Live from Vegas this week, started the trip off on a good note taking BYU -26 for some security coverage. 2-3 last week, still no where near where I'm used to being. Things were looking ok late last week then FSU let Clemson score a late TD and Arizona decided to stay in the locker room for the 2nd half. I have my bet slips in hand from the Palazzo sportsbook, who had a guy behind the counter tell me I couldn't by the 1/2 point on a single game bet. I remember my first job, know your profession people! Here is what we have:
Western Kentucky -2 The Hilltoppers are a good football team who I have been taking notice of. They travel to Arkansas State. The Redwolves put some points up on the road against the Ducks, but have been rather pedestrian as of late. I like WKU and red Grimace to take this one by more than 3.
3 units.
University of La Monroe -20 The Warhawks have had a tough schedule so far this season, well here comes a cupcake in the form of Tulane. The Green Wave are a mess and I just do not see them staying with ULM on either side of the ball. This one could get ugly quick!
2 Units
Iowa State +2. Don't look now but the Cyclones have on of the longest home winning streaks in college football. Iowa State handled Texas Tech rather easily in Lubbock last season and both teams are largely the same. The Cyclones will take this game outright.
2 Units.
Ohio -24. The Bobcats take on UMass this week. The Minutemen are soft to be nice on defense. Their offense is no juggenaut either. Ohio is good on both sides of the ball Tettleton is a player and has the Bobcats offense hitting on all cylinders
, they should have no problem covering this one.
2 Units.
Nevada -18 The Wolfpack travel to take on newcomer Texas State. Nevada can score points and they travel well, I don't see how Texas State will be able to stay with them on the scoreboard.
2 Units.
Louisiana Tech -3 The Bulldogs travel to Virginia to take on the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers have been unimpressive this year. I watched them play TCU last week and their WR's struggled to catch passes. I know that TCU is a little more staunch on defense than La Tech. However the Bulldogs can rack up points quick. I feel that Illinois is a better team then the Cavaliers so La Tech should have no issues covering the 3.
3 Units.
Friday, September 28, 2012
Saturday, September 22, 2012
NCAA WEEK #4
6-9 on the season thus far, really? As a benchmark I am #2 in my Yahoo! College ATS Pick'em league out of 2,000 people. Which tells me I am trying to be too fine with my picks. All late games for this Saturdays action and I have 5 more days until I invade the Las Vegas sportsbooks! So here we go:
San Jose State +3 I think the wrong team is favored here, even though they are on the road I do not see this teams as equals. Bothe team scan put so points up and I like getting 3 here as SJS will be ready for the Aztecs. Both teams are 2-1 with SJS coming up just short against a Stanford squad that shut down USC last week.
3 Units.
LSU -21 Not much to say here, I know everyone is calling for a close game in this contest but I feel that even though Auburn is at home they will lose interest if LSU jumps on them early. Auburn was happy to escape with a win against ULM, that tells me that the Tigers know what kind of talent they have on their team, talent that will not be able to stay with LSU even though they will be without their starting RB.
3 Units.
FSU -14 At home against Clemson who just got Sammy Watkins back, I watched the FSU game last week and they completely shut down a decent WF squad who gave FSU fits last season. Doak Campbell will be a hornets nest and teh FSU defense will be swarming. The Noles running attack is devastating, the Noles will not get a shut out by I like them to win by 17.
2 Units.
La Tech +3 Bulldogs are 9-1 SU in their last 10 contests, they travel to Illinois to take on a rejuvenated Illini team who has been playing well too. La Tech's defense travels well and they can put up some points as well. I like this game to be close not sure who will come out on top but the Bulldogs are looking forward to playing a "big time" team since their tilt with Texas A&M was washed out by Isaac.
3 Units.
Arizona +22 The Wildcats head to face the Quack Attack in Autzen Stadium, Richy Rod seems to have this team focused. The Ducks will win this game, but I think that 22 points is too much wood to lay here. The Ducks defense is pourous and I am quite sure that the Cats will keep it within 3 touchdowns, it could be closer than that if Arizona can withstand the early Oregon onslaught.
2 Units.
Lets hope for a rebound week as I sorely need one! I also need to bank roll my account for my showdown with Vegas next week! Until that time............
San Jose State +3 I think the wrong team is favored here, even though they are on the road I do not see this teams as equals. Bothe team scan put so points up and I like getting 3 here as SJS will be ready for the Aztecs. Both teams are 2-1 with SJS coming up just short against a Stanford squad that shut down USC last week.
3 Units.
LSU -21 Not much to say here, I know everyone is calling for a close game in this contest but I feel that even though Auburn is at home they will lose interest if LSU jumps on them early. Auburn was happy to escape with a win against ULM, that tells me that the Tigers know what kind of talent they have on their team, talent that will not be able to stay with LSU even though they will be without their starting RB.
3 Units.
FSU -14 At home against Clemson who just got Sammy Watkins back, I watched the FSU game last week and they completely shut down a decent WF squad who gave FSU fits last season. Doak Campbell will be a hornets nest and teh FSU defense will be swarming. The Noles running attack is devastating, the Noles will not get a shut out by I like them to win by 17.
2 Units.
La Tech +3 Bulldogs are 9-1 SU in their last 10 contests, they travel to Illinois to take on a rejuvenated Illini team who has been playing well too. La Tech's defense travels well and they can put up some points as well. I like this game to be close not sure who will come out on top but the Bulldogs are looking forward to playing a "big time" team since their tilt with Texas A&M was washed out by Isaac.
3 Units.
Arizona +22 The Wildcats head to face the Quack Attack in Autzen Stadium, Richy Rod seems to have this team focused. The Ducks will win this game, but I think that 22 points is too much wood to lay here. The Ducks defense is pourous and I am quite sure that the Cats will keep it within 3 touchdowns, it could be closer than that if Arizona can withstand the early Oregon onslaught.
2 Units.
Lets hope for a rebound week as I sorely need one! I also need to bank roll my account for my showdown with Vegas next week! Until that time............
Saturday, September 15, 2012
NCAA WEEK #3
Can't do much worse than I did last week. 1-4 is a disgusting result. 5-5 on the young season. I will be in Vegas in 13 days and a wake up and really need to tighten up my shot group. I felt good about all of my picks last week too, oh well. Lets see what we have for this Saturday.
Northern Illinois -3 @ Army: Golden Knights are a plausible squad, but this spread tells me that Vegas dislikes money. NIU played Iowa very tough, granted Iowa is what they are but it was in Iowa, they are still a Big 10 team, and Kirk Ferentz is still their coach. NIU takes this one by a TD.
3 Units.
Utah State +14 @ Wisconsin: Aggies can play some defense and are not afraid to play in a hostile environment such as Camp Randall. The Badgers are a paper tiger, still living off the hype of Russell Wilson who is in Seattle as the Seahawks QB. Aggies keep this game close and low scoring.
3 Units.
VT -10 @ Pitt: Pitt is just flat out a bad team, it seems like they have given up now that the mustache is no longer roaming the sidelines. The Panthers have been beaten handily by The Penguins (Youngstown State type, not the Pittsburgh ones) and were embarrassed by Cincy on national television just like my Alma matter was on Thursday night. I digress. You know what you are getting with VT, slow out of the box and they start building steam. Beamer's boys will get together in this contest.
3 Units.
Ohio State -17 vs Cal: This game should be a blowout, that being said since I am taking it Cal will win by 40. In reality I think the Buckeyes had a much tougher test last week with UCF who has a solid defense, I know that the Bears put up 50 on Southern Utah but this is still a team who lost to Nevada by 7 at home, lets hope this game is covered up by halftime!
2 Units.
Wake Forest +28 @ FSU: Remember this game last year? Jimbo Fisher does. The Demon Deacons knocked off an athletic UNC squad last week and were no doubt focused on this game. This is FSU first D1 test of the year, I feel like this will be a tight game and FSU will pull it out late. I like this possibility of being up 35 points if Wake scores first as well.
4 Units.
There you have it. Enjoy. Until that day!
Northern Illinois -3 @ Army: Golden Knights are a plausible squad, but this spread tells me that Vegas dislikes money. NIU played Iowa very tough, granted Iowa is what they are but it was in Iowa, they are still a Big 10 team, and Kirk Ferentz is still their coach. NIU takes this one by a TD.
3 Units.
Utah State +14 @ Wisconsin: Aggies can play some defense and are not afraid to play in a hostile environment such as Camp Randall. The Badgers are a paper tiger, still living off the hype of Russell Wilson who is in Seattle as the Seahawks QB. Aggies keep this game close and low scoring.
3 Units.
VT -10 @ Pitt: Pitt is just flat out a bad team, it seems like they have given up now that the mustache is no longer roaming the sidelines. The Panthers have been beaten handily by The Penguins (Youngstown State type, not the Pittsburgh ones) and were embarrassed by Cincy on national television just like my Alma matter was on Thursday night. I digress. You know what you are getting with VT, slow out of the box and they start building steam. Beamer's boys will get together in this contest.
3 Units.
Ohio State -17 vs Cal: This game should be a blowout, that being said since I am taking it Cal will win by 40. In reality I think the Buckeyes had a much tougher test last week with UCF who has a solid defense, I know that the Bears put up 50 on Southern Utah but this is still a team who lost to Nevada by 7 at home, lets hope this game is covered up by halftime!
2 Units.
Wake Forest +28 @ FSU: Remember this game last year? Jimbo Fisher does. The Demon Deacons knocked off an athletic UNC squad last week and were no doubt focused on this game. This is FSU first D1 test of the year, I feel like this will be a tight game and FSU will pull it out late. I like this possibility of being up 35 points if Wake scores first as well.
4 Units.
There you have it. Enjoy. Until that day!
Thursday, September 6, 2012
NCAA WEEK #2 2012
Not a bad start to the gambling season, lets see if we can improve upon last weeks effort.
Mizzou +2 The Tigers are at home against UGA. Some pre game chatter has been had and Georgia is looking to hand the SEC newcomer a beating. Won't happen. The Dawgs defense looked soft against the Bulls last week and they are now missing their best defensive player. The Dawgs had no answer for Zordich so I do not see how they will stop Franklin. Tigers outright.
2 Units
Nevada -1 The Wolfpack had a solid debut on the road at Cal last week, I look for them to continue that success this week as they should handle the USF Bulls rather easily. The Bulls cannot play on the west coast and were unimpressive in their win against a D2 school last week.
2 Units
Air Force +21 Alabama might be beating Michigan two weeks in a row. The Falcons come to the Big House to face the wounded Wolverine squad in this contest. I am not sure the Wolverines will react and come out after waving goodbye to their season in week 1. Falcons won't win here but they will keep it within 3 touchdowns.
2 Units
Vandy -3 I am riding the Commodores again this week. They played a solid Carolina team tough last week and I don't see Northwestern continuing their winning streak here. Granted the 'Cats put some points up on the board but also gave a ton up against a less than formidable Syracuse team, Vandy gets into the win column here.
2 Units
Arkansas State -22 The Red Wolves went into Autzen and put up some points, granted the Ducks called off the dogs in the 2nd half but 34 points against the Ducks is impressive nonetheless. I am also willing to bet that Oregons 2nd and 3rd stringers are better than anyone Memphis has on the roster. The Red Wolves caught my eye last season and its time they get a chance to earn for me. The Tigers are garbage and this game will be a blow out.
3 Units
There you have it folks, short and sweet. Pressed for time this week so no flowery words of wisdom! Just $$$$ Enjoy.
Mizzou +2 The Tigers are at home against UGA. Some pre game chatter has been had and Georgia is looking to hand the SEC newcomer a beating. Won't happen. The Dawgs defense looked soft against the Bulls last week and they are now missing their best defensive player. The Dawgs had no answer for Zordich so I do not see how they will stop Franklin. Tigers outright.
2 Units
Nevada -1 The Wolfpack had a solid debut on the road at Cal last week, I look for them to continue that success this week as they should handle the USF Bulls rather easily. The Bulls cannot play on the west coast and were unimpressive in their win against a D2 school last week.
2 Units
Air Force +21 Alabama might be beating Michigan two weeks in a row. The Falcons come to the Big House to face the wounded Wolverine squad in this contest. I am not sure the Wolverines will react and come out after waving goodbye to their season in week 1. Falcons won't win here but they will keep it within 3 touchdowns.
2 Units
Vandy -3 I am riding the Commodores again this week. They played a solid Carolina team tough last week and I don't see Northwestern continuing their winning streak here. Granted the 'Cats put some points up on the board but also gave a ton up against a less than formidable Syracuse team, Vandy gets into the win column here.
2 Units
Arkansas State -22 The Red Wolves went into Autzen and put up some points, granted the Ducks called off the dogs in the 2nd half but 34 points against the Ducks is impressive nonetheless. I am also willing to bet that Oregons 2nd and 3rd stringers are better than anyone Memphis has on the roster. The Red Wolves caught my eye last season and its time they get a chance to earn for me. The Tigers are garbage and this game will be a blow out.
3 Units
There you have it folks, short and sweet. Pressed for time this week so no flowery words of wisdom! Just $$$$ Enjoy.
Friday, August 31, 2012
NCAA WEEK #1 2012
It is that time again, time for me to defend my crown against the savages of the pick 'em crew. Will it be a three peat for The Blanket, lets hope so! I started out on the right foot last night with some 2 unit action on Vanderbilt +7 in a covered loss. I generally do not like to go to heavy on Week #1 contests so all of my plays will be small here.
Boise State +8 The Broncos travel to East Lansing for a tilt with Sparty on prime time tonight. Boise St. does not shy away from these week #1 road dog contests. Sparty is solid on defense this season, however I am afraid the offense cannot say the same. Boise State lost some pieces as well but they are a well coached team so I am comfortable with them staying with Sparty in what should be a low scoring Michigan State win. I'll take the 8 points.
2 Units.
Ohio +7 The Bobcats have built up a decent little program, Penn State needless to say is in shambles. 7 points might be a tad much here but I am not complaining. Penn State has lost an awful lot in the off season. Their new head coach will have them ready but I am not sure if the talent is that much better than what Ohio has to offer. Another tight game here as the Nittany Lions pull off the squeaker.
1 Unit.
Tennessee -3 The Vols travel to meet the Wolfpack, Tennessee will be an improved team this year, even with the loss of their top WR as he had his invitation to the game pulled for trying to be the next Kenny Britt. N.C State is a decent squad but Dooley's boys are improved this year. This spread tells us that these two teams are even in Vegas's eyes, lets hope the Vols make the scoreboard uneven.
2 Units.
Michigan +14 Why not? Here is how I see this game, If the Wolverines can win the time of posses ion game and not have any turnovers they should be able to keep this game close. Alot of if's I know but Denard Robinson can make an early Heisman statement here with a solid performance. Alabama has a stout defense as per usual but their offense is what concerns me here. hoke has had all off season to prepare for this one. I like the Wolverines to cover but Bama will get the outright win by single digit points.
1 Unit.
There we have it, I was tempted to make a play on WVU but I do not care for laying 25 points to a instate rival. Lets start the season off playing it smart! Until that day...................
It is that time again, time for me to defend my crown against the savages of the pick 'em crew. Will it be a three peat for The Blanket, lets hope so! I started out on the right foot last night with some 2 unit action on Vanderbilt +7 in a covered loss. I generally do not like to go to heavy on Week #1 contests so all of my plays will be small here.
Boise State +8 The Broncos travel to East Lansing for a tilt with Sparty on prime time tonight. Boise St. does not shy away from these week #1 road dog contests. Sparty is solid on defense this season, however I am afraid the offense cannot say the same. Boise State lost some pieces as well but they are a well coached team so I am comfortable with them staying with Sparty in what should be a low scoring Michigan State win. I'll take the 8 points.
2 Units.
Ohio +7 The Bobcats have built up a decent little program, Penn State needless to say is in shambles. 7 points might be a tad much here but I am not complaining. Penn State has lost an awful lot in the off season. Their new head coach will have them ready but I am not sure if the talent is that much better than what Ohio has to offer. Another tight game here as the Nittany Lions pull off the squeaker.
1 Unit.
Tennessee -3 The Vols travel to meet the Wolfpack, Tennessee will be an improved team this year, even with the loss of their top WR as he had his invitation to the game pulled for trying to be the next Kenny Britt. N.C State is a decent squad but Dooley's boys are improved this year. This spread tells us that these two teams are even in Vegas's eyes, lets hope the Vols make the scoreboard uneven.
2 Units.
Michigan +14 Why not? Here is how I see this game, If the Wolverines can win the time of posses ion game and not have any turnovers they should be able to keep this game close. Alot of if's I know but Denard Robinson can make an early Heisman statement here with a solid performance. Alabama has a stout defense as per usual but their offense is what concerns me here. hoke has had all off season to prepare for this one. I like the Wolverines to cover but Bama will get the outright win by single digit points.
1 Unit.
There we have it, I was tempted to make a play on WVU but I do not care for laying 25 points to a instate rival. Lets start the season off playing it smart! Until that day...................
Saturday, December 3, 2011
NCAA Week 14 Pick 'em
Awful week last week, 1-4 is a disgusting effort. However the season is coming to a close and I would like it to end on A positive note. I started the weekend off with a win on Thursday night as I bet on WVU to beat USF whilst I was in attendance. 1-6 in the Big East, thanks alot Skippy! I will not be watching that much college football today as I will be prepping for my attendance at tonight's Lightning vs. Rangers game. Here is what I have:
Texas +3 I'm not that comfortable with the Bears laying points even at home. Texas has been playing better since Lil Mccoy was put back in at QB. Should be a very close game.
2 Units.
LSU -14 I had crow to eat on Thanksgiving weekend as the Tigers were one of the teams that made me eat it. Never again. That was the game that was supposed to have tripped them up. You just can't handicap a game and forecast turnovers. UGA is 10-2 but their schedule has been....shall we say comfortable? I don't expect this Les Miles team to take the foot off the gas as the Bulldogs will be out played and soundly beaten in the Georgia Dome for the 2nd time this season!
3 Units.
Virginia Tech -7 The Hokies made me look like an idiot last week as I took Virginia and looked very stupid in doing so. Revenge game here and VT will be all over Clemson who beat them by 20 to give them their sole loss of the season. These two teams have been going in different directions the last few weeks as the Tigers have been practicing laying eggs. VT wins by 9.
2 Units.
Oklahoma State -3 I think Mike Gundy is too good of a coach to let his team have another let down here. I am concerned about the injuries to the Sooners key players on offense and I think that will come into play in this game. Both teams have had a ton of time to prepare for this game should be a good one with the Pokes pulling out a 6 point win.
3 Units.
Michigan State +10 Game is being played were a team that used to be the Colts played. So neither team will have an advantage. Wisconsin has not impressed me this year, while Sparty has done just enough to keep getting wins. I don't think Michigan State wins but I like them to keep it within 10 points.
2 Units.
There you have it, hopefully I close the college football season out on a positive note!
Thursday, November 24, 2011
NCAA Week #13 Pick 'em
Thanksgiving Day and I have had nothing to eat yet, this computer isn't looking half bad right now. Back at this week, getting my picks in with at least 24 hours to spare. Locked my picks in on Tuesday morning, since then the lines have moved the on publicly backed dogs, which scares me a little bit. Oh well, we will drive on any how. No NFL picks this weekend either, just haven't liked any spreads as of late. Here is what I have for College action:
Arkansas +13 Last week at Miss State was a classic look ahead game for the Razorbacks, they didn't take the bait................Arkansas came out focused on both ends of the field. I am aware they play much better at home, like any team. However, they always play LSU tough. Here is my thinking on why I am taking the points and Arkansas when I took LSU +5 when they played Alabama, even though Alabama thumped Arkansas. Still with me? Alabama has a NFL secondary which managed to cause coverage pressure, LSU while an excellent defense just does not have as good a secondary as 'Bama. Therefore, I do not foresee them being able to handle Wilson, Gragg, Childs and Adams as well as the Tide. Make sense? Alot of pressure on LSU here, day game............that makes Death Valley more like Happy Valley. LSU wins a tight game, 3-5 points will be the difference.Loss.
4 Units.
Cal +6 Cal has covered 4 of 5 and been pretty competitive this season, Arizona State has lost 4 of 5 failing to cover their last 3. Arizona State's last win was against mighty Colorado. I get it, the Sun Devils have a 12' 8" QB and an overrated LB..........ok. I realize that Cal is not a strong road team but I still think we are getting 3 more points our way from Vegas. I'll take it!Win.
4 Units.
Virginia +5 Simply put I am not sold on the Hokies and they will struggle in this game to a sleeper Cavalier team. Virginia is a 5 point dog in their own house. Staunch defense and solid QB play from Rocco will get this team and us a W. The Cavs new coach is a good story and has this team focused, VT won't be able to count on points off Beamer Ball as this Cavalier team is too disciplined.Loss.
3 Units.
Notre Dame +8 Stanford better be careful here, their season is all but over anyways but I am sure they do not want a 2nd loss here. Notre Dame struggles against fast defenses (USF) but Stanford has a slow defense which struggles to cover the edges. I have been waiting for the Cardinal to get exposed all season long, the Ducks beat them soundly. I think they will be in for a surprise with ND giving them all they can handle, Luck has not been impressive this year and is missing his best WR, so the Stanford offense could struggle in the passing game and ND is decent against the run, which always helps when facing a running back by committee. Loss.
4 Units.
Duke +13 The Blue Devils are 3-8 but they do like to hang around like a fly that will not be swatted. Rivalry game here as the dislike between the two schools is heating up with BB season underway. UNC has already mailed it in as they already have become bowl eligible in what has been a disappointing season for them. Duke won't lay down and forces you to beat them down till the end of the game, 13 points is too much in this contest.Loss.
3 Units.
There you have it my friends, enjoy your Thanksgivings and stuffed wallets. Also keep an eye on the Texas A&M vs. Texas game, that line is getting a little high, if it hits +10, might be time for a small play! If anybody sees Joker out and about give him a hug as he seems like he is about to set himself ablaze. I think all this Skyrim playing has had an affect on his handicapping skills!
Arkansas +13 Last week at Miss State was a classic look ahead game for the Razorbacks, they didn't take the bait................Arkansas came out focused on both ends of the field. I am aware they play much better at home, like any team. However, they always play LSU tough. Here is my thinking on why I am taking the points and Arkansas when I took LSU +5 when they played Alabama, even though Alabama thumped Arkansas. Still with me? Alabama has a NFL secondary which managed to cause coverage pressure, LSU while an excellent defense just does not have as good a secondary as 'Bama. Therefore, I do not foresee them being able to handle Wilson, Gragg, Childs and Adams as well as the Tide. Make sense? Alot of pressure on LSU here, day game............that makes Death Valley more like Happy Valley. LSU wins a tight game, 3-5 points will be the difference.Loss.
4 Units.
Cal +6 Cal has covered 4 of 5 and been pretty competitive this season, Arizona State has lost 4 of 5 failing to cover their last 3. Arizona State's last win was against mighty Colorado. I get it, the Sun Devils have a 12' 8" QB and an overrated LB..........ok. I realize that Cal is not a strong road team but I still think we are getting 3 more points our way from Vegas. I'll take it!Win.
4 Units.
Virginia +5 Simply put I am not sold on the Hokies and they will struggle in this game to a sleeper Cavalier team. Virginia is a 5 point dog in their own house. Staunch defense and solid QB play from Rocco will get this team and us a W. The Cavs new coach is a good story and has this team focused, VT won't be able to count on points off Beamer Ball as this Cavalier team is too disciplined.Loss.
3 Units.
Notre Dame +8 Stanford better be careful here, their season is all but over anyways but I am sure they do not want a 2nd loss here. Notre Dame struggles against fast defenses (USF) but Stanford has a slow defense which struggles to cover the edges. I have been waiting for the Cardinal to get exposed all season long, the Ducks beat them soundly. I think they will be in for a surprise with ND giving them all they can handle, Luck has not been impressive this year and is missing his best WR, so the Stanford offense could struggle in the passing game and ND is decent against the run, which always helps when facing a running back by committee. Loss.
4 Units.
Duke +13 The Blue Devils are 3-8 but they do like to hang around like a fly that will not be swatted. Rivalry game here as the dislike between the two schools is heating up with BB season underway. UNC has already mailed it in as they already have become bowl eligible in what has been a disappointing season for them. Duke won't lay down and forces you to beat them down till the end of the game, 13 points is too much in this contest.Loss.
3 Units.
There you have it my friends, enjoy your Thanksgivings and stuffed wallets. Also keep an eye on the Texas A&M vs. Texas game, that line is getting a little high, if it hits +10, might be time for a small play! If anybody sees Joker out and about give him a hug as he seems like he is about to set himself ablaze. I think all this Skyrim playing has had an affect on his handicapping skills!
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