Game Theory Radio

Thursday, December 18, 2008

Week 16 NFL Action

Simple equation folks, my picks+ your money= profits for you. I went 3-1-1 last week which in my terms would be graded as ok. I will put forth a great effort to this week to increase our bottom line. Much like most of you my account was hammered by the purchase of Christmas presents, bye bye credit limit. I have a total of 8 games this weekend, me likey.


Jags+7 vs. Colts: The Jaguars hate the Colts and want to beat them badly. This will be Jacksonville's superbowl. Last week the Colts struggled at home versus the Lions and the Jags managed a win against the Pack. Look for MJD to have a huge game, the colts simply cannot stop the run and Drew scorced them in their first meeting. This series is usually very close, 11 of 13 contests have been by 8 points or less. Push, hello same amount of money, I hate giving interest free loans, and the Jags hate having 2 TD leads.


Chiefs +4 vs. Dolphins: Dolphins can't cover spreads at home, so why are they favored in KC and at Arrowhead in December of all places. The Dolphins will have no answer for Gonzalez or Bowe, Thigpen has continued to play well and even though the Dolphins don't turn the ball over I just don't see them covering at Arrowhead. I like the Chiefs to win outright. Loss, bye bye money, the begining of a terrible Sunday for my accounty.


Lions +7 vs. Saints: It just occured to me that I am taking the home dogs alot so far, that usually tends to pay dividends in the accounty. That being said I think the Lions will win their first game here against the Saints, Drew Brees is not good on the road and the Lions have been playing hard. So the Saints have nothing to play for and will be sans Reggie Bush, Meanwhile the Lions are looking to avoid a trip to the NFL HOF for the wrong reasons. Somehow I don't see Jason David being able to cover Calvin Johnson, also look for Kevin Smith to get involved in the passing game to because the Saints are 11th versus the run. Loss, bye bye money, the Lions hate me and my accounty.


Bengals +3 @ Browns: Ken Dorsey is terrible, wow, I don't think I have ever seen a QB that bad, which begs the question why don't the Browns just leave Josh Cribbs in at QB. Also Jamal Lewis might be the slowest human being on the face of the earth, the fans will be all over Braylon Edwards.................................FROM? Michigan, apparently there are some hostilities between the fans and Edwards. Cedric "DUI" Benson.................................FROM? Texas, ran wild on the Redskins and Ryan Fitzpatrick............................FROM? Harvard played pretty well against the Redskins secondary. Win, hello money. Wow everyone look, I actually covered a game.


Steelers -2 @ Titans: Titans will be without Vanden Bosch and Haynesworth, I don't think the Titans have the firepower to score enough points on the Steelers defense, which has been playing lights out. As I stated earlier the Titans have had a relatively easy schedule this year, I don't see the combo of Johnson and White doing much against the Steelers D, forcing Collins into tough throwing situations. I like the Steelers here. Loss, bye bye money. I forgot Big Ben hates having footballs in his hand, maybe put some more gloves on.


Texans -7 @ Raiders: The Raiders are a dumpster fire, the Texans are playing for their first winning season. Andre Johnson is unstoppable, Matt Schaub and Steve Slaton have been excellent as well. I think the Texans would even cover this one if Sage Rosenchoker himself were playing. Loss, bye bye money. Are the Raiders becoming....................decent?


Seahawks +5 vs. Jets: I like this game ALOT, the Jets can't win on the west coast let alone cover. Seneca Wallace = a covering machine, Seneca Wallace...............................FROM? Iowa State. The Jets are a tad overrated in my opinion and I think they are starting to see their cracks. Plus the Jets have a showdown with the patriots next week, no doubt they will look past Seattle, who by the way New England squeaked by. The public is pounding the Jets to the tune of 76%, me likey. I think Seattle wins this one outright. Win. Hello money, this one was easy though. The "Backdoor Bandit" struck again.


Eagles -5 @ Redskins: Well at least the Eagles tied the vaunted Bengals. The Eagles have been playing great football lately, the Redskins not so much. I look for the Eagles to keep on rolling as they hope to stay alive in the playoff hunt. Mcnabb, Westbrook and Jackson should have nice games. Loss, bye bye money. I seem to always be a week off on when the Eagles will decide to play.

That's all my action, enjoy as the regular season is winding down and its time to pry the rest of vegas's money from their hands!!!

Saturday, December 13, 2008

Week 15 NFL Picks

Today is a sad day, no college football. Very depressing, none the less there is money to be made my friends. I have picked 5 of the best games I thought would like to make us money. Here are my 5 NFL Picks up:

49ers +7 @ Miami: Miami simply can't cover more than 3 points, need examples? Rams 16-12 Seahawks 21-19, both of those contests were road wins for Miami. That being said the 49ers have been playing well under Singletary (3-2 with losses to Dallas and Arizona) Frank Gore will probably not be playing and Deshaun Foster is not very good. However, i think the 49ers will play that much harder as a result. Shaun Hill takes care of the ball and the 49ers defense can get to the QB. Win. Hello money. Dolphins haven't given up a touchdown in a while, but the 49ers like my accounty.


Chiefs +6 vs. Chargers: Public betting is pounding the Chargers to the tune of 81%. Me likey . Chiefs lost to the Chargers by 1 point in their last meeting. Since then the Chiefs have got Larry Johnson back and Thigpen has been playing even better, due to San Diego's lack of a pass rush and KC's O-line Thigpen should be able to hit Gonzalez and Bowe against the Chargers lackluster secondary. Tomlinson did not fair too well against the Chiefs poor rush D in the first meeting I look for the same in this match up. San Diego is a cocky team, known for taken "inferior" opponents for granted. Win. Hello Money. I hate the Chargers they should have lost outright, but the Chiefs hate playing 4th quater defense.


Redskins -7 @ Bengals: Bye bye Bengals. Look for the Redskins to turn their season around here. I don't see the Bengals defensive line coming anywhere near Jason Campbell. Portis probably won't have that great of a day becasue somehow the Bengals have been able to stop the run. Cedric Benson only likes getting DUI's and hates running with football's, this will force Fitzpatrick into long yardage situations, something he does not fair to well at. Chris Samuels is out but I dont think the Bengals will be able to take advantage of that. Redskins comfortably. Loss. Bye Bye Money. The Redskins are awful and should have to play in the AFL.


Texans +3 vs Titans: 86% of public money is on the Titans, bye bye public money. Texans win 34-20. Even though they have made me alot of money this year, the Titans have had a relatively easy schedule. The Texans are 7-0 ATS as home dogs, going 5-2 SU, me likey. I personally will be going heavy on this game. Shaub is back and has been out of his mind, Slaton and Johnson cant be stopped. Andre Johnson.........................................................FROM??? Miami. I win. Barring an appearance by Sage Rosenchoker this game likes my accounty. Plus the Titans have the Colts and Steelers to finish out the season, I don't see them going all out against a team they beat by 19 earlier this year. Win. Hello money. Texans are undervalued.


Falcons -3 vs. Bucs: Bye bye Jovan Haye and Chris Hovan, Garcia questionable as well. Payback time my friends, the Falcons gift wrapped the game for the Bucs earlier this year. And an NFC South visitor has yet to win a road game against a conference opponent this year. Matt Ryan has come a long way from his first performance against the Bucs and these two teams hate each other, and I personally loathe the Bucs. Falcons must win this game to get to the playoffs and they will do just that. Push. As long as my Falcons win with out costing me money, me likey.

There we have it people, the season is winding down, unlike my accounty, lets go 5-0 tomorrow!!

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

NCAA football picks December 6th games

The Blanket is back after a superb Sunday, I went 5-2 on my NFL action last weekend. I made a healthy profit, unfortunately 30% of that profit was eaten up by some awful picks given to me on my Saturday college action. I outsourced my NCAA picks prior to this week because the source of the picks couldn't cover a dish. How does one go 0-3 in college football picks?? So I have taken some time away from my NFL picks to research my college picks, Here is what I have:


Ball St. -14.5 vs Buffalo: I have been waiting all year for Ball St. to lose, not gonna happen. Buffalo hates playing defense and they just lost to Kent St. who does that besides Kent Tech? Nate Davis will light up the Bulls. I would like to see Ball St. play Notre Dame in a bowl game. "The Indiana Incandescent Bowl" (I dont know what that means) But wouldn't it be funny to watch the fat man eat sandwiches while Nate Davis passes for 18 miles?? Anyway I digress. Testicle Tech beats the Bulls easily.


Pitt +3 @ UCONN: This game will be the battle of the RB's, I say they cancel each other out, I dont think Lorenzen can keep UCONN in the lead, Pitt has done better in similar matchups than has UCONN, so I will take the Panthers in a close game.


USC -30 @ UCLA: Last chance for a statement game, last chance for Carroll to boat race Nuehisel (sp?) for that ad in the paper before the season. UCLA is a prom night dumpster baby. I honestly do not think that UCLA will score a point, watching their offense stings the eyeballs, poor Kevin Craft will probably be fused to the turf after the first quater. USC puts up at least 50, I am going to load up on this game.


Cincy -7 (buy the point) @ Hawaii: Bye bye Warriors, Hawaii struggled with Washington St. Tony Pike hates pineapples, Marty Gilyard hates necklaces made of flowers. I look for the Bearcats to tune up Hawaii in preperation for their BCS bowl game, must be nice to go to a BCS game, thanks USF :( ........ Brian Kelly hates losing as much as he hates not reading careerbuilder.com everyday. OH!! The Bearcats D is rather stout, they bottled up Grothe so I don't see Ionake Funake being able to run much, Cincy also has a very nice secondary.


Florida -9.5 vs Alabama: This game scares me, people are pounding Florida, which scares me even more. That being said looking at competitors they have in common Florida seems to have the advantage. Last time I bet against Florida they covered in 10 minutes and I was getting 24 points. I have to side with the Gators for the win, but 9.5 points that is a little rich for me. I think the line should be more like 3. Percy Harvin is hurt and Tebow is a little nicked up as well, but the Gators have won their last few games by like 28 points. I personally think the SEC is a tad overrated, and in my opinion 'Bama does not have a quality win, both Clemson and Georgia are frauds in my mind. So I am going to stick with Florida, but I will go light on this game.

Oklahoma -16.5@ Mizzou: This is free money, the Pokes destroyed Mizzou at home, Oklahoma destroys everyone they play, even my Dad is walking around with a Sam Bradford jersey on. Mizzou hates defense and Chase Daniels loves Colt McCoy and sandwiches, Sooners HUGE, Bradford will throw 9678686956087540540 touchdowns and have 7776598657765797976=9697=95717671=746=76=67=17676=097=654463 yards passing.

That's all I have folks, lets make a ton of money and pay off those Christmas presents early!!

Thursday, November 27, 2008

Turkey Day Picks!!

The Blanket is on the road at the families house, that's right my friends even professional handicappers/ degenerate gamblers celebrate the holidays. I have some picks that are destined to stuff your wallet with some Turkey Cash!! Here we go short and sweet:


Titans -11.5 @ Lions: Im fading the Lions, they will lose this game by 21 points. Tennessee is pissed off and this will be a statement game. Culpepper will continue to steal money from the Lions, Drew Henson is his back up, good luck with that.


Cowboys -13 vs Seahawks: If this game wasnt on Turkey Day I would take the Seahawks, but it is Romo covers easily on Thanksgiving. He will have a good day today as well against the Seahawks Pass D, Seattle will not be able to run the ball either.


Cardianls +3 @ Eagles: Eagles are a prom night dumpster baby right now, Westbrook is really banged up, they have no running game and no playmakers, Mcnabb cant pass the ball to himself. Right now I dont think the Eagles should be laying points to anyone. I dont care that the Cards traveled cross country, im tired of hearing that crap. The Cards will claim another NFC east victim today.


There you have it my loyal readers enjoy your holiday and your profits.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Week 12 NFL Action

Loyal readers and degenerate gamblers, I am at a loss. Vegas was piling up money last weekend until the 4pm games kicked off then Vegas looked up at the flat screens and said "bye bye money" Vegas sportsbooks had another horrible week. This is most likely due to the parity in the NFL this year. I have not yet conferred with my battle Billy Vegas yet today, I was placed on timeout for watching hockey while I was awaiting "The Shield" to start. Here is what I have so far. (Please keep in mind that double digit favorites are 1-12 ATS this year)

Titans -5 vs Jets: Heavy public betting on the Jets. This will be a statement game for the Titans as the Jets are 7-3 and the Titans are still looking to be recognized for their 10-0 start. Brett "I can throw interceptions too" Favre is due a choke game, since it didnt happen against the Patriots the Human Turnover machine might make an appearance here. The Jets Kris Jenkins has done well stopping the run, but at the same time Collins has proven he can do more than just manage then game by passing for 200 yards or more the last 2 games. Im riding the Titans till the wheels fall off. Loss. Titans suck, fuck them.

Vikings +3 @ Jags: Jags can't stop the run, Peterson will be able to open up the play action game for Frerotte to hit Berrian and Shaincoe (sp?) down the field against Jax's lackluster secondary. The Jags are deflated after their loss to the Titans and will come out flat. Meanwhile Brad Clueless will have a game plan in place to make sure that the Vikings leave their Florida road trip 1 and 1. Win. who cares.


Chiefs +3 vs Bills: Why is Buffalo laying points to the Chiefs on the road in Arrowhead of all places? I cant figure that one out. Trent Edwards has no confidence right now. 80% of the publics money is on the Bills, and remember the theme, Vegas is desperate right now for cash. The Chiefs have lost their last 3 games by an average of 2.7 points, those games were against the Bucs, Chargers and Jets. Thigpen is playing well, while the Chiefs defense is playing well I like the Chiefs spread offense in this one Thigpen will throw because Buffalo should be able to handle the running game of the Chiefs. Loss. Chiefs suck


Lions +8.5 vs. Bucs: The Bucs are 2-7 ATS as road favorites since 2004, they played like crap at Dallas and at KC. Plus the Bucs have 3 consecutive conference games after this date with the hapless Lions. The Bucs have been inconsistent in the red zone all year, plus Lions coach Marinelli coached with the Bucs for years and knows them well as evident by Detroit beating the Bucs in Tampa last year. Despite their blowout loss against a desperate Jags team the Lions have been competitive in every game since Oct. 12th, losing to teams with .500 records or better. Loss. Lions are pathetic and have zero heart, fuck the bucs too.


49ers +10.5 @ Cowboys: That is alot of wood for the Cowboys to be laying. Sean Hill has been playing well under center. The 49ers have been playing well for Singletary, they blew it against the Cardinals in the last minute, but they blew out the Rams last week. Look for the 49ers to come out confident and for Dallas to overlook them. 88% of the publics money is on the 49ers, if that gets closer to 50% by sunday I will go heavy on this game. Romo is 3-10 ATS as a 7 point favorite, (excluding Thanksgiving day 5-10). Remember the 49ers played the Cards tougher than the Cowboys did this year, so that 10. 5 points Im getting makes me feel comfortable. Loss. Singletary needs to be fired, he sux and so does his team.



Raiders +9.5 @ Broncos: Divisonal game, Raiders will be looking for revenge after the blowout earlier this season by the Broncos. Russel and Mcfadden will be back in the line up and I look for Fargas to have a big day against Denver's so-so pass defense. I dont see the Broncos being able to match the Raiders intensity in this one as the Broncos are 2 games up in the standings and have a big date with the jets next week.


Falcons -1 vs Panthers: This is a statement game for the Falcons, the "mighty" Panthers are 8-2, even though Delhomme has not played well as of late, Matt Ryan has played well. The Falcons have to take this game at home to gain credibility and keep up with the pack. The Panthers have a good pass defense so look for Turner to have a big game. I also expect the Atlanta secondary to make some plays and take advantage of Delhomme's propensity to throw pics as of late.


Redskins -3.5 @ Seahawks: This could be a big unit play for me. The Redskins are in a tough spot and need this win bad, and lets not count out the revenge factor from the playoffs last year. Hassleback will be playing, after just having a concussion last week. The Redskins secondary is solid and I dont see Jones doing much running against Washinton. Portis should be starting which will help Campbell go downfield to torch the Seahawks skeleton crew secondary.


Packers +2.5 @ New Orleans: Green Bay likes to cover for me when they are dogs, and makes me pay when I go against them. (Thanks Bears) That being said the Packers are healthy and playing well. Ryan Grant has woke up and is playing well, New Orleans will have no running game in this contest. I look for Rodgers to have a big day as Jennings and Driver will boatrace the Saints terrible secondary.




Thats what I have so far people I have a couple more games to look at and I might make some changes, but The Blanket is not feeling to well today and needs his rest!!

Sunday, November 16, 2008

Weekend Recap

What started out as a nice money making weekend going 4-0 on our college action (actually 3-0-1 thanks to bodog's bullshit Ohio St. line) quickly went to shit starting at 1 pm eastern time. I went 2-3 on my NFL action, which washed away alot of my college profits. That being said I am now very angry and looking for revenge. Vegas you need to deal with the fact that I have increased my account by 5x my deposit amount so far this season, so I have alot of your money in my pocket. The rest of the NFL season has now become personal, your bullshit lines are starting to piss me off and I am glad to see your false line on the Jags game blew up in your face. So get ready for a bar fight Vegas, nothing more foolish than pissing me off when money is on the line.

Friday, November 14, 2008

Week 11 NFL picks

Vegas and all sportsbooks across the land were absolutely hammered last week with the NFL slate of action, lets hope vegas has another bad week, becasue when vegas does bad, we do well. As a result of their huge losses last week, they have made the lines extremely difficult. So I have done my best to pick the best games I could here we go:

Falcons -6 vs Broncos: Atlanta is unbeaten at home, and the Falcons defense did a great job containing the Saints powerful offense. In comes the Broncos and Jay Cutler, no doubt Cutler can wing it, but the Broncos have Tatum Bellhop at RB, bye bye rushing game. Denver's defense is not to good, I look for Matt Ryan to have another big day as well as "Marta" ( the fans nickname for Micheal Turner) I can't believe that my beloved Falcons can actually make a playoff appearance this year. Loss. Bye bye money. Well same old Falcons, couldnt score against a beaten up and not good to begin with Broncos defense. Fuck off falcons, you suck.


Bucs -4 vs. Vikings: The Bucs have never covered for me, that being said im due. This is a big game for them. I dont see Frerotte throwing for many yards on the Bucs D and I do not think Peterson can get it done by himself, lets hope the Bucs take this one coming off the bye week. Win. Hello money. About time the Bucs covered for me. Im glad they beat the Vikings.


Titans -3 @ Jags: All the trends in this one point to taking the Jags in this game. But I just dont see it. The two teams hate each other and I dont see this being a let down game for the Titans, Collins proved he could throw against the Bears and the Titans will be able to run the ball against the Jags. The Titans D is great they should take the Jags WR's out of the game, forcing Jax to run the ball, we will see how that works out for them. Win. Hello money. Titans came alive in the 2nd half and the D line was all over Garrard.


Eagles -9 vs Bengals: I m expecting the Eagles to come out firing in this one, lets not forget what they did to Seattle at Qwest field, they played the giants tough and Philly is in desperate need of a win, and on gue here come the lowly Bengals, regardless if Palmer plays or not I dont think the Bengals d can stop Mcnabb and Westbrook. Loss. Bye bye money. A tie? Against the Bengals? yeah, enjoy the NFC East cellar Fagles, your team sucks.


Bears +3.5 @ Packers: Must win game for both teams. Bears played the Titans tough last week with a backup at QB. Ryan Grant will be a non-factor in this game. Matt Forte is a young Brian Westbrook in my eyes, I look for him to have a huge game. I am not sold on Aaron Rodgers, so I like the Bears to keep this one close. Loss. Bye bye money. Too much listening to my battle about Kyle Orton, the bottom line is he sucks and the Bears are fucking garbage.