Game Theory Radio

Thursday, November 17, 2011

NCAA Week #12 Pick 'em

Down to the wire getting my picks in again this week, good thing all my games are on Saturday I guess. Anyway, I am pressed for time so lets get to the picks:



L'ville +1 L'ville has been playing some decent ball and have improved at the QB position this year and their defense has been coming along as well. I like them on the road against UCONN here as the Huskies haven't exactly been a powerhouse either. Cardinals outright.Win.


3 Units.






Arkansas -13 I wanted to punch myself for not taking the Razorbacks last week, oh well. The Bulldogs are an eyesore on offense and Tyler Wilson and his record setting WR's should have success against the "vaunted" defense of the Bulldogs. Just can't fathom how MSU will keep pace on the scoreboard with that offense. Arkansas will big play their way to a comfortable win.Win.


3 Units.






Vanderbilt -1 The Commodores are one of my best kept secrets this season, defense travels well and they will be up for the challenge in Knoxville against their in state rival. Vandy and Jordan Rodgers are heading in the right direction, towards my bank! Loss.


3 Units.







Miami -1 I took alot of road teams with small spreads this weekend. While Miami's record is not impressive their schedule is. USF is garbage, the team does not care for the coach and it shows in their play. Miami will exact revenge for last year in this game. Miami has been a pretty consistent team ATS this year while USF has not. Canes win comfortably.Win.


4 Units.







Kansas State +8 The Wildcats continue to get zero respect from Vegas and I have been riding them to a payday week in and week out. They have lost 2 games to teams from Oklahoma, maybe you had heard of them. Texas is overrated as per usual as Mizzou spelled out last week. I like the Cats to keep this game within 3 points. Win.



3 Units.



There you have it, let's hope I can pull even with that Chicago Kid character this weekend as he has been applying the pressure to me all season long!

Thursday, November 10, 2011

NCAA Week #11 Picks & NFL Week 10 Pick 'em

Decent week last week, overdue as well. Here is my latest attempt on getting to the top of the food chain in our yearly handicapping challenge. Actually getting my picks up in time for once, that is called progress my friends! Here is what I have for you this weekend:



Houston -35 The Cougars keep lighting up the scoreboard and that trend will continue this week as I think they will win this game by 42-45 points over the Green Wave, Tulane is a bad team and Houston really needs the style points to keep their boat in the race.Win.

2 Units.





West Virginia +4 The Mountaineers need this game badly to get a shot at a BCS bowl game, they have the offense to do it, but will their defense show up? I don't think Cincy is 4 points better than WVU at this point. Getting some value here after the Mountaineers lost to L'ville last week, who is a bit of an underrated team defensively and they have been getting some decent QB play as of late too. WVU keeps it within 3.Win.


2 Units.







Oklahoma State -17 Pokes survived a scare last weekend, Tech got blown out yet again. I'm not buying the Red Raiders win versus Oklahoma, since then they have been laying eggs true to form. The Cowboys are sitting pretty at #2 and won't take Tech lightly. Pokes cruise.Win.


3 Units.







Kansas State +5 The Wildcats are at home and coming off a close loss to Ok. State. Here comes A&M who has folded up shop for this season and will be without their leading rusher. I know KSU will do some scoring against a permeable A&M defense, they keep it within 5.Win.


3 Units.








TCU +16 Boise St. has failed to cover in 3 of 5 games, 2 of which were at home. You don't think TCU would love to ruin their season. Even at home 16 points is too much for 2 programs who know each other well. TCU keeps it close throughout.Win.



3 Units.






NFL Picks:

Saturday, November 5, 2011

NCAA Week 10 Pick em

Little late posting my picks as I have been under the weather. Miserable week last week that's pretty much been a microcosm of my season. Lets get to my latest attempt to go 0-5.



Tulsa +2 This game has already been played and I do have my bet slip handy for any doubters! I took Tulsa bc UCF has been unable to produce any offense with consistency this season an Tulsa has plenty of offense. Win.


3 Units.




Vanderbilt +13 The Commodores are a solid defensive squad, with Jordan Rodgers at QB now they should be able to move the ball. Florida makes too many mistakes, even though they are home I have my doubts about how excited they will be to play Vandy. Vandy keeps it to close for comfort1! Win.

3 Units.





Rutgers +3 Why is USF favored on the road? How many conference wins do they have again? Enough said, Rutgers is no powerhouse but they are at home against an underwhelming opponent, Rutgers outright. Win.


3 Units.






LSU +5 I can't see this game turning into a shootout, both teams are very talented on both sides of the ball. Its in Crimson Tide country so that explains 3 of the 5 points here, not sure where Vegas feels LSU needs another 2. Lets not forget that LSU has beaten 5 ranked opponents this year and always plays Alabama tough. I will take the points here. Win.


3 Units.






Houston -28 UAB surprised UCF by finding an offense, they won't be as fortunate here as Houston looks to bulid on their undefeated effort thus far, I don't see the Blazers being in this game for long, could be covering by halftime! Win.


3 Units.






NFL Week 9 Picks:


Falcons -7 Colts are bad, Falcons need a win. Win.

Buccaneers +9 Too many points here, Tampa just beat Brees and company 3 weeks ago, this is a FG win for the Saints. Loss.


Bengals +3 Cincy is a solid squad, not sure why the Titans are favored here. Dalton has played well and seems to enjoy AJ Green's company and the offense-less Titans will not be able to move the ball against the Bengals D. Win.


Bears +8 Too many points here again, Philly getting too much credit off their Dallas win ands the Bears always play the Eagles tough.Win.

Friday, October 28, 2011

NCAA Week 9 Pick 'em

3-2 last week, started off strong and fizzled out late. I hit my big 8 unit play and still have some ground to make up in my pick em league. Started out with a win last night as Houston covered the 28.5 vs Rice. Lets see what I have on tap for Saturday:





Michigan State +4 Not sure about the Huskers laying 4 here even if they are at home. Sparty is a consistent team and Martinez worries me at QB for Nebraska. Sparty outright.

5 Units.






Badgers -7 Another road team for me as I look for Wiscy to rebound in a big way. I don't think the Buckeyes match up well here. The Badgers will be angry and looking to make a statement here. This could get ugly.

4 Units.





Clemson -4 Why stop now right? Hopefully Clemson's defense shows up here because if Clemson falls behind early they might be in trouble against the GT clock eating offense. Too many weapons on the Clemson offense I like them here.

3 Units.





Kansas State +14 Oklahoma on the road after a deflating loss to Tech, KSU continues to get no respect from Vegas and have enough offense to stay with the Sooners. I'll take the points.

3 Units.




Oklahoma State -14 Recurring theme here, Cowboys offense is strong, Baylor will hang around in the first half but the Pokes will pull away in the second half.


3 Units.




Bonus Pick:

Stanford -8 This one almost made the cut, I like this game but its not in my top 5. This game will be a repeat of last year.

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

NCAA Week #8 Pick 'em

Decent Saturday last week going 4-2, maybe I am turning the corner halfway through the season. Who knows, but lets hope my winning continues. Lets get to the picks.



Cincinnati +3 USF can't stop the run, Isiah Pead will rack up the mileage, enough to upgrade to 1st class on the flight home. Collaras is mobile and will through all over the non existent defense. The Bulls will struggle to move the ball and will ultimately be embarrassed on Homecoming yet again.Win.

8 Units.





Washington +21 The Huskies are playing well in conference play, they won't pull out the victory here, but they have enough offense to stay within 21. Stanford starts slow and has not been as good as everyone thought this year, tight game going into the half, Stanford pulls away in the 2nd and wins by 17.Loss.

2 Units.





Oklahoma State -7 Another road team here, for some reason the Tigers get alot of credit from Vegas, Oklahoma State just has too many weapons on offense. Cowboys by 10.Win.


3 Units.






Kansas State -11 I have been riding the 'Cats all year, why stop now? Statement game here as the in state rival Jayhawks will be at home, won't matter though. Wildcats by 14.Win.

3 Units.





Wisconsin -9 Badgers head to Lansing to avenge a loss, Sparty could be a little flat here as they just came off an emotional senior sweep of cross state rival Michigan, Russell Wilson will prove the difference and Sparty goes down, Badgers by 10.Loss.


3 Units.



Sweetheart Teaser special:


Oklahoma State +6
Kansas State +1.5
Washington +34
Wisconsin +4.5

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Week 7 NCAA & NFL Week 6 Picks

Undefeated in my NFL picks last week, about time.............not so much with my college action. So here is my money offering this week. Short and sweet.............




LSU -17 Vols are at home but missing 2 of their few offensive pieces. Tigers will be all over them, I don't care how many Vols fans show up.Win.

4 Units.






Kansas State +4 Wrong team favored here. Tech isn't that good. Wildcats getting zero respect. I'll take the money. K State outright. Win.

4 Units.






Ok State -8 Everytime I play Ok State they lay an egg, just a hunch here. Texas got blown out last game against the Sooners, they just don't have the time to recover and plan for Wheeden and Co.Win.


2 Units.





Baylor +9 A&M missing too many players on offense and defense in this contest, especially going against RG3.Loss.


3 Units.





Michigan +2 Wolverines getting disrespected here, I think Northwestern is better than Sparty. Wolverines pull it out.Loss.

2 Units.




BONUS PICK:

Clemson -9 Terrapins are not living up to Edsel's expectations, Tigers keep rolling along. Win.




NFL Picks:


Panthers +4 Falcons just lost their Superbowl against the Pack. Statement game for Cam Newton, Panthers outright.Loss.

5 Units.


Bills +3 Vegas is telling me at +3 the Bills and Giants are even teams.........no. Giants are pure garbage. Bills outright.Push.

3 Units.


Patriots -7 Cowboys lose big, Dallas hates Romo even more, same story different week.Loss.



Enjoy! www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory check the show out................right now would be a good time.

Saturday, October 8, 2011

NCAA Week 6 and NFL Week 5 Picks

I need to hire a secretary to do my typing for me each week as I am pressed for time as per usual this week. Maybe this secretary can make my picks too, couldn't do any worse I'm sure. No excuses though as I charge ahead looking to get back to respectability. Here we go:


NCAA Action:

Iowa +4 The Hawkeyes always save their best for Penn St., even in Happy Valley that trend continues here as both teams are mediocre. I will accept the 4 points in this rivalry.Loss.

3 Units.





Kansas State +4 A live home dog here. I like the Cats in this spot. This is a good K-State squad who Bill Snyder has been piloting under the radar. Mizzou has been getting alot of credit thus far in the season and I am not quite sure as to why.Win.

3 Units.





LSU -14 Poor Gators, a beating by the hands of Bama at home in the Swamp now they have to get up for the Tigers in Death Valley. This game will be a measuring stick for the Hat as he looks to have a feeding frenzy against a UF squad who will be starting a back up QB in Driskell. Although this kid is supposed to be really good, he won't be ready for whats going to happen in Baton Rouge.Win.

3 Units.





East Carolina +12 I'm sensing a purple team theme this weekend. Houston is garbage and Kennum has done a backwards march and slid way down in Heisman relativity. Too many points here for a Houston squad that has been highly unimpressive thus far. East Carolina can score points and I am fairly certain they can keep this one within 10. Loss.


3 Units.





Nebraska -11 The Huskers are looking for their first Big 10 statement game and just as the doctor ordered here comes the Buckeyes into Lincoln. The Buckeyes had trouble to say the least finding the endzone against Sparty and that trend will continue as Ohio State is again missing players due to suspensions for getting a little bit too much compensation for their summer jobs. Martinez bounces back into Pellini's good graces with a solid outing. Loss.


3 Units.




NFL Picks




Not much on the slate this weekend for NFL action, wasn't blown away by any of the spreads.


Packers -6 The Falcons are garbage and will get blown out at home in storybook style. The Packers are unstoppable on offense and the Falcons D gave up 28 to Tavaris Jackson last week. The Falcons offense is having an identity crisis and as long as they keep this up they will continue to struggle.Win.

5 Units.




Bills +3 Jumping back on the Bills this week as the public has faded them for losing to the Bengals. The Eagles are still getting credit because the public hates money. Not sure how a 1-3 team is better than an at home 3-1 team but I will take the money. Buffalo outright. Win.

3 Units.




Bengals +3 Gabbert will struggle against this undervalued Cincy D. The Jags can stop the run game, but the Bengals do not really have one. I like getting 3 points here in this game which will be a battle of field goals and field position. Win.


3 Units




Enjoy & go get paid! and as always check out the show at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory