Game Theory Radio

Thursday, November 27, 2008

Turkey Day Picks!!

The Blanket is on the road at the families house, that's right my friends even professional handicappers/ degenerate gamblers celebrate the holidays. I have some picks that are destined to stuff your wallet with some Turkey Cash!! Here we go short and sweet:


Titans -11.5 @ Lions: Im fading the Lions, they will lose this game by 21 points. Tennessee is pissed off and this will be a statement game. Culpepper will continue to steal money from the Lions, Drew Henson is his back up, good luck with that.


Cowboys -13 vs Seahawks: If this game wasnt on Turkey Day I would take the Seahawks, but it is Romo covers easily on Thanksgiving. He will have a good day today as well against the Seahawks Pass D, Seattle will not be able to run the ball either.


Cardianls +3 @ Eagles: Eagles are a prom night dumpster baby right now, Westbrook is really banged up, they have no running game and no playmakers, Mcnabb cant pass the ball to himself. Right now I dont think the Eagles should be laying points to anyone. I dont care that the Cards traveled cross country, im tired of hearing that crap. The Cards will claim another NFC east victim today.


There you have it my loyal readers enjoy your holiday and your profits.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Week 12 NFL Action

Loyal readers and degenerate gamblers, I am at a loss. Vegas was piling up money last weekend until the 4pm games kicked off then Vegas looked up at the flat screens and said "bye bye money" Vegas sportsbooks had another horrible week. This is most likely due to the parity in the NFL this year. I have not yet conferred with my battle Billy Vegas yet today, I was placed on timeout for watching hockey while I was awaiting "The Shield" to start. Here is what I have so far. (Please keep in mind that double digit favorites are 1-12 ATS this year)

Titans -5 vs Jets: Heavy public betting on the Jets. This will be a statement game for the Titans as the Jets are 7-3 and the Titans are still looking to be recognized for their 10-0 start. Brett "I can throw interceptions too" Favre is due a choke game, since it didnt happen against the Patriots the Human Turnover machine might make an appearance here. The Jets Kris Jenkins has done well stopping the run, but at the same time Collins has proven he can do more than just manage then game by passing for 200 yards or more the last 2 games. Im riding the Titans till the wheels fall off. Loss. Titans suck, fuck them.

Vikings +3 @ Jags: Jags can't stop the run, Peterson will be able to open up the play action game for Frerotte to hit Berrian and Shaincoe (sp?) down the field against Jax's lackluster secondary. The Jags are deflated after their loss to the Titans and will come out flat. Meanwhile Brad Clueless will have a game plan in place to make sure that the Vikings leave their Florida road trip 1 and 1. Win. who cares.


Chiefs +3 vs Bills: Why is Buffalo laying points to the Chiefs on the road in Arrowhead of all places? I cant figure that one out. Trent Edwards has no confidence right now. 80% of the publics money is on the Bills, and remember the theme, Vegas is desperate right now for cash. The Chiefs have lost their last 3 games by an average of 2.7 points, those games were against the Bucs, Chargers and Jets. Thigpen is playing well, while the Chiefs defense is playing well I like the Chiefs spread offense in this one Thigpen will throw because Buffalo should be able to handle the running game of the Chiefs. Loss. Chiefs suck


Lions +8.5 vs. Bucs: The Bucs are 2-7 ATS as road favorites since 2004, they played like crap at Dallas and at KC. Plus the Bucs have 3 consecutive conference games after this date with the hapless Lions. The Bucs have been inconsistent in the red zone all year, plus Lions coach Marinelli coached with the Bucs for years and knows them well as evident by Detroit beating the Bucs in Tampa last year. Despite their blowout loss against a desperate Jags team the Lions have been competitive in every game since Oct. 12th, losing to teams with .500 records or better. Loss. Lions are pathetic and have zero heart, fuck the bucs too.


49ers +10.5 @ Cowboys: That is alot of wood for the Cowboys to be laying. Sean Hill has been playing well under center. The 49ers have been playing well for Singletary, they blew it against the Cardinals in the last minute, but they blew out the Rams last week. Look for the 49ers to come out confident and for Dallas to overlook them. 88% of the publics money is on the 49ers, if that gets closer to 50% by sunday I will go heavy on this game. Romo is 3-10 ATS as a 7 point favorite, (excluding Thanksgiving day 5-10). Remember the 49ers played the Cards tougher than the Cowboys did this year, so that 10. 5 points Im getting makes me feel comfortable. Loss. Singletary needs to be fired, he sux and so does his team.



Raiders +9.5 @ Broncos: Divisonal game, Raiders will be looking for revenge after the blowout earlier this season by the Broncos. Russel and Mcfadden will be back in the line up and I look for Fargas to have a big day against Denver's so-so pass defense. I dont see the Broncos being able to match the Raiders intensity in this one as the Broncos are 2 games up in the standings and have a big date with the jets next week.


Falcons -1 vs Panthers: This is a statement game for the Falcons, the "mighty" Panthers are 8-2, even though Delhomme has not played well as of late, Matt Ryan has played well. The Falcons have to take this game at home to gain credibility and keep up with the pack. The Panthers have a good pass defense so look for Turner to have a big game. I also expect the Atlanta secondary to make some plays and take advantage of Delhomme's propensity to throw pics as of late.


Redskins -3.5 @ Seahawks: This could be a big unit play for me. The Redskins are in a tough spot and need this win bad, and lets not count out the revenge factor from the playoffs last year. Hassleback will be playing, after just having a concussion last week. The Redskins secondary is solid and I dont see Jones doing much running against Washinton. Portis should be starting which will help Campbell go downfield to torch the Seahawks skeleton crew secondary.


Packers +2.5 @ New Orleans: Green Bay likes to cover for me when they are dogs, and makes me pay when I go against them. (Thanks Bears) That being said the Packers are healthy and playing well. Ryan Grant has woke up and is playing well, New Orleans will have no running game in this contest. I look for Rodgers to have a big day as Jennings and Driver will boatrace the Saints terrible secondary.




Thats what I have so far people I have a couple more games to look at and I might make some changes, but The Blanket is not feeling to well today and needs his rest!!

Sunday, November 16, 2008

Weekend Recap

What started out as a nice money making weekend going 4-0 on our college action (actually 3-0-1 thanks to bodog's bullshit Ohio St. line) quickly went to shit starting at 1 pm eastern time. I went 2-3 on my NFL action, which washed away alot of my college profits. That being said I am now very angry and looking for revenge. Vegas you need to deal with the fact that I have increased my account by 5x my deposit amount so far this season, so I have alot of your money in my pocket. The rest of the NFL season has now become personal, your bullshit lines are starting to piss me off and I am glad to see your false line on the Jags game blew up in your face. So get ready for a bar fight Vegas, nothing more foolish than pissing me off when money is on the line.

Friday, November 14, 2008

Week 11 NFL picks

Vegas and all sportsbooks across the land were absolutely hammered last week with the NFL slate of action, lets hope vegas has another bad week, becasue when vegas does bad, we do well. As a result of their huge losses last week, they have made the lines extremely difficult. So I have done my best to pick the best games I could here we go:

Falcons -6 vs Broncos: Atlanta is unbeaten at home, and the Falcons defense did a great job containing the Saints powerful offense. In comes the Broncos and Jay Cutler, no doubt Cutler can wing it, but the Broncos have Tatum Bellhop at RB, bye bye rushing game. Denver's defense is not to good, I look for Matt Ryan to have another big day as well as "Marta" ( the fans nickname for Micheal Turner) I can't believe that my beloved Falcons can actually make a playoff appearance this year. Loss. Bye bye money. Well same old Falcons, couldnt score against a beaten up and not good to begin with Broncos defense. Fuck off falcons, you suck.


Bucs -4 vs. Vikings: The Bucs have never covered for me, that being said im due. This is a big game for them. I dont see Frerotte throwing for many yards on the Bucs D and I do not think Peterson can get it done by himself, lets hope the Bucs take this one coming off the bye week. Win. Hello money. About time the Bucs covered for me. Im glad they beat the Vikings.


Titans -3 @ Jags: All the trends in this one point to taking the Jags in this game. But I just dont see it. The two teams hate each other and I dont see this being a let down game for the Titans, Collins proved he could throw against the Bears and the Titans will be able to run the ball against the Jags. The Titans D is great they should take the Jags WR's out of the game, forcing Jax to run the ball, we will see how that works out for them. Win. Hello money. Titans came alive in the 2nd half and the D line was all over Garrard.


Eagles -9 vs Bengals: I m expecting the Eagles to come out firing in this one, lets not forget what they did to Seattle at Qwest field, they played the giants tough and Philly is in desperate need of a win, and on gue here come the lowly Bengals, regardless if Palmer plays or not I dont think the Bengals d can stop Mcnabb and Westbrook. Loss. Bye bye money. A tie? Against the Bengals? yeah, enjoy the NFC East cellar Fagles, your team sucks.


Bears +3.5 @ Packers: Must win game for both teams. Bears played the Titans tough last week with a backup at QB. Ryan Grant will be a non-factor in this game. Matt Forte is a young Brian Westbrook in my eyes, I look for him to have a huge game. I am not sold on Aaron Rodgers, so I like the Bears to keep this one close. Loss. Bye bye money. Too much listening to my battle about Kyle Orton, the bottom line is he sucks and the Bears are fucking garbage.

Sunday, November 9, 2008

Weekend Recap of NFL and NCAA action

My friends its no coincidence that I like money. After an unproductive saturday in which I went 2-2 and lost money (thx Pokes and Penn St.) I recovered with an OUTSTANDING sunday on my NFL action, as you can see from my last post I went undefeated in my published picks. In an effort to bring up the bottom line and recover from the last 2 weeks of money loss due to college football I took some action on all three 4'oclock games. I took the Chiefs, Raiders and Steelers, going 1-1-1 on the afternoon games respectively. My only loss on sunday was with the Steelers, so I will make this statement, the Steelers are overrated, I will now refer to them as the Cowboys of the AFC. I have some good news starting this week I will go back to making my own college picks, because my "battle" over at Game Theory has been unable to deliver profits as of late. The bad news is due to my "battles" refusal to say thanks for giving him 5 money making wins, my NFL picks will not be posted until one minute after kickoff on Sunday's sorry folks but sometimes the actions of one affect the bank accounts of many.

Friday, November 7, 2008

Week 10 NFL picks

Here we go after a less than impressive performance I should be back to extensive profit making this week. Here is my NFL action for this week:

Titans-3 @ Bears: I think the Titans take this one on the road, Titans rushing attack will be too much for Chicago's D to handle, Collins will be able to take advantage of the Bears beat up secondary. The Titans will be coming after Orton to test the ankle early. Win. Hello money, the Titans open up the passing game to beat the Bears at home.


Falcons-1 vs Saints: I don't understand this line. I think the Falcons are undervalued at home. I see Matt Ryan taking apart the Saints secondary, Jason "Toast" David will get burnt early and Kasevaharn (sp?) isnt much better. Brees will score but the Falcons D doesn't get much credit, the Georgia Dome will be rocking after the Falcons destroyed Oakland last week Win. Hello money. Falcons with an easy cover remain undefeated at home.


Packers +2 @ Vikings: Sorry, Im still not buying the Vikings. Harris and Bigby are back and Ill take Rodgers over Gus any day. Pack coming off a tough road loss and the Vikings squeaked by Sage Rosenchoker last week. I like the Pack to win straight up. Win. Hello money. Packers are garbage but managed to comeback for a late cover. I like money!!

Ravens -1 @ Texans: No Matt Shaub, that guy is more delicate than Chris Chandilier. Ravens have been playing good ball the last few weeks, their D is tough as usual and Flacco has proved he can score. I just dont see how Rosenchoker can score enough points against the Ravens to win and Houstons defense is worse than Clevelands. Win. Hello money. Too easy people, Rosenchoker threw 4 pics, bye bye Texans and bye bye all the late bettors on the Texans, thanks for your money. Learn how to cover.


Giants +3 @ Eagles: I think there is good value on the Giants here, this will no doubt be a great game but I think the Giants D can keep it close and Eli is playing well. Win. Hello money. Giants live up to their record overcoming two turnovers on the road against a good Eagles team.

There we have it hopefully we can go 5 and 0 this weekend as I really like these games. Good luck.