Game Theory Radio

Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Wild Card Weekend = a big accounty

I had a winning record on the last week of the season, round of applause for me. I took some last second action as well. I won on the Patriots and Dolphins but lost on the Seahawks when the "Backdoor Bandit" decided he hated me. Enjoyable weekend though, I savored the pathetic Bucs losing to the Raiders, Asamough wasn't even playing either. I also enjoyed watching "Aurora Snowmo" fumbling into the offseason, bye bye Cowboys!!! The Lions should be disbanded, "Megatron" should be sent to the Falcons via the Rule 5 draft :) Can anyone tell me why Kevin Smith thought it prudent to shove the football into a Green Bay Packers face? Ummm.......scoreboard bitch and record board bitch as well for that matter. This brings me to the Bears, I was cheering for them and they quickly went up 10-0 in the first, I have several friends who are Bears fans and was watching the game with them as I saw a faint gleam of hope in their eyes in the 1st quarter. That hope quickly faded as the Bears defensive coordinator hated giving Tillman safety help to cover "Megatron II". I dont get it, why not double team Megatron and put a LB spy on Slaton? Is Matt Shaub going to show off his 6.7 speed? I also have my doubts about Mike Brown, I forgot Cornhuskers hate winning, so your calf hurts, big deal, drink some water and change your socks!! He should have been out there helping his team. Daniel Manning was running across the field like he was qualifying for the Olympics, or waited till Christmas Eve to start shopping for presents. Orton looked pretty good and Hester caught some balls, maybe the Bears owner will spend a few dollars this offseason and improve his team. I cant believe the Bears let Bobby Wade get the last laugh. Onto my wild card weekend picks, I am expecting a windfall of profits because rent is due soon!!


Falcons -2 @ Cardinals: Warner is 7-1 vs the Falcons, as a lifelong Falcons fan I remember going to the Georgia Dome with 8,000 other people and watching Warner and the Rams put up 56 on my Falcons. DIE. Time for your comeuppance my friend. Ken Whisenhunt is 6-1 ATS as a 3 point dog at home, but he's not playing and Matt Ryan isn't the "Backdoor Bandit" or "Aurora Snowmo". This will be a high scoring game, I dont think that the Cards can stop Turner and if they put 8 in the box Matt "What's so hard about making the playoffs?" Ryan will torch their abysmal secondary. The Falcons should be able to stop the Cardinals running game, but I'm sure that Fitzgerald and Bolden will have their share of catches, after all Houston and Foxworth as well as Chevis Jackson are like 5'9" 102 lbs each. I think the Cards are overrated and it will show in this contest. Loss, bye bye money. Perhaps I was suffering from a case of homerism.


Eagles -3 @ Viqueens: My friend Billy Vegas has turned me into a Viking hater. Tavaris Jackson is going to make some new friends on Sunday, he might become a permanent part of the turf at the Hefty Bag. If he couldn't score until the Giants put their second team in, what is he going to do against Jim Johnson's unrelenting blitz packages. I hope TJ has his insurance paid up. Peterson is going to have to do ALOT if the Vikings stand a chance in this game, I dont think the Eagles will let Shancoe roam all over the field either, I also dont see Berrian or Wade catching balls against the Eagles secondary. Mcnabb should light up the Viqueens secondary. As a Falcons fan I am afraid of the Eagles right now, Im also afraid of the Giants and Panthers too for that matter. Win, hello money. The Eagles care about me!!


Colts -1 @ Chargers: Manning went 7-7 on his only drive against the Titans, then Jim Sorgi..........................................................from? Wisconsin, came in and went 1342 for 1345. The Colts hate losing right now and I think that the Chargers still have their noses in the air. Your 8-8 big deal, payback comes into play in this match up, I'm not sure Freddy Kruger can beat Tony Dungy again in the playoffs, and I wont bet against Peyton Manning again, he hates me, my accounty and my fantasy football team, He even hates my wolfpack. Im not sold on the Chargers and I dont like Rivers or safties who wear neck rolls. I look for the Chargers to get bounced in this contest. Loss, bye bye money, I told you Peyton Manning hates me.


Ravens -3 @ Dolphins: This contest won't be close, the Dolphins just simply do not have the firepower on offense to pose much of a threat to the Ravens. Ed Reed will be starting at QB for this game and he will probably be doing his patented lets throw the ball down on the field and blow The Blankets cover move. Seriously Joe Flacco should have a nice game with John Mccain running the ball and Mason catching it, Laron Mcclain has pretty much made Magahee an afterthought as of late. These two teams played earlier in the season and the Ravens steamrolled to Dolphins, expect more of the same this time around. Win, Hello Money Ed Reed likes my accounty.

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Week #17 NFL Picks

Treachery is afoot, week #17, the most dangerous week of them all. I cashed out 300 units sunday night and have to build my accounty back up quickly. I had an awful week last week, worst of my life going 3-5-1. Awful. So I am determined to go out with a bang and some nice cash. Here we.......GO!!

Giants +7 @ Vikings: No way the Vikings win this game by seven, Tom Coughlin does not rest his players. Minnie has no answer for the Giants WR's and Big Blue will be able to run the ball with Pat Williams out, the Vikqueens will fumble their way out of the game and lose, then Bobby Wade will say the Bears will choke and blow it, good luck next year Brad Clueless. Win. Hello Money, although I am dissapointed as I had 1 unit on the Giants ML at +245 and lost by a point.


Saints +3 @ Panthers: Delhomme cant beat winning teams on the road, no NFC South team has lost at home to a conference foe this year. Drew Brees is unstoppable at home 19TD's to 4 INT. Brees will be throwing all over the field to try and pass Marino. The Saints can stop the run, and also have a running game with Thomas, Saints win outright. Win, hello money. I still don't like the Saints even though they covered for me.


Chiefs +3 @ Bengals: The Dolphins gave up zero TD's in their last three games before they played KC, Thigpen had no respect for the Dolphins defense. The Bengals do have a good defense, but they also have Ryan Fitzpatrick, who will do his 5-yd dump specialty all day long. Benson was even too tired to drink and drive on Sunday after they beat Cleveland . I cant see the Chiefs scoring less than 20 in this one, and given the Bengals offense I see them getting 14, so i will take the points and the money. Loss, bye bye money. I undervalued the Bengals defense here.


Titans-3 @ Colts: Hello money!! Expect to see alot of Jim Sogi and the Frenchman. Dungy never plays his starters in week #17. Ever. Titans made me pay for doubting them this week, I wont do that again. Loss, bye bye money. Who knew Jim Sorgi = Drew Brees, VY was awful in this game.


Ravens -13 vs. Jags: Jax has absolutely no motivation to play this game, their cars will be running and they will play the game like they are double parked. After blowing a 14 point lead against the Colts Jax is out of gas, the Ravens are not going to let up either this team is dangerous and still underrated . Win, hello money. Ed Reed thinks he is a WR.

There we have it, good luck to all and I will see you next week for my playoff action.

Thursday, December 18, 2008

Week 16 NFL Action

Simple equation folks, my picks+ your money= profits for you. I went 3-1-1 last week which in my terms would be graded as ok. I will put forth a great effort to this week to increase our bottom line. Much like most of you my account was hammered by the purchase of Christmas presents, bye bye credit limit. I have a total of 8 games this weekend, me likey.


Jags+7 vs. Colts: The Jaguars hate the Colts and want to beat them badly. This will be Jacksonville's superbowl. Last week the Colts struggled at home versus the Lions and the Jags managed a win against the Pack. Look for MJD to have a huge game, the colts simply cannot stop the run and Drew scorced them in their first meeting. This series is usually very close, 11 of 13 contests have been by 8 points or less. Push, hello same amount of money, I hate giving interest free loans, and the Jags hate having 2 TD leads.


Chiefs +4 vs. Dolphins: Dolphins can't cover spreads at home, so why are they favored in KC and at Arrowhead in December of all places. The Dolphins will have no answer for Gonzalez or Bowe, Thigpen has continued to play well and even though the Dolphins don't turn the ball over I just don't see them covering at Arrowhead. I like the Chiefs to win outright. Loss, bye bye money, the begining of a terrible Sunday for my accounty.


Lions +7 vs. Saints: It just occured to me that I am taking the home dogs alot so far, that usually tends to pay dividends in the accounty. That being said I think the Lions will win their first game here against the Saints, Drew Brees is not good on the road and the Lions have been playing hard. So the Saints have nothing to play for and will be sans Reggie Bush, Meanwhile the Lions are looking to avoid a trip to the NFL HOF for the wrong reasons. Somehow I don't see Jason David being able to cover Calvin Johnson, also look for Kevin Smith to get involved in the passing game to because the Saints are 11th versus the run. Loss, bye bye money, the Lions hate me and my accounty.


Bengals +3 @ Browns: Ken Dorsey is terrible, wow, I don't think I have ever seen a QB that bad, which begs the question why don't the Browns just leave Josh Cribbs in at QB. Also Jamal Lewis might be the slowest human being on the face of the earth, the fans will be all over Braylon Edwards.................................FROM? Michigan, apparently there are some hostilities between the fans and Edwards. Cedric "DUI" Benson.................................FROM? Texas, ran wild on the Redskins and Ryan Fitzpatrick............................FROM? Harvard played pretty well against the Redskins secondary. Win, hello money. Wow everyone look, I actually covered a game.


Steelers -2 @ Titans: Titans will be without Vanden Bosch and Haynesworth, I don't think the Titans have the firepower to score enough points on the Steelers defense, which has been playing lights out. As I stated earlier the Titans have had a relatively easy schedule this year, I don't see the combo of Johnson and White doing much against the Steelers D, forcing Collins into tough throwing situations. I like the Steelers here. Loss, bye bye money. I forgot Big Ben hates having footballs in his hand, maybe put some more gloves on.


Texans -7 @ Raiders: The Raiders are a dumpster fire, the Texans are playing for their first winning season. Andre Johnson is unstoppable, Matt Schaub and Steve Slaton have been excellent as well. I think the Texans would even cover this one if Sage Rosenchoker himself were playing. Loss, bye bye money. Are the Raiders becoming....................decent?


Seahawks +5 vs. Jets: I like this game ALOT, the Jets can't win on the west coast let alone cover. Seneca Wallace = a covering machine, Seneca Wallace...............................FROM? Iowa State. The Jets are a tad overrated in my opinion and I think they are starting to see their cracks. Plus the Jets have a showdown with the patriots next week, no doubt they will look past Seattle, who by the way New England squeaked by. The public is pounding the Jets to the tune of 76%, me likey. I think Seattle wins this one outright. Win. Hello money, this one was easy though. The "Backdoor Bandit" struck again.


Eagles -5 @ Redskins: Well at least the Eagles tied the vaunted Bengals. The Eagles have been playing great football lately, the Redskins not so much. I look for the Eagles to keep on rolling as they hope to stay alive in the playoff hunt. Mcnabb, Westbrook and Jackson should have nice games. Loss, bye bye money. I seem to always be a week off on when the Eagles will decide to play.

That's all my action, enjoy as the regular season is winding down and its time to pry the rest of vegas's money from their hands!!!

Saturday, December 13, 2008

Week 15 NFL Picks

Today is a sad day, no college football. Very depressing, none the less there is money to be made my friends. I have picked 5 of the best games I thought would like to make us money. Here are my 5 NFL Picks up:

49ers +7 @ Miami: Miami simply can't cover more than 3 points, need examples? Rams 16-12 Seahawks 21-19, both of those contests were road wins for Miami. That being said the 49ers have been playing well under Singletary (3-2 with losses to Dallas and Arizona) Frank Gore will probably not be playing and Deshaun Foster is not very good. However, i think the 49ers will play that much harder as a result. Shaun Hill takes care of the ball and the 49ers defense can get to the QB. Win. Hello money. Dolphins haven't given up a touchdown in a while, but the 49ers like my accounty.


Chiefs +6 vs. Chargers: Public betting is pounding the Chargers to the tune of 81%. Me likey . Chiefs lost to the Chargers by 1 point in their last meeting. Since then the Chiefs have got Larry Johnson back and Thigpen has been playing even better, due to San Diego's lack of a pass rush and KC's O-line Thigpen should be able to hit Gonzalez and Bowe against the Chargers lackluster secondary. Tomlinson did not fair too well against the Chiefs poor rush D in the first meeting I look for the same in this match up. San Diego is a cocky team, known for taken "inferior" opponents for granted. Win. Hello Money. I hate the Chargers they should have lost outright, but the Chiefs hate playing 4th quater defense.


Redskins -7 @ Bengals: Bye bye Bengals. Look for the Redskins to turn their season around here. I don't see the Bengals defensive line coming anywhere near Jason Campbell. Portis probably won't have that great of a day becasue somehow the Bengals have been able to stop the run. Cedric Benson only likes getting DUI's and hates running with football's, this will force Fitzpatrick into long yardage situations, something he does not fair to well at. Chris Samuels is out but I dont think the Bengals will be able to take advantage of that. Redskins comfortably. Loss. Bye Bye Money. The Redskins are awful and should have to play in the AFL.


Texans +3 vs Titans: 86% of public money is on the Titans, bye bye public money. Texans win 34-20. Even though they have made me alot of money this year, the Titans have had a relatively easy schedule. The Texans are 7-0 ATS as home dogs, going 5-2 SU, me likey. I personally will be going heavy on this game. Shaub is back and has been out of his mind, Slaton and Johnson cant be stopped. Andre Johnson.........................................................FROM??? Miami. I win. Barring an appearance by Sage Rosenchoker this game likes my accounty. Plus the Titans have the Colts and Steelers to finish out the season, I don't see them going all out against a team they beat by 19 earlier this year. Win. Hello money. Texans are undervalued.


Falcons -3 vs. Bucs: Bye bye Jovan Haye and Chris Hovan, Garcia questionable as well. Payback time my friends, the Falcons gift wrapped the game for the Bucs earlier this year. And an NFC South visitor has yet to win a road game against a conference opponent this year. Matt Ryan has come a long way from his first performance against the Bucs and these two teams hate each other, and I personally loathe the Bucs. Falcons must win this game to get to the playoffs and they will do just that. Push. As long as my Falcons win with out costing me money, me likey.

There we have it people, the season is winding down, unlike my accounty, lets go 5-0 tomorrow!!

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

NCAA football picks December 6th games

The Blanket is back after a superb Sunday, I went 5-2 on my NFL action last weekend. I made a healthy profit, unfortunately 30% of that profit was eaten up by some awful picks given to me on my Saturday college action. I outsourced my NCAA picks prior to this week because the source of the picks couldn't cover a dish. How does one go 0-3 in college football picks?? So I have taken some time away from my NFL picks to research my college picks, Here is what I have:


Ball St. -14.5 vs Buffalo: I have been waiting all year for Ball St. to lose, not gonna happen. Buffalo hates playing defense and they just lost to Kent St. who does that besides Kent Tech? Nate Davis will light up the Bulls. I would like to see Ball St. play Notre Dame in a bowl game. "The Indiana Incandescent Bowl" (I dont know what that means) But wouldn't it be funny to watch the fat man eat sandwiches while Nate Davis passes for 18 miles?? Anyway I digress. Testicle Tech beats the Bulls easily.


Pitt +3 @ UCONN: This game will be the battle of the RB's, I say they cancel each other out, I dont think Lorenzen can keep UCONN in the lead, Pitt has done better in similar matchups than has UCONN, so I will take the Panthers in a close game.


USC -30 @ UCLA: Last chance for a statement game, last chance for Carroll to boat race Nuehisel (sp?) for that ad in the paper before the season. UCLA is a prom night dumpster baby. I honestly do not think that UCLA will score a point, watching their offense stings the eyeballs, poor Kevin Craft will probably be fused to the turf after the first quater. USC puts up at least 50, I am going to load up on this game.


Cincy -7 (buy the point) @ Hawaii: Bye bye Warriors, Hawaii struggled with Washington St. Tony Pike hates pineapples, Marty Gilyard hates necklaces made of flowers. I look for the Bearcats to tune up Hawaii in preperation for their BCS bowl game, must be nice to go to a BCS game, thanks USF :( ........ Brian Kelly hates losing as much as he hates not reading careerbuilder.com everyday. OH!! The Bearcats D is rather stout, they bottled up Grothe so I don't see Ionake Funake being able to run much, Cincy also has a very nice secondary.


Florida -9.5 vs Alabama: This game scares me, people are pounding Florida, which scares me even more. That being said looking at competitors they have in common Florida seems to have the advantage. Last time I bet against Florida they covered in 10 minutes and I was getting 24 points. I have to side with the Gators for the win, but 9.5 points that is a little rich for me. I think the line should be more like 3. Percy Harvin is hurt and Tebow is a little nicked up as well, but the Gators have won their last few games by like 28 points. I personally think the SEC is a tad overrated, and in my opinion 'Bama does not have a quality win, both Clemson and Georgia are frauds in my mind. So I am going to stick with Florida, but I will go light on this game.

Oklahoma -16.5@ Mizzou: This is free money, the Pokes destroyed Mizzou at home, Oklahoma destroys everyone they play, even my Dad is walking around with a Sam Bradford jersey on. Mizzou hates defense and Chase Daniels loves Colt McCoy and sandwiches, Sooners HUGE, Bradford will throw 9678686956087540540 touchdowns and have 7776598657765797976=9697=95717671=746=76=67=17676=097=654463 yards passing.

That's all I have folks, lets make a ton of money and pay off those Christmas presents early!!