Vegas bent over the casual gambler last Sunday as they only lost on two games paying out on the Colts and Falcons. I did not have a good week myself, I am trying to get locked on to Vegas so lets start retooling and make some money, here we go:
Falcons +3 Eagles at home, whether Kolb or Vick plays I don't think it will matter. The Falcons defense is solid and has been playing well. The Eagles are too beat up to cover this one, I like the Falcons outright.
2 units. Loss.
Steelers-14 The Browns defense will come to play in this one wanting to support their rookie QB, I just don't know how they can score points on that stifling Steelers D. Colt use the check down my friend. Small play here as I don't really trust Rapistberger.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +9 The Rams got skull drug by Detroit last week. I expect a better effort from them this week as the Chargers come to town. Chargers hate winning on the road, really the only weapons they have is Rivers and Gates. The running game has been less then impressive and I bet they are kicking themselves for sending LT to pasture. This is simply too many points to lay right here.
1 unit. Win.
Texans -4 Texans are garbage, but I like this match up right here, Schaub should be able to exploit the Chiefs secondary and I don't see how KC can get up for this one after a tough loss to the Colts its going to be hard to get up for a crap Texans squad that got blown out last week. This is a trap game as the public is going heavy on the Chiefs. We are also getting some value off the Texans getting their doors blown off last week. I figured this spread to be the Texans -7, so we are getting 3 points our way.
2 units. Push.
Jags +3 I have developed a new Theory, we will call it my "Long time no see" Theory. I developed it after the Chiefs prom night dumpster babied the Chargers in week 1. Basically home dogs that haven't been on MNF in more than 3 years will cover. Del Rio tends to prepare for the divisional games and with all 4 teams in 1st place at 3-2 this is a big game. I like the Jags under the bright lights.
2 units.
Bears -7 The Seahawks are petrified excrement on the road. The Bears are 10th versus the pass and 3rd versus the run Seattle will struggle to move the ball. Lynch won't get it done, I'm not sure he is an upgrade over over his college roommate Forsett. Cutler will be back and at home. Bears take it by 10.
1 unit. Loss.
Ravens +3 I love taking the Ravens as dogs. New England can't run the ball on Baltimore so look for Lewis and Suggs to put pressure on Brady and without Moss his deep threat is gone. Ravens take this one outright, this game will also be nice to take on the ML as a live dog.
1 unit. Push.
Raiders +7 Raiders can score some points and I like them to stay in this game. The 49ers shouldn't be laying points to my high school team. Gore has been unproductive and Asomaugh will limit Crabtree, Campbell will be starting so he will be playing for his job. Do you trust Alex Smith laying 7? I didn't think so.
1 unit.
Friday, October 15, 2010
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
NCAA Pick em Week #7
Another .500 Saturday last week bringing me to 11-13-3. I have a small ML play on UCF right now in an effort to generate some pocket change. So lets keep it short and simple and get to the picks, also don't forget to tune into The Vegas Takedown Show tomorrow night at 10pm only @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
West Virginia -10 USF is going to be the Big East basement dweller this year as they lost their homecoming game to powerhouse Syracuse. USF's defense has been keeping them in games but their offense is more unproductive then a government employee. The Mountaineers shouldn't have any trouble with the Bulls in Morgantown. WVU will be looking to collect some payback as USF has beaten them 4 of the last 5 years.
1 Unit. Win.
N.C. State -7 I'm getting back on board the Wolfpack train this weekend as NC State visits ECU on the road. This should be a high scoring game but in the end I don't see how the Pirates will be able to match the Wolfpack touchdown for touchdown. ECU doesn't have the same defense they had under Skip Holtz. Russell Wilson should have a career day here.
2 Units. Loss.
Utah -21 The Cowboys were a decent squad last year, but have been in sharp decline this year. They have had a brutal schedule but the Utes are a solid squad who isn't really getting the press their #10 ranking should be getting them. The Wyoming defense won't have any answers for the Utah offense in this game.
2 Units. Win.
Nebraska -10 I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cornhuskers in their black jerseys for this game against a Texas squad facing their 3rd loss. Nebraska took apart K State on the road with ease last week and I think this game against Texas could be just as bad. Texas still has no running game and their defense tends to quit. I don't think the Longhorns will have any answers for Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez. I think this game could get ugly quick.
3 Units. Loss.
Kentucky +6 The Wildcats at home are a decent squad, yes they got skill drug by the Gators but UK had not game planned for Trey Burton. I think this is a flat spot for the Gamecocks and I don't know if Garcia can string together two good games in a row especially on the road. Hartline and Cobb are veteran players and Joker Phillips should have them focused on this big opportunity. South Carolina wins this game by a late field goal.
2 Units. Win.
There we have it, I won't be happy with anything but perfection this week. I know I have been letting my readers down and I need to make some cash!
West Virginia -10 USF is going to be the Big East basement dweller this year as they lost their homecoming game to powerhouse Syracuse. USF's defense has been keeping them in games but their offense is more unproductive then a government employee. The Mountaineers shouldn't have any trouble with the Bulls in Morgantown. WVU will be looking to collect some payback as USF has beaten them 4 of the last 5 years.
1 Unit. Win.
N.C. State -7 I'm getting back on board the Wolfpack train this weekend as NC State visits ECU on the road. This should be a high scoring game but in the end I don't see how the Pirates will be able to match the Wolfpack touchdown for touchdown. ECU doesn't have the same defense they had under Skip Holtz. Russell Wilson should have a career day here.
2 Units. Loss.
Utah -21 The Cowboys were a decent squad last year, but have been in sharp decline this year. They have had a brutal schedule but the Utes are a solid squad who isn't really getting the press their #10 ranking should be getting them. The Wyoming defense won't have any answers for the Utah offense in this game.
2 Units. Win.
Nebraska -10 I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cornhuskers in their black jerseys for this game against a Texas squad facing their 3rd loss. Nebraska took apart K State on the road with ease last week and I think this game against Texas could be just as bad. Texas still has no running game and their defense tends to quit. I don't think the Longhorns will have any answers for Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez. I think this game could get ugly quick.
3 Units. Loss.
Kentucky +6 The Wildcats at home are a decent squad, yes they got skill drug by the Gators but UK had not game planned for Trey Burton. I think this is a flat spot for the Gamecocks and I don't know if Garcia can string together two good games in a row especially on the road. Hartline and Cobb are veteran players and Joker Phillips should have them focused on this big opportunity. South Carolina wins this game by a late field goal.
2 Units. Win.
There we have it, I won't be happy with anything but perfection this week. I know I have been letting my readers down and I need to make some cash!
Friday, October 8, 2010
NFL Week #5 Against the Spread Picks
My weekend started off good with a Nebraska cover and 3 more units added to my bank account so that is good times. Lets hope the trend continues into Sunday. There isn't much I am excited about in the NFL this weekend so we will have some small plays this week.
Broncos +7 A good sports bettor always takes into a count some off the field trends, professional sports teams do hit flat spots at certain points in the season after winning a big game against or losing to a rival. I think that is the spot the Ravens are in right here, Flacco beat the hated Steelers last Sunday on a late TD points putting Baltimore in the drivers seat in the AFC North. The Ravens will win this contest but I don't know how thrilled they will be in playing the .500 Broncos and neck beard. Meanwhile Kyle Orton is leading the NFL best pass offense into the Ravens nest.
1 unit.
Bills Pick The Jags just won the biggest game of their season against the rival Colts, as a reward Jack Del Rio rewarded his troops with a trip to Buffalo! Yeaaaaaaaah! This game should be deathly boring, I do like the Bills to pull out the win though. Fitzpatrick seems to work within the Bills "offense" and CJ Spiller is starting to get going. The Jags aren't going to want to show up for this game and Del Rio hates preparing for opponents not in his division.
1 unit.
Rams +3 I think the wrong team is favored here, the Lions have been playing well and staying in games but I don't know if they are quite ready to be favored. Rams are coming in at 2-2 and on a two game winning streak, so they might be feeling a little disrespected. Bradford and Clayton seem to be working well and Stephen Jackson is his usual self. Also, the Rams defense is pretty stingy, I think they can stay in this contest.
1 unit.
Packers -3 Redskins just won a very important game at Philly, couple that with the fact the Redskins also don not like to cover at home. Rogers needs a big game as the powers that be have been talking about how the Packers maybe weren't the right pick for the Superbowl. I don't know how the Redskins will defend against Green Bay's passing attack, both teams are less than stellar on the ground and i have to give the nod to the Packers defense.
2 units.
Falcons -3 I am assuming that Seneca Wallace will be the QB this week again. Well I have bad news for you Mr. I hate the Blanket. The Falcons will stop your run game and force you to throw, this will not work out to well as you will be intercepted and the ball will be returned to it's rightful place which is inside of your end zone. The Browns beat the Bengals last week but the Falcons are a different animal altogether, I know Matt Ryan struggles outside of a dime but I think the 49ers put a scare into Atlanta last week and they should get it back on track offensively here.
3 units.
There we have it picks for NFL Sunday, enjoy.
Broncos +7 A good sports bettor always takes into a count some off the field trends, professional sports teams do hit flat spots at certain points in the season after winning a big game against or losing to a rival. I think that is the spot the Ravens are in right here, Flacco beat the hated Steelers last Sunday on a late TD points putting Baltimore in the drivers seat in the AFC North. The Ravens will win this contest but I don't know how thrilled they will be in playing the .500 Broncos and neck beard. Meanwhile Kyle Orton is leading the NFL best pass offense into the Ravens nest.
1 unit.
Bills Pick The Jags just won the biggest game of their season against the rival Colts, as a reward Jack Del Rio rewarded his troops with a trip to Buffalo! Yeaaaaaaaah! This game should be deathly boring, I do like the Bills to pull out the win though. Fitzpatrick seems to work within the Bills "offense" and CJ Spiller is starting to get going. The Jags aren't going to want to show up for this game and Del Rio hates preparing for opponents not in his division.
1 unit.
Rams +3 I think the wrong team is favored here, the Lions have been playing well and staying in games but I don't know if they are quite ready to be favored. Rams are coming in at 2-2 and on a two game winning streak, so they might be feeling a little disrespected. Bradford and Clayton seem to be working well and Stephen Jackson is his usual self. Also, the Rams defense is pretty stingy, I think they can stay in this contest.
1 unit.
Packers -3 Redskins just won a very important game at Philly, couple that with the fact the Redskins also don not like to cover at home. Rogers needs a big game as the powers that be have been talking about how the Packers maybe weren't the right pick for the Superbowl. I don't know how the Redskins will defend against Green Bay's passing attack, both teams are less than stellar on the ground and i have to give the nod to the Packers defense.
2 units.
Falcons -3 I am assuming that Seneca Wallace will be the QB this week again. Well I have bad news for you Mr. I hate the Blanket. The Falcons will stop your run game and force you to throw, this will not work out to well as you will be intercepted and the ball will be returned to it's rightful place which is inside of your end zone. The Browns beat the Bengals last week but the Falcons are a different animal altogether, I know Matt Ryan struggles outside of a dime but I think the 49ers put a scare into Atlanta last week and they should get it back on track offensively here.
3 units.
There we have it picks for NFL Sunday, enjoy.
Thursday, October 7, 2010
NCAA Week #6 Picks
Had an abysmal Saturday last week going 2-4 for the season I am now 9-11-2. I get back above .500 this weekend. Here are my picks:
Nebraska -11 Battle of Big 12 undefeated, both teams are 4-0 KSU will be at home for this contest. I don't like laying this many points on a Thursday night road favorite but I think that Nebraska's defense will dictate this game. They will focus on stopping Daniel Thomas and force K-State to throw on them, which the Cornhuskers have Prince Amakumura and Crick to defend the pass. K State struggled against a UCF squad at home and while UCF has a solid defense they aren't on par with Nebraska. The Huskers had a close game last weekend, but I figure that was a look ahead affect for them.
3 units. Win.
Oregon -36 I am going to be a road warrior this weekend, I'm taking the Ducks here against the punchless Wazzou Cougars. The Ducks proved they were for real last Saturday by beating Stanford and taking my money. They will let me have it back with interest after this game. Oregon should be covering by halftime.
1 unit. Loss.
Arkansas -6 An SWC rivalry renewed. I wonder if they are going to bring this conference back at some point along with power houses like Tulane, Rice, Houston and SMU. Texas A&M is too sketchy for me right now on both sides of the ball. Arkansas is the second best team in the SEC and I am wondering about Jerrod Johnson's confidence and his teams conference in him. A&M is just to turnover prone to stay in this contest I feel.
2 units. Win.
Alabama -7 Here I go taking another SEC team on the road. The Tide beat their toughest opponent on their schedule in Fayetteville. South Carolina is a solid squad, but I think the Tide will stack the box and put pressure on Garcia to force him into some bad decisions, this of course after they shut down the Lattimore and the running game. We will see more of Ingram and Richardson wearing the stout Gamecocks defense out allowing McElroy to move the chains on 3rd and short.
4 units. Loss.
Notre Dame -6 Keeping road warrior weekend in tact I am taking the Irish here against and underachieving Pitt team. Dion Lewis is out and Sunseri just can't make enough plays and his best WR Johnathan Baldwin hates catching his passes. ND took care of BC last week, while BC is not much of an offensive threat, they are a pretty good defensive squad. ND gets it done here.
2 units. Win.
There we have it, lets hope for better results this weekend. I haven't started my NFL action yet but at first glance there isn't much that jumped off the page at me. Other games that look pretty enticing for a small play are Tennessee +11 and Stanford -10 . Good luck, I should have my NFL picks up tomorrow night.
Nebraska -11 Battle of Big 12 undefeated, both teams are 4-0 KSU will be at home for this contest. I don't like laying this many points on a Thursday night road favorite but I think that Nebraska's defense will dictate this game. They will focus on stopping Daniel Thomas and force K-State to throw on them, which the Cornhuskers have Prince Amakumura and Crick to defend the pass. K State struggled against a UCF squad at home and while UCF has a solid defense they aren't on par with Nebraska. The Huskers had a close game last weekend, but I figure that was a look ahead affect for them.
3 units. Win.
Oregon -36 I am going to be a road warrior this weekend, I'm taking the Ducks here against the punchless Wazzou Cougars. The Ducks proved they were for real last Saturday by beating Stanford and taking my money. They will let me have it back with interest after this game. Oregon should be covering by halftime.
1 unit. Loss.
Arkansas -6 An SWC rivalry renewed. I wonder if they are going to bring this conference back at some point along with power houses like Tulane, Rice, Houston and SMU. Texas A&M is too sketchy for me right now on both sides of the ball. Arkansas is the second best team in the SEC and I am wondering about Jerrod Johnson's confidence and his teams conference in him. A&M is just to turnover prone to stay in this contest I feel.
2 units. Win.
Alabama -7 Here I go taking another SEC team on the road. The Tide beat their toughest opponent on their schedule in Fayetteville. South Carolina is a solid squad, but I think the Tide will stack the box and put pressure on Garcia to force him into some bad decisions, this of course after they shut down the Lattimore and the running game. We will see more of Ingram and Richardson wearing the stout Gamecocks defense out allowing McElroy to move the chains on 3rd and short.
4 units. Loss.
Notre Dame -6 Keeping road warrior weekend in tact I am taking the Irish here against and underachieving Pitt team. Dion Lewis is out and Sunseri just can't make enough plays and his best WR Johnathan Baldwin hates catching his passes. ND took care of BC last week, while BC is not much of an offensive threat, they are a pretty good defensive squad. ND gets it done here.
2 units. Win.
There we have it, lets hope for better results this weekend. I haven't started my NFL action yet but at first glance there isn't much that jumped off the page at me. Other games that look pretty enticing for a small play are Tennessee +11 and Stanford -10 . Good luck, I should have my NFL picks up tomorrow night.
Thursday, September 30, 2010
NFL Week #4 Free Money Give Away!!
Alright decent Sunday last Sunday, I went 4-2 ATS bringing me to 9-7 for the young season. College and NFL combined I am 16-14-2. Vegas is continuing to hot air balloon the public, all the Microfinance companies are probably getting hit up for short term loans as the casual bettor is literally losing his shirt. Make sure that you tune in tonight to our Vegas Takedown Show tonight at 9PM @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory become a fan of the show and most importantly LISTEN to the show, call in tell us what you think about our picks and how much you like winning money from the comforts of your couch while the wife is out shopping. Here is what I have for Sunday's NFL action.
Bengals -3 Cincy is not looking sharp on offense, Palmer isn't doing anything on offense. We are due for a big game from Ocho-cinco and T.O. Hopefully this is the week where that happens. The Bengals squeaked out a win in Carolina, yeah I know Claussen played, however the Panthers D is solid and doesn't get much credit because of their 0-3 record. Delhomme will be back so the Iowa State cover buster won't be playing. The Bengals defense should guide us to the money lane here.
1 unit. Loss.
Rams +2 Seahawks away from home are a dumpster fire. Rams are undervalued, Bradford is the exception to the rookie rule. Both teams have some work to do on defense but I think the Rams will have a slight edge here. The Seahawks got lucky with 14 points from two kickoff returns from Leon Washington. I think the wrong team is favored here and I will always take advantage of any gift Vegas attempts to slide by the average joe.
2 units. Win.
Redskins +6 I don't quite get his line its about 2 points too high. I guess the reason for that would be because Vick is the player of the month and also due to the fact that he lit up two secondary's ranked near the bottom of the league in pass defense. Hopefully the Philly faithful give Mcnabb a warm welcome that way we can remove the money from the sweaty palms of Vegas. Mcnabb will no doubt have a chip on his shoulder coming back home to a team that basically discarded him like a piece of used furniture. The Redskins will be playing hard to help their new signal caller get a big win. I know the Eagles have the edge in weaponry with Jackson, Maclin and Mccoy, but lets dig a little deeper. Mcnabb has played against this defense for a long time, if anyone knows the holes in the Eagles D its Mcnabb, plus we are getting 6 points? Me likey!
2 units.Win.
Bears +4 Hmmmm...........why do I have a feeling that I am walking into a trap here. Hell with it I'm taking the Bears and the points. Bears are rolling right now beating the Cowgirls and the Packers in consecutive weeks. Cutler seems to have found his niche under the Martz system. The Bears defense has looked pretty solid. Manning isn't Aaron Rodgers and doesn't really have the weapons on offense that Cutler does. The Bears will be zeroing in on Hakeem Nicks and they should also be able to squash the run. The Bears are believing in themselves Forte is having a bounce back year in his new rule and Hester and Knox seem to be relishing their new offense. Also Greg Olsen has come alive of late. Chicago goes to 4-0 and the G'men are headed for a world of hurt.
1 unit. Loss.
Dolphins +2 Joe Robbie/ Landshark/ Sun Life stadium has been a House of Horrors for Brady and company when they come down to Miami. Dolphins are still underrated even though they beat the Vikings and Bills, on the road, which are both tough places to play. The Pats defense looks pretty bad as Ryan Fitzpatrick sliced and diced them in a shootout in Foxboro last week. The Dolphins defense is pretty good, that being said this should be a high scoring game. Chad Henne loves him some Brandon Marshall and both should have a huge game against a pedestrian Pats secondary. Ronnie Brown will be doing his usual Wildcat action back there keeping Henne in 3rd and short, Dolphins in a covered win.
3 units. Loss.
Panthers +14 I'm taking this game simply on a trend, when the Super Bowl champs lose the week prior they struggle the next week to cover. Also the Saints are 2-7 ATS under Payton as favorites of 10 or more. Write it down. Drew Brees is hurt and will be wearing a brace on his left knee. The Panthers won't have to account for Reggie Bush either. Like I said earlier the Panthers defense is pretty good. Look for the Panthers to copy the Falcons game plan with Williams and Stewart pounding away against the Saints less than stellar run stop unit, this will chew up clock and keep Brees on the sideline. 14 points here is too much for a divisional game and the road team has won 9 of the last 13 games in this series. How copy?
1 unit. Win.
Jaguars +8 The Jags are built to play one team and that is the Colts. The Jags will be bringing it this game as this is the game they look forward to playing. If you have been following my blog that last few seasons you will notice that I always take the dog and the points in this game because out of the last 16 games these two teams have played only twice has the difference been more than 8 points, I'll let you do the math on this one. The Colts were sleep walking through their game with Denver so I doubt they will be clicking their heels to go play the hapless Jags on the road. The Colts struggle to run the ball and I think the Jags will be able to stay in this game, Colts win by 5.
1 unit. Win.
There it is fellow Game Theorists, enjoy the money. I know I had some light plays this week but unless a game really excites me I'm not going to drop a car payment on it. Don't forget to tune in tonight at 9PM and listen to the show @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Bengals -3 Cincy is not looking sharp on offense, Palmer isn't doing anything on offense. We are due for a big game from Ocho-cinco and T.O. Hopefully this is the week where that happens. The Bengals squeaked out a win in Carolina, yeah I know Claussen played, however the Panthers D is solid and doesn't get much credit because of their 0-3 record. Delhomme will be back so the Iowa State cover buster won't be playing. The Bengals defense should guide us to the money lane here.
1 unit. Loss.
Rams +2 Seahawks away from home are a dumpster fire. Rams are undervalued, Bradford is the exception to the rookie rule. Both teams have some work to do on defense but I think the Rams will have a slight edge here. The Seahawks got lucky with 14 points from two kickoff returns from Leon Washington. I think the wrong team is favored here and I will always take advantage of any gift Vegas attempts to slide by the average joe.
2 units. Win.
Redskins +6 I don't quite get his line its about 2 points too high. I guess the reason for that would be because Vick is the player of the month and also due to the fact that he lit up two secondary's ranked near the bottom of the league in pass defense. Hopefully the Philly faithful give Mcnabb a warm welcome that way we can remove the money from the sweaty palms of Vegas. Mcnabb will no doubt have a chip on his shoulder coming back home to a team that basically discarded him like a piece of used furniture. The Redskins will be playing hard to help their new signal caller get a big win. I know the Eagles have the edge in weaponry with Jackson, Maclin and Mccoy, but lets dig a little deeper. Mcnabb has played against this defense for a long time, if anyone knows the holes in the Eagles D its Mcnabb, plus we are getting 6 points? Me likey!
2 units.Win.
Bears +4 Hmmmm...........why do I have a feeling that I am walking into a trap here. Hell with it I'm taking the Bears and the points. Bears are rolling right now beating the Cowgirls and the Packers in consecutive weeks. Cutler seems to have found his niche under the Martz system. The Bears defense has looked pretty solid. Manning isn't Aaron Rodgers and doesn't really have the weapons on offense that Cutler does. The Bears will be zeroing in on Hakeem Nicks and they should also be able to squash the run. The Bears are believing in themselves Forte is having a bounce back year in his new rule and Hester and Knox seem to be relishing their new offense. Also Greg Olsen has come alive of late. Chicago goes to 4-0 and the G'men are headed for a world of hurt.
1 unit. Loss.
Dolphins +2 Joe Robbie/ Landshark/ Sun Life stadium has been a House of Horrors for Brady and company when they come down to Miami. Dolphins are still underrated even though they beat the Vikings and Bills, on the road, which are both tough places to play. The Pats defense looks pretty bad as Ryan Fitzpatrick sliced and diced them in a shootout in Foxboro last week. The Dolphins defense is pretty good, that being said this should be a high scoring game. Chad Henne loves him some Brandon Marshall and both should have a huge game against a pedestrian Pats secondary. Ronnie Brown will be doing his usual Wildcat action back there keeping Henne in 3rd and short, Dolphins in a covered win.
3 units. Loss.
Panthers +14 I'm taking this game simply on a trend, when the Super Bowl champs lose the week prior they struggle the next week to cover. Also the Saints are 2-7 ATS under Payton as favorites of 10 or more. Write it down. Drew Brees is hurt and will be wearing a brace on his left knee. The Panthers won't have to account for Reggie Bush either. Like I said earlier the Panthers defense is pretty good. Look for the Panthers to copy the Falcons game plan with Williams and Stewart pounding away against the Saints less than stellar run stop unit, this will chew up clock and keep Brees on the sideline. 14 points here is too much for a divisional game and the road team has won 9 of the last 13 games in this series. How copy?
1 unit. Win.
Jaguars +8 The Jags are built to play one team and that is the Colts. The Jags will be bringing it this game as this is the game they look forward to playing. If you have been following my blog that last few seasons you will notice that I always take the dog and the points in this game because out of the last 16 games these two teams have played only twice has the difference been more than 8 points, I'll let you do the math on this one. The Colts were sleep walking through their game with Denver so I doubt they will be clicking their heels to go play the hapless Jags on the road. The Colts struggle to run the ball and I think the Jags will be able to stay in this game, Colts win by 5.
1 unit. Win.
There it is fellow Game Theorists, enjoy the money. I know I had some light plays this week but unless a game really excites me I'm not going to drop a car payment on it. Don't forget to tune in tonight at 9PM and listen to the show @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Wednesday, September 29, 2010
NCAA Week #5 ATS Picks
Alright people, the traffic is getting heavy on my blog so the public must be waiting for me to make them some more money. I went 3-2 ATS last week, bringing me too 7-7-2 on the season. Still nowhere near where I want to be. Don't forget to listen to our show tonight at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory it will be on air at 11PM also become a fan of the show on Facebook and you can listen to the show as you are browsing my picks thanks to the widget I added. I really need a solid weekend and there isn't a whole lot to pick from. So here we go on another quest to capture more of that Vegas cash.
N.C. State +4 I guess no one is buying the Wolfpack yet, but I am liking them at home plus I get 4 points...........sweet. VT has no doubt bounced back from their early season stumble. The Wolfpack has been playing some decent defense, albeit they gave up 28 points to GT last week on the road, but how often do they see that style of offense. Tom O'brien has NC State heading in the right direction. Russell Wilson is a Drew Brees style quarterback and freshman running back Mufasa Green looks pretty good running and catching balls out of the backfield. So I hope the Wolfpack can continue their winning ways and win us some cash here!
2 units. Loss.
UTEP-15 Using the same logic as last week, the Lobos got midget tossed by an 0-3 UNLV team last Saturday losing by 35 points. The Miners can score points, the Lobos however have lost their last 4 games by an average of 46 points per game. Even though the Miners are on the road that stat has to make me feel comfortable with laying the 15. New Mexico's QB is also out for this game, so hopefully their back up is just as bad!
1 unit. Win.
Texas Tech -7 The Red Raiders have had two weeks to prepare for this contest, Big Game Tommy needs to get this win as he team is currently 2-1 and would like to stay relevant in the Big 12 especially with Texas losing last week. The Cyclones Austin Arnaud is questionable with a shoulder injury so who knows how effective he will be. I think Tech has the weapons to win this game comfortably, lets hope I am right.
1 unit. Loss.
Georgia -5 Both games I lost last week were from taking SEC dogs on the road, too bad Colorado isn't an SEC team. I don't quite understand this line, is Ralphie suiting up for this game? Lets not forget this is the same UGA team that played Arkansas and SC tough without AJ Greene who just so happens to make his return this Saturday just in time to make us some money. Mark Richt desperately needs this win, lets see if the Dogs can deliver.
1 unit. Loss.
Stanford +7 This is my favorite game of the week. Oregon is a finesse offense and Stanford is a smashmouth physical team. The Ducks aren't cut out to play that kind of game. Harbaugh is a no holds barred coach who will not take his foot off the gas. Stanford just like Oregon has a ton of weapons on offense and replacing Gerhart in the backfield has seemed to be a problem as the Cardinal has several backs who each have rushed for over 100 yards. I know that Autzen Stadium is a tough place to play and if I was a Stanford WR I wouldn't catch one ball because I would be drooling over the Ducks cheerleaders the whole game, but I'm not playing. I think the 7 is too much for the Ducks to handle in this spot. Stanford will wear them down.
4 units. Loss.
Another game I like but didn't put up is Temple -5 @ Army, keep an eye on that game. Until that day my friends, enjoy the money. Vegas..............come at me bro. Listen to the show tonight and I should have my NFL picks up by tonight.
N.C. State +4 I guess no one is buying the Wolfpack yet, but I am liking them at home plus I get 4 points...........sweet. VT has no doubt bounced back from their early season stumble. The Wolfpack has been playing some decent defense, albeit they gave up 28 points to GT last week on the road, but how often do they see that style of offense. Tom O'brien has NC State heading in the right direction. Russell Wilson is a Drew Brees style quarterback and freshman running back Mufasa Green looks pretty good running and catching balls out of the backfield. So I hope the Wolfpack can continue their winning ways and win us some cash here!
2 units. Loss.
UTEP-15 Using the same logic as last week, the Lobos got midget tossed by an 0-3 UNLV team last Saturday losing by 35 points. The Miners can score points, the Lobos however have lost their last 4 games by an average of 46 points per game. Even though the Miners are on the road that stat has to make me feel comfortable with laying the 15. New Mexico's QB is also out for this game, so hopefully their back up is just as bad!
1 unit. Win.
Texas Tech -7 The Red Raiders have had two weeks to prepare for this contest, Big Game Tommy needs to get this win as he team is currently 2-1 and would like to stay relevant in the Big 12 especially with Texas losing last week. The Cyclones Austin Arnaud is questionable with a shoulder injury so who knows how effective he will be. I think Tech has the weapons to win this game comfortably, lets hope I am right.
1 unit. Loss.
Georgia -5 Both games I lost last week were from taking SEC dogs on the road, too bad Colorado isn't an SEC team. I don't quite understand this line, is Ralphie suiting up for this game? Lets not forget this is the same UGA team that played Arkansas and SC tough without AJ Greene who just so happens to make his return this Saturday just in time to make us some money. Mark Richt desperately needs this win, lets see if the Dogs can deliver.
1 unit. Loss.
Stanford +7 This is my favorite game of the week. Oregon is a finesse offense and Stanford is a smashmouth physical team. The Ducks aren't cut out to play that kind of game. Harbaugh is a no holds barred coach who will not take his foot off the gas. Stanford just like Oregon has a ton of weapons on offense and replacing Gerhart in the backfield has seemed to be a problem as the Cardinal has several backs who each have rushed for over 100 yards. I know that Autzen Stadium is a tough place to play and if I was a Stanford WR I wouldn't catch one ball because I would be drooling over the Ducks cheerleaders the whole game, but I'm not playing. I think the 7 is too much for the Ducks to handle in this spot. Stanford will wear them down.
4 units. Loss.
Another game I like but didn't put up is Temple -5 @ Army, keep an eye on that game. Until that day my friends, enjoy the money. Vegas..............come at me bro. Listen to the show tonight and I should have my NFL picks up by tonight.
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
NFL Week #3 Free money give away!!
After a dreadful weekend in my NFL picks department I'm going to step away from trends and go with what the teams have shown thus far in the first two games of the season. I won't be satisfied with anything but a perfect record for this Sunday. Vegas has skulldrug my account and has hammered the casual bettor and scored a major blow on their bank rolls. Time to turn the tables. Vegas for the second week crushed the public with the Lions, 49ers, Dolphins, Bears, Jets and Bengals all beat the number. The only games Vegas got hammered with was the Falcons beating the brakes off the Cardinals and the Pack beating the Bills. So lets get some revenge starting now shall we?
Patriots -14 New England needs a bounce back game after getting boatraced by the Jets last week. It was an abysmal performance for Brady's Boys. What better than having Ryan Fitzpatrick and the hapless Bills stumble in town for a New England style beat down. The Pats will use this game to get all the kinks worked out.
2 units. Loss.
Titans +3 I think we are getting some value here with the Titans losing to Pittsburgh last week. VY had 7 turnovers but yet the Titans only lost by 8 points. The Steelers defense is ridiculous so I will take this value and the three points to the cash cage as I don't see how the G'men can get it done even though they are at home. Chris Johnson should be motivated to run hard after last weeks performance. The Giants can't stop the run, and it will also be hard for them to defend VY from running wild. Lets not forget VY is a winner and a covering machine. The Giants cannot pass protect or run block despite the fact that they have no running backs, Jacobs is a crybaby and Bradshaw is a shell of his former self.
3 units. Win.
Steelers -3 Ok Tampa will be at home and they are 2-0 with wins versus the Browns and the Panthers...............yawn. The Steelers defense is almost unfair and I am not sure if the young talent on Tampa's offense will have much success against it. Batch will be at QB for the Steelers and the Bucs should be getting a steady diet of Medenhall. The Steelers have beaten two solid squads without rapistberger behind center. The Steelers will put the effort in to back up Batch and get the win. The spread on this game tells me that Vegas has no respect for Batch, but after this game Vegas will respect my account with a prompt payment.
2 units. Win.
Bengals -3 The public is pounding the Bengals which worries me because Vegas as I said earlier has been real shady so far this season. Who knows maybe this week common sense kicked in and they are giving the public a chance to get some cash money. The Bengals destroyed Flacco last week and also had a couple calls go their way against the Ravens. The Bengasl have a good defense and I don't see how Notre Lame wonder boy will be able to move on them. On the other side of the ball Palmer is garbage too but not as bad as Claussen. This will be a low scoring affair with the Bengals pulling it out 20-14.
2 units. Win.
49ers -3 Yeah it's a short week and they have to go to Arrowhead after losing to the Saints on Monday night and putting it all on the line only to lose in the end. The 49ers are a desperate team right now and I see some value here. If they don't win this game heads are gonna roll in San Fran you can write that down. The Chiefs are undefeated but they one a Monday night game at home against and overrated Chargers squad and squeaked by the Garbage Pail Kid Browns last week. The undefeated season stops here. Cassell is terrible and Todd Haley refuses to give the ball to their most talented player Jamaal Charles. Thomas Jones had twice as many carries last week than Charles but yet they both had the same amount of yardage. Not to mention Charles is on to of my fantasy teams and I am leaving points on the table because of Haley. 49ers leave KC with their first much need win.
3 units. Loss.
Eagles -3 Again I am laying money on a dog killer and I hate myself for it. That being said Jacksonville is terrible they made the Chargers look like a Superbowl team as they got their doors blown off last week. The Eagles will be playing hard in this game for the ASPCA's least favorite QB and to prove to Reid that he made the right choice. You really can't argue the logic by the Fatman. The Eagles O-line is crap and Vick has the speed to create plays as opposed to the statue like Kolb who would not doubt get sacked 10 times in this game. Eagles leave the Sunshine state with a win and Mike make sure you stay away from my dogs while you are in my state.
3 units. Win.
There we have it, 6 investments for your gambling portfolio. Enjoy!
Patriots -14 New England needs a bounce back game after getting boatraced by the Jets last week. It was an abysmal performance for Brady's Boys. What better than having Ryan Fitzpatrick and the hapless Bills stumble in town for a New England style beat down. The Pats will use this game to get all the kinks worked out.
2 units. Loss.
Titans +3 I think we are getting some value here with the Titans losing to Pittsburgh last week. VY had 7 turnovers but yet the Titans only lost by 8 points. The Steelers defense is ridiculous so I will take this value and the three points to the cash cage as I don't see how the G'men can get it done even though they are at home. Chris Johnson should be motivated to run hard after last weeks performance. The Giants can't stop the run, and it will also be hard for them to defend VY from running wild. Lets not forget VY is a winner and a covering machine. The Giants cannot pass protect or run block despite the fact that they have no running backs, Jacobs is a crybaby and Bradshaw is a shell of his former self.
3 units. Win.
Steelers -3 Ok Tampa will be at home and they are 2-0 with wins versus the Browns and the Panthers...............yawn. The Steelers defense is almost unfair and I am not sure if the young talent on Tampa's offense will have much success against it. Batch will be at QB for the Steelers and the Bucs should be getting a steady diet of Medenhall. The Steelers have beaten two solid squads without rapistberger behind center. The Steelers will put the effort in to back up Batch and get the win. The spread on this game tells me that Vegas has no respect for Batch, but after this game Vegas will respect my account with a prompt payment.
2 units. Win.
Bengals -3 The public is pounding the Bengals which worries me because Vegas as I said earlier has been real shady so far this season. Who knows maybe this week common sense kicked in and they are giving the public a chance to get some cash money. The Bengals destroyed Flacco last week and also had a couple calls go their way against the Ravens. The Bengasl have a good defense and I don't see how Notre Lame wonder boy will be able to move on them. On the other side of the ball Palmer is garbage too but not as bad as Claussen. This will be a low scoring affair with the Bengals pulling it out 20-14.
2 units. Win.
49ers -3 Yeah it's a short week and they have to go to Arrowhead after losing to the Saints on Monday night and putting it all on the line only to lose in the end. The 49ers are a desperate team right now and I see some value here. If they don't win this game heads are gonna roll in San Fran you can write that down. The Chiefs are undefeated but they one a Monday night game at home against and overrated Chargers squad and squeaked by the Garbage Pail Kid Browns last week. The undefeated season stops here. Cassell is terrible and Todd Haley refuses to give the ball to their most talented player Jamaal Charles. Thomas Jones had twice as many carries last week than Charles but yet they both had the same amount of yardage. Not to mention Charles is on to of my fantasy teams and I am leaving points on the table because of Haley. 49ers leave KC with their first much need win.
3 units. Loss.
Eagles -3 Again I am laying money on a dog killer and I hate myself for it. That being said Jacksonville is terrible they made the Chargers look like a Superbowl team as they got their doors blown off last week. The Eagles will be playing hard in this game for the ASPCA's least favorite QB and to prove to Reid that he made the right choice. You really can't argue the logic by the Fatman. The Eagles O-line is crap and Vick has the speed to create plays as opposed to the statue like Kolb who would not doubt get sacked 10 times in this game. Eagles leave the Sunshine state with a win and Mike make sure you stay away from my dogs while you are in my state.
3 units. Win.
There we have it, 6 investments for your gambling portfolio. Enjoy!
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