NCAA Week 14 Pick 'em

Awful week last week, 1-4 is a disgusting effort. However the season is coming to a close and I would like it to end on A positive note. I started the weekend off with a win on Thursday night as I bet on WVU to beat USF whilst I was in attendance. 1-6 in the Big East, thanks alot Skippy! I will not be watching that much college football today as I will be prepping for my attendance at tonight's Lightning vs. Rangers game. Here is what I have:

Texas +3 I'm not that comfortable with the Bears laying points even at home. Texas has been playing better since Lil Mccoy was put back in at QB. Should be a very close game.

2 Units.

LSU -14 I had crow to eat on Thanksgiving weekend as the Tigers were one of the teams that made me eat it. Never again. That was the game that was supposed to have tripped them up. You just can't handicap a game and forecast turnovers. UGA is 10-2 but their schedule has been....shall we say comfortable? I don't expect this Les Miles team to take the foot off the gas as the Bulldogs will be out played and soundly beaten in the Georgia Dome for the 2nd time this season!

3 Units.

Virginia Tech -7 The Hokies made me look like an idiot last week as I took Virginia and looked very stupid in doing so. Revenge game here and VT will be all over Clemson who beat them by 20 to give them their sole loss of the season. These two teams have been going in different directions the last few weeks as the Tigers have been practicing laying eggs. VT wins by 9.

2 Units.

Oklahoma State -3 I think Mike Gundy is too good of a coach to let his team have another let down here. I am concerned about the injuries to the Sooners key players on offense and I think that will come into play in this game. Both teams have had a ton of time to prepare for this game should be a good one with the Pokes pulling out a 6 point win.

3 Units.

Michigan State +10 Game is being played were a team that used to be the Colts played. So neither team will have an advantage. Wisconsin has not impressed me this year, while Sparty has done just enough to keep getting wins. I don't think Michigan State wins but I like them to keep it within 10 points.

2 Units.

There you have it, hopefully I close the college football season out on a positive note!

Week #15 NFL Pick 'em

I didn't have a good Sunday last week, pretty frustrating as a matter of fact. We are now sitting at 41-32-2 on the NFL season. I should have a pretty heavy slate this Sunday. I will be adding picks here and there as I breakdown match ups. Lets see what we have batting lead off this week.





Chargers -8 Hard to bet against Rivers when it's November or later. The Chargers offense is almost back to full strength and the Bolts D ranks among the highest in both categories in the NFL. The 49ers are traveling on a short week and the Chargers are not the Seahawks especially coming off a big win versus the Chiefs. Qualcomm will be rocking as the San Diegans? San Diegoans? Will be filled with the holiday spirits. 5 units. Win.




Jaguars +5 I locked this spread in early as I expect it to be around +3.5 by kick-off time. This game is always close, decided by 7 points or less and that's when the Jags aren't playing as good as they are right now. MJD will gash the Colts defense and keep Peyton pouting on the bench. I really like this game as the Jags have alot to play for here and can lock up the division AND sweep the rival Colts with a win. 5 units. Loss.





Falcons -7 I don't normally like to take the Falcons on the road, but the defense has looked portable as of late. I took them a few weeks ago when they beat the Rams on the road and the spread was -3, in my opinion the Rams are better than Seattle and the Seahawks will probably be pee-pee smacked after embarrassing me and themselves by getting projectile vomited by the 49ers on Sunday. 3 units. Win.





Steelers -6 I hate Troy Polamalu unless I have money on his team, this week I shall be a fan. He absolutely crushed me last week due to the fact I had Cincy +9 and Carson Palmer still thinks he is at USC. The Jets if you listen to the show are frauds, I said so before the start of the season, write that down. The Jets just can't respond if they get hit in the mouth, by that I mean scored on first and scored on quickly. Much like myself the Steelers will score quickly while the Jets lay on their backs with their legs behind their ears. 3 units. Loss.





Saints +1 New Orleans has found their offensive stride once again and are stacked at the running back position with Bush, Thomas and Ivory all contributing. Brees seems to have overcome his turnover problems as the running game now has to be accounted for again. The Ravens defense has shown some holes this season and are not the formidable stop unit they have been of seasons past. Joe the Quarterback has been spotty and I am not sure if he can match the Saints production. 2 units. Loss.






Bills +6 Buffalo travels to Miami and the Dolphins for whatever reason hate winning games at home game. After their big win against the Jets last week the Fins could be primed for a let down here. The Bills somehow shut down Peyton Hillis last week so maybe their defense will show up again this Sunday, either way the Bills should be able to keep this contest within 6. 1 unit. Win.




Eagles+3 Leading Pro Bowl vote getter Micheal Vick takes the Eagles into a divisional showdown at the New Meadowlands against the G-Men. This game should be close, so I like getting points here. The Giants hate beating the Eagles and Eli is too prone to the turnover for me to take the other side. huge game for both teams, as long as Vick stays upright we should be good. 1 unit. Win.





Cardinals +3 The Panthers have some serious issues at QB, John Fox seems to not care about his possible unemployment although his named has already been tossed out there for a head coach vacancy. The Panthers are holding the lottery ticket to Andrew Luck in their paws and most likely will not show up for this game. 2 units. Loss.





Browns +1 I locked this game in as soon as the lines went up and it has since been pulled. Both Ocho Cinco and T.O. are banged up for this game, which might be a good thing. Palmer is a shell of his former self and the Bengals are a total mess. The Browns get Colt Mccoy back which means they have a passing game which should open things up for Peyton Hillis against a banged up Bengals defense. 4 units. Loss.



There you have it 9 games, I'm due for a huge Sunday lets hope this is it.

NCAA Week #14 Pick 'em

Another dismal week in college as I went 3-2. We are now standing at 32-27-4 on the season. This is the last week so there are alot of rivalry matchups going down Saturday. Running behind a little bit this week so I will post some small write ups on the games, for more in depth analysis tune into the Vegas Takedown Show at 10pm tonight only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory





Northern Illinois -18 MAC champy game here and the Huskies are at home and playing some solid football. I dislike betting hard earned money on MAC games, but I think NIU has a solid team and will put the Redhawks at parade rest.Loss.





Oregon -17 The Ducks better step their game up here as the partake in the Civil War against the Beavs. The Ducks have been sluggish in the first half as of late, so that calls for a light play on this game. Oregon State on the other hand has slipped and had trouble finding the endzone as of late.Push.





South Carolina +6 This game in Atlanta will have a mixed crowd, I like Auburn to win by 2. The Gamecocks have the talent to stay with Auburn on both sides of the ball. Newton escapes the Georgia Dome with a W, I escape with some Vegas money! Loss.




FSU +4 The Seminoles have looked really good as of late and Ponder will put everything he has in this game. VT doesn't impress me and the Seminoles have the momentum to take this one outright.Loss.






Nevada -10 I'll be honest, I hate this team and the QB, but La Tech struggles against the pass and it will show in this contest. Win.



There you have it enjoy!

NCAA Week #13 Pick 'em

Less than impressive on Saturday going 2-3, bringing us to 29-25 on the season that's the wrong answer. So lets get a 5-0 Saturday going here. Lets see what I have. The Vegas Takedown Show will be tomorrow night at 9:00 PM as the Game Theory offices will be locked down for Thanksgiving Day celebration. We will have our own Black weekend thanks to the money we will make off my picks for Saturday and Sunday.



Texas A&M -3 Simply put its put up or shut up time for the Aggies, coming off an impressive defensive performance against the Huskers at home its time for rival Texas. A&M needs this game for many reasons. I like them to cover the 3 on the road. Win.





Ohio -3 I don't like betting on MAC teams but the Bobcats aren't half bad and are playing for a MAC championship. The Bobcats are averaging 33 PPG and Kent State has been less than impressive, lets go with the hot team. Loss.





Boise State -14 Nevada is garbage and I hate them. The Broncos will take them apart with ease. I'm not buying into the ESPN hype on this game, it will be a blowout fest by halftime. Loss.





TCU -44 Not quite sure how New Mexico will score in this contest. Last chance for TCU to stay ahead of Boise, and being they are playing the 1-10 Lobos the Frogs need to crush their souls or the Broncos might Leap frog them, pun intended. Write that down. Win.





Auburn +5 The Tigers offense can score points and Auburn loves to cover. This win would solidify Cam Newtons Heisman and Bama's defense has been un-TIDE-y, pause for affect. I think the Tigers offense is good enough to stay within 5. Win.






There you have it, I have 8 NFL games on the money making slate this weekend as well. Look for them to be posted tomorrow night or tune into my radio show at 9:00PM to get them live only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory see you when I see you.

NCAA Week #12 Pick em

I covered all my picks on the radio show on Wednesday night. If you missed my show here are the picks. My NFL picks will be up tomorrow. All NCAA picks will be 1 unit this Saturday as well.



Fresno State +30
Loss.




Penn State -10
Win.





Wisconsin -4
Win.





South Florida +3
Loss.






San Diego State +3

NFL Week #10 Pick 'em

Running a little behind with the NFL picks this week but if you listened to the show on Thursday night you will already know my NFL picks and have received my breakdowns on all the games. I went 4-0-1 last Sunday so that brings me to 20-19-2 on the NFL season so we are back over .500 which means I am making you money. Lets get to the picks I like some games alot this week and here they are.



Bengals +7 Palmer and T.O. have a good thing going. Jordan Shipley and Grisham are showing up to the party as well. Benson should have a solid outing as Indy is weak against the run. Colts win, but this is a great match up for Cincy and our bank accounts.
4 units. Win.





Rams +6 I have been on the Rams all season and they have delivered for me. The 49ers shouldn't be favored against anyone, not even the Bills. Coming off a bye Jackson and Bradford will have a nice game. The Rams young but talented D will guarantee a bad day for Troy Smith. Rams outright.
2 units. Win.




Giants -14 Big Blue has turned the corner, the Cowboys are awful and their new coach Jason Garrett hasn't endeared himself to his new troops by making them practice in full pads all week. Giants win in a blowout.
4 units. Loss.




Titans -1 Randy Moss will make his presence felt and stretch the field for Chris Johnson and VY, the Dolphins secondary isn't having a good year and I don't see Chad Pennington leading this team to a win over an underrated Titans squad.
2 units. Loss.




Texans +1 I'm not buying the Jags, even at home. Schaub needs to have a good game against a very pedestrian Jags secondary. Conference game here and the Texans need to show some signs of life. Foster needs to be a factor for Houston to get the win.
1 unit. Loss.




Patriots +5 The Hoodie doesn't lose back to back games and the Steelers D is showing some cracks as of late, I like the points here and the fact that Tom Brady and Belichek don't lose back to back games.
3 units. Win.


There you go money fans, 6 winners for you cash addiction fix. See you next week.

NCAA Week #11 Pick 'em

Another 4-1 Saturday last week, that brings us to 25-19-3 on the season. That's pure profit at more than 6 units. I like money and if you are reading this than you do too. I'm going to be drawing down on the game write ups for the blog as traffic is down and ratings on my radio show are up 20% from last week so I will be focusing more of my energy and what little time I have on the show. Be sure and tune in tomorrow night at 9PM and listen in as me give you are picks for this weekend. I will also give more in depth analysis of my picks on the air, catch it at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory now to the picks.





Boise State -35 The Broncos are up against it and facing in state rival Idaho Friday night. Idaho got parade rested by Hawaii recently and the Broncos midget tossed the Warriors last week. The Vandals are a sive on defense and their offense has taken multiple 30" steps backwards. Boise State needs a blowout victory to hedge against falling further out of favor with the all powerful BCS computer. Broncos huge.
2 units.Win.





USC +4 The Trojans have been playing some good football as of late. Matt Barkley has been lighting it up and the D has stepped up as well, Zona has a solid record but hates to cover. Simply put I like the Trojans to keep it within 3.
1 unit. Win.






Oregon -20 Cal is dumpster fire, granted they are slightly better at home but that being said the Ducks have Auburn and TCU breathing down their necks and will have to put on a good show against a crap team. The Ducks will be away from Autzen but they have played well in hostile stadiums this year, for example a couple of weeks ago at USC. Ducks by 24.
2 units. Loss.






Utah -6 The Utes will be looking to bounce back against the hapless Irish. I think we are getting some value here of about 3 points. Taking into consideration that TCU skulldrug Utah last week and Notre Dame is always overvalued due to the public loving them and the fact that they are media darlings. The Utes get back on track here.
1 unit. Loss.





Stanford -5 Andrew Luck and the Whalen brothers come into town to play the Sun Devils. Arizona State has been up and down this year while the Cardinal continues to roll along in their season suffering only 1 loss to the mighty Ducks. Luck and Stanford's physical play will wear the Sun Devils down and we will cover. Loss.



There you have it, NFL picks will be up tomorrow as I have a few multiple unit plays, until that time.

Week #8 NFL Pick 'em

Pretty solid Sunday last week as I went 4-1, those bums from San Fran cost me a perfect day. So I am sitting at 16-19-1, time for me to move back into the black. Slim pickings this Sunday, not much at all that interested me, everything will be a one unit play this weekend. Here is what I have:



Bills +8 Ryan Fitzpatrick is the second rated passer in the NFL that's what kind of season it has been this far. They have put up some serious points against some good teams with the Harvard alum behind center. The Chiefs can score too, their running game has been successful and Cassel has been throwing the ball well. The Chiefs secondary is young and susceptible to the pass so this game could be a shoot out but I think Buffalo and the points is the right side.
Win.




Vikings +6 The Vikings will lose this game but they are good enough to cover the 6. Moss has been supplying all the info on the Pats defense to Childress, will it help? Maybe. The Pats just aren't the potent offense they used to be and their defense is young but getting better. The Vikings defense will keep them in this game, lets just hop Favre doesn't throw it away. Loss.




Packers +6 The Pack is really beat up and weak against the run but they do have WR's and a QB who can score at any moment. The Jets will win this game but the Pack has the talent to stay with them. Win.




Texans +6 The Texans are built to beat the Colts as they did at home in week #1, they like Jacksonville always play the Colts tough and the Colts have some missing pieces on defense and their running back core is really beat up. Colts will squeak this game out with a late FG and we will cover. Loss.




Rams -3 The Rams are solid at home and the Panthers are not very good, the Moore to Gettis connection doesn't scare me. The Rams have covered alot for me this year and I don't see them stumbling here as a they are looking to get back to .500 on the year. Bradford will take out his displeasure of wearing a Mizzou jersey on the Panthers, hello money! Win.


There you have it enjoy!

NCAA Pick 'em Week 9

After a ho-hum 3-2 Saturday I have crawled back to .500 and I am sitting at 17-17-3. I had a real good weekend off the books with some late picks. So lets keep the trend heading toward the black shall we? Alright freakshows lets get to the pickage. Don't forget to tune into the show tomorrow night at 10PM only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory




Utah -7 The Utes just keep on rolling. Utah hates not covering, conversely the Falcons hate to cover. Simply math right? I like Utah here even though they are on the road I like them to win by 14. They will use this game to tool up for TCU. I like money.
3 units. Loss.





Oregon -7 Make or break game for the Ducks who keep getting leap frogged in the BCS standings. The Ducks struggle away from Autzen, and the Trojans have been playing some decent football at home. The one thing that scares me is Kiffin's defense, he is pretty solid at stopping the spread offense. The Ducks need to make a statement here and now. It could be a shootout but lets hope for a blowout.
1 unit. Win.





Hawaii -14 Ahhhh Hawaii the place where land locked teams go to die. The Warriors have been quiet cover machines this year. They are very tough at home. The Vandals have taken a step back from last year when they were making us money. I like Hawaii big in this contest.
2 units. Win.





UCF -7 The Knights also love to cover and are a great home team and have picture framed and milk cartoned alot of opponents this season. ECU can score points, but UCF can play some serious D at home in Brighthouse Networks Stadium. ECU doesn't not have much defense and the UCF offense has been pretty potent this year. I like the Golden Knights here.
2 units. Win.





Auburn -7 The Tigers will be looking to maintain their #1 BCS ranking in this road tilt. No one has an answer for Cam Newton. The Tigers were able to get some points on the board against a solid defense last week. I don't see the Rebel Black Bears stopping Cam Newton and I'm not to afraid of Massoli's offensive "prowess".
1 unit. Win.



There you have it money lovers. Another 3-2 Saturday won't cut it, we need a 5-0 day!!

Week #7 NFL Picks

Another dismal performance on Sunday brings me to 12-18-4 on the NFL season. Vegas is really pounding the public this year, its been almost unrelenting, but instead of pouting I will continue to drive on and tinker with my mechanics until we get dialed in. Here is what I have simmering in the cash crock this NFL Sunday.




Patriots +3 The Chargers are decent at home, but Tom Brady is still Tom Brady. Rivers can't do everything himself, the Bolts running game has been a bust and injuries to Gates, Floyd and a banged up Nene. The Pats will be confident after beating the Ravens in a solid game last Sunday. Rivers simply doesn't have the tools to win by more than 3. I like the Pats in this spot.
2 units. Win.





Browns +14 Try an hold off till Sunday to take this play as I expect the line to shift to +14.5 between now and then, that extra one point creates a nice advantage your way. Colt McCoy played pretty decent against the stout Steelers D all things being considered. Brees rebounded nicely at Tampa Bay's expense, don't expect that again as the Bucs secondary is not very good and missing their best player Tanard Robinson to suspension. The Browns defense is pretty solid and McCoy used his tight ends wisely for some nice gains, also the Saints aren't very good against tight ends. Again, wait and see if the line moves if it does don't be shy to load up. The Saints are as tough at home as the Steelers are.
1 unit. Win.





Seahawks -6 Seattle is tough to beat at home and are coming off a nice road win against the Bears. This is a divisional game so the Seahawks should be ready to go. The Cards are coming to town with undrafted rookie QB Max Hall who did nothing in his first start in the NFL. I don't think he will fare well against the 12th man. Somehow the Seahawks have come up with a solid run stop unit. Seattle is weak against the pass, but Max Hall didn't do much passing in his first start.
1 unit. Win.





Rams +3 The Rams have been making me some money this season. I like them on the road here against Tampa. Bradford had a bounce back game last week. The Rams got blown out in their last road tilt, but I will chalk that up to the team going flat after seeing Clayton their biggest play maker go down. Since then Bradford has found a couple new play makers, Bradford should be able to move the ball with ease against the Bucs porous secondary. This will open things up for Steven Jackson on the ground and he should have a big day against the Bucs non-existent run stop unit.
2 units. Win.






49ers -3 The Panthers are bad, they have no QB or wide outs and their running game has been limited because teams are focusing on stopping it and forcing the Panthers to pass. Matt Moore is back as he will be good for throwing some picks the 49ers way. The 49ers got their fist win last week and held the Raiders in check. I like the 49ers to extend their winning streak to two here, if they want to get back into the NFC West scrum they need this game. Loss.



There you have it, lets hope for some account recovery this weekend as we all need it. Be sure to catch the show tomorrow night at 9:00pm only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory

NCAA Pick em Week #7

Another .500 Saturday last week bringing me to 11-13-3. I have a small ML play on UCF right now in an effort to generate some pocket change. So lets keep it short and simple and get to the picks, also don't forget to tune into The Vegas Takedown Show tomorrow night at 10pm only @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory





West Virginia -10 USF is going to be the Big East basement dweller this year as they lost their homecoming game to powerhouse Syracuse. USF's defense has been keeping them in games but their offense is more unproductive then a government employee. The Mountaineers shouldn't have any trouble with the Bulls in Morgantown. WVU will be looking to collect some payback as USF has beaten them 4 of the last 5 years.
1 Unit. Win.






N.C. State -7 I'm getting back on board the Wolfpack train this weekend as NC State visits ECU on the road. This should be a high scoring game but in the end I don't see how the Pirates will be able to match the Wolfpack touchdown for touchdown. ECU doesn't have the same defense they had under Skip Holtz. Russell Wilson should have a career day here.
2 Units. Loss.






Utah -21 The Cowboys were a decent squad last year, but have been in sharp decline this year. They have had a brutal schedule but the Utes are a solid squad who isn't really getting the press their #10 ranking should be getting them. The Wyoming defense won't have any answers for the Utah offense in this game.
2 Units. Win.





Nebraska -10 I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cornhuskers in their black jerseys for this game against a Texas squad facing their 3rd loss. Nebraska took apart K State on the road with ease last week and I think this game against Texas could be just as bad. Texas still has no running game and their defense tends to quit. I don't think the Longhorns will have any answers for Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez. I think this game could get ugly quick.
3 Units. Loss.





Kentucky +6 The Wildcats at home are a decent squad, yes they got skill drug by the Gators but UK had not game planned for Trey Burton. I think this is a flat spot for the Gamecocks and I don't know if Garcia can string together two good games in a row especially on the road. Hartline and Cobb are veteran players and Joker Phillips should have them focused on this big opportunity. South Carolina wins this game by a late field goal.
2 Units. Win.





There we have it, I won't be happy with anything but perfection this week. I know I have been letting my readers down and I need to make some cash!

NFL Week #4 Free Money Give Away!!

Alright decent Sunday last Sunday, I went 4-2 ATS bringing me to 9-7 for the young season. College and NFL combined I am 16-14-2. Vegas is continuing to hot air balloon the public, all the Microfinance companies are probably getting hit up for short term loans as the casual bettor is literally losing his shirt. Make sure that you tune in tonight to our Vegas Takedown Show tonight at 9PM @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory become a fan of the show and most importantly LISTEN to the show, call in tell us what you think about our picks and how much you like winning money from the comforts of your couch while the wife is out shopping. Here is what I have for Sunday's NFL action.


Bengals -3 Cincy is not looking sharp on offense, Palmer isn't doing anything on offense. We are due for a big game from Ocho-cinco and T.O. Hopefully this is the week where that happens. The Bengals squeaked out a win in Carolina, yeah I know Claussen played, however the Panthers D is solid and doesn't get much credit because of their 0-3 record. Delhomme will be back so the Iowa State cover buster won't be playing. The Bengals defense should guide us to the money lane here.
1 unit. Loss.




Rams +2 Seahawks away from home are a dumpster fire. Rams are undervalued, Bradford is the exception to the rookie rule. Both teams have some work to do on defense but I think the Rams will have a slight edge here. The Seahawks got lucky with 14 points from two kickoff returns from Leon Washington. I think the wrong team is favored here and I will always take advantage of any gift Vegas attempts to slide by the average joe.
2 units. Win.




Redskins +6 I don't quite get his line its about 2 points too high. I guess the reason for that would be because Vick is the player of the month and also due to the fact that he lit up two secondary's ranked near the bottom of the league in pass defense. Hopefully the Philly faithful give Mcnabb a warm welcome that way we can remove the money from the sweaty palms of Vegas. Mcnabb will no doubt have a chip on his shoulder coming back home to a team that basically discarded him like a piece of used furniture. The Redskins will be playing hard to help their new signal caller get a big win. I know the Eagles have the edge in weaponry with Jackson, Maclin and Mccoy, but lets dig a little deeper. Mcnabb has played against this defense for a long time, if anyone knows the holes in the Eagles D its Mcnabb, plus we are getting 6 points? Me likey!
2 units.Win.





Bears +4 Hmmmm...........why do I have a feeling that I am walking into a trap here. Hell with it I'm taking the Bears and the points. Bears are rolling right now beating the Cowgirls and the Packers in consecutive weeks. Cutler seems to have found his niche under the Martz system. The Bears defense has looked pretty solid. Manning isn't Aaron Rodgers and doesn't really have the weapons on offense that Cutler does. The Bears will be zeroing in on Hakeem Nicks and they should also be able to squash the run. The Bears are believing in themselves Forte is having a bounce back year in his new rule and Hester and Knox seem to be relishing their new offense. Also Greg Olsen has come alive of late. Chicago goes to 4-0 and the G'men are headed for a world of hurt.
1 unit. Loss.





Dolphins +2 Joe Robbie/ Landshark/ Sun Life stadium has been a House of Horrors for Brady and company when they come down to Miami. Dolphins are still underrated even though they beat the Vikings and Bills, on the road, which are both tough places to play. The Pats defense looks pretty bad as Ryan Fitzpatrick sliced and diced them in a shootout in Foxboro last week. The Dolphins defense is pretty good, that being said this should be a high scoring game. Chad Henne loves him some Brandon Marshall and both should have a huge game against a pedestrian Pats secondary. Ronnie Brown will be doing his usual Wildcat action back there keeping Henne in 3rd and short, Dolphins in a covered win.
3 units. Loss.





Panthers +14 I'm taking this game simply on a trend, when the Super Bowl champs lose the week prior they struggle the next week to cover. Also the Saints are 2-7 ATS under Payton as favorites of 10 or more. Write it down. Drew Brees is hurt and will be wearing a brace on his left knee. The Panthers won't have to account for Reggie Bush either. Like I said earlier the Panthers defense is pretty good. Look for the Panthers to copy the Falcons game plan with Williams and Stewart pounding away against the Saints less than stellar run stop unit, this will chew up clock and keep Brees on the sideline. 14 points here is too much for a divisional game and the road team has won 9 of the last 13 games in this series. How copy?
1 unit. Win.






Jaguars +8 The Jags are built to play one team and that is the Colts. The Jags will be bringing it this game as this is the game they look forward to playing. If you have been following my blog that last few seasons you will notice that I always take the dog and the points in this game because out of the last 16 games these two teams have played only twice has the difference been more than 8 points, I'll let you do the math on this one. The Colts were sleep walking through their game with Denver so I doubt they will be clicking their heels to go play the hapless Jags on the road. The Colts struggle to run the ball and I think the Jags will be able to stay in this game, Colts win by 5.
1 unit. Win.


There it is fellow Game Theorists, enjoy the money. I know I had some light plays this week but unless a game really excites me I'm not going to drop a car payment on it. Don't forget to tune in tonight at 9PM and listen to the show @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory

NCAA Week #5 ATS Picks

Alright people, the traffic is getting heavy on my blog so the public must be waiting for me to make them some more money. I went 3-2 ATS last week, bringing me too 7-7-2 on the season. Still nowhere near where I want to be. Don't forget to listen to our show tonight at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory it will be on air at 11PM also become a fan of the show on Facebook and you can listen to the show as you are browsing my picks thanks to the widget I added. I really need a solid weekend and there isn't a whole lot to pick from. So here we go on another quest to capture more of that Vegas cash.




N.C. State +4 I guess no one is buying the Wolfpack yet, but I am liking them at home plus I get 4 points...........sweet. VT has no doubt bounced back from their early season stumble. The Wolfpack has been playing some decent defense, albeit they gave up 28 points to GT last week on the road, but how often do they see that style of offense. Tom O'brien has NC State heading in the right direction. Russell Wilson is a Drew Brees style quarterback and freshman running back Mufasa Green looks pretty good running and catching balls out of the backfield. So I hope the Wolfpack can continue their winning ways and win us some cash here!
2 units. Loss.




UTEP-15 Using the same logic as last week, the Lobos got midget tossed by an 0-3 UNLV team last Saturday losing by 35 points. The Miners can score points, the Lobos however have lost their last 4 games by an average of 46 points per game. Even though the Miners are on the road that stat has to make me feel comfortable with laying the 15. New Mexico's QB is also out for this game, so hopefully their back up is just as bad!
1 unit. Win.




Texas Tech -7 The Red Raiders have had two weeks to prepare for this contest, Big Game Tommy needs to get this win as he team is currently 2-1 and would like to stay relevant in the Big 12 especially with Texas losing last week. The Cyclones Austin Arnaud is questionable with a shoulder injury so who knows how effective he will be. I think Tech has the weapons to win this game comfortably, lets hope I am right.
1 unit. Loss.




Georgia -5 Both games I lost last week were from taking SEC dogs on the road, too bad Colorado isn't an SEC team. I don't quite understand this line, is Ralphie suiting up for this game? Lets not forget this is the same UGA team that played Arkansas and SC tough without AJ Greene who just so happens to make his return this Saturday just in time to make us some money. Mark Richt desperately needs this win, lets see if the Dogs can deliver.
1 unit. Loss.





Stanford +7 This is my favorite game of the week. Oregon is a finesse offense and Stanford is a smashmouth physical team. The Ducks aren't cut out to play that kind of game. Harbaugh is a no holds barred coach who will not take his foot off the gas. Stanford just like Oregon has a ton of weapons on offense and replacing Gerhart in the backfield has seemed to be a problem as the Cardinal has several backs who each have rushed for over 100 yards. I know that Autzen Stadium is a tough place to play and if I was a Stanford WR I wouldn't catch one ball because I would be drooling over the Ducks cheerleaders the whole game, but I'm not playing. I think the 7 is too much for the Ducks to handle in this spot. Stanford will wear them down.
4 units. Loss.


Another game I like but didn't put up is Temple -5 @ Army, keep an eye on that game. Until that day my friends, enjoy the money. Vegas..............come at me bro. Listen to the show tonight and I should have my NFL picks up by tonight.

NFL Week #3 Free money give away!!

After a dreadful weekend in my NFL picks department I'm going to step away from trends and go with what the teams have shown thus far in the first two games of the season. I won't be satisfied with anything but a perfect record for this Sunday. Vegas has skulldrug my account and has hammered the casual bettor and scored a major blow on their bank rolls. Time to turn the tables. Vegas for the second week crushed the public with the Lions, 49ers, Dolphins, Bears, Jets and Bengals all beat the number. The only games Vegas got hammered with was the Falcons beating the brakes off the Cardinals and the Pack beating the Bills. So lets get some revenge starting now shall we?




Patriots -14 New England needs a bounce back game after getting boatraced by the Jets last week. It was an abysmal performance for Brady's Boys. What better than having Ryan Fitzpatrick and the hapless Bills stumble in town for a New England style beat down. The Pats will use this game to get all the kinks worked out.
2 units. Loss.




Titans +3 I think we are getting some value here with the Titans losing to Pittsburgh last week. VY had 7 turnovers but yet the Titans only lost by 8 points. The Steelers defense is ridiculous so I will take this value and the three points to the cash cage as I don't see how the G'men can get it done even though they are at home. Chris Johnson should be motivated to run hard after last weeks performance. The Giants can't stop the run, and it will also be hard for them to defend VY from running wild. Lets not forget VY is a winner and a covering machine. The Giants cannot pass protect or run block despite the fact that they have no running backs, Jacobs is a crybaby and Bradshaw is a shell of his former self.
3 units. Win.




Steelers -3 Ok Tampa will be at home and they are 2-0 with wins versus the Browns and the Panthers...............yawn. The Steelers defense is almost unfair and I am not sure if the young talent on Tampa's offense will have much success against it. Batch will be at QB for the Steelers and the Bucs should be getting a steady diet of Medenhall. The Steelers have beaten two solid squads without rapistberger behind center. The Steelers will put the effort in to back up Batch and get the win. The spread on this game tells me that Vegas has no respect for Batch, but after this game Vegas will respect my account with a prompt payment.
2 units. Win.




Bengals -3 The public is pounding the Bengals which worries me because Vegas as I said earlier has been real shady so far this season. Who knows maybe this week common sense kicked in and they are giving the public a chance to get some cash money. The Bengals destroyed Flacco last week and also had a couple calls go their way against the Ravens. The Bengasl have a good defense and I don't see how Notre Lame wonder boy will be able to move on them. On the other side of the ball Palmer is garbage too but not as bad as Claussen. This will be a low scoring affair with the Bengals pulling it out 20-14.
2 units. Win.




49ers -3 Yeah it's a short week and they have to go to Arrowhead after losing to the Saints on Monday night and putting it all on the line only to lose in the end. The 49ers are a desperate team right now and I see some value here. If they don't win this game heads are gonna roll in San Fran you can write that down. The Chiefs are undefeated but they one a Monday night game at home against and overrated Chargers squad and squeaked by the Garbage Pail Kid Browns last week. The undefeated season stops here. Cassell is terrible and Todd Haley refuses to give the ball to their most talented player Jamaal Charles. Thomas Jones had twice as many carries last week than Charles but yet they both had the same amount of yardage. Not to mention Charles is on to of my fantasy teams and I am leaving points on the table because of Haley. 49ers leave KC with their first much need win.
3 units. Loss.




Eagles -3 Again I am laying money on a dog killer and I hate myself for it. That being said Jacksonville is terrible they made the Chargers look like a Superbowl team as they got their doors blown off last week. The Eagles will be playing hard in this game for the ASPCA's least favorite QB and to prove to Reid that he made the right choice. You really can't argue the logic by the Fatman. The Eagles O-line is crap and Vick has the speed to create plays as opposed to the statue like Kolb who would not doubt get sacked 10 times in this game. Eagles leave the Sunshine state with a win and Mike make sure you stay away from my dogs while you are in my state.
3 units. Win.




There we have it, 6 investments for your gambling portfolio. Enjoy!

NCAA Week #4 Winners

So far I am off to a 4-5-2 start in my college football prognosticating session, unacceptable. I went 3-2 this past Saturday also unacceptable. 5-0 and maybe 4-1 is acceptable so I have some work to do. I have zeroed in on some teams to ride and will continue to do so until the wheels fall off. So lets see what I have for this Saturday's slate of money-makers:



Alabama -7 The Tide historically struggle in Fayetteville, and the Razorbacks are a solid team in the SEC, this will be Alabama's biggest test of the season. I say that because The Tide have 3 new DB's in the secondary, and of course the Razorbacks have Ryan Mallet and 2 stud WR's. Nick Saban went berserk of Bama giving up 13 points to the Blue Devils at the half. So I am sure he is hammering his defense with drills as I type this. The Razorback D had problems with Andy Murray and Georgia was able to pull even at 24 late in the game. I expect a steady diet of Ingram and Richardson to keep Arkansas offense on the sideline. Alabama will help their young secondary with their usual pressure on Mallet. Arkansas is a solid club but I don't think they have the horses to stay within a TD of the Tide.
4 units. Loss.




Tulane +20 Betting on the Green Wave? First time for everything my friends. Tulane lost to Ole Miss in their last game by 14 points. If Masoli couldn't put up more than 27 on them what makes one think that a 3rd stringer from Houston will be able to? Granted Masoli is nothing special, but unless Houston trots out Andre Ware I don't see how they win by more than 20. I like the Green Wave in a covered loss.
2 units. Win.




Gamecocks +3 I'm buying the Gamecocks this year, and conversely selling Auburn. They squeaked a win by Clemson last week, I'm not impressed. South Carolina is a psychical team on defense and offense. Garcia has weapons in Lattimore, Gurley and Jefferies. Garcia has to be able to handle the crowd in Auburn, if he has a decent game I like the Gamecocks to win this one outright but I will take the points.
1 unit. Loss.



UNLV -10 The Rebels play the Lobos in Las Vegas, both teams have 0-3 records, but at least UNLV has put up some type of resistance, seeking their first win of the season at home against the lowly Lobos is a good spot for them and my bank account. I will continue betting on whomever plays New Mexico until the wheels come off.
1 unit. Win.



Stanford -5 The Trees have quietly put together a solid squad in Palo Alto. I look for them to take the Pac-10 this year. ND has owned Stanford this entire decade with the exception of last year. I don't see how Harbaugh and Luck go into South Bend without having something to prove. Plus Luck can use the NBC nationwide stage to show off his skills and help his case for the Heisman.
4 units. Win.

There it is readers, tune into the radio show tomorrow night @ 9:00 PM EST @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory I should have my NFL action posted later today.

NCAA Week #14

Here we go, last week to add some respectability to my college record. I am at a 43-41-3 mark right now. I have to at least finish the season in the black. Lets get to the action.


West Virginia +2 I think the wrong team is favored here. West Virginia has been playing and winning some close games against solid teams this year. Bill Stewart finally got a signature win last week against Pitt. This should relieve some of the pressure on the Mountaineers. Their defense played very well against solid teams like Pitt and Cincy. I think Brown and Divine coupled with the WVU defense can get it done on the road against Rutgers.Win.



Cincinatti Bearcats -2 This game boiled down to coaching, I still think of Wandtstedt as the coach who ruined the Bears, but he seemed to find his niche at Pitt. Cincy's Brian Kelly is the hot ticket item this season. Cincy's offense is a machine that will keep churning in this contest, Pitt might slow it down a little with their defense but Stull has been somewhat careless with the ball lately, which keeps me from going the other way in this contest. Should be a well played game but I look for Cincy to pull it out by 4. Loss.



New Mexico State +48 Boise State doesn't even score 48 points a game, they average about 42 a contest so as long as the Aggies can stumble across a touchdown I feel pretty comfortable getting the 48 points here. Boise State should have a BCS game wrapped up, the Oklahoma State loss really helped there cause and I can't see them getting shortchanged for the second year in a row. I say this because I think Boise St will win this game comfortably (21 points) but it won't be a total blowout since they have already proved their point.Win.



Florida -6 Should be an interesting game, Tim Tebow just doesn't lose these types of games. Alabama was unimpressive versus Auburn. Even with Dunlap out I think the Gators are just too much for the Tide to handle. Ingram should be stacked up by the Gators D-line and LB's forcing McCelroy to move the chains himself against a solid Florida secondary. Both coaches are great at their craft, but Florida will also have the refs on their side and who can bet against that?Loss.



UCONN -7 The Huskies have been underrated all year, they have lost all there game by a combined 15 points. USF has to travel to frigid North Hartford for this Saturday night contest. UCONN can become bowl eligible with a win here and will be hungry for that. I don't see how USF can stop Todman and Dixon, UCONN usually runs all over the Bulls year in and year out. Frazier has also proved he can throw the ball and UCONN can put up points. On the other side UCONN's defense is pretty good and should have no problems stopping the Bulls rushing "attack" and bottling up BJ Daniels. I think USF will get blown out in this game. Daniels spends too much time running around in the backfield instead of looking down field to make a play. Claussen had trouble against UCONN's secondary, so how can Daniels do any better? Loss.



Nebraska +14 I have a weird feeling about this game. Nebraska has a solid defense so this should be a low scoring affair. That being said the Huskers offense can be anemic at times. I think Texas wins this game but it will be a close, hard fought game. Texas A&M showed that the Longhorns can be run on so Helu Jr. should have a nice game here taking some of the pressure off Zac Lee. Pelini's squad keeps this one close. Win.

Season Record 46-44-1 (I am done with college football)
There you have it, hopefully I can end the College football season on a high note.

NFL Week #13 The Early Bird Specials

Here are some early plays as The Blanket will be out of town until late Thursday and I don't want to get behind in my handicapping. The Blanket has been hovering around 58% on action in November and the hate mail is starting to hit my Yahoo account. Lets not forget that I am 61-31-1 in NFL action against the spread. I had an off November but now its time for my late season surge. Just collected on 2 unit play on the Saints game and its time to do some reinvesting!!

LATE PICKS ADDED********Patroits @ Miami also ML Dogs are posted.

Bills +3 Hmmm is Coach Fewell onto something here? Running Fred Jackson? Fitzpatrick throwing deep? The Bills made me pay on Sunday, so hopefully they will be generous to me this Sunday. I like to take the Bills on the road, and technically they will be the home team in this contest versus the Jets in Toronto. I am thinking this team is getting behind Coach Fewell who was a Bears assistant but, he knew how to coach so the Bears sent him packing, they can't have that in Chicago. Terrell Owens should be happy now that balls are heading his way and Fred Jackson has replaced degenerate Marshawn Lynch effectively. The Bills are solid against the pass and middle of the road versus the run. Delhomme gift wrapped that game for the Jets last week as NY managed 13 points off 4 picks thrown by Jake, he is awful and the Panthers are done. Sanchez had a knee problem in last weeks game so who knows how effective he will be in this contest. Looks like the Bills are believing in themselves again. 3 units.Loss.



Broncos -4 Huge bounce back game for the Broncos on Thanksgiving night. Denver is now 7-4 and in possession of a wildcard spot. Orton had a good game against the Giants, who have a much better pass rush than the Chiefs. The home team has won 14 of 16 in this series, but the Chiefs are terrible and they embarrassed me as they got blown out last week against San Diego. Some might think the Broncos will sleepwalk through this contest, I don't the Broncos need an easy win against a garbage team like KC to bolster their playoff hopes and McDaniels should have them ready to build upon the beating they put on the Giants. The Broncos really need this game as they have a showdown with the Colts looming. 2 units.Win.




Texans Pick The Texans season is over as far as the playoffs are concerned, so why not ruin the Jags season while they are at it? The Jags are clinging to wildcard hopes and the Texans will extinguish that flame here. Jacksonville, much like the Eagles are a team that tends to get up off the floor when everyone is down on them, but I think the Texans will step on their throats here. The Texans got caught celebrating what they thought was a win a little to early. Garrard while having a solid year has had a real problem with fumbling the football thanks to his pedestrian offensive line. The Texans have improved against the run, but the numbers are skewed a little bit since they have played to Colts pass happy offense twice in recent games. MJD hasn't had a big game in a while, Sims-Walker was ineffective against the 49ers secondary so I do not see it getting better with Dunta Robinson covering him. Schaub has alot of weapons in the passing game and the Jags secondary is depleted, I like the Texans here. 2 units. Loss.




Cowboys Pick It's December will Tony Romo have another meltdown? I don't see it happening. The distractions for Romo have been dealt with and he seems to be moving on, so I think he will reverse that trend. This is a revenge game for them against the reeling Giants who have been really disappointing so far this year after starting so well. Romo torched a solid Raiders secondary with ease and the Giants are still hurting for help in the secondary Jones and Williams should carry over their success from last week. The Cowboys running attack has been getting healthy while Bradshaw is still banged up for the Giants. The Cowboys need this game to get some separation on the Giants and can't afford to get swept, the Cowboys also need to stay up on the Eagles who should win with ease this week against the Falcons. 2 units.Loss.




49ers Pick Revenge game for the 49ers as they travel to Qwest field. The 49ers have lost some games but have been in all of them Alex Smith and Crabtree look good and TE Vernon Davis is really emerging as a solid option. The 49ers are still in the hunt for the NFC West and can't afford to drop a conference game to Seattle who is dead in the water. The Seahawks just want this disaster season to be over with and I can't see them getting up for this game against a 49ers team coming off a solid performance against the Jags. 3 units.Loss.




Eagles -5 Mike Vick back in Atanta..........who cares, he only has 6 more passing yards then me this season. The Falcons couldn't win this game with Ryan starting. Historically the Eagles own the Falcons and I see that trend continuing here. Redman holds onto the ball way to long and with Sam Baker getting benched Trent Cole might spend more time in the Falcons backfield then Norwood and Snelling combined. Samuels should be back for this game and he will take Roddy White out of this contest, Jackson is still undecided for this game, I personally do not think he will play and have replaced him with Jason Avant in my fantasy league, but Philly still has alot of weapons that the Falcons abysmal secondary will not be able to contain. This game could get ugly, unless I am missing something here I am going to make this a big play. Atlanta has been decent against the run but Philly and Andy Reid hate running the ball and are a prolific screen team which will rack up huge yardage against the Falcons. 5 units.Win.



Chargers -13 The Browns lost Shaun Rogers for the season with an Achilles. The Browns simply can't run or throw the ball. They covered for me last week but the Bengals simply can't put points up in bunches so that was an easy play. The Chargers are rolling right now, with a 6 game winning streak I don't think they will slow down here. Thanks to Cassell I lost on my Chiefs pick last week and was embarrassed as Cassell put the ball on the ground and threw pics. I have learned my lesson. I think the Chargers are good for 24 points in this game, the Browns maybe 6-7 points. Without Rogers rushing the passer Rivers will have plenty of time to pick the Browns secondary apart, the Browns should find themselves in an early hole which will mean Quinn will be forced to throw alot. That will be good news for us. 4 units. Loss.




Vikings -3 Looks like Warner will be back for this game. Could the Cards be seeking revenge for last years behind the Woodshed beating they took by the Vikings last year?? Remember who the QB was for that game, I do not think he is as good as Favre do you? The Vikings are going to continue to win as they try to chase the Saints down so they can get home field advantage and the Cards have been iffy at home. I question Wisenhut's call on letting Warner start against the Vikings defense especially with Gandy out and Allen coming after him. I'm about of a Warner honk and would like to see him come back for 2010 to improve his numbers for his HOF bid. I just think for this game that the Vikings just have too many weapons for Arizona and Favre has been lights out this year. 3 units.



Titans +7 The Colts do not care about going 16-0. One of their players recently said "records don't win rings". Very true. VY just doesn't lose games. Chris Johnson although not as fast as Rajon Rondo (hahahahahaha) is a machine right now and I think the improved play of the Titans secondary coupled with their offense lets them win this game by 3 points. I will also be making a small play on the Titans ML as well. 1 unit.Loss.





Rams +9lger was playing I would make this game a multi-unit play. The Bears will not be able to get up for the Rams after getting boatraced by the Vikings and Steven Jackson will be able to keep the Rams in this game. The Bears are really struggling on both sides of the ball. Kyle Boller had a decent game passing last week against Seattle. I just have a feeling the Bears are in a bad spot and their season is over so the Rams could be getting their second win here. 1 unit.Win.





Patriots -4 This line came out for like a half an hour at -6, now it has re posted at -4. Smells bad. I was thinking about making a nice size play on it, but now I don't trust it. Especially with all the money landing on the Patriots. There was a trend on Miami vs New England and now I cannot find it, so we will have to go with the trend that the Patriots never lose two games in a row. Miami has really been taking chunks out of my account and I am not pleased with them. Miami usually plays New England tough, but I think Brady is fuming right now and the Dolphins will not be able to stop Welker and Moss. Joey Porter is also out for this game. 3 units.Loss.



$$$$$$$$$$ML dogs$$$$$$$$$
Titans +215
Bucs +185
Rams +350