Game Theory Radio

Showing posts with label The Blanket. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Blanket. Show all posts

Saturday, December 3, 2011

NCAA Week 14 Pick 'em

Awful week last week, 1-4 is a disgusting effort. However the season is coming to a close and I would like it to end on A positive note. I started the weekend off with a win on Thursday night as I bet on WVU to beat USF whilst I was in attendance. 1-6 in the Big East, thanks alot Skippy! I will not be watching that much college football today as I will be prepping for my attendance at tonight's Lightning vs. Rangers game. Here is what I have:


Texas +3 I'm not that comfortable with the Bears laying points even at home. Texas has been playing better since Lil Mccoy was put back in at QB. Should be a very close game.


2 Units.




LSU -14 I had crow to eat on Thanksgiving weekend as the Tigers were one of the teams that made me eat it. Never again. That was the game that was supposed to have tripped them up. You just can't handicap a game and forecast turnovers. UGA is 10-2 but their schedule has been....shall we say comfortable? I don't expect this Les Miles team to take the foot off the gas as the Bulldogs will be out played and soundly beaten in the Georgia Dome for the 2nd time this season!
3 Units.
Virginia Tech -7 The Hokies made me look like an idiot last week as I took Virginia and looked very stupid in doing so. Revenge game here and VT will be all over Clemson who beat them by 20 to give them their sole loss of the season. These two teams have been going in different directions the last few weeks as the Tigers have been practicing laying eggs. VT wins by 9.
2 Units.
Oklahoma State -3 I think Mike Gundy is too good of a coach to let his team have another let down here. I am concerned about the injuries to the Sooners key players on offense and I think that will come into play in this game. Both teams have had a ton of time to prepare for this game should be a good one with the Pokes pulling out a 6 point win.
3 Units.
Michigan State +10 Game is being played were a team that used to be the Colts played. So neither team will have an advantage. Wisconsin has not impressed me this year, while Sparty has done just enough to keep getting wins. I don't think Michigan State wins but I like them to keep it within 10 points.
2 Units.
There you have it, hopefully I close the college football season out on a positive note!

Thursday, November 24, 2011

NCAA Week #13 Pick 'em

Thanksgiving Day and I have had nothing to eat yet, this computer isn't looking half bad right now. Back at this week, getting my picks in with at least 24 hours to spare. Locked my picks in on Tuesday morning, since then the lines have moved the on publicly backed dogs, which scares me a little bit. Oh well, we will drive on any how. No NFL picks this weekend either, just haven't liked any spreads as of late. Here is what I have for College action:




Arkansas +13 Last week at Miss State was a classic look ahead game for the Razorbacks, they didn't take the bait................Arkansas came out focused on both ends of the field. I am aware they play much better at home, like any team. However, they always play LSU tough. Here is my thinking on why I am taking the points and Arkansas when I took LSU +5 when they played Alabama, even though Alabama thumped Arkansas. Still with me? Alabama has a NFL secondary which managed to cause coverage pressure, LSU while an excellent defense just does not have as good a secondary as 'Bama. Therefore, I do not foresee them being able to handle Wilson, Gragg, Childs and Adams as well as the Tide. Make sense? Alot of pressure on LSU here, day game............that makes Death Valley more like Happy Valley. LSU wins a tight game, 3-5 points will be the difference.Loss.

4 Units.





Cal +6 Cal has covered 4 of 5 and been pretty competitive this season, Arizona State has lost 4 of 5 failing to cover their last 3. Arizona State's last win was against mighty Colorado. I get it, the Sun Devils have a 12' 8" QB and an overrated LB..........ok. I realize that Cal is not a strong road team but I still think we are getting 3 more points our way from Vegas. I'll take it!Win.


4 Units.






Virginia +5 Simply put I am not sold on the Hokies and they will struggle in this game to a sleeper Cavalier team. Virginia is a 5 point dog in their own house. Staunch defense and solid QB play from Rocco will get this team and us a W. The Cavs new coach is a good story and has this team focused, VT won't be able to count on points off Beamer Ball as this Cavalier team is too disciplined.Loss.


3 Units.





Notre Dame +8 Stanford better be careful here, their season is all but over anyways but I am sure they do not want a 2nd loss here. Notre Dame struggles against fast defenses (USF) but Stanford has a slow defense which struggles to cover the edges. I have been waiting for the Cardinal to get exposed all season long, the Ducks beat them soundly. I think they will be in for a surprise with ND giving them all they can handle, Luck has not been impressive this year and is missing his best WR, so the Stanford offense could struggle in the passing game and ND is decent against the run, which always helps when facing a running back by committee. Loss.


4 Units.






Duke +13 The Blue Devils are 3-8 but they do like to hang around like a fly that will not be swatted. Rivalry game here as the dislike between the two schools is heating up with BB season underway. UNC has already mailed it in as they already have become bowl eligible in what has been a disappointing season for them. Duke won't lay down and forces you to beat them down till the end of the game, 13 points is too much in this contest.Loss.


3 Units.



There you have it my friends, enjoy your Thanksgivings and stuffed wallets. Also keep an eye on the Texas A&M vs. Texas game, that line is getting a little high, if it hits +10, might be time for a small play! If anybody sees Joker out and about give him a hug as he seems like he is about to set himself ablaze. I think all this Skyrim playing has had an affect on his handicapping skills!