Game Theory Radio

Saturday, December 3, 2011

NCAA Week 14 Pick 'em

Awful week last week, 1-4 is a disgusting effort. However the season is coming to a close and I would like it to end on A positive note. I started the weekend off with a win on Thursday night as I bet on WVU to beat USF whilst I was in attendance. 1-6 in the Big East, thanks alot Skippy! I will not be watching that much college football today as I will be prepping for my attendance at tonight's Lightning vs. Rangers game. Here is what I have:


Texas +3 I'm not that comfortable with the Bears laying points even at home. Texas has been playing better since Lil Mccoy was put back in at QB. Should be a very close game.


2 Units.




LSU -14 I had crow to eat on Thanksgiving weekend as the Tigers were one of the teams that made me eat it. Never again. That was the game that was supposed to have tripped them up. You just can't handicap a game and forecast turnovers. UGA is 10-2 but their schedule has been....shall we say comfortable? I don't expect this Les Miles team to take the foot off the gas as the Bulldogs will be out played and soundly beaten in the Georgia Dome for the 2nd time this season!
3 Units.
Virginia Tech -7 The Hokies made me look like an idiot last week as I took Virginia and looked very stupid in doing so. Revenge game here and VT will be all over Clemson who beat them by 20 to give them their sole loss of the season. These two teams have been going in different directions the last few weeks as the Tigers have been practicing laying eggs. VT wins by 9.
2 Units.
Oklahoma State -3 I think Mike Gundy is too good of a coach to let his team have another let down here. I am concerned about the injuries to the Sooners key players on offense and I think that will come into play in this game. Both teams have had a ton of time to prepare for this game should be a good one with the Pokes pulling out a 6 point win.
3 Units.
Michigan State +10 Game is being played were a team that used to be the Colts played. So neither team will have an advantage. Wisconsin has not impressed me this year, while Sparty has done just enough to keep getting wins. I don't think Michigan State wins but I like them to keep it within 10 points.
2 Units.
There you have it, hopefully I close the college football season out on a positive note!

Thursday, November 24, 2011

NCAA Week #13 Pick 'em

Thanksgiving Day and I have had nothing to eat yet, this computer isn't looking half bad right now. Back at this week, getting my picks in with at least 24 hours to spare. Locked my picks in on Tuesday morning, since then the lines have moved the on publicly backed dogs, which scares me a little bit. Oh well, we will drive on any how. No NFL picks this weekend either, just haven't liked any spreads as of late. Here is what I have for College action:




Arkansas +13 Last week at Miss State was a classic look ahead game for the Razorbacks, they didn't take the bait................Arkansas came out focused on both ends of the field. I am aware they play much better at home, like any team. However, they always play LSU tough. Here is my thinking on why I am taking the points and Arkansas when I took LSU +5 when they played Alabama, even though Alabama thumped Arkansas. Still with me? Alabama has a NFL secondary which managed to cause coverage pressure, LSU while an excellent defense just does not have as good a secondary as 'Bama. Therefore, I do not foresee them being able to handle Wilson, Gragg, Childs and Adams as well as the Tide. Make sense? Alot of pressure on LSU here, day game............that makes Death Valley more like Happy Valley. LSU wins a tight game, 3-5 points will be the difference.Loss.

4 Units.





Cal +6 Cal has covered 4 of 5 and been pretty competitive this season, Arizona State has lost 4 of 5 failing to cover their last 3. Arizona State's last win was against mighty Colorado. I get it, the Sun Devils have a 12' 8" QB and an overrated LB..........ok. I realize that Cal is not a strong road team but I still think we are getting 3 more points our way from Vegas. I'll take it!Win.


4 Units.






Virginia +5 Simply put I am not sold on the Hokies and they will struggle in this game to a sleeper Cavalier team. Virginia is a 5 point dog in their own house. Staunch defense and solid QB play from Rocco will get this team and us a W. The Cavs new coach is a good story and has this team focused, VT won't be able to count on points off Beamer Ball as this Cavalier team is too disciplined.Loss.


3 Units.





Notre Dame +8 Stanford better be careful here, their season is all but over anyways but I am sure they do not want a 2nd loss here. Notre Dame struggles against fast defenses (USF) but Stanford has a slow defense which struggles to cover the edges. I have been waiting for the Cardinal to get exposed all season long, the Ducks beat them soundly. I think they will be in for a surprise with ND giving them all they can handle, Luck has not been impressive this year and is missing his best WR, so the Stanford offense could struggle in the passing game and ND is decent against the run, which always helps when facing a running back by committee. Loss.


4 Units.






Duke +13 The Blue Devils are 3-8 but they do like to hang around like a fly that will not be swatted. Rivalry game here as the dislike between the two schools is heating up with BB season underway. UNC has already mailed it in as they already have become bowl eligible in what has been a disappointing season for them. Duke won't lay down and forces you to beat them down till the end of the game, 13 points is too much in this contest.Loss.


3 Units.



There you have it my friends, enjoy your Thanksgivings and stuffed wallets. Also keep an eye on the Texas A&M vs. Texas game, that line is getting a little high, if it hits +10, might be time for a small play! If anybody sees Joker out and about give him a hug as he seems like he is about to set himself ablaze. I think all this Skyrim playing has had an affect on his handicapping skills!

Thursday, November 17, 2011

NCAA Week #12 Pick 'em

Down to the wire getting my picks in again this week, good thing all my games are on Saturday I guess. Anyway, I am pressed for time so lets get to the picks:



L'ville +1 L'ville has been playing some decent ball and have improved at the QB position this year and their defense has been coming along as well. I like them on the road against UCONN here as the Huskies haven't exactly been a powerhouse either. Cardinals outright.Win.


3 Units.






Arkansas -13 I wanted to punch myself for not taking the Razorbacks last week, oh well. The Bulldogs are an eyesore on offense and Tyler Wilson and his record setting WR's should have success against the "vaunted" defense of the Bulldogs. Just can't fathom how MSU will keep pace on the scoreboard with that offense. Arkansas will big play their way to a comfortable win.Win.


3 Units.






Vanderbilt -1 The Commodores are one of my best kept secrets this season, defense travels well and they will be up for the challenge in Knoxville against their in state rival. Vandy and Jordan Rodgers are heading in the right direction, towards my bank! Loss.


3 Units.







Miami -1 I took alot of road teams with small spreads this weekend. While Miami's record is not impressive their schedule is. USF is garbage, the team does not care for the coach and it shows in their play. Miami will exact revenge for last year in this game. Miami has been a pretty consistent team ATS this year while USF has not. Canes win comfortably.Win.


4 Units.







Kansas State +8 The Wildcats continue to get zero respect from Vegas and I have been riding them to a payday week in and week out. They have lost 2 games to teams from Oklahoma, maybe you had heard of them. Texas is overrated as per usual as Mizzou spelled out last week. I like the Cats to keep this game within 3 points. Win.



3 Units.



There you have it, let's hope I can pull even with that Chicago Kid character this weekend as he has been applying the pressure to me all season long!

Thursday, November 10, 2011

NCAA Week #11 Picks & NFL Week 10 Pick 'em

Decent week last week, overdue as well. Here is my latest attempt on getting to the top of the food chain in our yearly handicapping challenge. Actually getting my picks up in time for once, that is called progress my friends! Here is what I have for you this weekend:



Houston -35 The Cougars keep lighting up the scoreboard and that trend will continue this week as I think they will win this game by 42-45 points over the Green Wave, Tulane is a bad team and Houston really needs the style points to keep their boat in the race.Win.

2 Units.





West Virginia +4 The Mountaineers need this game badly to get a shot at a BCS bowl game, they have the offense to do it, but will their defense show up? I don't think Cincy is 4 points better than WVU at this point. Getting some value here after the Mountaineers lost to L'ville last week, who is a bit of an underrated team defensively and they have been getting some decent QB play as of late too. WVU keeps it within 3.Win.


2 Units.







Oklahoma State -17 Pokes survived a scare last weekend, Tech got blown out yet again. I'm not buying the Red Raiders win versus Oklahoma, since then they have been laying eggs true to form. The Cowboys are sitting pretty at #2 and won't take Tech lightly. Pokes cruise.Win.


3 Units.







Kansas State +5 The Wildcats are at home and coming off a close loss to Ok. State. Here comes A&M who has folded up shop for this season and will be without their leading rusher. I know KSU will do some scoring against a permeable A&M defense, they keep it within 5.Win.


3 Units.








TCU +16 Boise St. has failed to cover in 3 of 5 games, 2 of which were at home. You don't think TCU would love to ruin their season. Even at home 16 points is too much for 2 programs who know each other well. TCU keeps it close throughout.Win.



3 Units.






NFL Picks:

Saturday, November 5, 2011

NCAA Week 10 Pick em

Little late posting my picks as I have been under the weather. Miserable week last week that's pretty much been a microcosm of my season. Lets get to my latest attempt to go 0-5.



Tulsa +2 This game has already been played and I do have my bet slip handy for any doubters! I took Tulsa bc UCF has been unable to produce any offense with consistency this season an Tulsa has plenty of offense. Win.


3 Units.




Vanderbilt +13 The Commodores are a solid defensive squad, with Jordan Rodgers at QB now they should be able to move the ball. Florida makes too many mistakes, even though they are home I have my doubts about how excited they will be to play Vandy. Vandy keeps it to close for comfort1! Win.

3 Units.





Rutgers +3 Why is USF favored on the road? How many conference wins do they have again? Enough said, Rutgers is no powerhouse but they are at home against an underwhelming opponent, Rutgers outright. Win.


3 Units.






LSU +5 I can't see this game turning into a shootout, both teams are very talented on both sides of the ball. Its in Crimson Tide country so that explains 3 of the 5 points here, not sure where Vegas feels LSU needs another 2. Lets not forget that LSU has beaten 5 ranked opponents this year and always plays Alabama tough. I will take the points here. Win.


3 Units.






Houston -28 UAB surprised UCF by finding an offense, they won't be as fortunate here as Houston looks to bulid on their undefeated effort thus far, I don't see the Blazers being in this game for long, could be covering by halftime! Win.


3 Units.






NFL Week 9 Picks:


Falcons -7 Colts are bad, Falcons need a win. Win.

Buccaneers +9 Too many points here, Tampa just beat Brees and company 3 weeks ago, this is a FG win for the Saints. Loss.


Bengals +3 Cincy is a solid squad, not sure why the Titans are favored here. Dalton has played well and seems to enjoy AJ Green's company and the offense-less Titans will not be able to move the ball against the Bengals D. Win.


Bears +8 Too many points here again, Philly getting too much credit off their Dallas win ands the Bears always play the Eagles tough.Win.

Friday, October 28, 2011

NCAA Week 9 Pick 'em

3-2 last week, started off strong and fizzled out late. I hit my big 8 unit play and still have some ground to make up in my pick em league. Started out with a win last night as Houston covered the 28.5 vs Rice. Lets see what I have on tap for Saturday:





Michigan State +4 Not sure about the Huskers laying 4 here even if they are at home. Sparty is a consistent team and Martinez worries me at QB for Nebraska. Sparty outright.

5 Units.






Badgers -7 Another road team for me as I look for Wiscy to rebound in a big way. I don't think the Buckeyes match up well here. The Badgers will be angry and looking to make a statement here. This could get ugly.

4 Units.





Clemson -4 Why stop now right? Hopefully Clemson's defense shows up here because if Clemson falls behind early they might be in trouble against the GT clock eating offense. Too many weapons on the Clemson offense I like them here.

3 Units.





Kansas State +14 Oklahoma on the road after a deflating loss to Tech, KSU continues to get no respect from Vegas and have enough offense to stay with the Sooners. I'll take the points.

3 Units.




Oklahoma State -14 Recurring theme here, Cowboys offense is strong, Baylor will hang around in the first half but the Pokes will pull away in the second half.


3 Units.




Bonus Pick:

Stanford -8 This one almost made the cut, I like this game but its not in my top 5. This game will be a repeat of last year.

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

NCAA Week #8 Pick 'em

Decent Saturday last week going 4-2, maybe I am turning the corner halfway through the season. Who knows, but lets hope my winning continues. Lets get to the picks.



Cincinnati +3 USF can't stop the run, Isiah Pead will rack up the mileage, enough to upgrade to 1st class on the flight home. Collaras is mobile and will through all over the non existent defense. The Bulls will struggle to move the ball and will ultimately be embarrassed on Homecoming yet again.Win.

8 Units.





Washington +21 The Huskies are playing well in conference play, they won't pull out the victory here, but they have enough offense to stay within 21. Stanford starts slow and has not been as good as everyone thought this year, tight game going into the half, Stanford pulls away in the 2nd and wins by 17.Loss.

2 Units.





Oklahoma State -7 Another road team here, for some reason the Tigers get alot of credit from Vegas, Oklahoma State just has too many weapons on offense. Cowboys by 10.Win.


3 Units.






Kansas State -11 I have been riding the 'Cats all year, why stop now? Statement game here as the in state rival Jayhawks will be at home, won't matter though. Wildcats by 14.Win.

3 Units.





Wisconsin -9 Badgers head to Lansing to avenge a loss, Sparty could be a little flat here as they just came off an emotional senior sweep of cross state rival Michigan, Russell Wilson will prove the difference and Sparty goes down, Badgers by 10.Loss.


3 Units.



Sweetheart Teaser special:


Oklahoma State +6
Kansas State +1.5
Washington +34
Wisconsin +4.5

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Week 7 NCAA & NFL Week 6 Picks

Undefeated in my NFL picks last week, about time.............not so much with my college action. So here is my money offering this week. Short and sweet.............




LSU -17 Vols are at home but missing 2 of their few offensive pieces. Tigers will be all over them, I don't care how many Vols fans show up.Win.

4 Units.






Kansas State +4 Wrong team favored here. Tech isn't that good. Wildcats getting zero respect. I'll take the money. K State outright. Win.

4 Units.






Ok State -8 Everytime I play Ok State they lay an egg, just a hunch here. Texas got blown out last game against the Sooners, they just don't have the time to recover and plan for Wheeden and Co.Win.


2 Units.





Baylor +9 A&M missing too many players on offense and defense in this contest, especially going against RG3.Loss.


3 Units.





Michigan +2 Wolverines getting disrespected here, I think Northwestern is better than Sparty. Wolverines pull it out.Loss.

2 Units.




BONUS PICK:

Clemson -9 Terrapins are not living up to Edsel's expectations, Tigers keep rolling along. Win.




NFL Picks:


Panthers +4 Falcons just lost their Superbowl against the Pack. Statement game for Cam Newton, Panthers outright.Loss.

5 Units.


Bills +3 Vegas is telling me at +3 the Bills and Giants are even teams.........no. Giants are pure garbage. Bills outright.Push.

3 Units.


Patriots -7 Cowboys lose big, Dallas hates Romo even more, same story different week.Loss.



Enjoy! www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory check the show out................right now would be a good time.

Saturday, October 8, 2011

NCAA Week 6 and NFL Week 5 Picks

I need to hire a secretary to do my typing for me each week as I am pressed for time as per usual this week. Maybe this secretary can make my picks too, couldn't do any worse I'm sure. No excuses though as I charge ahead looking to get back to respectability. Here we go:


NCAA Action:

Iowa +4 The Hawkeyes always save their best for Penn St., even in Happy Valley that trend continues here as both teams are mediocre. I will accept the 4 points in this rivalry.Loss.

3 Units.





Kansas State +4 A live home dog here. I like the Cats in this spot. This is a good K-State squad who Bill Snyder has been piloting under the radar. Mizzou has been getting alot of credit thus far in the season and I am not quite sure as to why.Win.

3 Units.





LSU -14 Poor Gators, a beating by the hands of Bama at home in the Swamp now they have to get up for the Tigers in Death Valley. This game will be a measuring stick for the Hat as he looks to have a feeding frenzy against a UF squad who will be starting a back up QB in Driskell. Although this kid is supposed to be really good, he won't be ready for whats going to happen in Baton Rouge.Win.

3 Units.





East Carolina +12 I'm sensing a purple team theme this weekend. Houston is garbage and Kennum has done a backwards march and slid way down in Heisman relativity. Too many points here for a Houston squad that has been highly unimpressive thus far. East Carolina can score points and I am fairly certain they can keep this one within 10. Loss.


3 Units.





Nebraska -11 The Huskers are looking for their first Big 10 statement game and just as the doctor ordered here comes the Buckeyes into Lincoln. The Buckeyes had trouble to say the least finding the endzone against Sparty and that trend will continue as Ohio State is again missing players due to suspensions for getting a little bit too much compensation for their summer jobs. Martinez bounces back into Pellini's good graces with a solid outing. Loss.


3 Units.




NFL Picks




Not much on the slate this weekend for NFL action, wasn't blown away by any of the spreads.


Packers -6 The Falcons are garbage and will get blown out at home in storybook style. The Packers are unstoppable on offense and the Falcons D gave up 28 to Tavaris Jackson last week. The Falcons offense is having an identity crisis and as long as they keep this up they will continue to struggle.Win.

5 Units.




Bills +3 Jumping back on the Bills this week as the public has faded them for losing to the Bengals. The Eagles are still getting credit because the public hates money. Not sure how a 1-3 team is better than an at home 3-1 team but I will take the money. Buffalo outright. Win.

3 Units.




Bengals +3 Gabbert will struggle against this undervalued Cincy D. The Jags can stop the run game, but the Bengals do not really have one. I like getting 3 points here in this game which will be a battle of field goals and field position. Win.


3 Units




Enjoy & go get paid! and as always check out the show at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory

Friday, September 30, 2011

Week #5 NCAA Pick 'em, Week #4 NFL Pick 'em

Another rough weekend going 2-3 on Saturday (actually should have been 3-2, thanks to that bs extra point fiasco in my Toledo +2 pick). I got blown out on my Sunday picks, but I think I am dialed in now on my NFL action. Let's see what's on tap for this weekend as I climb back into the race in my Pick 'em league.




Penn State -15 Indiana is bad, Penn State can score points and always show up on defense. I like the Nittany Lions on the road here.Loss.

3 Units.





Louisiana Tech -3 Tough team at home, and they have been scoring some points this season. Hawaii has the long flight away from home and they aren't as good when they are away from that distinct and distracting environment.Loss.

5 Units.






Temple -8 Solid team, Al Golden left a good squad behind in Philly. The defense has been solid and the offense can score points in bunches, basically they are the polar opposite of USF. Toledo will be flat here coming home from some tough losses including the abortion last week where Vegas took their pound of flesh and my cash.Loss.


3 Units.





Washington +10 I think the Utes are way overvalued here coming off their big win versus BYU in the Holy War. Washington can score and Polk will have success on the ground. I think it is too many points here and I will take them. WIN!

2 Units.





Clemson +7 This game gave me some trouble, Clemson has been playing some great ball thus far, that being said they always like to shoot themselves in the foot away from home. VT is decent as expected, but I think the Tigers can keep it within 7. WIN!

2 Units.





NFL Picks






Bengals +3 Cincy defense is vastly overrated, The Bills could get caught in a flat spot here after their skull dragging of the Patriots. Benson is suspended which will actually probably help us here. Dalton has been pretty solid so far this year, vastly improved compared to preseason at least so the Bengals should be able to move the ball against a suspect Bills D, who could have trouble getting up for the bottom feeding Bengals.Win!


2 Units





Panthers +7 Cutler and the Bears offensive line worries me, while the Panthers are no aces on defense I think Cam Newton and Steve Smith will do enough to keep the Panthers in this game. Im not going to go as far to say the Panthers will win outright, but the Bears definitely have some problems right now, I think their faith in their QB is a bit shaken. Win!

5 Units.





Dolphins +7 I should have jumped on this game when its was +9, the Dolphins are desperate right now and the Chargers look like they are sleep walking. The Chargers are really hurting on the defensive side of the ball and it will show here. The Miami defense should do enough to keep them in this game.Loss

2 Units.






Falcons -5 I have been fading the Falcons all season thus far. This week I am going to jump on them. Don't be fooled by the Seahawks performance last week against the Cards. The Cardinals have no running game right now, so Seattle keyed in on Fitzgerald the Cards lone offensive threat. The Falcons have much more than one offensive threat and Mike Smith like to cover on the road. Falcons in a blowout. Loss.

4 Units.






Vikings -2 The Vikings are a dumpster fire, but the offense has been scoring points and the defense has been giving them up in the second half. Don' be fooled by the Chiefs close loss at San Diego last week, as I stated earlier the Chargers have massive holes on defense. Loss

3 Units.




There it is. I really need to get back on track as Vegas has been getting the better of me thus far which is the wrong answer.

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Weel #4 NCAA Picks and Week #3 NFL Picks

Did not have a good weekend last weekend, I am now 7-6-2 in my college picks, which is way below the Mendoza line for me, in NFL play I am now sitting at 5-6-1. I do not take solace in the fact that its been a tough season for handicappers thus far (with the exception of CK who is sitting at 13-2) so I am determined to get dialed in. Here is what I have for this weekend:


NCAA Picks:

Pokes +4 A&M hasn't won a conference opener in a while and the Aggies are last in the FBS in 3 and outs. Simply put I think this game is decided by 3 points either way. I am expecting between 70-80 points in this game, in the end it could be decided by a field goal. Kyle Field will be rocking but Ok. State seems to be the right play here.
3 Units.





Toledo +2 The Rockets have had a tough schedule so far this season, playing Ohio State and Boise State so far. The played the Buckeyes tough and were covering against Boise St until late in the 4th quarter, so I see no reason why the Rockets can't keep it within 2 in the Carrier Dome.
2 Units.





Notre Dame -7 As much as we like to bash them on our Game Theory Radio show (www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory be sure to check it out, its an entertaining show and we often have some Vegas guests on as well) The Irish are a decent team, they have not had the luxury of playing a cupcake thus far. ND goes into Heinz field looking to get back to 2-2. I do not think the Panthers can stay with ND on offense and the Irish D has done a good job considering all the turnovers, so if ND can keep from putting the ball on the ground I like them to cover the & here.
3 Units.





San Diego State +11 Michigan wins this game, but its close. SDSU will have something to prove going against Coach Hoke for the first time since he jumped ship to Ann Arbor. The Wolverines struggle to cover as double digit favorites. I think SDSU can keep it within 6 here.
3 Units.





Florida -20 Kentucky has always been a doormat for the Gators, after losing to their cross state rival L'ville last week the Wildcats will be flat. I just don't see how Kentucky will make enough plays to stay in this game and if the Gators can cut down on the penalties they should take this game by 21. The Gators beat a decent Tennessee squad last week despite a huge amount of penalties so I see them fixing that and covering here.




NFL Picks:



Jets -3 Alot of people think the Jets lose here, I am not one of them. The Raiders have been decent thus far mostly on offense but the Jets D is a tad bit better than the Bills and Broncos. Its a homecoming of sorts and I don't think that Ryan will let his troops come stumbling into Oakland. The Raiders are improved, but not enough to stay with the Jets.
2 Units.





Lions -4 I am staying aboard the Lions gravy train this weekend, I might have to jump off soon as Vegas keeps making them favorites. The Vikings Donovan McNabb has lived up to his statement of "I have nothing to prove" so far this season. The Lions offense has been impressive thus far and the defense has looked sharp as well. The Vikings do get some players back for this game but I just don't see it being enough.
2 Units.





Dolphins +3 Miami has had a tough schedule so far and I don't see them starting off 0-3. They go to Cleveland to face a beatable Browns squad. The Dolphins revamped offense has looked alot better than the years prior and they have been a pretty good defense for sometime. I like the Dolphins outright.
4 Units.






Chargers -15 I know alot of people are going heavily the other way on this game. I still like the Chargers here though, KC is a bad team and the loss of Charlie Weiss has seemed to throw them off their game, plus losing players like Moeaki, Charles and Berry doesn't help things for the Chiefs either. These teams do not like each other, the Chargers coming off a loss to the Pats will be looking for some revenge in Arrowhead and will get it.
2 Units





Steelers -11 This game should be a laugher as the Colts are throwing in the towel. Indy does not have a QB or a running game so I do not foresee them finding the endzone often. The Steelers are still the Steelers and defense travels well. Pittsburgh takes this game by 14.
2 Units



Let's get the ship righted this weekend shall we? As always don't forget to check out our show on Tuesdays and Thursdays at 10PM only on www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory

Thursday, September 15, 2011

Week #3 NCAA and Week #2 NFL Pick 'em

Not exactly a stellar week for me last weekend, no time to reflect on a mediocre performance though, we have money to make. I am really feeling the heat in my annual college football pick 'em challenge, so I really need to deliver here. Plus my loyal fan base deserves a solid showing!
Let's get to the picks!


NCAA


Boise St -20 On the road again for the Broncos facing a tough Toledo squad. The Broncos are a very good team to put it mildly. The Rockets stood tall with Ohio State last weekend but came up a little short in the end. It could be hard for Toledo to get up for this game on a short week and after taking one on the chin last week, for the Rockets that was their BCS title game so they could come out flat against Boise State which will put them in a deep hole. I think Ohio State is vastly overrated and even though I hate laying 20 points here the Broncos are just too good.Win!

2 Units.




UCLA +4 The Bruins are due, Nuehiesel needs to deliver a win against a big program and here is his chance at home. UCLA lost to Houston in what was basically a shoot out, Texas squeaked by Rice and BYU and I do not quite understand why they are ranked. The Longhorns will be starting Case McCoy, unfortunately for Vegas that won't get it done! UCLA outright.Loss.

2 Units.




Auburn +3 The Tigers burned me last week, so they owe me. Clemson has played two in state FCS schools so far this year and struggled to get their offense going early. I don't get this spread, perhaps Im missing something, but I doubt it. Auburn has enough offense and defense to get the win, even on the road.Loss.

3 Units.





Tennessee +10 Last week was a test of sorts for the Vols and they passed, beating the Bearcats pretty soundly. The Gators have played and beaten FAU and UAB, im not impressed. 10 points is alot and I expect the Vols QB play to keep this game within 7.Push.

3 Units.





Houston -7 The Bulldogs play solid D at home, Im just not sure if the La. Tech offense can keep pace with Case Keenum. Should be a close game early but the Cougars will pull away in the 2nd half.Loss.

3 Units.



NFL Picks




Bears +7 Bears looked good last week against the falcons, on the road against New Orleans will be a test for them but the Saints are alot like the Falcons, powerful on offense and sketchy on defense. The Bears will no doubt come to play as Urlacher will be back for the game and playing for his mother who passed away this week. Look for his teammates to step up to get that done, Bears keep it within 7.Loss.

2 Units.





Bills -3 After a short week and a cross country trip the Raiders won't be focused to play the "lowly" Bills here. Lets face it, Buffalo isn't an easy place to play regardless. Fitzpatrick shredded the Chiefs last week and I see that trend continuing here. Look for big games from Johnson and Jackson as well.Push.

2 Units.





Ravens -6 The Titans are garbage. Chris Johnson is not in game shape and Mike Munchak doesn't know how to use him. The Titans will have no success on the ground forcing Hassellback to throw and Ed Reed will enjoy that. Ravens easily.Loss.

3 Units.





Eagles -3 The Georgia Dome will be rocking for Vick's homecoming, once again the Falcons defense will fail to stop the Philly offense. I know Matt Ryan is great in the Dome but Philly will make enough plays to make a statement to the rest of the NFC, Falcons fall to 0-2.Loss.

2 Units.





Bucs +3 Tampa played decent against a good Lions team last week and the Vikings are having some serious problems at QB. Mcnabb was ineffective to say the least last week and the young Bucs will be hungry for a win, I like Tampa and the points here!Win!

2 Units.



Showtime in 45 minutes at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory check it out to get some more analysis on my picks! Good luck!

Friday, September 9, 2011

NCAA Week #2 Pick 'em

Short week, but it was still way too long. I had a tough time coming up with games this week thus the delay. Looking to improve on my 4-1 start last week, I Found 5 more money earners for this Saturday. I'm chasing the Chicago Kid after his 5-0 performance and have four others gunning for me in our yearly college football pick 'em contest. So without any more fanfare lets get to the money part.





Mississippi St. -6 Auburn got really lucky last week, squeaking by the Aggies and their freshman QB. Auburn struggles in home games during the daytime. Mullen's offense is way to much for the spotty Auburn D and the Bulldogs weakness from last year (pass defense) has had a year to hone their craft. Auburn will not have the success they had last week moving the ball on Saturday.Loss.

3 Units.





Hawaii +6 The Huskies squeaked by powerhouse Eastern Washington last week, I do not foresee that trend continuing here. Hawaii at home last week dusted off a decent Colorado squad. Moniz will have a big day against the Huskies defense who will spend alot of time on the field due to the fact Washington's offense will struggle to move the ball.Loss.

1 Unit





Stanford -21 I hate laying this kind of wood but............Duke lost to Richmond last week and now they have to get up for Andrew Luck? I'm not buying it! This game is going to get ugly quick, yes Stanford has a new coach, but he is cut from the same cloth as Harbaugh was. Stanford's running back by committee will be competing for carries so they will have success on the ground as well.

2 Units Win!





UCF -7 Biggest game of the year for the Knights. They seemed to have picked up where they left off last season after skull dragging Charleston Southern last week. BC on the other hand will be dragging themselves into Brighthouse field after a loss to the Dan Persa-less Northwestern last week, I doubt they will be stoked to play a C-USA squad who is clicking on all cylinders.Win!

2 Units






Ball St. +20 The Cardinals will come into Tampa with a chip on their shoulder after beating Indiana last week as a dog. USF coming off an emotional, marathon game last week could come out flat here. USF wins it but 20 will be too much in this spot. Loss.

1 Unit


There you have it, sorry for the late post but its money in the back nonetheless!

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

NFL 2011 Week #1 Picks

What we generally do............in this country, is I make a bet................and Vegas pays me for it! Had a decent week #1 in college action going 4-1 (thanks again Oregon) and picking up 9 units. Lets hope that translates in to more of Vegas hard earned $$ finding its way to my online superfund!



Packers -4 I looked at the opening weekend lines and I thought "what can I use you fah?" rhetorical question......money is the answer. Packers have all their weapons back and last time I looked in the dictionary the Saints got phonebooked by the Seattle Seahawks. The Saints haven't really made enough improvements to make me think they can stay within 4 points of the Superbowl champs at home. Win!

3 Units.



Steelers +3 Guy at work today asked me if I knew who John Lennon was, I responded of course with "yeah, he was the President before Lincoln." He said "you must be a gambler" I said you show me a point spread and I'll get you something out of it. Steelers on the road @ the Ravens. Same story as above, this game is always tight, so I take the team that's getting points. The principles of detection tell me that's the Steelers.Loss.

2 Units.





Bears +3 NFC title game team getting points at home against an over hyped Atlanta squad? Yes please. Cutler will have a chip on his shoulder in this one. Atlanta has too many holes on defense for me to buy them here and they will be more worried about the Bucs week #2 due to the division game and all. Bears outright.Win!

3 Units.





Rams +6 (and climbing) Are you a psychiatrist? Well, if I was I would ask why the Eagles are laying 6 on the road to Bradford & Company and I bet if I was Sigmund Freud himself I wouldn't get an answer. The public will pound Philly all year long due to the self imposed "Dream Team" moniker. Look out for St. Louis this year, they have some nice pieces and some progressing young talent.Loss.

2 Units.





Giants -3 Some people don't trust a handicapper with an immaculate record, I have an immaculate record. Go ahead Giants lose on September 11th to the Redskins, the press will chop you up and feed you to the poor. Redskins are home, but it won't help. This team is going to be bad. Loss.

2 Units.





Pats-7 You fellas from Providence? "Isn't any business of yours now is it?" You deliverin' money or somethin? Because if you are it will probably belong to me after the Pats continue their domination of the Fish on Monday night in South Beach.Win!


2 Units





Lions +1 I thought it was nice you asked me which hand I gamble with, as I remember Vegas isn't that sentimental. The Lions are looking pretty good. The edge I see hear is Detroit's D-line versus the Bucs O-line, win for Detroit. I'm a little concerned that Freeman won't have time to find his WR's. Stafford will be upright and can really throw the ball around, Megatron has a big day, so does my bank account. Win!



Enjoy! Short and to the point (that's what she said)

Thursday, September 1, 2011

NCAA 2011 Week #1 Pick 'em

I'm back, freshly awoken from my usual hibernation. In time nonetheless to bring you some money, all but hand delivered. Wisconsin is currently up 20-0 against UNLV on the way to cover the 35 I laid on them. Thanks to Russell Wilson for the good start. Speaking of good starts I just returned home from a meeting with USF head coach Skip Holtz, got to meet several of the players alot of excitement in the air for the USF program, big game against Notre Dame on Saturday, so it's make or break for us already. Let us get to what we are all here for and that is my picks which bring profits!




South Florida +11 Sure. I will take your money Vegas, this line just keeps climbing...........and so does my bank account. USF knows what this game means, Coach Holtz seemed very excited about Saturdays contest. ND is getting all their usual preseason hype. How focused will they be on a South Florida squad in their house when they have the Wolverines waiting for them at The Big House next weekend? For a night game...........with Coach Hoke making his debut..........and the Wolverine alumni back in the fold. I don't envy you Brian Kelly. USF has great team speed, BJ Daniels has another year of experience under his belt and USF finally has some WR's for him to throw too. Look for alot of AJ Love and Stephen Bravo-Brown in this one..........I like the Bulls outright. Win!
4 Units.



Baylor +4 RG3 is back, and in the hunt for the Heisman, Baylor should not be taken lightly this year, TCU has lost alot especially with Andy Dalton and Andre Brown going to the NFL. TCU is breaking in some new pieces on both sides of the ball and I like Baylor and the points here.
2 Units. Win!



Utah St. +23 My how quickly we forget this is the same team who took the Sooners to the brink last year in week one. Last time I checked Cam Newton plays for the Panthers so there goes 85% of Auburn's usually inept offense. I think the Aggies will stay in this game, 23 is too big of a number for the Tigers to swallow while suffering from a National Championship hangover.
2 Units. Win!




Boise St. -3 I'm not doubting the Broncos anymore, they did lose two key WR's to the NFL but last time I looked in the dictionary they still had Kellen Moore. This team is too well coached, not afraid of the hostile environments and they rarely make mistakes. I get that Georgia is supposed to be improved, but I hear that every year. Andy Murray is a stud, but the Broncos need this game to beat away the BCS nay sayers. Boise by 6.
2 Units. Win!




Oregon -4 Ducks vs. Bayou Bengals................not in Death Valley mind you, but Jerry's house. LSU isn't as good when they do not have home field. The Jordan Jefferson fiasco will affect the Tigers here, not to mention they have to deal with the three headed monster of the Ducks running attack which will confuse their defense and I just don't think Jarret Lee and the Tigers can get it done here. Loss
1 Unit.


There you have it my friends, enjoy your Labor Day weekend and your profits, until next week.