Thursday, October 15, 2009
Prime time pants shiting......................
I was utterly and profusely embarrassed by my Alma mater tonight. Nothing worse than getting the shit kicked out of you in your own house. Hats off to the Bearcats as they made the pathetic Bulls look like dime store hookers. Really USF defensive coordinator, really? No wonder you got fired from Cincinnati, because you are hot garbage, a proverbial Mount Trashmore. As a result of this game I will not attend another USF game ever, they have embarrassed me for the last time. Why put up a billboard on 275 saying welcome to the big four? Nobody celebrates mediocrity, if they did there would be a party every time someone bought a Hyundai. Jim Leavitt needs to be fired, so does Mike Canales and the USF D-coordinator, I will not pay any more alumni dues until Leavitt is gone, he cannot beat any team in the Big East with any consistency besides Syracuse. I'm sick and tired of it every year, same effen story. Why is a second string QB pulling away from your secondary like they are standing still, no excuses for that, that is just pure apathy and a total lack of pride and a total disregard for the university, alumni and students. USF is a joke, enjoy your 1-7 record in conference play assholes, you will get no more of my support or my money.
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
NFL Week 6 Pick 'em
Another tough week of handicapping in the NFL, I had another great Sunday last week improving to 26-5 on my NFL action alone. Looking at the lines it's not going to be an easy task of handicapping these games. Vegas has caught up to me on some teams that I have been riding all season, namely the Bengals and the Broncos. I will be cutting back a bit on my NFL action to offer you the highest quality picks I can resulting in alot of profit with hopefully no loss.
**NEWS FLASH** I am changing this pick to the Texans +6 @ 1 unit***********
Texans +6 I have really struggled with this game. The line doesn't make sense to me, Bengals at home laying 4? Really I expected a spread of 7. If you look at the trends I guess Houston should win outright, the trends say Gary Kubiak is 6-1 against the number on the road after a road loss and the Bengals are 5-10 ATS as a home favorite since 2007, also since 2000 home favorites after a road win by 3 points or less are 19-42 ATS. That being said I have been fading trends since I started handicapping to focus more on the tangibles. The Texans have yet to defeat a team with a win. They could not get to Kurt Warner last week and the Texans hate tackling members of the opposing team who have the football. So what bothers me is, the Cardinals are a one dimensional team, they have zero running game, the Bengals have a resurgent Cedric Benson who amazingly got 100 yards rushing against the Ravens. Cincy has two good corners that can take away two of Houston's weapons, Kubiak will give the ball to Chris Brown who hates positive yardage and painted grass behind 2 orange pylons. Hopefully the Texans pull it out here though. 1 unit.Win.
Ravens +3 I don't see the Ravens losing 3 games in a row, this is a proud team and the Vikings were statistically unimpressive versus the lowly Rams last week. Matter of fact the Vikings were out played, but I covered due to two St. Louis fumbles inside the 5 yard line. I think AP will be pretty much bottled up in this game, 75 yards and a touchdown. The good news and my ace in the hole is that the Ravens get Omar Gaither back this week to protect Flacco's blindside. The Ravens have a great O-line which will give Flacco time to throw against Minnie's 17th ranked secondary and Ray Rice should have another nice day as well. Favre should also play well as the Ravens secondary is not what it used to be, but can Favre keep himself from throwing into triple coverage in this game? Also the Vikings have a 2 game road trip coming up against some tough opponents and a lead in the NFC North, they might no be completely focused here. The Ravens have has success under Harbaugh ATS, so hopefully they pick up a win here. 2 units.Win.
Giants +3 I expect this to be a very tight game, so I am taking the points and the Giants travel very well and will not be bothered by the hostile environment. Eli has been playing out of his mind and the Giants have a nice crop of young receivers and Bradshaw has been running well as of late. The Saints struggled against Buffalo (offensively) and the Lions put some points on them as well. The Giants won't be able to get much pressure on Brees, same with the Saints as both teams have outstanding O-lines, these teams match up well but the Giants have been there before and the Saints hate living up to their hype. The Saints are ranked 6th and 9th against the pass and run, the Giants haven't been as good but those numbers are due to an outlier with Tuck out. Expect a tough game, but I think the Giants squeak it out. 2 units. Loss.
Seahawks -3 We are getting some value here, lets take advantage of that. The Seahawks will be winning the West now that the 49ers have been exposed. Hasselbeck came out on fire, the Seahawks have pitched two shut outs at home this year with Hasselbeck under center. The Seahawks pass rush is good and they are VERY tough at home. Poor David Garrard spent the entire game running for his life, so how do you think the Cardinals and Warner will fair with no running game? MJD ran for only 34 yards, the Seahawks do not have much of a running game either but it is better than Arizona's for sure. I don't see how Warner will be able to have success against the Seahawks pedestrian with the pass rush in his face all day long, the Cards O-line hate pass protecting and it will show. 5 units. Loss.
Eagles -14 Really? Do I actually have to write anything here? Will Tom Cable's headset work from his jail cell. Russell is an oxygen thief with no work ethic. Heyward-Bay is awful and the Raiders hate using their only weapon, Micheal Bush. Mcnabb has a vast array of weapons and Chris Johnson is going to have a real bad day and there is no doubt that Russell will complete a few passes to Asante Samuel and Sheldon Brown. Eagles fly. 5 units.Loss.
Patriots -9 The Patriots will not lose two games in a row, and especially not at home to the lowly Titans. How are the Titans beat up secondary possible going to cover Moss and Welker. The Titans are waving the white flag, I think Collins is gassed and the Titans might start Vince Young since the season is over for them, Pats easy. 5 units.Win.
Falcons -3 Matt Ryan doesn't lose at home, except for the one time he played Jay Cutler. Lovie Smith hates covering after a bye 1-4 ATS. The Bears have the 12th ranked stop unit, BUT lets look at the games they played, you will see that the Falcons O-line is the best they have faced this year, Matt Ryan with time to throw can be bad for business, I expect this game to be close. Don't expect a 20 point Falcons win, like the thrashing they gave the 49ers last week. That win happened mostly because Mike Smith exposed the 49ers over aggressive defense. The Falcons have a great secondary but are terrible at stopping the run, that being said Matt Forte has been struggling so far this year, so lets hope the Falcons can contain him. 2 units.Win.
Broncos +4 Really Vegas? They are still fading the Broncos. The Chargers are done, everyone is fighting, Merriman and Tomlinson are garbage. San Diego has a ton of injuries and a garbage secondary. Moreno will have alot of success on the ground with Jamal Williams out, Orton seems to be doing well in Mcdaniels system. That "Wild Horses" formation is great and the Broncos should have more success with it because I doubt Norv Turner did any prep in their bye week. San Diego has some great weapons, Rivers, Jackson and Gates, but how much can Rivers do when Elvis Dumerville moves into the Chargers backfield? Plus these two teams hate each other so Denver should not have a let down here. I love the points in this game, but hopefully we don't need them. 2 units. Win.
Season Record 31-8
There we have it, 8 games lets have another solid money-making Sunday!
**NEWS FLASH** I am changing this pick to the Texans +6 @ 1 unit***********
Texans +6 I have really struggled with this game. The line doesn't make sense to me, Bengals at home laying 4? Really I expected a spread of 7. If you look at the trends I guess Houston should win outright, the trends say Gary Kubiak is 6-1 against the number on the road after a road loss and the Bengals are 5-10 ATS as a home favorite since 2007, also since 2000 home favorites after a road win by 3 points or less are 19-42 ATS. That being said I have been fading trends since I started handicapping to focus more on the tangibles. The Texans have yet to defeat a team with a win. They could not get to Kurt Warner last week and the Texans hate tackling members of the opposing team who have the football. So what bothers me is, the Cardinals are a one dimensional team, they have zero running game, the Bengals have a resurgent Cedric Benson who amazingly got 100 yards rushing against the Ravens. Cincy has two good corners that can take away two of Houston's weapons, Kubiak will give the ball to Chris Brown who hates positive yardage and painted grass behind 2 orange pylons. Hopefully the Texans pull it out here though. 1 unit.Win.
Ravens +3 I don't see the Ravens losing 3 games in a row, this is a proud team and the Vikings were statistically unimpressive versus the lowly Rams last week. Matter of fact the Vikings were out played, but I covered due to two St. Louis fumbles inside the 5 yard line. I think AP will be pretty much bottled up in this game, 75 yards and a touchdown. The good news and my ace in the hole is that the Ravens get Omar Gaither back this week to protect Flacco's blindside. The Ravens have a great O-line which will give Flacco time to throw against Minnie's 17th ranked secondary and Ray Rice should have another nice day as well. Favre should also play well as the Ravens secondary is not what it used to be, but can Favre keep himself from throwing into triple coverage in this game? Also the Vikings have a 2 game road trip coming up against some tough opponents and a lead in the NFC North, they might no be completely focused here. The Ravens have has success under Harbaugh ATS, so hopefully they pick up a win here. 2 units.Win.
Giants +3 I expect this to be a very tight game, so I am taking the points and the Giants travel very well and will not be bothered by the hostile environment. Eli has been playing out of his mind and the Giants have a nice crop of young receivers and Bradshaw has been running well as of late. The Saints struggled against Buffalo (offensively) and the Lions put some points on them as well. The Giants won't be able to get much pressure on Brees, same with the Saints as both teams have outstanding O-lines, these teams match up well but the Giants have been there before and the Saints hate living up to their hype. The Saints are ranked 6th and 9th against the pass and run, the Giants haven't been as good but those numbers are due to an outlier with Tuck out. Expect a tough game, but I think the Giants squeak it out. 2 units. Loss.
Seahawks -3 We are getting some value here, lets take advantage of that. The Seahawks will be winning the West now that the 49ers have been exposed. Hasselbeck came out on fire, the Seahawks have pitched two shut outs at home this year with Hasselbeck under center. The Seahawks pass rush is good and they are VERY tough at home. Poor David Garrard spent the entire game running for his life, so how do you think the Cardinals and Warner will fair with no running game? MJD ran for only 34 yards, the Seahawks do not have much of a running game either but it is better than Arizona's for sure. I don't see how Warner will be able to have success against the Seahawks pedestrian with the pass rush in his face all day long, the Cards O-line hate pass protecting and it will show. 5 units. Loss.
Eagles -14 Really? Do I actually have to write anything here? Will Tom Cable's headset work from his jail cell. Russell is an oxygen thief with no work ethic. Heyward-Bay is awful and the Raiders hate using their only weapon, Micheal Bush. Mcnabb has a vast array of weapons and Chris Johnson is going to have a real bad day and there is no doubt that Russell will complete a few passes to Asante Samuel and Sheldon Brown. Eagles fly. 5 units.Loss.
Patriots -9 The Patriots will not lose two games in a row, and especially not at home to the lowly Titans. How are the Titans beat up secondary possible going to cover Moss and Welker. The Titans are waving the white flag, I think Collins is gassed and the Titans might start Vince Young since the season is over for them, Pats easy. 5 units.Win.
Falcons -3 Matt Ryan doesn't lose at home, except for the one time he played Jay Cutler. Lovie Smith hates covering after a bye 1-4 ATS. The Bears have the 12th ranked stop unit, BUT lets look at the games they played, you will see that the Falcons O-line is the best they have faced this year, Matt Ryan with time to throw can be bad for business, I expect this game to be close. Don't expect a 20 point Falcons win, like the thrashing they gave the 49ers last week. That win happened mostly because Mike Smith exposed the 49ers over aggressive defense. The Falcons have a great secondary but are terrible at stopping the run, that being said Matt Forte has been struggling so far this year, so lets hope the Falcons can contain him. 2 units.Win.
Broncos +4 Really Vegas? They are still fading the Broncos. The Chargers are done, everyone is fighting, Merriman and Tomlinson are garbage. San Diego has a ton of injuries and a garbage secondary. Moreno will have alot of success on the ground with Jamal Williams out, Orton seems to be doing well in Mcdaniels system. That "Wild Horses" formation is great and the Broncos should have more success with it because I doubt Norv Turner did any prep in their bye week. San Diego has some great weapons, Rivers, Jackson and Gates, but how much can Rivers do when Elvis Dumerville moves into the Chargers backfield? Plus these two teams hate each other so Denver should not have a let down here. I love the points in this game, but hopefully we don't need them. 2 units. Win.
Season Record 31-8
There we have it, 8 games lets have another solid money-making Sunday!
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
NCAA Week #7 Pick 'em
Looks like I will be going heavy on my college action this weekend. I picked up my tickets today for the showdown on Thursday night at Raymond James Stadium between the Cincinnati Bearcats and my South Florida Bulls, Tampa will be rocking!! I will be rocking my green game day shirt for the "Green Out" and I will also be rocking some Coors Light, the official beer of The Blanket. Me and Billy Vegas have been kicking around games all day today. We have discovered some diamonds in the rough that we are going to polish up and exchange for cash. Lock up your vault Vegas, cause he we come. Oh, one funny story before I get to the money part. As I was driving home from Publix my phone rang with a 702 area code, I picked it up and it was some clown trying to sell me his picks. I laughed at this guy and asked if he knew who I was, long story short I sold him some of my NFL picks. Real Talk. Ok money time now:
Iowa +3 Iowa is undefeated and heading into a hostile Camp Randall Stadium this week. Iowa is a very fundamentally sound team, they do not make mistakes (not counting Stanzi's pick 6). The Badgers are also a much improved team from last year as well, but they managed to turn the ball over several times which cost them the game against Ohio St. The Hawkeyes have had two down games against inferior competition but Ferentz will have them ready to play. The Hawkeyes own the Badgers like they own Happy Valley going 7-1 against the number vs the Badgers. I'll take the points here.Win.
Texas Tech +11 The Cornhuskers are laying 11 here? Why exactly? The Huskers will be missing one of their RB's for this contest and Helu Jr looked like he was pretty hurt against Mizzou. Tech's defense is a little better than the Tigers and besides playing VT, Nebraska has had a pretty soft schedule. It should not matter if Potts or Sheffield starts this game. Mike Leach system is set up that way. I feel like if Nebraska wins this game it will be by 3 points. They did not impress me at all against Mizzou, the Tigers gift wrapped that game for them in the 4th quarter. Zac Lee has been sharp at times, but I just do not think he can keep up with Leach's offense here.Win.
Arkansas +25 I love this game, and it my be a 10+ unit play, I might pawn one of my dogs to get some more money on this game. The Gators were unimpressive against the Tigers on Saturday and Ryan Mallet is MUCH better than Jefferson at LSU. I think Arkansas is the best team on the Gators schedule. While I was watching my money boomerang back into my account on Saturday night thanks to a push, I was wondering "why is Tebow still in the game with 2 minutes left and LSU down two scores. Meyer will run Tebow into the ground if it means he can get another ring for his next ESPN commercial, he disgusts me, and I can't stand Tebow and his religious non-sense. Arkansas gave me a wire to wire cover on the 17th ranked, undefeated Tigers last week. This line tells me that Vegas thinks that the Razorbacks cant score 14 points on the Gators in this game. The Gators have covered one time this year against Kentucky. If Arkansas can withstand the initial 1st quarter firestorm, they should be in line for a nice cover. Dare I say even and outright win? I think the Razorbacks woke up after the 28 point beating they took from the Tide, and Alabama is better all around then the Gators. Enjoy the payday from this game, I will!!Win.
Colorado St. +22 The Rams came out on fire, but since then they are 0-3. TCU is a SOLID team but I think 22 points is a little much here. Dalton is a good QB, but the Horned Frogs offense is not high flying and TCU's defense has been giving up some points this season. No doubt TCU takes this game, but if the Rams can keep from turning the ball over in this game we should be in good shape for a nice cover and more of that sweet Vegas money! Loss. (I'm embarrassed)
Idaho -10 The Vandals are a covering machine lately sssshhhhhhhh! Keep that under your hat so we can put some cash into our wallets! Hawaii is a prom night dumpster baby, they have no QB either and Idaho has been playing well under the radar. The Vandals only loss came to an improved Washington team, but they still put up 23 points in this contest. Nathan Enderle is a solid QB who reminds me of Cincy's Tony Pike. Idaho has a decent running game and Hawaii's offense will be struggling to score points with Alexander on the shelf. Hopefully the Vandals keep that ATS winning streak alive as well as our bank accounts.Win.
VT -3 I'm not a big fan of VT right now, they have cost me money this year and I do not care for that. Flat out if they can't beat GT by more than 3 they do not deserve to be in the top 15. I'm tired of hearing about Bud Foster, Duke marched up and down the field on them, and they beat a BC team that has zero offensive punch. So let's see if the Hokies can win this game on the road against Johnson's triple option. GT's offense looked sharp against the Seminoles but their defense did not. Taylor is more mobile than Ponder so I see this creating some problems for the GT defense. The way to stop the option is with speed and VT supposedly has that on defense, we shall see. Loss. (I don't want to hear ANYTHING about VT the rest of the year, they are who we thought they were.......a LOSER)
Miami -14 The Hurricanes come to the City Beautiful to play a desperate UCF squad. It will no doubt be a hostile environment because Miami fans don't travel well. However, I don't see how the Knights can score on the Hurricanes. Miami has alot of speed on both sides of the ball and if the Hurricanes can get up early that will force O'Leary to have his QB throw the ball and will take UCF's best player, Brynn Harvey out of the game. Canes roll.Win.
South Carolina +17 Alabama will win this game, but the Tide are notorious slow starters and the Gamecocks have a solid defense that will allow them to hang around. Garcia has made alot of improvements so they should be able to score some points in this contest.Win.
Season Record 21-15-1
That's what I have for Saturday's action. I will be loading up on college picks this Saturday because there are only a few NFL games that I am mildly interested in so far, but I am only half way through with my NFL action so far.
Iowa +3 Iowa is undefeated and heading into a hostile Camp Randall Stadium this week. Iowa is a very fundamentally sound team, they do not make mistakes (not counting Stanzi's pick 6). The Badgers are also a much improved team from last year as well, but they managed to turn the ball over several times which cost them the game against Ohio St. The Hawkeyes have had two down games against inferior competition but Ferentz will have them ready to play. The Hawkeyes own the Badgers like they own Happy Valley going 7-1 against the number vs the Badgers. I'll take the points here.Win.
Texas Tech +11 The Cornhuskers are laying 11 here? Why exactly? The Huskers will be missing one of their RB's for this contest and Helu Jr looked like he was pretty hurt against Mizzou. Tech's defense is a little better than the Tigers and besides playing VT, Nebraska has had a pretty soft schedule. It should not matter if Potts or Sheffield starts this game. Mike Leach system is set up that way. I feel like if Nebraska wins this game it will be by 3 points. They did not impress me at all against Mizzou, the Tigers gift wrapped that game for them in the 4th quarter. Zac Lee has been sharp at times, but I just do not think he can keep up with Leach's offense here.Win.
Arkansas +25 I love this game, and it my be a 10+ unit play, I might pawn one of my dogs to get some more money on this game. The Gators were unimpressive against the Tigers on Saturday and Ryan Mallet is MUCH better than Jefferson at LSU. I think Arkansas is the best team on the Gators schedule. While I was watching my money boomerang back into my account on Saturday night thanks to a push, I was wondering "why is Tebow still in the game with 2 minutes left and LSU down two scores. Meyer will run Tebow into the ground if it means he can get another ring for his next ESPN commercial, he disgusts me, and I can't stand Tebow and his religious non-sense. Arkansas gave me a wire to wire cover on the 17th ranked, undefeated Tigers last week. This line tells me that Vegas thinks that the Razorbacks cant score 14 points on the Gators in this game. The Gators have covered one time this year against Kentucky. If Arkansas can withstand the initial 1st quarter firestorm, they should be in line for a nice cover. Dare I say even and outright win? I think the Razorbacks woke up after the 28 point beating they took from the Tide, and Alabama is better all around then the Gators. Enjoy the payday from this game, I will!!Win.
Colorado St. +22 The Rams came out on fire, but since then they are 0-3. TCU is a SOLID team but I think 22 points is a little much here. Dalton is a good QB, but the Horned Frogs offense is not high flying and TCU's defense has been giving up some points this season. No doubt TCU takes this game, but if the Rams can keep from turning the ball over in this game we should be in good shape for a nice cover and more of that sweet Vegas money! Loss. (I'm embarrassed)
Idaho -10 The Vandals are a covering machine lately sssshhhhhhhh! Keep that under your hat so we can put some cash into our wallets! Hawaii is a prom night dumpster baby, they have no QB either and Idaho has been playing well under the radar. The Vandals only loss came to an improved Washington team, but they still put up 23 points in this contest. Nathan Enderle is a solid QB who reminds me of Cincy's Tony Pike. Idaho has a decent running game and Hawaii's offense will be struggling to score points with Alexander on the shelf. Hopefully the Vandals keep that ATS winning streak alive as well as our bank accounts.Win.
VT -3 I'm not a big fan of VT right now, they have cost me money this year and I do not care for that. Flat out if they can't beat GT by more than 3 they do not deserve to be in the top 15. I'm tired of hearing about Bud Foster, Duke marched up and down the field on them, and they beat a BC team that has zero offensive punch. So let's see if the Hokies can win this game on the road against Johnson's triple option. GT's offense looked sharp against the Seminoles but their defense did not. Taylor is more mobile than Ponder so I see this creating some problems for the GT defense. The way to stop the option is with speed and VT supposedly has that on defense, we shall see. Loss. (I don't want to hear ANYTHING about VT the rest of the year, they are who we thought they were.......a LOSER)
Miami -14 The Hurricanes come to the City Beautiful to play a desperate UCF squad. It will no doubt be a hostile environment because Miami fans don't travel well. However, I don't see how the Knights can score on the Hurricanes. Miami has alot of speed on both sides of the ball and if the Hurricanes can get up early that will force O'Leary to have his QB throw the ball and will take UCF's best player, Brynn Harvey out of the game. Canes roll.Win.
South Carolina +17 Alabama will win this game, but the Tide are notorious slow starters and the Gamecocks have a solid defense that will allow them to hang around. Garcia has made alot of improvements so they should be able to score some points in this contest.Win.
Season Record 21-15-1
That's what I have for Saturday's action. I will be loading up on college picks this Saturday because there are only a few NFL games that I am mildly interested in so far, but I am only half way through with my NFL action so far.
Sunday, October 11, 2009
Weekend Recap NFL week 5 & NCAA week 6
Made some hay with my college action, I pocketed some extra cash with some game day college bets. I hit 3 extra college games ATS and 2 ML winners, which paid for the front money on 3 of my NFL games, all three of which I won. I hit a 10 game teaser today as well as a 4 team sweetheart teaser, missed 2 games on a 9 team parlay (Thanks Steelers & Texans). I also had some non-posted wins with the Seahawks and Chiefs, as well as the Giants. All in all it was a good weekend but I am still on a mission to hit a big payday with a 9 or 10 game parlay, that day will come soon enough. Each week that goes by I keep waiting for Vegas to catch me, but it seems I have gained the upper hand at least for now. I wonder what gems they will toss our way this upcoming week. Stay tuned, lets make even more money next weekend!!
Thursday, October 8, 2009
NFL Week 5 Pick 'em
I watched some of the new UFL game tonight while the Cornhuskers were making me money. It was OK, I didn't like the uniforms at all though, they look boring and CFL-ish. The Huskers logo is the only decent one. I prefer the AFL over the UFL though, more entertaining. Difficult week of handicapping for me here, Vegas has really clamped down on the lines and a few are in the high double digits, which makes even a seasoned prognosticator like myself squeamish. So I am going to assign units to each pick that I make. Lets see what we have to pluck off the money tree for Sunday.
Vikings -10 Some people think this could be a look ahead game for Minnie, but they are a team of veterans and I think they will take this game seriously. The Rams are a complete and utter trainwreck. I don't even know why they let Jackson play he is going to wind up getting injured from the weekly beating he takes behind that horrible offensive line. I don't see the Rams coming close to the endzone in this contest and I am quite sure that Minnie will be able to score at least 2 touchdowns, Jared Allen will probably do that himself. 2 units.Win.
Eagles -15 ALOT of points to lay here, but the Bucs are that bad. They will get Tanard Jackson back to help their 22nd ranked defense. It won't be enough though. the Bucs were unable to move the ball at all against the Redskins despite all the turnovers from Campbell the Bucs got all their points off turnovers that Washington made deep in its own endzone. It won't matter if Kolb or Mcnabb starts in this contest, the Eagles are coming off a bye and at home, they have had time to get healthy and remember what they did in week 1 to the Panthers. Josh Johnson is in way over his head here. 2 units.Win.
Bengals +9 Getting good value here on the Bengals, most likely because they were flat against Cleveland last week, but I guess it is hard to get up for a winless team. The Ravens although I am now becoming a fan of them, could be in a little bit of a spot here. They put alot into the game against the Patriots only to come up a little short. Palmer didn't play well last week, hopefully the Bengals team that shows up is the same one who beat the Steelers and the Packers. The Ravens have struggled against the pass this year. Benson most likely won't be doing too much running in this contest, as the Ravens stop unit is top notch. I think this game will be close with the Ravens pulling out a 3 point win. Also the Ravens left tackle is iffy for this game, which could be a problem for Flacco and the passing game. 5 units.Win.
Texans +6 This will be the first game this year where I have bet on the Texans. I think they are undervalued here. The Texans flat out can't stop the run, but the Cards don't have much of a running game anyway, Wells fumbles too much and Hightower dances around way too much. Schaub has looked good the last couple of games and really torched a solid Raiders CB duo last week. The Cards pass defense was exposed by the Colts and while Warner is still a Hall of Fame QB, he is 38 and did have hip surgery this offseason. The Cards O-line is another question mark as well, but the Texans also struggle against the 3-4 defense, but I think getting 6 points here is too much to walk away from. 5 units. Loss.
Colts -4 The Colts hate the Titans and the Titans reciprocate those sentiments. The Colts are getting healthy and the Titans are on the verge of mailing the rest of this season in. Peyton and Eli right now pretty much own the NFL. The Titans secondary is vastly depleted for this game. Johnson will have to have a ton of touches in this game to keep Manning off the field for the Titans to even have a chance in this game, but in the end I think the Colts will be too much for the Titans to handle. Given the fact the Titans are a desperate team right now and they HATE the Colts I see them putting up and early fight much like the Dolphins did, but resistance will be futile here, Manning is unstoppable. 2 units.Win.
Brown +6 I think I might be the only person taking the Browns but, Anderson wants a win to separate himself from that abomination of a QB Brady Quinn. The Browns got rid of one cancer this week in Braylon Edwards, what a bag of shit that guy is. I thought it was cute how Brady wore Edwards cleats to practice today, but it begs the question, why do you need cleats to stand on the sideline and hold a clip board?? Fitting Edwards went to the Jets, you know...........birds of a feather. The Bills can't stop the run, they have alot of injuries, and the Bills are 3-20 ATS after playing the Dolphins. Harrison should have a nice day and Stuckey will give Anderson a receiver who can actually catch a ball. 2 units. Win.
Broncos +4 I called the Broncos win over the Cowboys last week and I wasn't surprised by it. Last weeks game really helped the Broncos to believe in themselves despite what all the talking heads were saying about them. New England is giving up almost 5 YPC in the rushing game, good news for Moreno who should be in for a big game with Buckhalter out. It was good to see Brandon Marshall make some plays last week, I expect him to come up big in this game to help out his QB Kyle Orton. Orton doesn't have a big play arm but he rarely makes mistakes. Denver's defense is for real and Invesco field will be rocking for this game. Lets not overlook these three gems either. 1.) Taylor is out. 2.) Brady is 1-3 in the Mile High City 3.) Josh Mcdaniels was the OC for who? That's right.............the Patriots. Enjoy this loss Tom Brady, I know I will. 10 units. Win.
Redskins +4 Another undervalued team here, the Redskins have a great defense. They don't get any respect because Campbell sucks but then again Delhomme is no ace either. Let's not forget the Redskins played the Giants tough on the road in week 1. I wouldn't bet on Jake Delhomme with a gun to my head. 2 units.Win.
Steelers -11 The Lions are ranked 28th and 23rd against the run and pass respectively. The hair should be back for this game and the Steelers much maligned O-line finally showed up last week vs the Chargers. Stafford hasn't practiced and it wouldn't be wise for him to start this game. I don't see Culpepper putting up much of a fight against the Steelers D. mike Tomlin won't let his team take the Lions for granted as his team is still only 2-2 and needs this game. 2 units. Loss.
9 games for Sunday, huge action for us to line our pockets with some nice tax-free money!!
Season Record 26-5
Vikings -10 Some people think this could be a look ahead game for Minnie, but they are a team of veterans and I think they will take this game seriously. The Rams are a complete and utter trainwreck. I don't even know why they let Jackson play he is going to wind up getting injured from the weekly beating he takes behind that horrible offensive line. I don't see the Rams coming close to the endzone in this contest and I am quite sure that Minnie will be able to score at least 2 touchdowns, Jared Allen will probably do that himself. 2 units.Win.
Eagles -15 ALOT of points to lay here, but the Bucs are that bad. They will get Tanard Jackson back to help their 22nd ranked defense. It won't be enough though. the Bucs were unable to move the ball at all against the Redskins despite all the turnovers from Campbell the Bucs got all their points off turnovers that Washington made deep in its own endzone. It won't matter if Kolb or Mcnabb starts in this contest, the Eagles are coming off a bye and at home, they have had time to get healthy and remember what they did in week 1 to the Panthers. Josh Johnson is in way over his head here. 2 units.Win.
Bengals +9 Getting good value here on the Bengals, most likely because they were flat against Cleveland last week, but I guess it is hard to get up for a winless team. The Ravens although I am now becoming a fan of them, could be in a little bit of a spot here. They put alot into the game against the Patriots only to come up a little short. Palmer didn't play well last week, hopefully the Bengals team that shows up is the same one who beat the Steelers and the Packers. The Ravens have struggled against the pass this year. Benson most likely won't be doing too much running in this contest, as the Ravens stop unit is top notch. I think this game will be close with the Ravens pulling out a 3 point win. Also the Ravens left tackle is iffy for this game, which could be a problem for Flacco and the passing game. 5 units.Win.
Texans +6 This will be the first game this year where I have bet on the Texans. I think they are undervalued here. The Texans flat out can't stop the run, but the Cards don't have much of a running game anyway, Wells fumbles too much and Hightower dances around way too much. Schaub has looked good the last couple of games and really torched a solid Raiders CB duo last week. The Cards pass defense was exposed by the Colts and while Warner is still a Hall of Fame QB, he is 38 and did have hip surgery this offseason. The Cards O-line is another question mark as well, but the Texans also struggle against the 3-4 defense, but I think getting 6 points here is too much to walk away from. 5 units. Loss.
Colts -4 The Colts hate the Titans and the Titans reciprocate those sentiments. The Colts are getting healthy and the Titans are on the verge of mailing the rest of this season in. Peyton and Eli right now pretty much own the NFL. The Titans secondary is vastly depleted for this game. Johnson will have to have a ton of touches in this game to keep Manning off the field for the Titans to even have a chance in this game, but in the end I think the Colts will be too much for the Titans to handle. Given the fact the Titans are a desperate team right now and they HATE the Colts I see them putting up and early fight much like the Dolphins did, but resistance will be futile here, Manning is unstoppable. 2 units.Win.
Brown +6 I think I might be the only person taking the Browns but, Anderson wants a win to separate himself from that abomination of a QB Brady Quinn. The Browns got rid of one cancer this week in Braylon Edwards, what a bag of shit that guy is. I thought it was cute how Brady wore Edwards cleats to practice today, but it begs the question, why do you need cleats to stand on the sideline and hold a clip board?? Fitting Edwards went to the Jets, you know...........birds of a feather. The Bills can't stop the run, they have alot of injuries, and the Bills are 3-20 ATS after playing the Dolphins. Harrison should have a nice day and Stuckey will give Anderson a receiver who can actually catch a ball. 2 units. Win.
Broncos +4 I called the Broncos win over the Cowboys last week and I wasn't surprised by it. Last weeks game really helped the Broncos to believe in themselves despite what all the talking heads were saying about them. New England is giving up almost 5 YPC in the rushing game, good news for Moreno who should be in for a big game with Buckhalter out. It was good to see Brandon Marshall make some plays last week, I expect him to come up big in this game to help out his QB Kyle Orton. Orton doesn't have a big play arm but he rarely makes mistakes. Denver's defense is for real and Invesco field will be rocking for this game. Lets not overlook these three gems either. 1.) Taylor is out. 2.) Brady is 1-3 in the Mile High City 3.) Josh Mcdaniels was the OC for who? That's right.............the Patriots. Enjoy this loss Tom Brady, I know I will. 10 units. Win.
Redskins +4 Another undervalued team here, the Redskins have a great defense. They don't get any respect because Campbell sucks but then again Delhomme is no ace either. Let's not forget the Redskins played the Giants tough on the road in week 1. I wouldn't bet on Jake Delhomme with a gun to my head. 2 units.Win.
Steelers -11 The Lions are ranked 28th and 23rd against the run and pass respectively. The hair should be back for this game and the Steelers much maligned O-line finally showed up last week vs the Chargers. Stafford hasn't practiced and it wouldn't be wise for him to start this game. I don't see Culpepper putting up much of a fight against the Steelers D. mike Tomlin won't let his team take the Lions for granted as his team is still only 2-2 and needs this game. 2 units. Loss.
9 games for Sunday, huge action for us to line our pockets with some nice tax-free money!!
Season Record 26-5
Wednesday, October 7, 2009
Week 6 College Football Pick 'em
I'm not really excited about any of these match-ups this weekend. Plus my Bulls are on a bye week, so it will be a stress free Saturday of sorts. Most of the games I am taking Saturday are low spreads. I am becoming increasingly reluctant to take big numbers, of course I have never been a chalk eater though. Most of the games I am taking Saturday will be for 2 units, maybe a multiple unit play on LSU though. Speaking of which, I like how Tebow is a "gametime decision", man I cannot effen stand Urban Meyer, that guy would punch a pregnant woman if it would give him an advantage. Living in Florida I have grown so tired of the UF and FSU homers around here, most of whom have never even been to college. It is especially bothersome due to the fact that I am a USF Alum and alllllll of the people I know in Tampa and hangout with graduated from UF or FSU................hmmmmm, maybe time for some new friends! Enough small talk, lets cut to the money chase.
Nebraska -3 I am going against my Home Dog Theory again here, perhaps mocking the gambling gods. However, Mizzou has yet to face a defense the caliber of Nebraska's, I think the Tigers are another year away from becoming a Big 12 force again once Blaine Gabbert gets some more games under his helmet. Nebraska has blown out three cupcake teams, while Mizzou has struggled against some less than stellar squads. Pellini's squad hung tough with VT in Blacksburg, so they have some big game experience that should help them cover the 3 in this contest.Win.
Georgia +2 Say this out loud: "I feel comfortable laying points on John Crompton" doesn't sound right does it? Some people feel Georgia will be flat in this spot, but Tennesssee also is coming off a tough loss to Auburn. I think this will be a statement game for the Bulldogs as they are less than pleased with the call that went against them last week. The Bulldogs D looked good against LSU and they still have AJ Green. Richt will have his team ready to play here. Joe Cox is the better of the two QB's, although that isn't saying much. UGA is 9-1 it's last 10 road games SU and the Vols are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at home, smells like a recipe for cash! Loss.
Arkansas +3 Auburn likes to give up alot of points, so when I see a team like Testicle Tech come into their house and hang 30 on them I find that troublesome. Ryan Mallet has been impressive, sans the Alabama contest. The Razorbacks destroyed a decent Texas A&M team on Saturday and my little brother is probably still crying in his soup to see his Aggies get beat down on primetime. Auburn is still a paper Tiger in my eyes (pun intended). I see no reason why the Tigers should be laying points on the road. Which is probably why Vegas is paying even money to entice the public to take Auburn. Auburn is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.The Razorbacks are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 against Auburn. Win.
Alabama -5 Jevan Snead is really missing Micheal Oher and Mike Wallace, the Rebels have yet to beat a quality opponent and I don't envision this game being close. Saban will have his Tide ready to play as the Gators face a possible L in Baton Rouge that night. Alabama's defense is still very strong even with the loss of their go to guy Hightower. The public has been pounding Ole Miss which makes me even more comfortable with this pick. Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 on the road while the Rebels are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against Alabama. Win.
LSU +10 I am going to be a big LSU fan on Saturday night for two reasons, #1 I like money, #2 I hate the Gators with every fiber of my being. Florida has played NOBODY this year, NOBODY. Ultimate douchebag Meyer will definitely play Tebow regardless of what those silly doctors have to say, he is that selfish. Tebow was 5-10 passing against juggernaut Kentucky, good luck with that. The Volunteers showed the blueprint to beat the Gators and Les Miles will use that in his gameplan. LSU will be fired up for this game as they look to prove their number #4 ranking, 8 is a big number in this spot. Baton Rouge will be rocking came Saturday night. Push.
GT +3 FSU is in turmoil, poor Bobby Bowden, he brings the program from nowhere to a national powerhouse and they are trying to run him out of town, so much for loyalty. That being said don't think I am a Bowden homer because I don't like him, based on the disparaging words he said about USF. I'm tired of hearing about Jimbo Fisher too, I can't stand that clown. He is an Urban Meyer junior who looks like he has a part time job delivering pizzas, what a slob. GT has played a pretty decent schedule and are still in redemption mode after the loss to Miami and are still contenders in the ACC. FSU has no identity right now and the Bowden deal seems like a real distraction for the team, evident by last weeks collapse in Chestnut Hill. GT is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 road games while FSU is 1-5 ATS when playing GT.
That's what we have for Saturday, pretty decent slate of action. Lets get back in the black!! Because going .500 doesn't pay the bills!
Season Record 15-13-1
Nebraska -3 I am going against my Home Dog Theory again here, perhaps mocking the gambling gods. However, Mizzou has yet to face a defense the caliber of Nebraska's, I think the Tigers are another year away from becoming a Big 12 force again once Blaine Gabbert gets some more games under his helmet. Nebraska has blown out three cupcake teams, while Mizzou has struggled against some less than stellar squads. Pellini's squad hung tough with VT in Blacksburg, so they have some big game experience that should help them cover the 3 in this contest.Win.
Georgia +2 Say this out loud: "I feel comfortable laying points on John Crompton" doesn't sound right does it? Some people feel Georgia will be flat in this spot, but Tennesssee also is coming off a tough loss to Auburn. I think this will be a statement game for the Bulldogs as they are less than pleased with the call that went against them last week. The Bulldogs D looked good against LSU and they still have AJ Green. Richt will have his team ready to play here. Joe Cox is the better of the two QB's, although that isn't saying much. UGA is 9-1 it's last 10 road games SU and the Vols are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at home, smells like a recipe for cash! Loss.
Arkansas +3 Auburn likes to give up alot of points, so when I see a team like Testicle Tech come into their house and hang 30 on them I find that troublesome. Ryan Mallet has been impressive, sans the Alabama contest. The Razorbacks destroyed a decent Texas A&M team on Saturday and my little brother is probably still crying in his soup to see his Aggies get beat down on primetime. Auburn is still a paper Tiger in my eyes (pun intended). I see no reason why the Tigers should be laying points on the road. Which is probably why Vegas is paying even money to entice the public to take Auburn. Auburn is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.The Razorbacks are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 against Auburn. Win.
Alabama -5 Jevan Snead is really missing Micheal Oher and Mike Wallace, the Rebels have yet to beat a quality opponent and I don't envision this game being close. Saban will have his Tide ready to play as the Gators face a possible L in Baton Rouge that night. Alabama's defense is still very strong even with the loss of their go to guy Hightower. The public has been pounding Ole Miss which makes me even more comfortable with this pick. Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 on the road while the Rebels are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against Alabama. Win.
LSU +10 I am going to be a big LSU fan on Saturday night for two reasons, #1 I like money, #2 I hate the Gators with every fiber of my being. Florida has played NOBODY this year, NOBODY. Ultimate douchebag Meyer will definitely play Tebow regardless of what those silly doctors have to say, he is that selfish. Tebow was 5-10 passing against juggernaut Kentucky, good luck with that. The Volunteers showed the blueprint to beat the Gators and Les Miles will use that in his gameplan. LSU will be fired up for this game as they look to prove their number #4 ranking, 8 is a big number in this spot. Baton Rouge will be rocking came Saturday night. Push.
GT +3 FSU is in turmoil, poor Bobby Bowden, he brings the program from nowhere to a national powerhouse and they are trying to run him out of town, so much for loyalty. That being said don't think I am a Bowden homer because I don't like him, based on the disparaging words he said about USF. I'm tired of hearing about Jimbo Fisher too, I can't stand that clown. He is an Urban Meyer junior who looks like he has a part time job delivering pizzas, what a slob. GT has played a pretty decent schedule and are still in redemption mode after the loss to Miami and are still contenders in the ACC. FSU has no identity right now and the Bowden deal seems like a real distraction for the team, evident by last weeks collapse in Chestnut Hill. GT is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 road games while FSU is 1-5 ATS when playing GT.
That's what we have for Saturday, pretty decent slate of action. Lets get back in the black!! Because going .500 doesn't pay the bills!
Season Record 15-13-1
Monday, October 5, 2009
Weekend Recap
After this weekend Vegas managed to get some of their cash back from me. My college action season record fell to 12-12. My NFL action season record is now at 19-3. Thanks to some poor calls by the zebra's I lost two games. Those being a bullshit call on AJ Green for excessive celebration, and that shit bag in New England Tom Brady crying like a female about barely getting touched, I hate/ despise/ loathe the Patriots, I'm soooo tired of Tom Brady's Pollyanna ways. It amazes me that in the same game Flacco gets planted by a Pats D-lineman but no flag. Also David Garrard gets body slammed and no flag; to go further why no flag on the former USC shit bag Brian Cushing going helmet to helmet on Russell. Let's call it straight up refs, no giving Brady sympathy calls to Brady because his Wolverines can't beat Sparty. They should just put Brady in a shark tank and let him throw the ball from it, they could have a crane on the sideline and simply pick it up as he moves his band of douche bags down the field. Also they could have someone run out with some Kleenex along with the Gatorade so Brady can wipe the tears and drool away from his bubbling lips. Grow up. In other news, poster boy Tim Tebow got his usual 18 hours of press coverage today. I'm so tired hearing about this clown, while I take no pleasure in him getting hurt; I don't care about his minute to minute status updates. The Gators are overrated and play a soft schedule. Urban Meyer is a shit bag that only cares about himself. He said he would put Tebow in a pro-style offense to showcase his "skills" to the NFL. Furthermore, why does Meyer keep Tebow in with his team up 31-0 after the first quarter against Kentucky? USF took Matt Grothe out after the Bulls posted big leads on their opponents, what exactly are you trying to prove Urban? I cannot wait till next year when USF adds the Gaytors to their list of teams they have beaten in Florida, sorry Urban but your team can only dodge us for so long and your number is up.
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