Game Theory Radio

Friday, September 30, 2011

Week #5 NCAA Pick 'em, Week #4 NFL Pick 'em

Another rough weekend going 2-3 on Saturday (actually should have been 3-2, thanks to that bs extra point fiasco in my Toledo +2 pick). I got blown out on my Sunday picks, but I think I am dialed in now on my NFL action. Let's see what's on tap for this weekend as I climb back into the race in my Pick 'em league.




Penn State -15 Indiana is bad, Penn State can score points and always show up on defense. I like the Nittany Lions on the road here.Loss.

3 Units.





Louisiana Tech -3 Tough team at home, and they have been scoring some points this season. Hawaii has the long flight away from home and they aren't as good when they are away from that distinct and distracting environment.Loss.

5 Units.






Temple -8 Solid team, Al Golden left a good squad behind in Philly. The defense has been solid and the offense can score points in bunches, basically they are the polar opposite of USF. Toledo will be flat here coming home from some tough losses including the abortion last week where Vegas took their pound of flesh and my cash.Loss.


3 Units.





Washington +10 I think the Utes are way overvalued here coming off their big win versus BYU in the Holy War. Washington can score and Polk will have success on the ground. I think it is too many points here and I will take them. WIN!

2 Units.





Clemson +7 This game gave me some trouble, Clemson has been playing some great ball thus far, that being said they always like to shoot themselves in the foot away from home. VT is decent as expected, but I think the Tigers can keep it within 7. WIN!

2 Units.





NFL Picks






Bengals +3 Cincy defense is vastly overrated, The Bills could get caught in a flat spot here after their skull dragging of the Patriots. Benson is suspended which will actually probably help us here. Dalton has been pretty solid so far this year, vastly improved compared to preseason at least so the Bengals should be able to move the ball against a suspect Bills D, who could have trouble getting up for the bottom feeding Bengals.Win!


2 Units





Panthers +7 Cutler and the Bears offensive line worries me, while the Panthers are no aces on defense I think Cam Newton and Steve Smith will do enough to keep the Panthers in this game. Im not going to go as far to say the Panthers will win outright, but the Bears definitely have some problems right now, I think their faith in their QB is a bit shaken. Win!

5 Units.





Dolphins +7 I should have jumped on this game when its was +9, the Dolphins are desperate right now and the Chargers look like they are sleep walking. The Chargers are really hurting on the defensive side of the ball and it will show here. The Miami defense should do enough to keep them in this game.Loss

2 Units.






Falcons -5 I have been fading the Falcons all season thus far. This week I am going to jump on them. Don't be fooled by the Seahawks performance last week against the Cards. The Cardinals have no running game right now, so Seattle keyed in on Fitzgerald the Cards lone offensive threat. The Falcons have much more than one offensive threat and Mike Smith like to cover on the road. Falcons in a blowout. Loss.

4 Units.






Vikings -2 The Vikings are a dumpster fire, but the offense has been scoring points and the defense has been giving them up in the second half. Don' be fooled by the Chiefs close loss at San Diego last week, as I stated earlier the Chargers have massive holes on defense. Loss

3 Units.




There it is. I really need to get back on track as Vegas has been getting the better of me thus far which is the wrong answer.

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Weel #4 NCAA Picks and Week #3 NFL Picks

Did not have a good weekend last weekend, I am now 7-6-2 in my college picks, which is way below the Mendoza line for me, in NFL play I am now sitting at 5-6-1. I do not take solace in the fact that its been a tough season for handicappers thus far (with the exception of CK who is sitting at 13-2) so I am determined to get dialed in. Here is what I have for this weekend:


NCAA Picks:

Pokes +4 A&M hasn't won a conference opener in a while and the Aggies are last in the FBS in 3 and outs. Simply put I think this game is decided by 3 points either way. I am expecting between 70-80 points in this game, in the end it could be decided by a field goal. Kyle Field will be rocking but Ok. State seems to be the right play here.
3 Units.





Toledo +2 The Rockets have had a tough schedule so far this season, playing Ohio State and Boise State so far. The played the Buckeyes tough and were covering against Boise St until late in the 4th quarter, so I see no reason why the Rockets can't keep it within 2 in the Carrier Dome.
2 Units.





Notre Dame -7 As much as we like to bash them on our Game Theory Radio show (www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory be sure to check it out, its an entertaining show and we often have some Vegas guests on as well) The Irish are a decent team, they have not had the luxury of playing a cupcake thus far. ND goes into Heinz field looking to get back to 2-2. I do not think the Panthers can stay with ND on offense and the Irish D has done a good job considering all the turnovers, so if ND can keep from putting the ball on the ground I like them to cover the & here.
3 Units.





San Diego State +11 Michigan wins this game, but its close. SDSU will have something to prove going against Coach Hoke for the first time since he jumped ship to Ann Arbor. The Wolverines struggle to cover as double digit favorites. I think SDSU can keep it within 6 here.
3 Units.





Florida -20 Kentucky has always been a doormat for the Gators, after losing to their cross state rival L'ville last week the Wildcats will be flat. I just don't see how Kentucky will make enough plays to stay in this game and if the Gators can cut down on the penalties they should take this game by 21. The Gators beat a decent Tennessee squad last week despite a huge amount of penalties so I see them fixing that and covering here.




NFL Picks:



Jets -3 Alot of people think the Jets lose here, I am not one of them. The Raiders have been decent thus far mostly on offense but the Jets D is a tad bit better than the Bills and Broncos. Its a homecoming of sorts and I don't think that Ryan will let his troops come stumbling into Oakland. The Raiders are improved, but not enough to stay with the Jets.
2 Units.





Lions -4 I am staying aboard the Lions gravy train this weekend, I might have to jump off soon as Vegas keeps making them favorites. The Vikings Donovan McNabb has lived up to his statement of "I have nothing to prove" so far this season. The Lions offense has been impressive thus far and the defense has looked sharp as well. The Vikings do get some players back for this game but I just don't see it being enough.
2 Units.





Dolphins +3 Miami has had a tough schedule so far and I don't see them starting off 0-3. They go to Cleveland to face a beatable Browns squad. The Dolphins revamped offense has looked alot better than the years prior and they have been a pretty good defense for sometime. I like the Dolphins outright.
4 Units.






Chargers -15 I know alot of people are going heavily the other way on this game. I still like the Chargers here though, KC is a bad team and the loss of Charlie Weiss has seemed to throw them off their game, plus losing players like Moeaki, Charles and Berry doesn't help things for the Chiefs either. These teams do not like each other, the Chargers coming off a loss to the Pats will be looking for some revenge in Arrowhead and will get it.
2 Units





Steelers -11 This game should be a laugher as the Colts are throwing in the towel. Indy does not have a QB or a running game so I do not foresee them finding the endzone often. The Steelers are still the Steelers and defense travels well. Pittsburgh takes this game by 14.
2 Units



Let's get the ship righted this weekend shall we? As always don't forget to check out our show on Tuesdays and Thursdays at 10PM only on www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory

Thursday, September 15, 2011

Week #3 NCAA and Week #2 NFL Pick 'em

Not exactly a stellar week for me last weekend, no time to reflect on a mediocre performance though, we have money to make. I am really feeling the heat in my annual college football pick 'em challenge, so I really need to deliver here. Plus my loyal fan base deserves a solid showing!
Let's get to the picks!


NCAA


Boise St -20 On the road again for the Broncos facing a tough Toledo squad. The Broncos are a very good team to put it mildly. The Rockets stood tall with Ohio State last weekend but came up a little short in the end. It could be hard for Toledo to get up for this game on a short week and after taking one on the chin last week, for the Rockets that was their BCS title game so they could come out flat against Boise State which will put them in a deep hole. I think Ohio State is vastly overrated and even though I hate laying 20 points here the Broncos are just too good.Win!

2 Units.




UCLA +4 The Bruins are due, Nuehiesel needs to deliver a win against a big program and here is his chance at home. UCLA lost to Houston in what was basically a shoot out, Texas squeaked by Rice and BYU and I do not quite understand why they are ranked. The Longhorns will be starting Case McCoy, unfortunately for Vegas that won't get it done! UCLA outright.Loss.

2 Units.




Auburn +3 The Tigers burned me last week, so they owe me. Clemson has played two in state FCS schools so far this year and struggled to get their offense going early. I don't get this spread, perhaps Im missing something, but I doubt it. Auburn has enough offense and defense to get the win, even on the road.Loss.

3 Units.





Tennessee +10 Last week was a test of sorts for the Vols and they passed, beating the Bearcats pretty soundly. The Gators have played and beaten FAU and UAB, im not impressed. 10 points is alot and I expect the Vols QB play to keep this game within 7.Push.

3 Units.





Houston -7 The Bulldogs play solid D at home, Im just not sure if the La. Tech offense can keep pace with Case Keenum. Should be a close game early but the Cougars will pull away in the 2nd half.Loss.

3 Units.



NFL Picks




Bears +7 Bears looked good last week against the falcons, on the road against New Orleans will be a test for them but the Saints are alot like the Falcons, powerful on offense and sketchy on defense. The Bears will no doubt come to play as Urlacher will be back for the game and playing for his mother who passed away this week. Look for his teammates to step up to get that done, Bears keep it within 7.Loss.

2 Units.





Bills -3 After a short week and a cross country trip the Raiders won't be focused to play the "lowly" Bills here. Lets face it, Buffalo isn't an easy place to play regardless. Fitzpatrick shredded the Chiefs last week and I see that trend continuing here. Look for big games from Johnson and Jackson as well.Push.

2 Units.





Ravens -6 The Titans are garbage. Chris Johnson is not in game shape and Mike Munchak doesn't know how to use him. The Titans will have no success on the ground forcing Hassellback to throw and Ed Reed will enjoy that. Ravens easily.Loss.

3 Units.





Eagles -3 The Georgia Dome will be rocking for Vick's homecoming, once again the Falcons defense will fail to stop the Philly offense. I know Matt Ryan is great in the Dome but Philly will make enough plays to make a statement to the rest of the NFC, Falcons fall to 0-2.Loss.

2 Units.





Bucs +3 Tampa played decent against a good Lions team last week and the Vikings are having some serious problems at QB. Mcnabb was ineffective to say the least last week and the young Bucs will be hungry for a win, I like Tampa and the points here!Win!

2 Units.



Showtime in 45 minutes at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory check it out to get some more analysis on my picks! Good luck!

Friday, September 9, 2011

NCAA Week #2 Pick 'em

Short week, but it was still way too long. I had a tough time coming up with games this week thus the delay. Looking to improve on my 4-1 start last week, I Found 5 more money earners for this Saturday. I'm chasing the Chicago Kid after his 5-0 performance and have four others gunning for me in our yearly college football pick 'em contest. So without any more fanfare lets get to the money part.





Mississippi St. -6 Auburn got really lucky last week, squeaking by the Aggies and their freshman QB. Auburn struggles in home games during the daytime. Mullen's offense is way to much for the spotty Auburn D and the Bulldogs weakness from last year (pass defense) has had a year to hone their craft. Auburn will not have the success they had last week moving the ball on Saturday.Loss.

3 Units.





Hawaii +6 The Huskies squeaked by powerhouse Eastern Washington last week, I do not foresee that trend continuing here. Hawaii at home last week dusted off a decent Colorado squad. Moniz will have a big day against the Huskies defense who will spend alot of time on the field due to the fact Washington's offense will struggle to move the ball.Loss.

1 Unit





Stanford -21 I hate laying this kind of wood but............Duke lost to Richmond last week and now they have to get up for Andrew Luck? I'm not buying it! This game is going to get ugly quick, yes Stanford has a new coach, but he is cut from the same cloth as Harbaugh was. Stanford's running back by committee will be competing for carries so they will have success on the ground as well.

2 Units Win!





UCF -7 Biggest game of the year for the Knights. They seemed to have picked up where they left off last season after skull dragging Charleston Southern last week. BC on the other hand will be dragging themselves into Brighthouse field after a loss to the Dan Persa-less Northwestern last week, I doubt they will be stoked to play a C-USA squad who is clicking on all cylinders.Win!

2 Units






Ball St. +20 The Cardinals will come into Tampa with a chip on their shoulder after beating Indiana last week as a dog. USF coming off an emotional, marathon game last week could come out flat here. USF wins it but 20 will be too much in this spot. Loss.

1 Unit


There you have it, sorry for the late post but its money in the back nonetheless!

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

NFL 2011 Week #1 Picks

What we generally do............in this country, is I make a bet................and Vegas pays me for it! Had a decent week #1 in college action going 4-1 (thanks again Oregon) and picking up 9 units. Lets hope that translates in to more of Vegas hard earned $$ finding its way to my online superfund!



Packers -4 I looked at the opening weekend lines and I thought "what can I use you fah?" rhetorical question......money is the answer. Packers have all their weapons back and last time I looked in the dictionary the Saints got phonebooked by the Seattle Seahawks. The Saints haven't really made enough improvements to make me think they can stay within 4 points of the Superbowl champs at home. Win!

3 Units.



Steelers +3 Guy at work today asked me if I knew who John Lennon was, I responded of course with "yeah, he was the President before Lincoln." He said "you must be a gambler" I said you show me a point spread and I'll get you something out of it. Steelers on the road @ the Ravens. Same story as above, this game is always tight, so I take the team that's getting points. The principles of detection tell me that's the Steelers.Loss.

2 Units.





Bears +3 NFC title game team getting points at home against an over hyped Atlanta squad? Yes please. Cutler will have a chip on his shoulder in this one. Atlanta has too many holes on defense for me to buy them here and they will be more worried about the Bucs week #2 due to the division game and all. Bears outright.Win!

3 Units.





Rams +6 (and climbing) Are you a psychiatrist? Well, if I was I would ask why the Eagles are laying 6 on the road to Bradford & Company and I bet if I was Sigmund Freud himself I wouldn't get an answer. The public will pound Philly all year long due to the self imposed "Dream Team" moniker. Look out for St. Louis this year, they have some nice pieces and some progressing young talent.Loss.

2 Units.





Giants -3 Some people don't trust a handicapper with an immaculate record, I have an immaculate record. Go ahead Giants lose on September 11th to the Redskins, the press will chop you up and feed you to the poor. Redskins are home, but it won't help. This team is going to be bad. Loss.

2 Units.





Pats-7 You fellas from Providence? "Isn't any business of yours now is it?" You deliverin' money or somethin? Because if you are it will probably belong to me after the Pats continue their domination of the Fish on Monday night in South Beach.Win!


2 Units





Lions +1 I thought it was nice you asked me which hand I gamble with, as I remember Vegas isn't that sentimental. The Lions are looking pretty good. The edge I see hear is Detroit's D-line versus the Bucs O-line, win for Detroit. I'm a little concerned that Freeman won't have time to find his WR's. Stafford will be upright and can really throw the ball around, Megatron has a big day, so does my bank account. Win!



Enjoy! Short and to the point (that's what she said)

Thursday, September 1, 2011

NCAA 2011 Week #1 Pick 'em

I'm back, freshly awoken from my usual hibernation. In time nonetheless to bring you some money, all but hand delivered. Wisconsin is currently up 20-0 against UNLV on the way to cover the 35 I laid on them. Thanks to Russell Wilson for the good start. Speaking of good starts I just returned home from a meeting with USF head coach Skip Holtz, got to meet several of the players alot of excitement in the air for the USF program, big game against Notre Dame on Saturday, so it's make or break for us already. Let us get to what we are all here for and that is my picks which bring profits!




South Florida +11 Sure. I will take your money Vegas, this line just keeps climbing...........and so does my bank account. USF knows what this game means, Coach Holtz seemed very excited about Saturdays contest. ND is getting all their usual preseason hype. How focused will they be on a South Florida squad in their house when they have the Wolverines waiting for them at The Big House next weekend? For a night game...........with Coach Hoke making his debut..........and the Wolverine alumni back in the fold. I don't envy you Brian Kelly. USF has great team speed, BJ Daniels has another year of experience under his belt and USF finally has some WR's for him to throw too. Look for alot of AJ Love and Stephen Bravo-Brown in this one..........I like the Bulls outright. Win!
4 Units.



Baylor +4 RG3 is back, and in the hunt for the Heisman, Baylor should not be taken lightly this year, TCU has lost alot especially with Andy Dalton and Andre Brown going to the NFL. TCU is breaking in some new pieces on both sides of the ball and I like Baylor and the points here.
2 Units. Win!



Utah St. +23 My how quickly we forget this is the same team who took the Sooners to the brink last year in week one. Last time I checked Cam Newton plays for the Panthers so there goes 85% of Auburn's usually inept offense. I think the Aggies will stay in this game, 23 is too big of a number for the Tigers to swallow while suffering from a National Championship hangover.
2 Units. Win!




Boise St. -3 I'm not doubting the Broncos anymore, they did lose two key WR's to the NFL but last time I looked in the dictionary they still had Kellen Moore. This team is too well coached, not afraid of the hostile environments and they rarely make mistakes. I get that Georgia is supposed to be improved, but I hear that every year. Andy Murray is a stud, but the Broncos need this game to beat away the BCS nay sayers. Boise by 6.
2 Units. Win!




Oregon -4 Ducks vs. Bayou Bengals................not in Death Valley mind you, but Jerry's house. LSU isn't as good when they do not have home field. The Jordan Jefferson fiasco will affect the Tigers here, not to mention they have to deal with the three headed monster of the Ducks running attack which will confuse their defense and I just don't think Jarret Lee and the Tigers can get it done here. Loss
1 Unit.


There you have it my friends, enjoy your Labor Day weekend and your profits, until next week.