as far as the playoffs are concerned, so why not ruin the Jags season while they are at it? The Jags are clinging to wildcard hopes and the Texans will extinguish that flame here. Jacksonville, much like the Eagles are a team that tends to get up off the floor when everyone is down on them, but I think the Texans will step on their throats here. The Texans got caught celebrating what they thought was a win a little to early. Garrard while having a solid year has had a real problem with fumbling the football thanks to his pedestrian offensive line. The Texans have improved against the run, but the numbers are skewed a little bit since they have played to Colts pass happy offense twice in recent games. MJD hasn't had a big game in a while, Sims-Walker was ineffective against the 49ers secondary so I do not see it getting better with Dunta Robinson covering him. Schaub has alot of weapons in the passing game and the Jags secondary is depleted, I like the Texans here. 2 units. Loss.
Cowboys Pick It's December will Tony Romo have another meltdown? I don't see it happening. The distractions for Romo have been dealt with and he seems to be moving on, so I think he will reverse that trend. This is a revenge game for them against the reeling Giants who have been really disappointing so far this year after starting so well. Romo torched a solid Raiders secondary with ease and the Giants are still hurting for help in the secondary Jones and Williams should carry over their success from last week. The Cowboys running attack has been getting healthy while Bradshaw is still banged up for the Giants. The Cowboys need this game to get some separation on the Giants and can't afford to get swept, the Cowboys also need to stay up on the Eagles who should win with ease this week against the Falcons. 2 units.Loss.
49ers Pick Revenge game for the 49ers as they travel to Qwest field. The 49ers have lost some games but have been in all of them Alex Smith and Crabtree look good and TE Vernon Davis is really emerging as a solid option. The 49ers are still in the hunt for the NFC West and can't afford to drop a conference game to Seattle who is dead in the water. The Seahawks just want this disaster season to be over with and I can't see them getting up for this game against a 49ers team coming off a solid performance against the Jags. 3 units.Loss.
Eagles -5 Mike Vick back in Atanta..........who cares, he only has 6 more passing yards then me this season. The Falcons couldn't win this game with Ryan starting. Historically the Eagles own the Falcons and I see that trend continuing here. Redman holds onto the ball way to long and with Sam Baker getting benched Trent Cole might spend more time in the Falcons backfield then Norwood and Snelling combined. Samuels should be back for this game and he will take Roddy White out of this contest, Jackson is still undecided for this game, I personally do not think he will play and have replaced him with Jason Avant in my fantasy league, but Philly still has alot of weapons that the Falcons abysmal secondary will not be able to contain. This game could get ugly, unless I am missing something here I am going to make this a big play. Atlanta has been decent against the run but Philly and Andy Reid hate running the ball and are a prolific screen team which will rack up huge yardage against the Falcons. 5 units.Win.
Chargers -13 The Browns lost Shaun Rogers for the season with an Achilles. The Browns simply can't run or throw the ball. They covered for me last week but the Bengals simply can't put points up in bunches so that was an easy play. The Chargers are rolling right now, with a 6 game winning streak I don't think they will slow down here. Thanks to Cassell I lost on my Chiefs pick last week and was embarrassed as Cassell put the ball on the ground and threw pics. I have learned my lesson. I think the Chargers are good for 24 points in this game, the Browns maybe 6-7 points. Without Rogers rushing the passer Rivers will have plenty of time to pick the Browns secondary apart, the Browns should find themselves in an early hole which will mean Quinn will be forced to throw alot. That will be good news for us. 4 units. Loss.
Vikings -3 Looks like Warner will be back for this game. Could the Cards be seeking revenge for last years behind the Woodshed beating they took by the Vikings last year?? Remember who the QB was for that game, I do not think he is as good as Favre do you? The Vikings are going to continue to win as they try to chase the Saints down so they can get home field advantage and the Cards have been iffy at home. I question Wisenhut's call on letting Warner start against the Vikings defense especially with Gandy out and Allen coming after him. I'm about of a Warner honk and would like to see him come back for 2010 to improve his numbers for his HOF bid. I just think for this game that the Vikings just have too many weapons for Arizona and Favre has been lights out this year. 3 units.
Titans +7 The Colts do not care about going 16-0. One of their players recently said "records don't win rings". Very true. VY just doesn't lose games. Chris Johnson although not as fast as Rajon Rondo (hahahahahaha) is a machine right now and I think the improved play of the Titans secondary coupled with their offense lets them win this game by 3 points. I will also be making a small play on the Titans ML as well. 1 unit.Loss.
Rams +9lger was playing I would make this game a multi-unit play. The Bears will not be able to get up for the Rams after getting boatraced by the Vikings and Steven Jackson will be able to keep the Rams in this game. The Bears are really struggling on both sides of the ball. Kyle Boller had a decent game passing last week against Seattle. I just have a feeling the Bears are in a bad spot and their season is over so the Rams could be getting their second win here. 1 unit.Win.
Patriots -4 This line came out for like a half an hour at -6, now it has re posted at -4. Smells bad. I was thinking about making a nice size play on it, but now I don't trust it. Especially with all the money landing on the Patriots. There was a trend on Miami vs New England and now I cannot find it, so we will have to go with the trend that the Patriots never lose two games in a row. Miami has really been taking chunks out of my account and I am not pleased with them. Miami usually plays New England tough, but I think Brady is fuming right now and the Dolphins will not be able to stop Welker and Moss. Joey Porter is also out for this game. 3 units.Loss.
$$$$$$$$$$ML dogs$$$$$$$$$
Titans +215
Bucs +185
Rams +350
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
NFL Week #12 Free Money Report
Not the best of Sundays last week, I went 7-6 but hit most of my multi-unit plays. I guess Vegas isn't giving out their usual pre black Friday freebies. I guess the economy is even affecting the 7 guys that generate these lines. The only comfortable cover I had was the Vikings pounding the Seahawks, everything else was alot of sighing and refresh button. That's OK, Vegas can only satisfy me with nickel and dime positive units for so long. I need one of my patented monster weeks to send them a message that I don't appreciate them forsaking all of us degenerate gamblers who look forward to our late November handouts. Remember Vegas, easy way or hard way, either way I take your money. Write it down. Without further delay here are my NFL picks for this week:
Giants -7 (Thanksgiving Special) The Broncos are gassed, their veteran defense is beat up and Kyle Orton's ankle is in a bad way, much like Denver will be here. The Giants got a much needed win over a Falcons squad that isn't very good. Eli gained some much needed confidence as he torched Atlanta's abysmal secondary throwing to his vast array of talented WR's (must be nice to have a vast array of talented WR's and not have say.............Micheal "Hands of Stone" Jenkins). I don't think the Broncos will have much success running the ball in this contest which will force Orton to move the chains on his own, which on a bum ankle I think that might be a risky proposition, but when Chris Simms is your back-up I would rather roll Orton out in a wheel chair than rely on Simms to convert third downs. The Giants should be able to pound the ball and Eli will have time to throw as the Broncos cracks on D are starting to show. 2 units.Loss.
***********************PICK CHANGE ALERT, TAKING TEXANS +4********************
Texans +4 Funny the Texans were 9 point dogs 2 weeks ago. The Texans can't beat the Colts (1-14 all time and they are now 4-12 versus the Titans). The Texans also had a huge letdown on their Monday night game, which I profited from! The Colts survived a dust-up with the Ravens and Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis did nothing in that game because they were shut down by Gaither and Oher. So they should have their ears pinned back and be coming after Schaub with reckless abandon. This should be a tight game, 1 more point on this spread and I would have taken the Texans. I just think this is a bad spot for them here. Texans are 1-3-1 ATS at home this year, but 5-1 ATS versus the colts in their last 6, meanwhile the Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. I think that the Colts will change some things up for this game given the proximity of their last game. I also have to question both teams ability to run the ball, Addai needs to get it going here, Donald Brown should be good to go for this game too, lets hope he chips in as well. 1 unit.Loss.
Browns +14 The Bengals have no business laying 14 points to anyone, they just got waxed by Gradkowski and the Raiders, how embarrassing. Take away the beat down of the Bears and the Bengals haven't won by 14 all year, that includes a 3 point win against the Browns in Week #4 and losing to the Raiders doesn't tell me you have improved. It is also a divisional rivalry game between two teams that know and hate each other. Don't expect Brady Quinn to go berserk again and throw the ball all over the field as the Lions have an atrocious pass defense, Quinn will be scared to throw on Johnathan Joseph and Leon Hall so he will most likely revert to his short junk. I was not pleased with the Browns defense last week, it's like the offense and defense both did 180's last week, lets hope the usual Browns defense shows up for this game. 3 units Win.
Redskins +10 Eagles as big favorites? Injuries to Westbrook? Hanson out? Samuels and Sheldon Brown hurt? Andy Reid as coach? Hello Money!! The Redskins have been playing a little better since the arrival of the Bingo caller extraordinaire. Campbell has been putting up solid numbers and hasn't turned the ball over. Washington has a solid defense and will be able to handle Jackson and Maclin with their pass coverage as well as Celek. Cartwright gets the start and their should be no drop-off at the RB position for the Skins as he is a good pass catcher out of the backfield. Randle-El and Moss will get the short passes as the Redskins move the ball. Philly will win this game but 10 points for a team with alot of injuries against a division foe is way too much to ask. 5 units.Win.
Dolphins -3 Miami really surprised me last week as they boat raced the Panthers sans Ronnie Brown, good for them and bad for my account as I took a large beating off that game. That's OK because the Dolphins will pay me back this week. I expected the Bills to get blown out last week with Jauron hitting the bricks, but Fewell had them in that contest against a lazy Jacksonville team. Buffalo is another team that has been decimated by injuries, Fitzpatrick had a good game last week but the Jags pass rush is nothing to write home about. Taylor and Porter will be getting after him here. The Bills running game is also non-existent as Lynch is garbage but they continue to go to him. Miami is stout against the rush so Jackson won't be able to do much either. Henne had success against a solid Panthers secondary and that should carry over to this contest. Lets hope Ricky has another career day here. 3 units.Loss.
Seahawks -3 If Bulger was starting this game I would be taking the Rams, but instead we will have Kyle Boller. I will pause while you look at Boller's stats....................................Impressive no? Seattle is a desperate team Burleson and TJ haven't caught a ball in a while, Forsett should have a big game as I foresee the Rams defense sending lots of time on the field due to Boller's ineptness. Hasselbeck should have a quality day as the Rams are awful against the pass. As long as Steven Jackson doesn't run wild we should win this one going away. 2 units.Win.
Panthers +3 John Fox needs to run the ball with Williams and Stewart, use your weapons John and run at the Jenkins-less Jets. Smith will be taken out of this game by Revis, so Delhomme will have to settle for some short passes. If the Panthers use the running game effectively they should be able to move the chains. Sanchez will have no shot against a solid secondary like the Panthers have. Carolina is better against the rush than the Patriots so they should have success in stopping Jones and Greene. The Jets are done and will probably be flat after hanging around in the Pats game only to see it slip away. Carolina on the other hand needs a win to keep Wildcard hopes alive. 2 units.Loss.
49ers -3 The Jags are a lazy team and Del Rio must have went to the Norv Turner/ Ron Turner school of game planning. Rashean Mathis is out for this game and Jacksonville's pass defense is awful, Crabtree and Davis should have nice days. Smith has some problems with protection but the Jags don't like sacking the QB anyway so it won't matter. The 49ers run defense has been spotty lately but I think it is a result of their secondary getting beat worse than Jimmy Claussen in a bar fight. Hopefully they can hold MJD down and force Garrard to throw on them, but knowing Del Rio he probably won't even start MJD and say it was his "strategy". 3 units.Win.
Chiefs +14 KC is 5-1 ATS in its last 6, 7-3 ATS last 10 on the road. They were blown out by the Chargers a few weeks ago but I think that was a fluke. Cassell likes to score late touchdowns to cover and apparently not having Bowe didn't faze him as he torched the Steelers secondary last week. These two teams hate each other and the Chiefs got rid of homophobic LJ and gave the ball to Jamaal Charles, who will have success against the Chargers injury ridden front. Chambers will be looking to burn his former employers as well. The Chargers secondary has been patchwork this season as well, so Lance Long will probably do his best Wes Welker imitation and get in the mix as well. 1 unit.Loss.
Saints -3 It pains me to write that but sometimes you have to face the facts. The public is all over the Patriots and I would be to, however; the Saints get Sedrick Ellis back as well as Jabarri Greer this week. New England will not be able to run the ball. This will force Brady to do it all and Moss will be taken out of the game by Greer. So now the Saints will have to focus on Faulk and Welker. I just don't trust the Pats defense to stop Brees, he just has too many weapons and Bush will be back for this contest as well. 2 units.Win.
Vikings -11 This game could get ugly quick. The Bears are a train wreck, Forte will have no running lanes and the Bears WR's lack the experience to go against a solid secondary with Jared Allen chasing after Cutler. Antoine Winfield will be back for this game and looking to catch some passes thrown by Jay Cutler. This game could be the swan song for Lovie as his days are already numbered. Maybe the Bears should try Charles Tillman at WR, without him the Bears would probably be 0-10. 2 units.Win.
Season Record 61-31-1
There we have it 11 games for Sunday I might add one or two more games but we will see I wasn't really that high on any of these spreads this Sunday as you can tell by the absence of 4 and 5 unit plays ( well I do have one 5 unit play ). Lets hope for a nice Sunday cash flow to offset the Black Friday spending, see you at the cash cage.
Giants -7 (Thanksgiving Special) The Broncos are gassed, their veteran defense is beat up and Kyle Orton's ankle is in a bad way, much like Denver will be here. The Giants got a much needed win over a Falcons squad that isn't very good. Eli gained some much needed confidence as he torched Atlanta's abysmal secondary throwing to his vast array of talented WR's (must be nice to have a vast array of talented WR's and not have say.............Micheal "Hands of Stone" Jenkins). I don't think the Broncos will have much success running the ball in this contest which will force Orton to move the chains on his own, which on a bum ankle I think that might be a risky proposition, but when Chris Simms is your back-up I would rather roll Orton out in a wheel chair than rely on Simms to convert third downs. The Giants should be able to pound the ball and Eli will have time to throw as the Broncos cracks on D are starting to show. 2 units.Loss.
***********************PICK CHANGE ALERT, TAKING TEXANS +4********************
Texans +4 Funny the Texans were 9 point dogs 2 weeks ago. The Texans can't beat the Colts (1-14 all time and they are now 4-12 versus the Titans). The Texans also had a huge letdown on their Monday night game, which I profited from! The Colts survived a dust-up with the Ravens and Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis did nothing in that game because they were shut down by Gaither and Oher. So they should have their ears pinned back and be coming after Schaub with reckless abandon. This should be a tight game, 1 more point on this spread and I would have taken the Texans. I just think this is a bad spot for them here. Texans are 1-3-1 ATS at home this year, but 5-1 ATS versus the colts in their last 6, meanwhile the Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. I think that the Colts will change some things up for this game given the proximity of their last game. I also have to question both teams ability to run the ball, Addai needs to get it going here, Donald Brown should be good to go for this game too, lets hope he chips in as well. 1 unit.Loss.
Browns +14 The Bengals have no business laying 14 points to anyone, they just got waxed by Gradkowski and the Raiders, how embarrassing. Take away the beat down of the Bears and the Bengals haven't won by 14 all year, that includes a 3 point win against the Browns in Week #4 and losing to the Raiders doesn't tell me you have improved. It is also a divisional rivalry game between two teams that know and hate each other. Don't expect Brady Quinn to go berserk again and throw the ball all over the field as the Lions have an atrocious pass defense, Quinn will be scared to throw on Johnathan Joseph and Leon Hall so he will most likely revert to his short junk. I was not pleased with the Browns defense last week, it's like the offense and defense both did 180's last week, lets hope the usual Browns defense shows up for this game. 3 units Win.
Redskins +10 Eagles as big favorites? Injuries to Westbrook? Hanson out? Samuels and Sheldon Brown hurt? Andy Reid as coach? Hello Money!! The Redskins have been playing a little better since the arrival of the Bingo caller extraordinaire. Campbell has been putting up solid numbers and hasn't turned the ball over. Washington has a solid defense and will be able to handle Jackson and Maclin with their pass coverage as well as Celek. Cartwright gets the start and their should be no drop-off at the RB position for the Skins as he is a good pass catcher out of the backfield. Randle-El and Moss will get the short passes as the Redskins move the ball. Philly will win this game but 10 points for a team with alot of injuries against a division foe is way too much to ask. 5 units.Win.
Dolphins -3 Miami really surprised me last week as they boat raced the Panthers sans Ronnie Brown, good for them and bad for my account as I took a large beating off that game. That's OK because the Dolphins will pay me back this week. I expected the Bills to get blown out last week with Jauron hitting the bricks, but Fewell had them in that contest against a lazy Jacksonville team. Buffalo is another team that has been decimated by injuries, Fitzpatrick had a good game last week but the Jags pass rush is nothing to write home about. Taylor and Porter will be getting after him here. The Bills running game is also non-existent as Lynch is garbage but they continue to go to him. Miami is stout against the rush so Jackson won't be able to do much either. Henne had success against a solid Panthers secondary and that should carry over to this contest. Lets hope Ricky has another career day here. 3 units.Loss.
Seahawks -3 If Bulger was starting this game I would be taking the Rams, but instead we will have Kyle Boller. I will pause while you look at Boller's stats....................................Impressive no? Seattle is a desperate team Burleson and TJ haven't caught a ball in a while, Forsett should have a big game as I foresee the Rams defense sending lots of time on the field due to Boller's ineptness. Hasselbeck should have a quality day as the Rams are awful against the pass. As long as Steven Jackson doesn't run wild we should win this one going away. 2 units.Win.
Panthers +3 John Fox needs to run the ball with Williams and Stewart, use your weapons John and run at the Jenkins-less Jets. Smith will be taken out of this game by Revis, so Delhomme will have to settle for some short passes. If the Panthers use the running game effectively they should be able to move the chains. Sanchez will have no shot against a solid secondary like the Panthers have. Carolina is better against the rush than the Patriots so they should have success in stopping Jones and Greene. The Jets are done and will probably be flat after hanging around in the Pats game only to see it slip away. Carolina on the other hand needs a win to keep Wildcard hopes alive. 2 units.Loss.
49ers -3 The Jags are a lazy team and Del Rio must have went to the Norv Turner/ Ron Turner school of game planning. Rashean Mathis is out for this game and Jacksonville's pass defense is awful, Crabtree and Davis should have nice days. Smith has some problems with protection but the Jags don't like sacking the QB anyway so it won't matter. The 49ers run defense has been spotty lately but I think it is a result of their secondary getting beat worse than Jimmy Claussen in a bar fight. Hopefully they can hold MJD down and force Garrard to throw on them, but knowing Del Rio he probably won't even start MJD and say it was his "strategy". 3 units.Win.
Chiefs +14 KC is 5-1 ATS in its last 6, 7-3 ATS last 10 on the road. They were blown out by the Chargers a few weeks ago but I think that was a fluke. Cassell likes to score late touchdowns to cover and apparently not having Bowe didn't faze him as he torched the Steelers secondary last week. These two teams hate each other and the Chiefs got rid of homophobic LJ and gave the ball to Jamaal Charles, who will have success against the Chargers injury ridden front. Chambers will be looking to burn his former employers as well. The Chargers secondary has been patchwork this season as well, so Lance Long will probably do his best Wes Welker imitation and get in the mix as well. 1 unit.Loss.
Saints -3 It pains me to write that but sometimes you have to face the facts. The public is all over the Patriots and I would be to, however; the Saints get Sedrick Ellis back as well as Jabarri Greer this week. New England will not be able to run the ball. This will force Brady to do it all and Moss will be taken out of the game by Greer. So now the Saints will have to focus on Faulk and Welker. I just don't trust the Pats defense to stop Brees, he just has too many weapons and Bush will be back for this contest as well. 2 units.Win.
Vikings -11 This game could get ugly quick. The Bears are a train wreck, Forte will have no running lanes and the Bears WR's lack the experience to go against a solid secondary with Jared Allen chasing after Cutler. Antoine Winfield will be back for this game and looking to catch some passes thrown by Jay Cutler. This game could be the swan song for Lovie as his days are already numbered. Maybe the Bears should try Charles Tillman at WR, without him the Bears would probably be 0-10. 2 units.Win.
Season Record 61-31-1
There we have it 11 games for Sunday I might add one or two more games but we will see I wasn't really that high on any of these spreads this Sunday as you can tell by the absence of 4 and 5 unit plays ( well I do have one 5 unit play ). Lets hope for a nice Sunday cash flow to offset the Black Friday spending, see you at the cash cage.
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
NCAA Week #13 Stuffing of my pockets................
Slim action on the college slate this Friday and Saturday, I am going to struggle to find my 5 games to pick. Here is what I have so far, let's hope this Saturday follows suit with last. Also, don't forget to sign up for the Yahoo! Bowl Pick 'em Challenge (Team name is "Potassium Exporters" and Group ID is 1292) This is your chance to compete head to head with such handicappers as myself and Billy Vegas, currently there are only 6 people in the league, lets work on that, unless you are scared of course.
Temple -3 The Owls have been playing some solid defense all year long and their offense has been able to put up points. I like to side with teams with good defenses. Ohio has been winning some close games, but I think Temple will be too much for them to handle. Temple's D creates turnovers and Ohio's offense won't be able to overcome that if they put the ball on the turf.Loss.
UCF -3 UAB is a dumpster fire and UCF is on a late season roll. The Knights are another team that seems to crank out a solid defense year in and year out as well as finding running backs that hate being tackled. Brynn Harvey shouldn't have any problems running against the Blazers. The Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, while UAB is 5-1 at home ATS, but the Blazers are also 1-5 versus UCF SU and I think that the Knights are 3 points better than them. Big game for UCF here as they are looking to move up and get into a good bowl game and still have a shot at the C-USA title. Win.
PITT Pk The Backyard Brawl is in Morgantown this year, won't matter due to the proximity of these two schools and Pitt fans travel well. I think the running and aerial attack of the Panthers will be too much for the Mountaineers to handle. For Pitt this is a must have game as they look ahead to their showdown with the Bearcats for what will be the Big East title. Noel Devine and Jarret Brown are still bothered by ankle problems. WVU has played some close games this year but I just think they lack the play makers to get it done here. Dion Lewis and Bill Stull should have a good day for us.Loss.
Navy -10 Navy travels to Hawaii this weekend to take on the Warriors in what looks to be a beat down in the making. Hawaii has had massive injuries at the QB position this season and are starting their 4th string QB. Normally teams go to Hawaii and forget how to play football, this will not be the case for Navy as they travel all over to play. I don't see the Warriors defense slowing down the slow moving triple option. With a 4 string QB and the option eating up clock and keeping Hawaii's offense off the field I don't know how they will stay in this game. Loss.
LSU -3 Eh, why not? LSU should be fired up for this game after they forget how to run plays in the 4th quarter last week. Miles will be looking to make a statement to those questioning his coaching skills. LSU has a good defense especially in Death Valley and its a night game. Mallet is a great QB for the Hogs but that and WR Josh Childs are two of the few weapons they have. Mallet struggles against SEC defenses and Arkansas does not have the defense to withstand the Tiger attack.Push.
There you have it, my 5 picks as promised. I might stop by and add some late action to spice up the holiday a little, so be on the lookout for extra games.
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$BLACK FRIDAY EXTRA PICKS$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
Illionois +21 Bearcats will win this contest, but I expect the Illini to come out fighting for Coach Zooks job. 21 is a big number especially with the Big East title showdown with PITT looming next week. Cincy has a young defense and these two teams do not know each other, look for Illinois to hang around in this contest. Win.
Eastern Michigan +17 Why are the Akron Zips laying 17 points? Is this a soccer game? Last time I checked the Zips were 2-9. While Eastern Michigan is a dumpster fire as well they can score points (Arkansas game) I think the Eagles can hang with them.Win.
Season Record 43-41-3
Pick 'em Challenge 7-16-2
Temple -3 The Owls have been playing some solid defense all year long and their offense has been able to put up points. I like to side with teams with good defenses. Ohio has been winning some close games, but I think Temple will be too much for them to handle. Temple's D creates turnovers and Ohio's offense won't be able to overcome that if they put the ball on the turf.Loss.
UCF -3 UAB is a dumpster fire and UCF is on a late season roll. The Knights are another team that seems to crank out a solid defense year in and year out as well as finding running backs that hate being tackled. Brynn Harvey shouldn't have any problems running against the Blazers. The Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, while UAB is 5-1 at home ATS, but the Blazers are also 1-5 versus UCF SU and I think that the Knights are 3 points better than them. Big game for UCF here as they are looking to move up and get into a good bowl game and still have a shot at the C-USA title. Win.
PITT Pk The Backyard Brawl is in Morgantown this year, won't matter due to the proximity of these two schools and Pitt fans travel well. I think the running and aerial attack of the Panthers will be too much for the Mountaineers to handle. For Pitt this is a must have game as they look ahead to their showdown with the Bearcats for what will be the Big East title. Noel Devine and Jarret Brown are still bothered by ankle problems. WVU has played some close games this year but I just think they lack the play makers to get it done here. Dion Lewis and Bill Stull should have a good day for us.Loss.
Navy -10 Navy travels to Hawaii this weekend to take on the Warriors in what looks to be a beat down in the making. Hawaii has had massive injuries at the QB position this season and are starting their 4th string QB. Normally teams go to Hawaii and forget how to play football, this will not be the case for Navy as they travel all over to play. I don't see the Warriors defense slowing down the slow moving triple option. With a 4 string QB and the option eating up clock and keeping Hawaii's offense off the field I don't know how they will stay in this game. Loss.
LSU -3 Eh, why not? LSU should be fired up for this game after they forget how to run plays in the 4th quarter last week. Miles will be looking to make a statement to those questioning his coaching skills. LSU has a good defense especially in Death Valley and its a night game. Mallet is a great QB for the Hogs but that and WR Josh Childs are two of the few weapons they have. Mallet struggles against SEC defenses and Arkansas does not have the defense to withstand the Tiger attack.Push.
There you have it, my 5 picks as promised. I might stop by and add some late action to spice up the holiday a little, so be on the lookout for extra games.
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$BLACK FRIDAY EXTRA PICKS$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
Illionois +21 Bearcats will win this contest, but I expect the Illini to come out fighting for Coach Zooks job. 21 is a big number especially with the Big East title showdown with PITT looming next week. Cincy has a young defense and these two teams do not know each other, look for Illinois to hang around in this contest. Win.
Eastern Michigan +17 Why are the Akron Zips laying 17 points? Is this a soccer game? Last time I checked the Zips were 2-9. While Eastern Michigan is a dumpster fire as well they can score points (Arkansas game) I think the Eagles can hang with them.Win.
Season Record 43-41-3
Pick 'em Challenge 7-16-2
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
NFL Week #10 Free Money Report
I am racheting up my NFL action this week, I will probably go with 10 posted games. I have already locked in 3 games for Sunday. I had another decent Sunday last week, bringing my NFL season record to 44-16-1. It has been keeping me in the game. I will also be posting some NFL Live Dog ML's when they come out usually on Saturday. I will be out of town this weekend so hopefully I can get them up in time. Let's dive into what I have for this weekend begining with the Thursday night showdown. I need some winner's this Sunday hopefully it will cure the flu that I currently have.
49ers -3 The Bears are falling apart, now they must go to the West coast and play a desperate 49ers squad on a weeknight which should make for a rabid environment. Both teams have huge problems with their offensive lines. For the Bears this explains why Forte is struggiling and Cutler is under constant pressure, if the Bears had an O-line they would be a much better team. The 49ers have injuries on their O-line as well, they also have Frank Gore though. Smith has been doing OK in place of Hill and has some weapons. The Bears defense has been having problems as well as the Bengals and Cards have torched them in recent weeks. I just think a west coast trip on a short week against a desperate squad will be too much to handle, plus the Bears hate winning on the road. The Bears are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 on the road. 2 units.Win.
Broncos -3 Kyle Orton had his bad game, so now its out of the way. The public is down on the Broncos now, but I'm not. I have bet on every game they have played this year, going with them 6 times and against them twice. The Broncos have a special place in my heart, they were the first team I bet on when I arrived in Vegas at the NYNY Sportsbook, and they were a winner. Hello Money!! Me > Vegas. I thought to myself "wow, this covering stuff is easy" I strutted around like a cock strong rooster till my girlfriend reminded me I only won $40. The Redskins out gained the Falcons last week, but Campbell is garbage and now they are starting Ladell Betts. The Broncos are a proud veteran team and what better tonic than a tilt with the Deadskins. Their defense will pound Campbell and Collins won't get it done either. Statement game here for the Broncos as they will get back on track in a big way with some solid D and a couple of Redskin turnovers, which will prove costly to them and Vegas. 4 units.Loss.
Bengals +7 The Steelers are on a short week, but they have found their stride. If the Bengals were favored I would take the Steelers here. The Bengals are the new Eagles because they play well as underdogs. The loss of Odom will show itself here as Medenhall is turning into quite the back. The Bengals bottled up Rice last week as well as Flacco, but the Steelers have alot of weapons which will make it difficult to focus on Medenhall when you have Miller, Ward, Holmes and Wallace running around. The Bengals pass defense has been good, we can partially thank a good pass rush for that. Both teams are playing very well right now and this is a rivalry game,which means it should be very tight. I think the Steelers take this one by 2 and we take Vegas by alot. 3 units.Win.
Bills +7 I know, VY just doesn't lose as a starter, very true. However, I am not sure if the Titans are ready to be TD favs here. I was on them last week as they beat the 49ers, but I was getting 4 points. The Bills rush D is iffy at best. Their pass D is very stingy and lets not forget, I always fade the Bills when they are at home and ride them when they are on the road. For some reason they love to cover on the road 6-1 ATS in last 7 road games (Jets, Carolina to name a couple) The key here for the Bills will be stopping Johnson. VY likes to scramble and spread the defense. Hopefully the Bills can limit him and force VY into 3rd and long to move the chains. Edwards will be back for this contest, maybe he will actually throw a deep ball in this game and test the Titans secondary, most likely he will just dump it off to Lynch and Jackson, lets hope that is enough to move the chains. Dick Jauron is 3-0 ATS coming off a bye. Unfortunately for Vegas The Blanket doesn't have a bye week. 1 unit. Loss.
Saints -14 I have already locked this game in. The Saints need to come out strong here, people are starting to question them because they have been falling behind early, albeit against some quality opponents but they have been behind none the less. As long as the Saints can limit Steven Jackson they should be OK, Sedrick Ellis has been out and Denagelo Williams ran wild against them last week, but the Rams do not have and O-line like the Panthers and they also do not have a Steve Smith to take the focus off of. The Saints should focus on stopping Jackson and force Bulger to throw on them. The Rams and Bulger will have trouble with the Saints pass rush as well as their improved secondary. I just don't see how the Rams can keep Brees on the sideline long enough to keep this game from being a laugher, I will be laughing to the bank with some more of that Vegas cash!!! 5 units.Loss.
Buccaneers +10 I cannot believe I just typed that. The Bucs cost me a lot of money last week, which is inexcusable. I watched the whole game and the team was surprisingly motivated all game long and really helped out their young QB Freeman who probably gained alot of confidence. The Bucs made some new additions to their team in the bye week and it showed. The secondary played well, special teams was special, the D-line got alot of pressure on Rodgers (which isn't hard) and the O-line played well protecting Freeman who was sacked only one time. The Dolphins are coming off a really tough loss and now they have to get up for a 1-7 team? I think they will be flat here. I am expecting a nice game from the Bucs secondary which should frustrate Henne and is young WR corps. I have no doubt the Dolphins will win this game, but 10 points is alot for them to handle. The Dolphins struggle to cover spreads of more than 3, so that fact coupled with the psychology edge should play into our hands and bank accounts here. The Dolphins also struggle against NFC opponents 0-6 ATS under head coach Sparano. I am going to wait his game out and hope the public goes the other way and drives the spread to +11, when that happens I will snatch it up with a 4 unit play.Win.
Cowboys -3 The Packers are done, this is another game in which I already locked it in with a 5 unit play for even money. Green Bay couldn't keep the Bucs D-line away from Rodgers, so how exactly are they gonna stop Demarcus Ware?? I see Rodgers throwing another three pic's in this game maybe 2 for ball hawking Mike Jenkins FROM???? USF. The Cowboys secondary will give Rodgers all kinds of problems in this game, I see alot of coverage sacks here. With the Packers struggling to score points I think Romo will continue his solid, interception free play here, Miles Austin needs a big game and I don't see the Packers stopping the Cowboys rushing game because they couldn't do it against the Bucs. I don't care if they are in Lambeau, won't matter. Packers will be outplayed on both sides of the ball. 5 units.Loss.
49ers -3 The Bears are falling apart, now they must go to the West coast and play a desperate 49ers squad on a weeknight which should make for a rabid environment. Both teams have huge problems with their offensive lines. For the Bears this explains why Forte is struggiling and Cutler is under constant pressure, if the Bears had an O-line they would be a much better team. The 49ers have injuries on their O-line as well, they also have Frank Gore though. Smith has been doing OK in place of Hill and has some weapons. The Bears defense has been having problems as well as the Bengals and Cards have torched them in recent weeks. I just think a west coast trip on a short week against a desperate squad will be too much to handle, plus the Bears hate winning on the road. The Bears are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 on the road. 2 units.Win.
Broncos -3 Kyle Orton had his bad game, so now its out of the way. The public is down on the Broncos now, but I'm not. I have bet on every game they have played this year, going with them 6 times and against them twice. The Broncos have a special place in my heart, they were the first team I bet on when I arrived in Vegas at the NYNY Sportsbook, and they were a winner. Hello Money!! Me > Vegas. I thought to myself "wow, this covering stuff is easy" I strutted around like a cock strong rooster till my girlfriend reminded me I only won $40. The Redskins out gained the Falcons last week, but Campbell is garbage and now they are starting Ladell Betts. The Broncos are a proud veteran team and what better tonic than a tilt with the Deadskins. Their defense will pound Campbell and Collins won't get it done either. Statement game here for the Broncos as they will get back on track in a big way with some solid D and a couple of Redskin turnovers, which will prove costly to them and Vegas. 4 units.Loss.
Bengals +7 The Steelers are on a short week, but they have found their stride. If the Bengals were favored I would take the Steelers here. The Bengals are the new Eagles because they play well as underdogs. The loss of Odom will show itself here as Medenhall is turning into quite the back. The Bengals bottled up Rice last week as well as Flacco, but the Steelers have alot of weapons which will make it difficult to focus on Medenhall when you have Miller, Ward, Holmes and Wallace running around. The Bengals pass defense has been good, we can partially thank a good pass rush for that. Both teams are playing very well right now and this is a rivalry game,which means it should be very tight. I think the Steelers take this one by 2 and we take Vegas by alot. 3 units.Win.
Bills +7 I know, VY just doesn't lose as a starter, very true. However, I am not sure if the Titans are ready to be TD favs here. I was on them last week as they beat the 49ers, but I was getting 4 points. The Bills rush D is iffy at best. Their pass D is very stingy and lets not forget, I always fade the Bills when they are at home and ride them when they are on the road. For some reason they love to cover on the road 6-1 ATS in last 7 road games (Jets, Carolina to name a couple) The key here for the Bills will be stopping Johnson. VY likes to scramble and spread the defense. Hopefully the Bills can limit him and force VY into 3rd and long to move the chains. Edwards will be back for this contest, maybe he will actually throw a deep ball in this game and test the Titans secondary, most likely he will just dump it off to Lynch and Jackson, lets hope that is enough to move the chains. Dick Jauron is 3-0 ATS coming off a bye. Unfortunately for Vegas The Blanket doesn't have a bye week. 1 unit. Loss.
Saints -14 I have already locked this game in. The Saints need to come out strong here, people are starting to question them because they have been falling behind early, albeit against some quality opponents but they have been behind none the less. As long as the Saints can limit Steven Jackson they should be OK, Sedrick Ellis has been out and Denagelo Williams ran wild against them last week, but the Rams do not have and O-line like the Panthers and they also do not have a Steve Smith to take the focus off of. The Saints should focus on stopping Jackson and force Bulger to throw on them. The Rams and Bulger will have trouble with the Saints pass rush as well as their improved secondary. I just don't see how the Rams can keep Brees on the sideline long enough to keep this game from being a laugher, I will be laughing to the bank with some more of that Vegas cash!!! 5 units.Loss.
Buccaneers +10 I cannot believe I just typed that. The Bucs cost me a lot of money last week, which is inexcusable. I watched the whole game and the team was surprisingly motivated all game long and really helped out their young QB Freeman who probably gained alot of confidence. The Bucs made some new additions to their team in the bye week and it showed. The secondary played well, special teams was special, the D-line got alot of pressure on Rodgers (which isn't hard) and the O-line played well protecting Freeman who was sacked only one time. The Dolphins are coming off a really tough loss and now they have to get up for a 1-7 team? I think they will be flat here. I am expecting a nice game from the Bucs secondary which should frustrate Henne and is young WR corps. I have no doubt the Dolphins will win this game, but 10 points is alot for them to handle. The Dolphins struggle to cover spreads of more than 3, so that fact coupled with the psychology edge should play into our hands and bank accounts here. The Dolphins also struggle against NFC opponents 0-6 ATS under head coach Sparano. I am going to wait his game out and hope the public goes the other way and drives the spread to +11, when that happens I will snatch it up with a 4 unit play.Win.
Cowboys -3 The Packers are done, this is another game in which I already locked it in with a 5 unit play for even money. Green Bay couldn't keep the Bucs D-line away from Rodgers, so how exactly are they gonna stop Demarcus Ware?? I see Rodgers throwing another three pic's in this game maybe 2 for ball hawking Mike Jenkins FROM???? USF. The Cowboys secondary will give Rodgers all kinds of problems in this game, I see alot of coverage sacks here. With the Packers struggling to score points I think Romo will continue his solid, interception free play here, Miles Austin needs a big game and I don't see the Packers stopping the Cowboys rushing game because they couldn't do it against the Bucs. I don't care if they are in Lambeau, won't matter. Packers will be outplayed on both sides of the ball. 5 units.Loss.
Ravens -11 Another game I locked in early. The Ravens are a proud team full of veterans who are looking to make a statement. What better team to do that against then the Browns, what better time to do it then on Monday night football? The Browns are a mess and are starting Brady Quinn who will get eaten alive as he is afraid to throw the ball down field, he won't do that with Ed Reed hanging around back there. Rice should have a bounce back game here which will be good for Flacco allowing him time to throw by using the play action. The Browns have a decent defense but their offense is so inept they are always on the field, that will be the downfall here as the Ravens need this win to salvage any Wildcard hopes. Ravens easy. 5 units.Win.
Season Record: 48-20-1
I have posted 8 games so far and will return with two more, I like the Eagles, but have some more digging to do for my 10th game. See you soon.
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