Game Theory Radio

Friday, August 31, 2012

NCAA WEEK #1 2012



It is that time again, time for me to defend my crown against the savages of the pick 'em crew. Will it be a three peat for The Blanket, lets hope so! I started out on the right foot last night with some 2 unit action on Vanderbilt +7 in a covered loss. I generally do not like to go to heavy on Week #1 contests so all of my plays will be small here.



Boise State +8    The Broncos travel to East Lansing for a tilt with Sparty on prime time tonight. Boise St. does not shy away from these week #1 road dog contests. Sparty is solid on defense this season, however I am afraid the offense cannot say the same. Boise State lost some pieces as well but they are a well coached team so I am comfortable with them staying with Sparty in what should be a low scoring Michigan State win. I'll take the 8 points.
2 Units.

Ohio +7   The Bobcats have built up a decent little program, Penn State needless to say is in shambles. 7 points might be a tad much here but I am not complaining. Penn State has lost an awful lot in the off season. Their new head coach will have them ready but I am not sure if the talent is that much better than what Ohio has to offer. Another tight game here as the Nittany Lions pull off the squeaker.
1 Unit.
Tennessee -3  The Vols travel to meet the Wolfpack, Tennessee will be an improved team this year, even with the loss of their top WR as he had his invitation to the game pulled for trying to be the next Kenny Britt. N.C State is a decent squad but Dooley's boys are improved this year. This spread tells us that these two teams are even in Vegas's eyes, lets hope the Vols make the scoreboard uneven.
2 Units.
Michigan +14 Why not? Here is how I see this game, If the Wolverines can win the time of posses ion game and not have any turnovers they should be able to keep this game close. Alot of if's I know but Denard Robinson can make an early Heisman statement here with a solid performance. Alabama has a stout defense as per usual but their offense is what concerns me here. hoke has had all off season to prepare for this one. I like the Wolverines to cover but Bama will get the outright win by single digit points.
1 Unit.


There we have it, I was tempted to make a play on WVU but I do not care for laying 25 points to a instate rival. Lets start the season off playing it smart! Until that day...................