Game Theory Radio

Thursday, December 3, 2009

NCAA Week #14

Here we go, last week to add some respectability to my college record. I am at a 43-41-3 mark right now. I have to at least finish the season in the black. Lets get to the action.


West Virginia +2 I think the wrong team is favored here. West Virginia has been playing and winning some close games against solid teams this year. Bill Stewart finally got a signature win last week against Pitt. This should relieve some of the pressure on the Mountaineers. Their defense played very well against solid teams like Pitt and Cincy. I think Brown and Divine coupled with the WVU defense can get it done on the road against Rutgers.Win.



Cincinatti Bearcats -2 This game boiled down to coaching, I still think of Wandtstedt as the coach who ruined the Bears, but he seemed to find his niche at Pitt. Cincy's Brian Kelly is the hot ticket item this season. Cincy's offense is a machine that will keep churning in this contest, Pitt might slow it down a little with their defense but Stull has been somewhat careless with the ball lately, which keeps me from going the other way in this contest. Should be a well played game but I look for Cincy to pull it out by 4. Loss.



New Mexico State +48 Boise State doesn't even score 48 points a game, they average about 42 a contest so as long as the Aggies can stumble across a touchdown I feel pretty comfortable getting the 48 points here. Boise State should have a BCS game wrapped up, the Oklahoma State loss really helped there cause and I can't see them getting shortchanged for the second year in a row. I say this because I think Boise St will win this game comfortably (21 points) but it won't be a total blowout since they have already proved their point.Win.



Florida -6 Should be an interesting game, Tim Tebow just doesn't lose these types of games. Alabama was unimpressive versus Auburn. Even with Dunlap out I think the Gators are just too much for the Tide to handle. Ingram should be stacked up by the Gators D-line and LB's forcing McCelroy to move the chains himself against a solid Florida secondary. Both coaches are great at their craft, but Florida will also have the refs on their side and who can bet against that?Loss.



UCONN -7 The Huskies have been underrated all year, they have lost all there game by a combined 15 points. USF has to travel to frigid North Hartford for this Saturday night contest. UCONN can become bowl eligible with a win here and will be hungry for that. I don't see how USF can stop Todman and Dixon, UCONN usually runs all over the Bulls year in and year out. Frazier has also proved he can throw the ball and UCONN can put up points. On the other side UCONN's defense is pretty good and should have no problems stopping the Bulls rushing "attack" and bottling up BJ Daniels. I think USF will get blown out in this game. Daniels spends too much time running around in the backfield instead of looking down field to make a play. Claussen had trouble against UCONN's secondary, so how can Daniels do any better? Loss.



Nebraska +14 I have a weird feeling about this game. Nebraska has a solid defense so this should be a low scoring affair. That being said the Huskers offense can be anemic at times. I think Texas wins this game but it will be a close, hard fought game. Texas A&M showed that the Longhorns can be run on so Helu Jr. should have a nice game here taking some of the pressure off Zac Lee. Pelini's squad keeps this one close. Win.

Season Record 46-44-1 (I am done with college football)
There you have it, hopefully I can end the College football season on a high note.