Game Theory Radio

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

NCAA Week #11 Pick 'em

Another 4-1 Saturday last week, that brings us to 25-19-3 on the season. That's pure profit at more than 6 units. I like money and if you are reading this than you do too. I'm going to be drawing down on the game write ups for the blog as traffic is down and ratings on my radio show are up 20% from last week so I will be focusing more of my energy and what little time I have on the show. Be sure and tune in tomorrow night at 9PM and listen in as me give you are picks for this weekend. I will also give more in depth analysis of my picks on the air, catch it at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory now to the picks.





Boise State -35 The Broncos are up against it and facing in state rival Idaho Friday night. Idaho got parade rested by Hawaii recently and the Broncos midget tossed the Warriors last week. The Vandals are a sive on defense and their offense has taken multiple 30" steps backwards. Boise State needs a blowout victory to hedge against falling further out of favor with the all powerful BCS computer. Broncos huge.
2 units.Win.





USC +4 The Trojans have been playing some good football as of late. Matt Barkley has been lighting it up and the D has stepped up as well, Zona has a solid record but hates to cover. Simply put I like the Trojans to keep it within 3.
1 unit. Win.






Oregon -20 Cal is dumpster fire, granted they are slightly better at home but that being said the Ducks have Auburn and TCU breathing down their necks and will have to put on a good show against a crap team. The Ducks will be away from Autzen but they have played well in hostile stadiums this year, for example a couple of weeks ago at USC. Ducks by 24.
2 units. Loss.






Utah -6 The Utes will be looking to bounce back against the hapless Irish. I think we are getting some value here of about 3 points. Taking into consideration that TCU skulldrug Utah last week and Notre Dame is always overvalued due to the public loving them and the fact that they are media darlings. The Utes get back on track here.
1 unit. Loss.





Stanford -5 Andrew Luck and the Whalen brothers come into town to play the Sun Devils. Arizona State has been up and down this year while the Cardinal continues to roll along in their season suffering only 1 loss to the mighty Ducks. Luck and Stanford's physical play will wear the Sun Devils down and we will cover. Loss.



There you have it, NFL picks will be up tomorrow as I have a few multiple unit plays, until that time.

Thursday, November 4, 2010

Week #9 NFL Pick 'em

Couple nice games we can jump on this Sunday, I had a dismal 3-2 performance last Sunday. It didn't make me very happy. I need perfection or close to this weekend. Tune into the show tonight at 9:00 PM EST, The Vegas Takedown Show can only be heard at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory Lets see whats on the money train before we rob it shall we?



Colts +3 Peyton Manning as a dog I like it, sign me up. Vick, Jackson and Mccoy will be a little rusty due to injuries and the Eagles defense can't stop the unrelenting barrage of Colts weaponry. I like the Colts to win outright.
4 units.





Bills +3 Our neighbors to the north get to take in our finest export as the Bears and Bills will play in Toronto. The Bills will get their first win of the season they have been playing everyone tough since Fitzpatrick has taken over the offense. Martz will not use his running backs and will no doubt leave Cutler in a bad spot against an improved Bills pass rush. Buffalo's secondary has been playing better as of late too. The Bears offensive line can't pass protect and Cutler will be getting hit alot.
2 units. Push.





Browns +6 The Pats own the best record in the league and I think this will be a look ahead game for them as the Browns come to Foxboro. The Browns have been playing hard behind Colt Mccoy and Peyton Hillis had a week off the get some rest and heal up. The Browns will stay in this game, Pats win by 2.
2 units. Win.






Cardinals +9 The Vikings season is all but done, they have waaaaay too many issues to get up for a crap Cards squad led by Derek Anderson. 9 points is too much in this spot. Vikings should squeak this game out but not by 9.
3 units. Win.






Chargers -3 I am taking the Bolts as a road favorite. Phillip Rivers is my pick for NFL MVP write that down. The Texans are garbage and will not be able to stop Rivers he should easily put up 400 yards passing in this contest. Rivers will be getting some of his weapons back and the Chargers running game is starting to get on track. Chargers by 5.
2 units. Win.





There you have it folks, tune in tonight for some more in depth analysis on my picks. See you then.

Tuesday, November 2, 2010

NCAA Week 10 Pick 'em

I had a 4-1 weekend that puts us at 21-18-3. I wanted 5-0 but Utah decided to not kick a 30 yard field goal to go up 8 with 3 minutes left after giving up 18 points in the 4th quarter. Awesome. I am looking for another strong week to try and pad my stats. Don't forget to tune into The Vegas Takedown Show this Friday night only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory unless you don't like money. Why pay for losing picks when you can get free winners here.




UCF -2 The Go;den Knights travel to Houston to play the Cougars without Case Keenum. UCF has been crushing conference opponents and have a solid defense and offense. I was pleased with their road performance a few weeks ago against a solid K State team in Manhattan. It was a losing effort, but the defense played extremely well in a hostile Big 12 environment. If the Knights can shut down Thomas and Coffman they can tune the Cougs out too.
2 units. Win.





N.C. State +4 The Wolfpack need this game as a follow up to their big win against FSU, another conference came on the road against Clemson. Clemson was just beat down by BC and their stagnant offense, I like the 4 points and the Wolfpack to pull out the win.
2 units. Win.






Oregon -35 The Ducks are back in the friendly confines of Autzen this Saturday as they take on the Huskies. Jake Locker is beat up and having a poor season and this Husky team is headed the wrong way. The Ducks need to keep making the case that they are the number 1 team in the land and will need to blow the doors off of a bad Huskies team in order to impress the almighty Oracle that is a computer. Don't let me down Ducks. Oregon's offense is just too potent and the Huskies can't find the end zone. The Ducks could be covering by halftime.
2 units. Win.





Oklahoma -3 I don't quite get this spread, the Aggies defense has been unimpressive and the offense is too streaky. Oklahoma can't afford another loss so they should be bringing their A game. Unless I am missing something the Sooners look like the right side. The Sooners do tend to struggle ATS wise on the road as of late, but I think we are getting some value here as a result, their fans travel well and should have a good turnout at Kyle Field.
1 unit. Loss.






Temple -3 On the road at Kent State, Al Golden's team hasn't given up a single point in two games. The Penn State heir apparent really has his kids dialed in and hopefully they will dial up Vegas and tell them to release payment to myself after the game, the Owls get it done on the road.
2 units. Win.


There you have it money lovers enjoy!

Friday, October 29, 2010

Week #8 NFL Pick 'em

Pretty solid Sunday last week as I went 4-1, those bums from San Fran cost me a perfect day. So I am sitting at 16-19-1, time for me to move back into the black. Slim pickings this Sunday, not much at all that interested me, everything will be a one unit play this weekend. Here is what I have:



Bills +8 Ryan Fitzpatrick is the second rated passer in the NFL that's what kind of season it has been this far. They have put up some serious points against some good teams with the Harvard alum behind center. The Chiefs can score too, their running game has been successful and Cassel has been throwing the ball well. The Chiefs secondary is young and susceptible to the pass so this game could be a shoot out but I think Buffalo and the points is the right side.
Win.




Vikings +6 The Vikings will lose this game but they are good enough to cover the 6. Moss has been supplying all the info on the Pats defense to Childress, will it help? Maybe. The Pats just aren't the potent offense they used to be and their defense is young but getting better. The Vikings defense will keep them in this game, lets just hop Favre doesn't throw it away. Loss.




Packers +6 The Pack is really beat up and weak against the run but they do have WR's and a QB who can score at any moment. The Jets will win this game but the Pack has the talent to stay with them. Win.




Texans +6 The Texans are built to beat the Colts as they did at home in week #1, they like Jacksonville always play the Colts tough and the Colts have some missing pieces on defense and their running back core is really beat up. Colts will squeak this game out with a late FG and we will cover. Loss.




Rams -3 The Rams are solid at home and the Panthers are not very good, the Moore to Gettis connection doesn't scare me. The Rams have covered alot for me this year and I don't see them stumbling here as a they are looking to get back to .500 on the year. Bradford will take out his displeasure of wearing a Mizzou jersey on the Panthers, hello money! Win.


There you have it enjoy!

Thursday, October 28, 2010

NCAA Pick 'em Week 9

After a ho-hum 3-2 Saturday I have crawled back to .500 and I am sitting at 17-17-3. I had a real good weekend off the books with some late picks. So lets keep the trend heading toward the black shall we? Alright freakshows lets get to the pickage. Don't forget to tune into the show tomorrow night at 10PM only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory




Utah -7 The Utes just keep on rolling. Utah hates not covering, conversely the Falcons hate to cover. Simply math right? I like Utah here even though they are on the road I like them to win by 14. They will use this game to tool up for TCU. I like money.
3 units. Loss.





Oregon -7 Make or break game for the Ducks who keep getting leap frogged in the BCS standings. The Ducks struggle away from Autzen, and the Trojans have been playing some decent football at home. The one thing that scares me is Kiffin's defense, he is pretty solid at stopping the spread offense. The Ducks need to make a statement here and now. It could be a shootout but lets hope for a blowout.
1 unit. Win.





Hawaii -14 Ahhhh Hawaii the place where land locked teams go to die. The Warriors have been quiet cover machines this year. They are very tough at home. The Vandals have taken a step back from last year when they were making us money. I like Hawaii big in this contest.
2 units. Win.





UCF -7 The Knights also love to cover and are a great home team and have picture framed and milk cartoned alot of opponents this season. ECU can score points, but UCF can play some serious D at home in Brighthouse Networks Stadium. ECU doesn't not have much defense and the UCF offense has been pretty potent this year. I like the Golden Knights here.
2 units. Win.





Auburn -7 The Tigers will be looking to maintain their #1 BCS ranking in this road tilt. No one has an answer for Cam Newton. The Tigers were able to get some points on the board against a solid defense last week. I don't see the Rebel Black Bears stopping Cam Newton and I'm not to afraid of Massoli's offensive "prowess".
1 unit. Win.



There you have it money lovers. Another 3-2 Saturday won't cut it, we need a 5-0 day!!

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Week #7 NFL Picks

Another dismal performance on Sunday brings me to 12-18-4 on the NFL season. Vegas is really pounding the public this year, its been almost unrelenting, but instead of pouting I will continue to drive on and tinker with my mechanics until we get dialed in. Here is what I have simmering in the cash crock this NFL Sunday.




Patriots +3 The Chargers are decent at home, but Tom Brady is still Tom Brady. Rivers can't do everything himself, the Bolts running game has been a bust and injuries to Gates, Floyd and a banged up Nene. The Pats will be confident after beating the Ravens in a solid game last Sunday. Rivers simply doesn't have the tools to win by more than 3. I like the Pats in this spot.
2 units. Win.





Browns +14 Try an hold off till Sunday to take this play as I expect the line to shift to +14.5 between now and then, that extra one point creates a nice advantage your way. Colt McCoy played pretty decent against the stout Steelers D all things being considered. Brees rebounded nicely at Tampa Bay's expense, don't expect that again as the Bucs secondary is not very good and missing their best player Tanard Robinson to suspension. The Browns defense is pretty solid and McCoy used his tight ends wisely for some nice gains, also the Saints aren't very good against tight ends. Again, wait and see if the line moves if it does don't be shy to load up. The Saints are as tough at home as the Steelers are.
1 unit. Win.





Seahawks -6 Seattle is tough to beat at home and are coming off a nice road win against the Bears. This is a divisional game so the Seahawks should be ready to go. The Cards are coming to town with undrafted rookie QB Max Hall who did nothing in his first start in the NFL. I don't think he will fare well against the 12th man. Somehow the Seahawks have come up with a solid run stop unit. Seattle is weak against the pass, but Max Hall didn't do much passing in his first start.
1 unit. Win.





Rams +3 The Rams have been making me some money this season. I like them on the road here against Tampa. Bradford had a bounce back game last week. The Rams got blown out in their last road tilt, but I will chalk that up to the team going flat after seeing Clayton their biggest play maker go down. Since then Bradford has found a couple new play makers, Bradford should be able to move the ball with ease against the Bucs porous secondary. This will open things up for Steven Jackson on the ground and he should have a big day against the Bucs non-existent run stop unit.
2 units. Win.






49ers -3 The Panthers are bad, they have no QB or wide outs and their running game has been limited because teams are focusing on stopping it and forcing the Panthers to pass. Matt Moore is back as he will be good for throwing some picks the 49ers way. The 49ers got their fist win last week and held the Raiders in check. I like the 49ers to extend their winning streak to two here, if they want to get back into the NFC West scrum they need this game. Loss.



There you have it, lets hope for some account recovery this weekend as we all need it. Be sure to catch the show tomorrow night at 9:00pm only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

NCAA Week #8 Pick em

Had another ho-hum Saturday last week going a pedestrian 3-2, which brings me to a total of 14-15-3 on the year. I'm fighting the good fight to get over the hump. Not much for games that caught my eye this week but I have found some that we can make some money on. So lets see whats on the money docket for Saturday (and Friday)




Cincinnati -8 As most readers and listeners of the show know I am a USF Alumni, they have severely disappointed me this year, more so on offense. I have now become jaded with my own team. The Bearcats are a pretty solid squad and they always have USF's number. UC is tough at home and their 3 losses have come against #7 Utah, #3 OU and a decent NC State team on the road. The Bearcats lost to the Sooners and Utes by a combined 5 points on the road. The Bulls defense will do what they can, but ultimately the USF offense just can't sustain drives or move the chains. Daniels will throw his usual 2-3 picks and the Bulls just don't have a homerun hitter on offense. Bearcats by 10.
4 units. Loss.





Michigan St. -5 I never bought into the Wildcat hype, they are paper tigers who haven't played anyone and lost to Perdue and squeaked by Minnie and CMU. Sparty looks like a solid squad this year and have won some big games. I know that NW is 5-1 ATS versus Sparty in the last 6 games but this is a complete Michigan State squad that has yet to take a game off. Sparty takes it by 7.
2 units. Win.





Auburn -6 Let me preface this by saying I can't stand Auburn or Cam Newton. If you have been listening to the show you will have knowledge of the fact that I think LSU is a fraud. They will be on the road and forced to play a ranked team at night in the SEC. The LSU offense is a crap shoot. LSU has yet to beat anyone of note and struggling against Mcnese State isn't a good sign. The Tigers Auburn type will win this battle of undefeated.
1 unit. Win.





Washington State +35 The Cougars have covered 4 out of their last 5. Getting 7 touchdowns my way makes me happy. Stanford has been less than impressive since they got picture framed in Eugene. The Cougars will be able to put up 14-21 on the Cardinals overrated defense, I don't see the Cardinals lighting up the scoreboard and scoring 50-57 points, Stanford wins by 21.
4 units. Win.





Colorado State +31 The Rams have covered 4 out of their last 5 games, to include last weeks 33 point win against the Rebels of UNLV. The Rams have been improving (for them) the last few weeks. They will be on the road against a familiar foe against Utah. Jordan Winn struggled last week throwing 3 picks against Wyoming. No doubt the Utes get the win but 31 points in too much for them in this contest.
3 units. Loss.





There you have it my money loving friends. Would it be too much to ask for a 5-o weekend to get me over the hump or what? Well I am off to start working on my NFL action. Vegas has been getting the better of me thus far, I guess I am due some payback because I have been crushing them over the last few years. Good luck.