Game Theory Radio

Friday, September 28, 2012

NCAA Week #5

Live from Vegas this week, started the trip off on a good note taking BYU -26 for some security coverage. 2-3 last week, still no where near where I'm used to being. Things were looking ok late last week then FSU let Clemson score a late TD and Arizona decided to stay in the locker room for the 2nd half. I have my bet slips in hand from the Palazzo sportsbook, who had a guy behind the counter tell me I couldn't by the 1/2 point on a single game bet. I remember my first job, know your profession people! Here is what we have:


Western Kentucky -2   The Hilltoppers are a good football team who I have been taking notice of. They travel to Arkansas State. The Redwolves put some points up on the road against the Ducks, but have been rather pedestrian as of late. I like WKU and red Grimace to take this one by more than 3.

3 units.


University of La Monroe -20   The Warhawks have had a tough schedule so far this season, well here comes a cupcake in the form of Tulane. The Green Wave are a mess and I just do not see them staying with ULM on either side of the ball. This one could get ugly quick!


2 Units


Iowa State +2.  Don't look now but the Cyclones have on of the longest home winning streaks in college football. Iowa State handled Texas Tech rather easily in Lubbock last season and both teams are largely the same. The Cyclones will take this game outright.


2 Units.



Ohio -24. The Bobcats take on UMass this week. The Minutemen are soft to be nice on defense. Their offense is no juggenaut either. Ohio is good on both sides of the ball Tettleton is a player and has the Bobcats offense hitting on all cylinders
, they should have no problem covering this one.


2 Units.








Nevada -18  The Wolfpack travel to take on newcomer Texas State. Nevada can score points and they travel well, I don't see how Texas State will be able to stay with them on the scoreboard.

2 Units.



Louisiana Tech -3  The Bulldogs travel to Virginia to take on the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers have been unimpressive this year. I watched them play TCU last week and their WR's struggled to catch passes. I know that TCU is a little more staunch on defense than La Tech. However the Bulldogs can rack up points quick. I feel that Illinois is a better team then the Cavaliers so La Tech should have no issues covering the 3.


3 Units.





Saturday, September 22, 2012

NCAA WEEK #4

6-9 on the season thus far, really? As a benchmark I am #2 in my Yahoo! College ATS Pick'em league out of 2,000 people. Which tells me I am trying to be too fine with my picks. All late games for this Saturdays action and I have 5 more days until I invade the Las Vegas sportsbooks! So here we go:



San Jose State +3   I think the wrong team is favored here, even though they are on the road I do not see this teams as equals. Bothe team scan put so points up and I like getting 3 here as SJS will be ready for the Aztecs. Both teams are 2-1 with SJS coming up just short against a Stanford squad that shut down USC last week.

3 Units.


LSU -21  Not much to say here, I know everyone is calling for a close game in this contest but I feel that even though Auburn is at home they will lose interest if LSU jumps on them early. Auburn was happy to escape with a win against ULM, that tells me that the Tigers know what kind of talent they have on their team, talent that will not be able to stay with LSU even though they will be without their starting RB.

3 Units.




FSU -14  At home against Clemson who just got Sammy Watkins back, I watched the FSU game last week and they completely shut down a decent WF squad who gave FSU fits last season. Doak Campbell will be a hornets nest and teh FSU defense will be swarming. The Noles running attack is devastating, the Noles will not get a shut out by I like them to win by 17.


2 Units.




La Tech +3   Bulldogs are 9-1 SU in their last 10 contests, they travel to Illinois to take on a rejuvenated Illini team who has been playing well too. La Tech's defense travels well and they can put up some points as well. I like this game to be close not sure who will come out on top but the Bulldogs are looking forward to playing a "big time" team since their tilt with Texas A&M was washed out by Isaac.



3 Units.





Arizona +22  The Wildcats head to face the Quack Attack in Autzen Stadium, Richy Rod seems to have this team focused. The Ducks will win this game, but I think that 22 points is too much wood to lay here. The Ducks defense is pourous and I am quite sure that the Cats will keep it within 3 touchdowns, it could be closer than that if Arizona can withstand the early Oregon onslaught.




2 Units.





Lets hope for a rebound week as I sorely need one! I also need to bank roll my account for my showdown with Vegas next week! Until that time............

Saturday, September 15, 2012

NCAA WEEK #3

Can't do much worse than I did last week. 1-4 is a disgusting result. 5-5 on the young season. I will be in Vegas in 13 days and a wake up and really need to tighten up my shot group. I felt good about all of my picks last week too, oh well. Lets see what we have for this Saturday.




Northern Illinois -3 @ Army: Golden Knights are a plausible squad, but this spread tells me that Vegas dislikes money. NIU played Iowa very tough, granted Iowa is what they are but it was in Iowa, they are still a Big 10 team, and Kirk Ferentz is still their coach. NIU takes this one by a TD.

3 Units.




Utah State +14 @ Wisconsin: Aggies can play some defense and are not afraid to play in a hostile environment such as Camp Randall. The Badgers are a paper tiger, still living off the hype of Russell Wilson who is in Seattle as the Seahawks QB. Aggies keep this game close and low scoring.

3 Units.





VT -10 @ Pitt:  Pitt is just flat out a bad team, it seems like they have given up now that the mustache is no longer roaming the sidelines. The Panthers have been beaten handily by The Penguins (Youngstown State type, not the Pittsburgh ones) and were embarrassed by Cincy on national television just like my Alma matter was on Thursday night. I digress. You know what you are getting with VT, slow out of the box and they start building steam. Beamer's boys will get together in this contest.

3 Units.




Ohio State -17 vs Cal:   This game should be a blowout, that being said since I am taking it Cal will win by 40. In reality I think the Buckeyes had a much tougher test last week with UCF  who has a solid defense, I know that the Bears put up 50 on Southern Utah but this is still a team who lost to Nevada by 7 at home, lets hope this game is covered up by halftime!

2 Units.




Wake Forest +28 @ FSU: Remember this game last year? Jimbo Fisher does. The Demon Deacons knocked off an athletic UNC squad last week and were no doubt focused on this game. This is FSU first D1 test of the year, I feel like this will be a tight game and FSU will pull it out late. I like this possibility of being up 35 points if Wake scores first as well.



4 Units.




There you have it. Enjoy. Until that day!

Thursday, September 6, 2012

NCAA WEEK #2 2012

Not a bad start to the gambling season, lets see if we can improve upon last weeks effort.



Mizzou +2  The Tigers are at home against UGA. Some pre game chatter has been had and Georgia is looking to hand the SEC newcomer a beating. Won't happen. The Dawgs defense looked soft against the Bulls last week and they are now missing their best defensive player. The Dawgs had no answer for Zordich so I do not see how they will stop Franklin. Tigers outright.

2 Units


Nevada -1   The Wolfpack had a solid debut on the road at Cal last week, I look for them to continue that success this week as they should handle the USF Bulls rather easily. The Bulls cannot play on the west coast and were unimpressive in their win against a D2 school last week.

2 Units



Air Force +21  Alabama might be beating Michigan two weeks in a row. The Falcons come to the Big House to face the wounded Wolverine squad in this contest. I am not sure the Wolverines will react and come out after waving goodbye to their season in week 1. Falcons won't win here but they will keep it within 3 touchdowns.

2 Units




Vandy -3   I am riding the Commodores again this week. They played a solid Carolina team tough last week and I don't see Northwestern continuing their winning streak here. Granted the 'Cats put some points up on the board but also gave a ton up against a less than formidable Syracuse team, Vandy gets into the win column here.

2 Units



Arkansas State -22  The Red Wolves went into Autzen and put up some points, granted the Ducks called off the dogs in the 2nd half but 34 points against the Ducks is impressive nonetheless. I am also willing to bet that Oregons 2nd and 3rd stringers are better than anyone Memphis has on the roster. The Red Wolves caught my eye last season and its time they get a chance to earn for me. The Tigers are garbage and this game will be a blow out.

3 Units



There you have it folks, short and sweet. Pressed for time this week so no flowery words of wisdom! Just $$$$ Enjoy.