Pretty solid Sunday last week as I went 4-1, those bums from San Fran cost me a perfect day. So I am sitting at 16-19-1, time for me to move back into the black. Slim pickings this Sunday, not much at all that interested me, everything will be a one unit play this weekend. Here is what I have:
Bills +8 Ryan Fitzpatrick is the second rated passer in the NFL that's what kind of season it has been this far. They have put up some serious points against some good teams with the Harvard alum behind center. The Chiefs can score too, their running game has been successful and Cassel has been throwing the ball well. The Chiefs secondary is young and susceptible to the pass so this game could be a shoot out but I think Buffalo and the points is the right side.
Win.
Vikings +6 The Vikings will lose this game but they are good enough to cover the 6. Moss has been supplying all the info on the Pats defense to Childress, will it help? Maybe. The Pats just aren't the potent offense they used to be and their defense is young but getting better. The Vikings defense will keep them in this game, lets just hop Favre doesn't throw it away. Loss.
Packers +6 The Pack is really beat up and weak against the run but they do have WR's and a QB who can score at any moment. The Jets will win this game but the Pack has the talent to stay with them. Win.
Texans +6 The Texans are built to beat the Colts as they did at home in week #1, they like Jacksonville always play the Colts tough and the Colts have some missing pieces on defense and their running back core is really beat up. Colts will squeak this game out with a late FG and we will cover. Loss.
Rams -3 The Rams are solid at home and the Panthers are not very good, the Moore to Gettis connection doesn't scare me. The Rams have covered alot for me this year and I don't see them stumbling here as a they are looking to get back to .500 on the year. Bradford will take out his displeasure of wearing a Mizzou jersey on the Panthers, hello money! Win.
There you have it enjoy!
Friday, October 29, 2010
Thursday, October 28, 2010
NCAA Pick 'em Week 9
After a ho-hum 3-2 Saturday I have crawled back to .500 and I am sitting at 17-17-3. I had a real good weekend off the books with some late picks. So lets keep the trend heading toward the black shall we? Alright freakshows lets get to the pickage. Don't forget to tune into the show tomorrow night at 10PM only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Utah -7 The Utes just keep on rolling. Utah hates not covering, conversely the Falcons hate to cover. Simply math right? I like Utah here even though they are on the road I like them to win by 14. They will use this game to tool up for TCU. I like money.
3 units. Loss.
Oregon -7 Make or break game for the Ducks who keep getting leap frogged in the BCS standings. The Ducks struggle away from Autzen, and the Trojans have been playing some decent football at home. The one thing that scares me is Kiffin's defense, he is pretty solid at stopping the spread offense. The Ducks need to make a statement here and now. It could be a shootout but lets hope for a blowout.
1 unit. Win.
Hawaii -14 Ahhhh Hawaii the place where land locked teams go to die. The Warriors have been quiet cover machines this year. They are very tough at home. The Vandals have taken a step back from last year when they were making us money. I like Hawaii big in this contest.
2 units. Win.
UCF -7 The Knights also love to cover and are a great home team and have picture framed and milk cartoned alot of opponents this season. ECU can score points, but UCF can play some serious D at home in Brighthouse Networks Stadium. ECU doesn't not have much defense and the UCF offense has been pretty potent this year. I like the Golden Knights here.
2 units. Win.
Auburn -7 The Tigers will be looking to maintain their #1 BCS ranking in this road tilt. No one has an answer for Cam Newton. The Tigers were able to get some points on the board against a solid defense last week. I don't see the Rebel Black Bears stopping Cam Newton and I'm not to afraid of Massoli's offensive "prowess".
1 unit. Win.
There you have it money lovers. Another 3-2 Saturday won't cut it, we need a 5-0 day!!
Utah -7 The Utes just keep on rolling. Utah hates not covering, conversely the Falcons hate to cover. Simply math right? I like Utah here even though they are on the road I like them to win by 14. They will use this game to tool up for TCU. I like money.
3 units. Loss.
Oregon -7 Make or break game for the Ducks who keep getting leap frogged in the BCS standings. The Ducks struggle away from Autzen, and the Trojans have been playing some decent football at home. The one thing that scares me is Kiffin's defense, he is pretty solid at stopping the spread offense. The Ducks need to make a statement here and now. It could be a shootout but lets hope for a blowout.
1 unit. Win.
Hawaii -14 Ahhhh Hawaii the place where land locked teams go to die. The Warriors have been quiet cover machines this year. They are very tough at home. The Vandals have taken a step back from last year when they were making us money. I like Hawaii big in this contest.
2 units. Win.
UCF -7 The Knights also love to cover and are a great home team and have picture framed and milk cartoned alot of opponents this season. ECU can score points, but UCF can play some serious D at home in Brighthouse Networks Stadium. ECU doesn't not have much defense and the UCF offense has been pretty potent this year. I like the Golden Knights here.
2 units. Win.
Auburn -7 The Tigers will be looking to maintain their #1 BCS ranking in this road tilt. No one has an answer for Cam Newton. The Tigers were able to get some points on the board against a solid defense last week. I don't see the Rebel Black Bears stopping Cam Newton and I'm not to afraid of Massoli's offensive "prowess".
1 unit. Win.
There you have it money lovers. Another 3-2 Saturday won't cut it, we need a 5-0 day!!
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Week #7 NFL Picks
Another dismal performance on Sunday brings me to 12-18-4 on the NFL season. Vegas is really pounding the public this year, its been almost unrelenting, but instead of pouting I will continue to drive on and tinker with my mechanics until we get dialed in. Here is what I have simmering in the cash crock this NFL Sunday.
Patriots +3 The Chargers are decent at home, but Tom Brady is still Tom Brady. Rivers can't do everything himself, the Bolts running game has been a bust and injuries to Gates, Floyd and a banged up Nene. The Pats will be confident after beating the Ravens in a solid game last Sunday. Rivers simply doesn't have the tools to win by more than 3. I like the Pats in this spot.
2 units. Win.
Browns +14 Try an hold off till Sunday to take this play as I expect the line to shift to +14.5 between now and then, that extra one point creates a nice advantage your way. Colt McCoy played pretty decent against the stout Steelers D all things being considered. Brees rebounded nicely at Tampa Bay's expense, don't expect that again as the Bucs secondary is not very good and missing their best player Tanard Robinson to suspension. The Browns defense is pretty solid and McCoy used his tight ends wisely for some nice gains, also the Saints aren't very good against tight ends. Again, wait and see if the line moves if it does don't be shy to load up. The Saints are as tough at home as the Steelers are.
1 unit. Win.
Seahawks -6 Seattle is tough to beat at home and are coming off a nice road win against the Bears. This is a divisional game so the Seahawks should be ready to go. The Cards are coming to town with undrafted rookie QB Max Hall who did nothing in his first start in the NFL. I don't think he will fare well against the 12th man. Somehow the Seahawks have come up with a solid run stop unit. Seattle is weak against the pass, but Max Hall didn't do much passing in his first start.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +3 The Rams have been making me some money this season. I like them on the road here against Tampa. Bradford had a bounce back game last week. The Rams got blown out in their last road tilt, but I will chalk that up to the team going flat after seeing Clayton their biggest play maker go down. Since then Bradford has found a couple new play makers, Bradford should be able to move the ball with ease against the Bucs porous secondary. This will open things up for Steven Jackson on the ground and he should have a big day against the Bucs non-existent run stop unit.
2 units. Win.
49ers -3 The Panthers are bad, they have no QB or wide outs and their running game has been limited because teams are focusing on stopping it and forcing the Panthers to pass. Matt Moore is back as he will be good for throwing some picks the 49ers way. The 49ers got their fist win last week and held the Raiders in check. I like the 49ers to extend their winning streak to two here, if they want to get back into the NFC West scrum they need this game. Loss.
There you have it, lets hope for some account recovery this weekend as we all need it. Be sure to catch the show tomorrow night at 9:00pm only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Patriots +3 The Chargers are decent at home, but Tom Brady is still Tom Brady. Rivers can't do everything himself, the Bolts running game has been a bust and injuries to Gates, Floyd and a banged up Nene. The Pats will be confident after beating the Ravens in a solid game last Sunday. Rivers simply doesn't have the tools to win by more than 3. I like the Pats in this spot.
2 units. Win.
Browns +14 Try an hold off till Sunday to take this play as I expect the line to shift to +14.5 between now and then, that extra one point creates a nice advantage your way. Colt McCoy played pretty decent against the stout Steelers D all things being considered. Brees rebounded nicely at Tampa Bay's expense, don't expect that again as the Bucs secondary is not very good and missing their best player Tanard Robinson to suspension. The Browns defense is pretty solid and McCoy used his tight ends wisely for some nice gains, also the Saints aren't very good against tight ends. Again, wait and see if the line moves if it does don't be shy to load up. The Saints are as tough at home as the Steelers are.
1 unit. Win.
Seahawks -6 Seattle is tough to beat at home and are coming off a nice road win against the Bears. This is a divisional game so the Seahawks should be ready to go. The Cards are coming to town with undrafted rookie QB Max Hall who did nothing in his first start in the NFL. I don't think he will fare well against the 12th man. Somehow the Seahawks have come up with a solid run stop unit. Seattle is weak against the pass, but Max Hall didn't do much passing in his first start.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +3 The Rams have been making me some money this season. I like them on the road here against Tampa. Bradford had a bounce back game last week. The Rams got blown out in their last road tilt, but I will chalk that up to the team going flat after seeing Clayton their biggest play maker go down. Since then Bradford has found a couple new play makers, Bradford should be able to move the ball with ease against the Bucs porous secondary. This will open things up for Steven Jackson on the ground and he should have a big day against the Bucs non-existent run stop unit.
2 units. Win.
49ers -3 The Panthers are bad, they have no QB or wide outs and their running game has been limited because teams are focusing on stopping it and forcing the Panthers to pass. Matt Moore is back as he will be good for throwing some picks the 49ers way. The 49ers got their fist win last week and held the Raiders in check. I like the 49ers to extend their winning streak to two here, if they want to get back into the NFC West scrum they need this game. Loss.
There you have it, lets hope for some account recovery this weekend as we all need it. Be sure to catch the show tomorrow night at 9:00pm only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
NCAA Week #8 Pick em
Had another ho-hum Saturday last week going a pedestrian 3-2, which brings me to a total of 14-15-3 on the year. I'm fighting the good fight to get over the hump. Not much for games that caught my eye this week but I have found some that we can make some money on. So lets see whats on the money docket for Saturday (and Friday)
Cincinnati -8 As most readers and listeners of the show know I am a USF Alumni, they have severely disappointed me this year, more so on offense. I have now become jaded with my own team. The Bearcats are a pretty solid squad and they always have USF's number. UC is tough at home and their 3 losses have come against #7 Utah, #3 OU and a decent NC State team on the road. The Bearcats lost to the Sooners and Utes by a combined 5 points on the road. The Bulls defense will do what they can, but ultimately the USF offense just can't sustain drives or move the chains. Daniels will throw his usual 2-3 picks and the Bulls just don't have a homerun hitter on offense. Bearcats by 10.
4 units. Loss.
Michigan St. -5 I never bought into the Wildcat hype, they are paper tigers who haven't played anyone and lost to Perdue and squeaked by Minnie and CMU. Sparty looks like a solid squad this year and have won some big games. I know that NW is 5-1 ATS versus Sparty in the last 6 games but this is a complete Michigan State squad that has yet to take a game off. Sparty takes it by 7.
2 units. Win.
Auburn -6 Let me preface this by saying I can't stand Auburn or Cam Newton. If you have been listening to the show you will have knowledge of the fact that I think LSU is a fraud. They will be on the road and forced to play a ranked team at night in the SEC. The LSU offense is a crap shoot. LSU has yet to beat anyone of note and struggling against Mcnese State isn't a good sign. The Tigers Auburn type will win this battle of undefeated.
1 unit. Win.
Washington State +35 The Cougars have covered 4 out of their last 5. Getting 7 touchdowns my way makes me happy. Stanford has been less than impressive since they got picture framed in Eugene. The Cougars will be able to put up 14-21 on the Cardinals overrated defense, I don't see the Cardinals lighting up the scoreboard and scoring 50-57 points, Stanford wins by 21.
4 units. Win.
Colorado State +31 The Rams have covered 4 out of their last 5 games, to include last weeks 33 point win against the Rebels of UNLV. The Rams have been improving (for them) the last few weeks. They will be on the road against a familiar foe against Utah. Jordan Winn struggled last week throwing 3 picks against Wyoming. No doubt the Utes get the win but 31 points in too much for them in this contest.
3 units. Loss.
There you have it my money loving friends. Would it be too much to ask for a 5-o weekend to get me over the hump or what? Well I am off to start working on my NFL action. Vegas has been getting the better of me thus far, I guess I am due some payback because I have been crushing them over the last few years. Good luck.
Cincinnati -8 As most readers and listeners of the show know I am a USF Alumni, they have severely disappointed me this year, more so on offense. I have now become jaded with my own team. The Bearcats are a pretty solid squad and they always have USF's number. UC is tough at home and their 3 losses have come against #7 Utah, #3 OU and a decent NC State team on the road. The Bearcats lost to the Sooners and Utes by a combined 5 points on the road. The Bulls defense will do what they can, but ultimately the USF offense just can't sustain drives or move the chains. Daniels will throw his usual 2-3 picks and the Bulls just don't have a homerun hitter on offense. Bearcats by 10.
4 units. Loss.
Michigan St. -5 I never bought into the Wildcat hype, they are paper tigers who haven't played anyone and lost to Perdue and squeaked by Minnie and CMU. Sparty looks like a solid squad this year and have won some big games. I know that NW is 5-1 ATS versus Sparty in the last 6 games but this is a complete Michigan State squad that has yet to take a game off. Sparty takes it by 7.
2 units. Win.
Auburn -6 Let me preface this by saying I can't stand Auburn or Cam Newton. If you have been listening to the show you will have knowledge of the fact that I think LSU is a fraud. They will be on the road and forced to play a ranked team at night in the SEC. The LSU offense is a crap shoot. LSU has yet to beat anyone of note and struggling against Mcnese State isn't a good sign. The Tigers Auburn type will win this battle of undefeated.
1 unit. Win.
Washington State +35 The Cougars have covered 4 out of their last 5. Getting 7 touchdowns my way makes me happy. Stanford has been less than impressive since they got picture framed in Eugene. The Cougars will be able to put up 14-21 on the Cardinals overrated defense, I don't see the Cardinals lighting up the scoreboard and scoring 50-57 points, Stanford wins by 21.
4 units. Win.
Colorado State +31 The Rams have covered 4 out of their last 5 games, to include last weeks 33 point win against the Rebels of UNLV. The Rams have been improving (for them) the last few weeks. They will be on the road against a familiar foe against Utah. Jordan Winn struggled last week throwing 3 picks against Wyoming. No doubt the Utes get the win but 31 points in too much for them in this contest.
3 units. Loss.
There you have it my money loving friends. Would it be too much to ask for a 5-o weekend to get me over the hump or what? Well I am off to start working on my NFL action. Vegas has been getting the better of me thus far, I guess I am due some payback because I have been crushing them over the last few years. Good luck.
Friday, October 15, 2010
NFL Week #7 Vegas gets skulldrug
Vegas bent over the casual gambler last Sunday as they only lost on two games paying out on the Colts and Falcons. I did not have a good week myself, I am trying to get locked on to Vegas so lets start retooling and make some money, here we go:
Falcons +3 Eagles at home, whether Kolb or Vick plays I don't think it will matter. The Falcons defense is solid and has been playing well. The Eagles are too beat up to cover this one, I like the Falcons outright.
2 units. Loss.
Steelers-14 The Browns defense will come to play in this one wanting to support their rookie QB, I just don't know how they can score points on that stifling Steelers D. Colt use the check down my friend. Small play here as I don't really trust Rapistberger.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +9 The Rams got skull drug by Detroit last week. I expect a better effort from them this week as the Chargers come to town. Chargers hate winning on the road, really the only weapons they have is Rivers and Gates. The running game has been less then impressive and I bet they are kicking themselves for sending LT to pasture. This is simply too many points to lay right here.
1 unit. Win.
Texans -4 Texans are garbage, but I like this match up right here, Schaub should be able to exploit the Chiefs secondary and I don't see how KC can get up for this one after a tough loss to the Colts its going to be hard to get up for a crap Texans squad that got blown out last week. This is a trap game as the public is going heavy on the Chiefs. We are also getting some value off the Texans getting their doors blown off last week. I figured this spread to be the Texans -7, so we are getting 3 points our way.
2 units. Push.
Jags +3 I have developed a new Theory, we will call it my "Long time no see" Theory. I developed it after the Chiefs prom night dumpster babied the Chargers in week 1. Basically home dogs that haven't been on MNF in more than 3 years will cover. Del Rio tends to prepare for the divisional games and with all 4 teams in 1st place at 3-2 this is a big game. I like the Jags under the bright lights.
2 units.
Bears -7 The Seahawks are petrified excrement on the road. The Bears are 10th versus the pass and 3rd versus the run Seattle will struggle to move the ball. Lynch won't get it done, I'm not sure he is an upgrade over over his college roommate Forsett. Cutler will be back and at home. Bears take it by 10.
1 unit. Loss.
Ravens +3 I love taking the Ravens as dogs. New England can't run the ball on Baltimore so look for Lewis and Suggs to put pressure on Brady and without Moss his deep threat is gone. Ravens take this one outright, this game will also be nice to take on the ML as a live dog.
1 unit. Push.
Raiders +7 Raiders can score some points and I like them to stay in this game. The 49ers shouldn't be laying points to my high school team. Gore has been unproductive and Asomaugh will limit Crabtree, Campbell will be starting so he will be playing for his job. Do you trust Alex Smith laying 7? I didn't think so.
1 unit.
Falcons +3 Eagles at home, whether Kolb or Vick plays I don't think it will matter. The Falcons defense is solid and has been playing well. The Eagles are too beat up to cover this one, I like the Falcons outright.
2 units. Loss.
Steelers-14 The Browns defense will come to play in this one wanting to support their rookie QB, I just don't know how they can score points on that stifling Steelers D. Colt use the check down my friend. Small play here as I don't really trust Rapistberger.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +9 The Rams got skull drug by Detroit last week. I expect a better effort from them this week as the Chargers come to town. Chargers hate winning on the road, really the only weapons they have is Rivers and Gates. The running game has been less then impressive and I bet they are kicking themselves for sending LT to pasture. This is simply too many points to lay right here.
1 unit. Win.
Texans -4 Texans are garbage, but I like this match up right here, Schaub should be able to exploit the Chiefs secondary and I don't see how KC can get up for this one after a tough loss to the Colts its going to be hard to get up for a crap Texans squad that got blown out last week. This is a trap game as the public is going heavy on the Chiefs. We are also getting some value off the Texans getting their doors blown off last week. I figured this spread to be the Texans -7, so we are getting 3 points our way.
2 units. Push.
Jags +3 I have developed a new Theory, we will call it my "Long time no see" Theory. I developed it after the Chiefs prom night dumpster babied the Chargers in week 1. Basically home dogs that haven't been on MNF in more than 3 years will cover. Del Rio tends to prepare for the divisional games and with all 4 teams in 1st place at 3-2 this is a big game. I like the Jags under the bright lights.
2 units.
Bears -7 The Seahawks are petrified excrement on the road. The Bears are 10th versus the pass and 3rd versus the run Seattle will struggle to move the ball. Lynch won't get it done, I'm not sure he is an upgrade over over his college roommate Forsett. Cutler will be back and at home. Bears take it by 10.
1 unit. Loss.
Ravens +3 I love taking the Ravens as dogs. New England can't run the ball on Baltimore so look for Lewis and Suggs to put pressure on Brady and without Moss his deep threat is gone. Ravens take this one outright, this game will also be nice to take on the ML as a live dog.
1 unit. Push.
Raiders +7 Raiders can score some points and I like them to stay in this game. The 49ers shouldn't be laying points to my high school team. Gore has been unproductive and Asomaugh will limit Crabtree, Campbell will be starting so he will be playing for his job. Do you trust Alex Smith laying 7? I didn't think so.
1 unit.
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
NCAA Pick em Week #7
Another .500 Saturday last week bringing me to 11-13-3. I have a small ML play on UCF right now in an effort to generate some pocket change. So lets keep it short and simple and get to the picks, also don't forget to tune into The Vegas Takedown Show tomorrow night at 10pm only @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
West Virginia -10 USF is going to be the Big East basement dweller this year as they lost their homecoming game to powerhouse Syracuse. USF's defense has been keeping them in games but their offense is more unproductive then a government employee. The Mountaineers shouldn't have any trouble with the Bulls in Morgantown. WVU will be looking to collect some payback as USF has beaten them 4 of the last 5 years.
1 Unit. Win.
N.C. State -7 I'm getting back on board the Wolfpack train this weekend as NC State visits ECU on the road. This should be a high scoring game but in the end I don't see how the Pirates will be able to match the Wolfpack touchdown for touchdown. ECU doesn't have the same defense they had under Skip Holtz. Russell Wilson should have a career day here.
2 Units. Loss.
Utah -21 The Cowboys were a decent squad last year, but have been in sharp decline this year. They have had a brutal schedule but the Utes are a solid squad who isn't really getting the press their #10 ranking should be getting them. The Wyoming defense won't have any answers for the Utah offense in this game.
2 Units. Win.
Nebraska -10 I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cornhuskers in their black jerseys for this game against a Texas squad facing their 3rd loss. Nebraska took apart K State on the road with ease last week and I think this game against Texas could be just as bad. Texas still has no running game and their defense tends to quit. I don't think the Longhorns will have any answers for Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez. I think this game could get ugly quick.
3 Units. Loss.
Kentucky +6 The Wildcats at home are a decent squad, yes they got skill drug by the Gators but UK had not game planned for Trey Burton. I think this is a flat spot for the Gamecocks and I don't know if Garcia can string together two good games in a row especially on the road. Hartline and Cobb are veteran players and Joker Phillips should have them focused on this big opportunity. South Carolina wins this game by a late field goal.
2 Units. Win.
There we have it, I won't be happy with anything but perfection this week. I know I have been letting my readers down and I need to make some cash!
West Virginia -10 USF is going to be the Big East basement dweller this year as they lost their homecoming game to powerhouse Syracuse. USF's defense has been keeping them in games but their offense is more unproductive then a government employee. The Mountaineers shouldn't have any trouble with the Bulls in Morgantown. WVU will be looking to collect some payback as USF has beaten them 4 of the last 5 years.
1 Unit. Win.
N.C. State -7 I'm getting back on board the Wolfpack train this weekend as NC State visits ECU on the road. This should be a high scoring game but in the end I don't see how the Pirates will be able to match the Wolfpack touchdown for touchdown. ECU doesn't have the same defense they had under Skip Holtz. Russell Wilson should have a career day here.
2 Units. Loss.
Utah -21 The Cowboys were a decent squad last year, but have been in sharp decline this year. They have had a brutal schedule but the Utes are a solid squad who isn't really getting the press their #10 ranking should be getting them. The Wyoming defense won't have any answers for the Utah offense in this game.
2 Units. Win.
Nebraska -10 I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cornhuskers in their black jerseys for this game against a Texas squad facing their 3rd loss. Nebraska took apart K State on the road with ease last week and I think this game against Texas could be just as bad. Texas still has no running game and their defense tends to quit. I don't think the Longhorns will have any answers for Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez. I think this game could get ugly quick.
3 Units. Loss.
Kentucky +6 The Wildcats at home are a decent squad, yes they got skill drug by the Gators but UK had not game planned for Trey Burton. I think this is a flat spot for the Gamecocks and I don't know if Garcia can string together two good games in a row especially on the road. Hartline and Cobb are veteran players and Joker Phillips should have them focused on this big opportunity. South Carolina wins this game by a late field goal.
2 Units. Win.
There we have it, I won't be happy with anything but perfection this week. I know I have been letting my readers down and I need to make some cash!
Friday, October 8, 2010
NFL Week #5 Against the Spread Picks
My weekend started off good with a Nebraska cover and 3 more units added to my bank account so that is good times. Lets hope the trend continues into Sunday. There isn't much I am excited about in the NFL this weekend so we will have some small plays this week.
Broncos +7 A good sports bettor always takes into a count some off the field trends, professional sports teams do hit flat spots at certain points in the season after winning a big game against or losing to a rival. I think that is the spot the Ravens are in right here, Flacco beat the hated Steelers last Sunday on a late TD points putting Baltimore in the drivers seat in the AFC North. The Ravens will win this contest but I don't know how thrilled they will be in playing the .500 Broncos and neck beard. Meanwhile Kyle Orton is leading the NFL best pass offense into the Ravens nest.
1 unit.
Bills Pick The Jags just won the biggest game of their season against the rival Colts, as a reward Jack Del Rio rewarded his troops with a trip to Buffalo! Yeaaaaaaaah! This game should be deathly boring, I do like the Bills to pull out the win though. Fitzpatrick seems to work within the Bills "offense" and CJ Spiller is starting to get going. The Jags aren't going to want to show up for this game and Del Rio hates preparing for opponents not in his division.
1 unit.
Rams +3 I think the wrong team is favored here, the Lions have been playing well and staying in games but I don't know if they are quite ready to be favored. Rams are coming in at 2-2 and on a two game winning streak, so they might be feeling a little disrespected. Bradford and Clayton seem to be working well and Stephen Jackson is his usual self. Also, the Rams defense is pretty stingy, I think they can stay in this contest.
1 unit.
Packers -3 Redskins just won a very important game at Philly, couple that with the fact the Redskins also don not like to cover at home. Rogers needs a big game as the powers that be have been talking about how the Packers maybe weren't the right pick for the Superbowl. I don't know how the Redskins will defend against Green Bay's passing attack, both teams are less than stellar on the ground and i have to give the nod to the Packers defense.
2 units.
Falcons -3 I am assuming that Seneca Wallace will be the QB this week again. Well I have bad news for you Mr. I hate the Blanket. The Falcons will stop your run game and force you to throw, this will not work out to well as you will be intercepted and the ball will be returned to it's rightful place which is inside of your end zone. The Browns beat the Bengals last week but the Falcons are a different animal altogether, I know Matt Ryan struggles outside of a dime but I think the 49ers put a scare into Atlanta last week and they should get it back on track offensively here.
3 units.
There we have it picks for NFL Sunday, enjoy.
Broncos +7 A good sports bettor always takes into a count some off the field trends, professional sports teams do hit flat spots at certain points in the season after winning a big game against or losing to a rival. I think that is the spot the Ravens are in right here, Flacco beat the hated Steelers last Sunday on a late TD points putting Baltimore in the drivers seat in the AFC North. The Ravens will win this contest but I don't know how thrilled they will be in playing the .500 Broncos and neck beard. Meanwhile Kyle Orton is leading the NFL best pass offense into the Ravens nest.
1 unit.
Bills Pick The Jags just won the biggest game of their season against the rival Colts, as a reward Jack Del Rio rewarded his troops with a trip to Buffalo! Yeaaaaaaaah! This game should be deathly boring, I do like the Bills to pull out the win though. Fitzpatrick seems to work within the Bills "offense" and CJ Spiller is starting to get going. The Jags aren't going to want to show up for this game and Del Rio hates preparing for opponents not in his division.
1 unit.
Rams +3 I think the wrong team is favored here, the Lions have been playing well and staying in games but I don't know if they are quite ready to be favored. Rams are coming in at 2-2 and on a two game winning streak, so they might be feeling a little disrespected. Bradford and Clayton seem to be working well and Stephen Jackson is his usual self. Also, the Rams defense is pretty stingy, I think they can stay in this contest.
1 unit.
Packers -3 Redskins just won a very important game at Philly, couple that with the fact the Redskins also don not like to cover at home. Rogers needs a big game as the powers that be have been talking about how the Packers maybe weren't the right pick for the Superbowl. I don't know how the Redskins will defend against Green Bay's passing attack, both teams are less than stellar on the ground and i have to give the nod to the Packers defense.
2 units.
Falcons -3 I am assuming that Seneca Wallace will be the QB this week again. Well I have bad news for you Mr. I hate the Blanket. The Falcons will stop your run game and force you to throw, this will not work out to well as you will be intercepted and the ball will be returned to it's rightful place which is inside of your end zone. The Browns beat the Bengals last week but the Falcons are a different animal altogether, I know Matt Ryan struggles outside of a dime but I think the 49ers put a scare into Atlanta last week and they should get it back on track offensively here.
3 units.
There we have it picks for NFL Sunday, enjoy.
Thursday, October 7, 2010
NCAA Week #6 Picks
Had an abysmal Saturday last week going 2-4 for the season I am now 9-11-2. I get back above .500 this weekend. Here are my picks:
Nebraska -11 Battle of Big 12 undefeated, both teams are 4-0 KSU will be at home for this contest. I don't like laying this many points on a Thursday night road favorite but I think that Nebraska's defense will dictate this game. They will focus on stopping Daniel Thomas and force K-State to throw on them, which the Cornhuskers have Prince Amakumura and Crick to defend the pass. K State struggled against a UCF squad at home and while UCF has a solid defense they aren't on par with Nebraska. The Huskers had a close game last weekend, but I figure that was a look ahead affect for them.
3 units. Win.
Oregon -36 I am going to be a road warrior this weekend, I'm taking the Ducks here against the punchless Wazzou Cougars. The Ducks proved they were for real last Saturday by beating Stanford and taking my money. They will let me have it back with interest after this game. Oregon should be covering by halftime.
1 unit. Loss.
Arkansas -6 An SWC rivalry renewed. I wonder if they are going to bring this conference back at some point along with power houses like Tulane, Rice, Houston and SMU. Texas A&M is too sketchy for me right now on both sides of the ball. Arkansas is the second best team in the SEC and I am wondering about Jerrod Johnson's confidence and his teams conference in him. A&M is just to turnover prone to stay in this contest I feel.
2 units. Win.
Alabama -7 Here I go taking another SEC team on the road. The Tide beat their toughest opponent on their schedule in Fayetteville. South Carolina is a solid squad, but I think the Tide will stack the box and put pressure on Garcia to force him into some bad decisions, this of course after they shut down the Lattimore and the running game. We will see more of Ingram and Richardson wearing the stout Gamecocks defense out allowing McElroy to move the chains on 3rd and short.
4 units. Loss.
Notre Dame -6 Keeping road warrior weekend in tact I am taking the Irish here against and underachieving Pitt team. Dion Lewis is out and Sunseri just can't make enough plays and his best WR Johnathan Baldwin hates catching his passes. ND took care of BC last week, while BC is not much of an offensive threat, they are a pretty good defensive squad. ND gets it done here.
2 units. Win.
There we have it, lets hope for better results this weekend. I haven't started my NFL action yet but at first glance there isn't much that jumped off the page at me. Other games that look pretty enticing for a small play are Tennessee +11 and Stanford -10 . Good luck, I should have my NFL picks up tomorrow night.
Nebraska -11 Battle of Big 12 undefeated, both teams are 4-0 KSU will be at home for this contest. I don't like laying this many points on a Thursday night road favorite but I think that Nebraska's defense will dictate this game. They will focus on stopping Daniel Thomas and force K-State to throw on them, which the Cornhuskers have Prince Amakumura and Crick to defend the pass. K State struggled against a UCF squad at home and while UCF has a solid defense they aren't on par with Nebraska. The Huskers had a close game last weekend, but I figure that was a look ahead affect for them.
3 units. Win.
Oregon -36 I am going to be a road warrior this weekend, I'm taking the Ducks here against the punchless Wazzou Cougars. The Ducks proved they were for real last Saturday by beating Stanford and taking my money. They will let me have it back with interest after this game. Oregon should be covering by halftime.
1 unit. Loss.
Arkansas -6 An SWC rivalry renewed. I wonder if they are going to bring this conference back at some point along with power houses like Tulane, Rice, Houston and SMU. Texas A&M is too sketchy for me right now on both sides of the ball. Arkansas is the second best team in the SEC and I am wondering about Jerrod Johnson's confidence and his teams conference in him. A&M is just to turnover prone to stay in this contest I feel.
2 units. Win.
Alabama -7 Here I go taking another SEC team on the road. The Tide beat their toughest opponent on their schedule in Fayetteville. South Carolina is a solid squad, but I think the Tide will stack the box and put pressure on Garcia to force him into some bad decisions, this of course after they shut down the Lattimore and the running game. We will see more of Ingram and Richardson wearing the stout Gamecocks defense out allowing McElroy to move the chains on 3rd and short.
4 units. Loss.
Notre Dame -6 Keeping road warrior weekend in tact I am taking the Irish here against and underachieving Pitt team. Dion Lewis is out and Sunseri just can't make enough plays and his best WR Johnathan Baldwin hates catching his passes. ND took care of BC last week, while BC is not much of an offensive threat, they are a pretty good defensive squad. ND gets it done here.
2 units. Win.
There we have it, lets hope for better results this weekend. I haven't started my NFL action yet but at first glance there isn't much that jumped off the page at me. Other games that look pretty enticing for a small play are Tennessee +11 and Stanford -10 . Good luck, I should have my NFL picks up tomorrow night.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)