No fancy write ups here, the bowl games that I do play will all be small plays in the range of half unit to one unit. One of the key aspects when placing a bet on a team in a bowl game is you have to ask, which one of these teams actually wants to be here? Case in point the Utah vs. Alabama a couple of seasons ago. Its always hard to tell if a team has kept up its preparation for game time. So I will give you a guide on who I think is the better sid ein each bowl game.
New Mexico Bowl
UTEP +12 Both teams are garbage, but this is just too many points.
Humanitarian Bowl
Northern Illinois -1 Huskies will be looking to rebound after being embarrased in the MAC championship game.
New Orleans Bowl
Troy -2 The Trojans can score points quickly, the Bobcats were blown out by Kent State in their last game, really?
St. Petersburg Bowl
L'ville -3 Too much defense for Southern Miss.
Las Vegas Bowl
Boise St -17 Utah has been exposed, Boise State won't fold up shop here.
Pointsettia Bowl
Navy +4 San Diego State will struggle against the triple option, Dobbs goes out a winner.
Hawaii Bowl
Hawaii -10 Hawaii..........where mainland teams go to die.
Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl
FIU +2 The Golden Panthers had a tough non-conference schedule and will be pumped for their first bowl game.
Independence Bowl
GT +3 This will be a hard fought game and the score will be close at the end, I'll take the points.
Saturday, December 18, 2010
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Week #15 NFL Pick 'em
I didn't have a good Sunday last week, pretty frustrating as a matter of fact. We are now sitting at 41-32-2 on the NFL season. I should have a pretty heavy slate this Sunday. I will be adding picks here and there as I breakdown match ups. Lets see what we have batting lead off this week.
Chargers -8 Hard to bet against Rivers when it's November or later. The Chargers offense is almost back to full strength and the Bolts D ranks among the highest in both categories in the NFL. The 49ers are traveling on a short week and the Chargers are not the Seahawks especially coming off a big win versus the Chiefs. Qualcomm will be rocking as the San Diegans? San Diegoans? Will be filled with the holiday spirits. 5 units. Win.
Jaguars +5 I locked this spread in early as I expect it to be around +3.5 by kick-off time. This game is always close, decided by 7 points or less and that's when the Jags aren't playing as good as they are right now. MJD will gash the Colts defense and keep Peyton pouting on the bench. I really like this game as the Jags have alot to play for here and can lock up the division AND sweep the rival Colts with a win. 5 units. Loss.
Falcons -7 I don't normally like to take the Falcons on the road, but the defense has looked portable as of late. I took them a few weeks ago when they beat the Rams on the road and the spread was -3, in my opinion the Rams are better than Seattle and the Seahawks will probably be pee-pee smacked after embarrassing me and themselves by getting projectile vomited by the 49ers on Sunday. 3 units. Win.
Steelers -6 I hate Troy Polamalu unless I have money on his team, this week I shall be a fan. He absolutely crushed me last week due to the fact I had Cincy +9 and Carson Palmer still thinks he is at USC. The Jets if you listen to the show are frauds, I said so before the start of the season, write that down. The Jets just can't respond if they get hit in the mouth, by that I mean scored on first and scored on quickly. Much like myself the Steelers will score quickly while the Jets lay on their backs with their legs behind their ears. 3 units. Loss.
Saints +1 New Orleans has found their offensive stride once again and are stacked at the running back position with Bush, Thomas and Ivory all contributing. Brees seems to have overcome his turnover problems as the running game now has to be accounted for again. The Ravens defense has shown some holes this season and are not the formidable stop unit they have been of seasons past. Joe the Quarterback has been spotty and I am not sure if he can match the Saints production. 2 units. Loss.
Bills +6 Buffalo travels to Miami and the Dolphins for whatever reason hate winning games at home game. After their big win against the Jets last week the Fins could be primed for a let down here. The Bills somehow shut down Peyton Hillis last week so maybe their defense will show up again this Sunday, either way the Bills should be able to keep this contest within 6. 1 unit. Win.
Eagles+3 Leading Pro Bowl vote getter Micheal Vick takes the Eagles into a divisional showdown at the New Meadowlands against the G-Men. This game should be close, so I like getting points here. The Giants hate beating the Eagles and Eli is too prone to the turnover for me to take the other side. huge game for both teams, as long as Vick stays upright we should be good. 1 unit. Win.
Cardinals +3 The Panthers have some serious issues at QB, John Fox seems to not care about his possible unemployment although his named has already been tossed out there for a head coach vacancy. The Panthers are holding the lottery ticket to Andrew Luck in their paws and most likely will not show up for this game. 2 units. Loss.
Browns +1 I locked this game in as soon as the lines went up and it has since been pulled. Both Ocho Cinco and T.O. are banged up for this game, which might be a good thing. Palmer is a shell of his former self and the Bengals are a total mess. The Browns get Colt Mccoy back which means they have a passing game which should open things up for Peyton Hillis against a banged up Bengals defense. 4 units. Loss.
There you have it 9 games, I'm due for a huge Sunday lets hope this is it.
Chargers -8 Hard to bet against Rivers when it's November or later. The Chargers offense is almost back to full strength and the Bolts D ranks among the highest in both categories in the NFL. The 49ers are traveling on a short week and the Chargers are not the Seahawks especially coming off a big win versus the Chiefs. Qualcomm will be rocking as the San Diegans? San Diegoans? Will be filled with the holiday spirits. 5 units. Win.
Jaguars +5 I locked this spread in early as I expect it to be around +3.5 by kick-off time. This game is always close, decided by 7 points or less and that's when the Jags aren't playing as good as they are right now. MJD will gash the Colts defense and keep Peyton pouting on the bench. I really like this game as the Jags have alot to play for here and can lock up the division AND sweep the rival Colts with a win. 5 units. Loss.
Falcons -7 I don't normally like to take the Falcons on the road, but the defense has looked portable as of late. I took them a few weeks ago when they beat the Rams on the road and the spread was -3, in my opinion the Rams are better than Seattle and the Seahawks will probably be pee-pee smacked after embarrassing me and themselves by getting projectile vomited by the 49ers on Sunday. 3 units. Win.
Steelers -6 I hate Troy Polamalu unless I have money on his team, this week I shall be a fan. He absolutely crushed me last week due to the fact I had Cincy +9 and Carson Palmer still thinks he is at USC. The Jets if you listen to the show are frauds, I said so before the start of the season, write that down. The Jets just can't respond if they get hit in the mouth, by that I mean scored on first and scored on quickly. Much like myself the Steelers will score quickly while the Jets lay on their backs with their legs behind their ears. 3 units. Loss.
Saints +1 New Orleans has found their offensive stride once again and are stacked at the running back position with Bush, Thomas and Ivory all contributing. Brees seems to have overcome his turnover problems as the running game now has to be accounted for again. The Ravens defense has shown some holes this season and are not the formidable stop unit they have been of seasons past. Joe the Quarterback has been spotty and I am not sure if he can match the Saints production. 2 units. Loss.
Bills +6 Buffalo travels to Miami and the Dolphins for whatever reason hate winning games at home game. After their big win against the Jets last week the Fins could be primed for a let down here. The Bills somehow shut down Peyton Hillis last week so maybe their defense will show up again this Sunday, either way the Bills should be able to keep this contest within 6. 1 unit. Win.
Eagles+3 Leading Pro Bowl vote getter Micheal Vick takes the Eagles into a divisional showdown at the New Meadowlands against the G-Men. This game should be close, so I like getting points here. The Giants hate beating the Eagles and Eli is too prone to the turnover for me to take the other side. huge game for both teams, as long as Vick stays upright we should be good. 1 unit. Win.
Cardinals +3 The Panthers have some serious issues at QB, John Fox seems to not care about his possible unemployment although his named has already been tossed out there for a head coach vacancy. The Panthers are holding the lottery ticket to Andrew Luck in their paws and most likely will not show up for this game. 2 units. Loss.
Browns +1 I locked this game in as soon as the lines went up and it has since been pulled. Both Ocho Cinco and T.O. are banged up for this game, which might be a good thing. Palmer is a shell of his former self and the Bengals are a total mess. The Browns get Colt Mccoy back which means they have a passing game which should open things up for Peyton Hillis against a banged up Bengals defense. 4 units. Loss.
There you have it 9 games, I'm due for a huge Sunday lets hope this is it.
Wednesday, December 8, 2010
NFL Week #14 Pick 'em
Had a user unfriendly weekend this past weekend. Wrapped up the college regular season going 33-30-5, made some money there. In NFL action we are siting at 37-28-2 with a huge slate of games set for today, so be that I'm already running late lets get to the picks.
Chargers -10 Bounce back game for the Bolts here, a much needed home win opportunity presents itself for the Chargers here. The Chiefs should be relying heavily on the running game here with Cassell out and Croyle starting on the road. Let's hope the Chargers can stop the run this week and get some payback on KC. 3 units. Win.
Ravens -3 Coming off a tough loss to the Steelers the Ravens get to go on the road and play the Texans who are not very good on defense. The Ravens need this win to keep pace with Pittsburgh in the AFC North. Flacco should have a decent game against the less than stellar Texans defense. 2 units. Win.
Bengals +9 This is the Bengals Superbowl game and opportunity to give a hated rival an early Christmas present of a loss. The Steelers are coming of a huge win on the road against Baltimore and could be looking past the Bungals. Cincy has been making a habit of coming back late in games to get a backdoor cover. 1 unit. Loss.
Browns+1 Cleveland goes to play in Buffalo, even though Jake Delhomme is their QB the Browns Peyton Hillis will have a field day against a terrible Bills stop unit who has given up nearly 500 yards on the ground the last two weeks. The Browns pass defense will do enough to keep the Bills offense from producing. 2 units. Loss.
Rams +10 The Saints are laying too many points here, even though they are at home and the Rams do not play so well on the road. Bradford shouldn't have much trouble carving up the Saints wishy-washy defense and the Rams D will do enough to keep them in this game. 5 units. Loss.
Seahawks +6 The 49ers shouldn't be favored by 6 against anyone. Singletary continues to play musical QB and they will have an affect on his team as will the loss of Frank Gore who is integral to the 49ers offense. Given those two factors you cant tell me that the 49ers should be favored by a touchdown. 2 units. Loss.
Pats -3 Should be a sloppy game due to field and weather conditions, but for me the Pats are just playing too well right now and laying money on Cutler is never endearing to me. Usually games like this its a safe bet to take the dog, however I just can't go against the Hoodie & Company right now. 2 units. Win.
Dolphins +6 Henne has been playing better QB as the Dolphins head to the new Meadowlands for a divisional game with the hated Jets. The Sanchise has been less than impressive as has the Jets defense. Their record doesn't reflect all the close games they barely squeaked out, the Dolphins can keep it within 6. 4 units. Win.
Broncos -4 Why not right? The Cards struggle to produce offense even with their starting QB under center, now they are trotting out 3rd stringer John Skelton, from?????? Fordham. We know that the Broncos offense can put up points quickly lets hope the defense gives us the same performance they did last week against KC. 3 units. Loss.
There you go 8 games on tap, lets get some double digit money for our Monday morning deposit.
Chargers -10 Bounce back game for the Bolts here, a much needed home win opportunity presents itself for the Chargers here. The Chiefs should be relying heavily on the running game here with Cassell out and Croyle starting on the road. Let's hope the Chargers can stop the run this week and get some payback on KC. 3 units. Win.
Ravens -3 Coming off a tough loss to the Steelers the Ravens get to go on the road and play the Texans who are not very good on defense. The Ravens need this win to keep pace with Pittsburgh in the AFC North. Flacco should have a decent game against the less than stellar Texans defense. 2 units. Win.
Bengals +9 This is the Bengals Superbowl game and opportunity to give a hated rival an early Christmas present of a loss. The Steelers are coming of a huge win on the road against Baltimore and could be looking past the Bungals. Cincy has been making a habit of coming back late in games to get a backdoor cover. 1 unit. Loss.
Browns+1 Cleveland goes to play in Buffalo, even though Jake Delhomme is their QB the Browns Peyton Hillis will have a field day against a terrible Bills stop unit who has given up nearly 500 yards on the ground the last two weeks. The Browns pass defense will do enough to keep the Bills offense from producing. 2 units. Loss.
Rams +10 The Saints are laying too many points here, even though they are at home and the Rams do not play so well on the road. Bradford shouldn't have much trouble carving up the Saints wishy-washy defense and the Rams D will do enough to keep them in this game. 5 units. Loss.
Seahawks +6 The 49ers shouldn't be favored by 6 against anyone. Singletary continues to play musical QB and they will have an affect on his team as will the loss of Frank Gore who is integral to the 49ers offense. Given those two factors you cant tell me that the 49ers should be favored by a touchdown. 2 units. Loss.
Pats -3 Should be a sloppy game due to field and weather conditions, but for me the Pats are just playing too well right now and laying money on Cutler is never endearing to me. Usually games like this its a safe bet to take the dog, however I just can't go against the Hoodie & Company right now. 2 units. Win.
Dolphins +6 Henne has been playing better QB as the Dolphins head to the new Meadowlands for a divisional game with the hated Jets. The Sanchise has been less than impressive as has the Jets defense. Their record doesn't reflect all the close games they barely squeaked out, the Dolphins can keep it within 6. 4 units. Win.
Broncos -4 Why not right? The Cards struggle to produce offense even with their starting QB under center, now they are trotting out 3rd stringer John Skelton, from?????? Fordham. We know that the Broncos offense can put up points quickly lets hope the defense gives us the same performance they did last week against KC. 3 units. Loss.
There you go 8 games on tap, lets get some double digit money for our Monday morning deposit.
Thursday, December 2, 2010
NFL Week #13 Pick 'em
Great weekend last Sunday, I went 6-2 ATS on my NFL action for +10 units. We are going a little light on units this Sunday, noting really jumped out at me for a multi unit play. I am sitting at 34-26-2 and have been on fire the last few weeks, so lets keep that trend in lockstep.
Dolphins -4 Henne looked sharp last week on the left coast, The Fins are at home this week and Jake Delhomme is the QB for the Browns and he is as useless as a football bat or a pair of swim cleats, write that down!
1 unit. Loss.
Saints -7 Brees and company seemed to have figured it out and the Bengals are a garage sale inside of a double wide that is currently on fire. Bengals are at home, but for some reason they are getting too much credit in this game. Saints easy.
3 units. Loss.
Rams -3 The Cards cannot run or throw the ball and that trend will continue as they stumble through their Kurt Warner-less season. I have been pounding the Rams all season. Bradford is a stud and doesn't throw picks, he uses his young WR's well and the defense is good enough to keep the Cardinals at bay, even on the road.
2 units.Win.
Steelers -3 A rare appearance by Rapistberger in Baltimore, this is a must have game for the Steelers. If they get swept by the Ravens they might not get into the playoffs even as a Wildcard. These games are usually very close but the Ravens offense has been sluggish as of late.Win.
Pats -3 New England is playing much better ball lately the Jets have been winning but have really been squeaking by with the exception of the beat down of Cincy last week. Brady is on fire and the Pats D is making moves, Pays cover at home.
2 units.Win.
There you have it another highly profitable Sunday of football.
Dolphins -4 Henne looked sharp last week on the left coast, The Fins are at home this week and Jake Delhomme is the QB for the Browns and he is as useless as a football bat or a pair of swim cleats, write that down!
1 unit. Loss.
Saints -7 Brees and company seemed to have figured it out and the Bengals are a garage sale inside of a double wide that is currently on fire. Bengals are at home, but for some reason they are getting too much credit in this game. Saints easy.
3 units. Loss.
Rams -3 The Cards cannot run or throw the ball and that trend will continue as they stumble through their Kurt Warner-less season. I have been pounding the Rams all season. Bradford is a stud and doesn't throw picks, he uses his young WR's well and the defense is good enough to keep the Cardinals at bay, even on the road.
2 units.Win.
Steelers -3 A rare appearance by Rapistberger in Baltimore, this is a must have game for the Steelers. If they get swept by the Ravens they might not get into the playoffs even as a Wildcard. These games are usually very close but the Ravens offense has been sluggish as of late.Win.
Pats -3 New England is playing much better ball lately the Jets have been winning but have really been squeaking by with the exception of the beat down of Cincy last week. Brady is on fire and the Pats D is making moves, Pays cover at home.
2 units.Win.
There you have it another highly profitable Sunday of football.
NCAA Week #14 Pick 'em
Another dismal week in college as I went 3-2. We are now standing at 32-27-4 on the season. This is the last week so there are alot of rivalry matchups going down Saturday. Running behind a little bit this week so I will post some small write ups on the games, for more in depth analysis tune into the Vegas Takedown Show at 10pm tonight only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Northern Illinois -18 MAC champy game here and the Huskies are at home and playing some solid football. I dislike betting hard earned money on MAC games, but I think NIU has a solid team and will put the Redhawks at parade rest.Loss.
Oregon -17 The Ducks better step their game up here as the partake in the Civil War against the Beavs. The Ducks have been sluggish in the first half as of late, so that calls for a light play on this game. Oregon State on the other hand has slipped and had trouble finding the endzone as of late.Push.
South Carolina +6 This game in Atlanta will have a mixed crowd, I like Auburn to win by 2. The Gamecocks have the talent to stay with Auburn on both sides of the ball. Newton escapes the Georgia Dome with a W, I escape with some Vegas money! Loss.
FSU +4 The Seminoles have looked really good as of late and Ponder will put everything he has in this game. VT doesn't impress me and the Seminoles have the momentum to take this one outright.Loss.
Nevada -10 I'll be honest, I hate this team and the QB, but La Tech struggles against the pass and it will show in this contest. Win.
There you have it enjoy!
Northern Illinois -18 MAC champy game here and the Huskies are at home and playing some solid football. I dislike betting hard earned money on MAC games, but I think NIU has a solid team and will put the Redhawks at parade rest.Loss.
Oregon -17 The Ducks better step their game up here as the partake in the Civil War against the Beavs. The Ducks have been sluggish in the first half as of late, so that calls for a light play on this game. Oregon State on the other hand has slipped and had trouble finding the endzone as of late.Push.
South Carolina +6 This game in Atlanta will have a mixed crowd, I like Auburn to win by 2. The Gamecocks have the talent to stay with Auburn on both sides of the ball. Newton escapes the Georgia Dome with a W, I escape with some Vegas money! Loss.
FSU +4 The Seminoles have looked really good as of late and Ponder will put everything he has in this game. VT doesn't impress me and the Seminoles have the momentum to take this one outright.Loss.
Nevada -10 I'll be honest, I hate this team and the QB, but La Tech struggles against the pass and it will show in this contest. Win.
There you have it enjoy!
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