Game Theory Radio

Thursday, October 30, 2008

Week 10 NCAA Pick-a-thon!!!

Warning free money ahead!! I'm dropping some of my college picks on you right now, I have a couple more games I am still looking at. Also as many of you have heard the shockwave that went through Vegas has taken the gambling world by storm! That's right my friends me and my former battle Billy Vegas have decided to go our seperate ways, so I will no longer endorse any of his picks college or NFL, besides his picks are pre-packaged for him. Ok here are my picks; enjoy!!!!



Kansas St +10.5 @ Kansas: This game is a huge rivalry, I dont think there has been a double digit spread ever in this matchup. With that said Kansas St. will want this game more than a dissappointed KU team coming off a devastating loss. Go light on this game because there are no trends for double digit spreads in this series. Loss, bye bye money. I half expected K State to show up in this one.


Iowa St +31 @ Oklahoma St: No doubt the Pokes win this game in Stillwater, but they left it ALL on the field versus Texas, so they wont be playing up to their abilities after a undeserved fall in the rankings. Plus the Pokes have yet to win by more than 28 all year and that includes Washington St. 2 units Loss, bye bye money. That's what I get for betting against Oklahoma St. they have won me some nice coinage this year.


Western Kentucky -17 vs. North Texas: I really like this game, North Texas is near dead last in every statistical category, they are 0-8 and just had 17 players popped for illegal drugs, who ordered the drug tests you ask? The headball coach, so I do not see this team getting up to play for the NARC coach on the road. Hello money 5 units. Loss, go fuck yourselves WKU, you are the worst football team ever to play the game u should be demoted to division 6856875085. I hope you never win another game, EVER.


Cent. Michigan +2 @ Indiana: Dan Lefevere is going to be back in action, I think Indiana is laying 2 bc they are part of the Big 10, Indy is coming off a win, but I like C. Mich in this game, WTF is a Chippewas anyway? Speaking of which I finally saw a pic of a Bearcat the other day, scary!! 1 unit on this game. Win, no Lefevere but they pull it out, at least someone covered for me.


Mizzou -20@ Baylor: Baylor has improved, but they are still only 3-5, Mizzou shows up in meaningless games. Chase "I love Colt Mccoy" Daniel has a big day as the Tigers beat the Bears in Waco. 1 unit. Loss, bye bye money. Mizzou is soooooo overrated, maybe play some defense you pricks.


Oregon +3 @ Cal: I dont think the Bears have what it takes to beat the Ducks, Orgeon has lost to USC and Boise St, but they were also having QB problems, they seem to have found their man now in Massoli. 1 unit. Loss, bye bye money. Apparently Cal likes to play in typhoons, Massoli forgot what color uniform Oregon was wearing. The Ducks suck.


Boise St -20.5 @ N. Mexico St: NMSU lost to Idaho, enough said I win. Boise st does the usually giggle fest in the first half then gets to business in the second half. 1 unit. Win, hello money. I undervalued this game, Boise st looks solid.


TCU -14 @ UNLV: I'm taking the Horned Frogs in this one, UNLV is no cupcake, but TCU's defense is too tough, they destroyed BYU and took their manhood and UNLV hung with them as well, wont be the case in this game. 2 units. Win, hello money. UNLV is a decent team and TCU took them apart, me likey.


Utah -7.5 @ New Mexico: I don't like anything from Utah. Period, including the Utes. They are highly overated. Oh there not? Ok then they will have no problem covering the 7.5 right? You better hope so or I am going to shred them. 1 unit. Loss. bye bye money. Utah proved my point squeaking by a one dimensional 4-3 team. Fuck off Utah, you are the most overated team in football, I cant wait till u get your asses kicked.



Thats what I have so far people enjoy your weekend and if you see Billy Vegas ask him who has two thumbs and more than doubled his account for him in the summer, thats right, this guy did!!

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Week 9 NFL Picks

Im back people, I went 9-5 on college football and 9-3 on the NFL, I have been up and down on the NFL so far this season, very unBlanket like. That being said I have been spying on Vegas and they have been eating at 5 star restaurants since the NFL season has started. Vegas went 7-1 this weekend due to the Ravens cover (their one loss). Vegas has been killing the casual gambler. As stated by my battle Billy Vegas over at Banter Theory we bet ALL the games we put up. Well enough shop talk lets get to the money part, here are my picks:


Jets +5.5 @ Buffalo: I don't think the Bills are quite yet ready to lay 5.5 points. It will mostly be on Trent Edwards because The Jets are ranked 2nd versus the rush. Both teams will be up for this game, since a share of the division lead is on the line. Favre is going to have to move the chains himself as well, since Buffalo will shut down the Jets running game. Buffalo's secondary is banged up. Buffalo should win but I am nervous about the 5.5 points and they have not been particularly consistent at Ralp Wilson. Go light here 1 unit. Win. Hello money, Bills are a tad overvalued.


Jags -7.5 @ Cincy: The Jags have made Vegas ALOT of money as they are overvalued this season, the Jags haven't one by 7 all season. I have bet against the Jags 3 times this year (vs Buffalo, Denver and Cleveland) and won each time. This week I am buying them. Cincy is a "dumpster fire" to quote my battle. Fitzpatrick is terrible, he cant throw the ball over 10 yards, the offensive line in garbage as well. The Jags are desperate and need to save their season. They cover this game. Hello money!! 2 units. Loss. Bye Bye money. Jags are a prom night dumpster baby, no excuse to lose at cincy.


Lions +13.5 @ Bears: On paper one would like to push all in on Chicago, no so fast my friends!! 0 and 7 teams are 14-6 ATS since 2000. If the Lions put up 14, that means the Bears have to put up 29, 30 points to cover. This is a divisonal game, these teams know each other well. My only problem with this spread is the Bears do not have an explosive offense, I know that Orlovsky is hot garbage and Calvin Johnson will have Bear DB's on him like a cheap suit. 1 Unit Win. Hello money. Bears won a squeaker, 13.5 was a big number for them.


Ravens +1.5 @ Browns: Derek "Jekyl and Hyde" Anderson will resurface this sunday. The Browns beat the Jags last week, but the Jags D is not, the Ravens have burned me twice this year, (thanks Chris Mccalister for getting milk cartoned against the Colts) that being said he is back from injury, the Ravens D is stout, Stallworth is out, the Browns only deep threat and Bralen Edwards hates catching leather balls thrown at him. Flacco has been playing alot better since his early season JT O'shitifumbledagain imatation, look for Mcgahee to have a nice day as well. 1 Unit Win. Hello money, Browns were up for awhile but the Ravens hung around. Browns have a tough schedule.


Bucs -9@ Chiefs: Time to go to the textbook, page 62, in Chapter 3 "I like money" the trend says always take a favorite of 6.5 or more going into a bye week. The trend is also 30-5 ATS since 2002. Me Likey! That being said Tyler Thigpen was the greatest QB of all time last week! After that performanceI penciled in the Chiefs to play Central Mich in the Motor City Bowl, I see at least 3 turnovers from the Chiefs, Thigpen will have a tough time with Kiffen multiple look blitz packages. The Bucs need this win as they are looking up at the Panthers, a team that they boatraced and who hot-air balloned the Chiefs, while Thigpen had a good week passing the Jets pass D is worse than my LSAT score. Get in on this quick, as Vegas is realizing they screwed the pooch on this line. 2 Units. Loss. Bye bye money. The Bucs are my most hated team in the NFL and that is beside the fact they have never covered for me. Hey Bucs, Matt Ryan is gonna torch u in Atlanta and one more thing, go fuck yourselves.


Texans +4.5 @Minniesota: I like this game, good value in the Texans. Matt Shaub is on fire and even The Blanket can't cover Andre Johnson. The Vikings have a rush defense, but their pass rush and pass defense is spotty at best. That being said The Texans defense is not all that great, Peterson will have a big day, setting up play action for Frerotte. The trends show heavy casual betting on the Vikings, my money will be on Matt Shaub and the Texans. 2 Units. Loss. Bye bye money. I forgot that Matt Shaub is made of Fabrege Egg, Texans blow.





That's all the games I have done so far, I will post the rest with my college picks soon. I will close with a text conversation I had with my battle Billy Vegas on Sunday.


1:00 PM me: Its money time battle!!

Billy Vegas: nah, I have to watch a movie

me: Die, a movie about what?

Billy Vegas: Gandhi

me: lmao!! homo.

(15 minutes later)

Billy Vegas: Bye Bye Gandhi, should have had is IBA on!!

me: ROTFLMAO!!!!

Sunday, October 26, 2008

My thoughts on this weekend's football

I used to be a rabid NFL fan, but as the last few years have passed my intrerest has been waining rapidly. I also used to be a fan of the NBA, now I would rather watch grass grow than be forced to watch an NBA game. The NBA is full of cry babies with more shoe deals than points. Im not impressed that you scored 40 pts in a game when you go 20 for 80 from the field and the fouls every *^*&%)* 2 seconds. Snoooooooooooooooooze fest. Hockey is MUCH more entertaining then the NBA only problem is their are no pre madonna's in the NHL.

Now I come to another thought, has officiating gone from bad to horrible? As a "professional" gambler I get stressed out enough when I have a spread to cover, so not only do I have to bet against the other team's performance, I also have to bet against those crooked refs. Case in point the Giants game today, a bs personal foul for a late hit on Kenny Phillips? Bullshit, what about the 3 BLATANT holds the Steelers got away with? On these terrible calls the refs should be fired immediately after the game. Another example was the hit on South Carolina QB Steven Garcia, because of that play I lost money on that game, there is NO doubt in my mind that the ref deliberately went to hit Garcia, no doubt, there were several different areas he could have moved too.

After looking at the new AP Top 25 today, I laughed to myself when I saw USF (my alma matter) ranked #23. USF should not be ranked anywhere near the top 25. I have spent many years defending my school's football team, but now I am done. Its time for Jim Leavitt and Greg Gregory to get fired. 8 yards of rushing against Louisville are you kidding me? The offense just stands around looking at Matt Grothe all day long, make a play or surrender your scholarship. So do yourselves a favor and lose the rest of your games USF so you can be all alone in last place in the medicore Big East where you belong.

Other questions I asked myself with regards to the top 25 were as follows:

1.) Why is FSU ranked?
2.) Why is Ohio St ranked?
3.) Why is Oklahoma St ranked 9th behind teams such as Georgia, USC??? Oklahoma St should be ranked 4th the way I see it.


That's all I have for now, Ill be counting the money I won this weekend if you need me.

My thoughts on this weekend's football

Saturday, October 25, 2008

Week 8 NFL Picks

After an 8-5 Saturday with alot of profit here is a quick rundown of my NFL picks:


Titans -4 vs Colts: bye bye Colts, Titans easily.

Giants +3 @ Steelers: No Santonio Holmes or Willie Parker.

Seahawks +5@ 49ers: O'sillivan blows and his team hates him, don't judge Seattle by their performance vs the Bucs.


Chargers -3 vs Saints: Im selling on the Saints, especially with no Bush, they suck.


Jets-14 @ Chiefs: Chiefs hate winning and covering and they are afraid of points and have endzonephobia.


Eagles-9 vs Falcons: Falcons are a fraud, Matt Ryan will get broke in half and be sucking his thumb during halftime.


Raiders +7 @ Ravens: They Ravens blow, Raiders D keeps them in this one.


Rams +8 @ Patriots: Pats shouldn't be laying 8 to anyone, Rams aren't scared of anyone right now. Pats win by 2.




Go get paid!

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

The rest of my week 9 college football action!!

Alright readers I am going to drop a massive amount of pics on you, read slowly and try not to go into cardiac arrest until you get to spend the money you make off my picks. I am writing from an undisclosed area due to the fact Vegas is after me and Banter Theory for taking all their money last Saturday. I am introducing a new system to show the level of confidence I have in each of my picks. The new system will be called the "Hello Money" rating, the game will be rated 1 through 5, 5 being the best. Here we go people:



UNLV +22.5 @ BYU: Hello Money 5: UNLV is not to be underestimated, they have two quality wins against BCS conference opponents. Not to mention BYU could not cover against Utah St. BYU wins by 10.


Virginia +11.5 @ Georgia Tech: Hello Money 2: Virginia is playing with confidence and GT struggled with Gardner-Webb. GT wins by a FG.


Oklahoma -19@ Kansas St: Hello Money 3: Oklahoma is lying in wait, Bama will lose........soon, and Texas has its hands full every week. Kansas St's defense will get lit up by Bradford.



TCU-31.5 vs Wyoming: Hello Money 5: TCU is underrated, they ghetto blasted the BYU whities back to Utah, TCU's only loss was to powerhouse Oklahoma. Wyoming will never see the endzone.


Nortwestern -8@ Indiana: Hello Money 2: Indiana is terrible and they want to make you money, Northwestern covers nicely.


Boise St -7.5 @ San Jose St: Hello Money 3: Boise St. like to make you money and destroyed a Hawaii team that SJSU squeaked by. Broncos easy.


Minnie +1 @ Perdon't: Hello Money 1: Minnie likes to cover and Perdue hates winning.


Kentucky +24.5 @ Florida: Hello Money 3: 24.5 is alot of points for any SEC game. Florida wins but not by more than 3 TD's.


Auburn +3@ West Virginia: Hello Money 3: The Mountaineers only dropped 16 on the Orange in Morgantown, "Small Game" Tommy needs this one, even if he has to play QB himself.


USF -4.5 @ L'ville: Hunter Cantwell is standing one leg, if USF cant get to him im going to put my degree in the shredder and pawn the rest of my season tickets. Leavitt rallies the troops for a statement game, USF comfortably, hopefully just like last years score!!



That's it my minions of money making, you might want to purchase a wheelbarrow to transport your cash to the nearest FDIC insured depository. I am feeling it for Saturday.........BIG TIME!!!

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Week 9 NCAA Football Action

After an excellent Saturday of money making, Im back with some early picks so you too can nationalize Vegas's bank account!! Myself and Billy Vegas over at the Game theory blog are cooking up some "hello money specials", here is a peek at some of my action so far:


Kansas -2 vs. Texas Tech: The Red Raiders will get a taste of their own medicine on Saturday in Lawrence. Kansas has 2 losses to two solid football teams, both of these losses were on the road. The Jayhawks are still in the hunt for a Big 12 title. Texas Tech has not impressed me, especially on defense, Nebraska found their weakness and almost pulled out the upset in Lubbock. Look for Reesing to have a HUGE day, connecting to Briscoe for touchdowns. This is a HUGE game for Kansas, almost a must win. Jayhawks by 7.


Oklahoma St. +13 @ Texas: Please do not discount the Pokes my friend, this is a solid team and they have played Texas tought the last two years. Both times Texas had to come back from big deficits to pull out the victory. I think Texas wins this game, but 13 is a big number for a Texas team coming off 2 huge games, lets not forget my friends the Pokes put it on Mizzou at home two weeks ago. Hello Money!! Longhorns by 6.


Penn St. -2.5@ Ohio St: to qoute the Sunshine Scooter "not so fast my friends" Penn St has yet to let me down this year and i like money, that being said Ohio St. beat a medicore team in Michigan St and that is about it, Penn St. had a scare put into them by Michigan early but they recovered nicely. Terrell Pryor will be pressured by Penn St's defense and forced to make some bad decisions. Penn St. by 10.


Thats my early preview, I will be back with a couple more picks before gameday, enjoy!!

Friday, October 17, 2008

Week 7 NFL action, picks, spreads

This is going to be short and to the point, since no one reads this blog anyways. I guess you all hate money. NFL winners ATS this Sunday will be as folows:

Giants -10 vs. 49ers: Giants big 34-6

Cowboys -7 @ Rams: Cowboys big 41-10

Chiefs +9 vs. Titans: Chiefs keep it close, Titans have a VERY tough schedule coming up Titans 17- 13.

Saints +3 @ Carolina: Saints win by 3.

Texans -9 vs Lions: Texans 38-14.

Colts -2 @ Packers: Colts win by 4.

Redskins -7.5 vs Browns: Redskins 24-14

Tampa Bay -11 vs. Seahawks: Seattle will get crushed, go heavy on this game Bucs 34-10.


Broncos +3 @ Patriots: Patriots suck Shanahan is 5 and 1 against the hoodie and now he has a better team. BRONCOS HUGE, put your mortgage on this game. Broncos 34-10.



That's it.

Thursday, October 16, 2008

My thoughts on the Tampa Bay Rays

Upon moving to Tampa I supported the then Devil Rays, I went to their spring training games as well as regular season games, on a good day there was maybe 10,000 people there. I would cheer for them as long as they weren't playing my beloved Yankees. Right now I am cheering for the Red Sox to come back in this ALCS game 5. The Red Sox are trailing by 1 run right now. That's correct readers, I am a lifelong Yankees fan cheering for the Red Sox. Why you ask?? Its because I absolutely despise, hate and loathe the Rays. What an arrogant bunch they are, management always complaining about the Yankees, always crying and bitching like a 3 year old with a toothache. Shut up, you have not done anything since your inception. The worst is the Rays fans, what a classless bunch. I cant even go to a game and watch my Yankees play without some drunk Rays "fan" starting with me and every time it did not end well for that fan as I am 6'3" and 225lbs and do not tolerate people throwing beverages at me or threatening my family. Im tired of all the crap in the paper about the "small market" team. Umm Tampa is not a small market, they have four professional sports teams, not to mention my alma matter USF Bulls. As an economics major, I have quite a bit of knowledge of sports economics. Revenue sharing is a big part of sports, teams like the Yankees, Red Sox and Mets pay luxury tax which is spread to the "small market" teams, like the Royals and Mariners. If the Rays did not sell one ticket allllllll year they would still make money due to tv contracts, road gate receipts, licensing etc. So lets say they average 15,000 in attendance and say the average ticket price is $35.00 then times that by the number of games, 81. The total would be $42,525,000, now that was a low estimate on attendance and ticket prices. As we know the Rays participate in 2nd degree price discrimination for what they call "premium games" this is intended to capture consumer surplus from Yankee and Red Sox fans. Now that total does not include concessions, parking, merchandise (team store), nor does it include road game revenue which is split 70% to 30% I believe. Not to mention the tax payers pick up the tab for the field they play in, but yet they still complain about wanting a new stadium, who do you think you are Rays? Maybe Anchorage, Alaska is looking for an MLB team and your girl Sarah Palin can build you new stadium they could call it "Wolf Killer Stadium" that would be great because then I wouldn't have to look at your team, fans or hear your homer announcers Magrane and Staats complain about every fucking ball and strike that is made. Right now the Red Sox are tied with the Rays 7-7. LET'S GO RED SOX!! In closing I would like to say get some class Rays and Rays fans learn something about baseball before you open your mouth and have some respect for other teams and their fans.

Recap of Thursday nights action

Me and my battle Billy Vegas from Game Theory started off with an impressive 2 and 0. I took TCU -1 and Billy Vegas took NC State +12. BYU was dominated much to my delight, I am sick and tired of hearing about this garbage team and their winning streak against teams who came into division 1 football yesterday, bye bye BYU go back to Utah, bow to Warren Jeffs, marry multiple 13 year old girls and churn butter and then go fuck ya selves.

Week 8 College Footbal Action.............

To quote Mr. Krab's of Sponge Bob fame "I like money" after a rather dismal week #7 I became angry and shoved my whole account on Hawaii -8, when I woke up on Sunday morning it was like Christmas morning!! My account multiplied like rabbits , of course I have to thank my battle Billy Vegas of game theory for that action. I finished Sunday and Monday going 5 and 0 hitting a 3 game parlay as well. Here is some of my action for this Saturday:


TCU pk vs. BYU: This should be a good game, I have the Horned Frogs winning by 7. TCU sleep walked through Colorado St. last week looking foward to this game. I am not on the BYU bandwagon, they should have lost to Washington and UCLA blows. Bye bye Max Hall, bye bye Bronco Mendenhall or whatever your name is.


Penn St. -23.5 vs Michigan: With Penn St. playing Ohio St next weekend look for Michigan to stay close in this game..................................................I m just kidding Penn St. will roll like crowds at a handicapped convention! OH!! Penn St has not beaten Michigan since I was in high school, so the Nittany Lions are going to maul Rich Rod and his Wolverines (sorry battle) I think Joe Pa will run the score up in this game to alleviate 13 years of Penn St frustration. My advice for this game is to load up, go to Amscott and bounce a check if you have to my friends cause this one is going to be hard to watch from a Wolverine perspective. My prediction Penn St. 73 Michigan 0.


Kansas +21 at Oklahoma: Oklahoma will no doubt win this game but 21 points is a big number. I dont know how Oklahoma can be charged up for this game after their loss to Texas last week. Their national title hopes are dashed, Bradford will put up numbers but so will Reesing. Oklahoma 34 Kansas 21.


Georgia -14.5 vs Vandy: Vandy was a sexy pick, but me and Billy Vegas called their demise last week on our upset special. Vandy will phone this one in between the hedges, Georgia will be too much for them. Georgia 31 Vandy 7


Texas -6 vs Mizzou: I pat myself on the back after hitting Okaloma St against Mizzou last week. I think Texas is a little bit better than Oklahoma St. though, plus they are at home Texas wins and gives me back my money they took from me last week.........with interest, Texas wants to remain undefeated and Colt "Can I run yet?" Mccoy wants to outshine Tebow in the Heisman race. Texas 28 Mizzou 17



Go get paid my friends and enjoy the fruits of my research!! I will be back shortly with my NFL action for this week as I have ALOT of games coming up!

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Early look at week 6 action............

The Blanket is back after a depressing week #4, thankfully I received a government bailout and got my internet turned back on!! I think I have been spending to much time around Top "Bye Bye Money" Constantino!! The Blanket went 2-0 on Saturday with Texas Tech and Texas raising my bank account faster than the national debt! The Blanket went 1-0-1 on Sunday, with the Colts covering and a Titans push. I waved bye bye to my 5 team parlay on monday night thanks to that garbage team from New Orleans. I have added a new pick to my weekly action, not only do I have the Upset Special, but I have added my new "Bye Bye Money" special, this is a game that I feel you want to stay away from. Here is my early action:


Troy -4.5 @ FAU: I took this game because Rusty Smith is struggiling mightily, the Trojans are 2-2 with losses to OSU and OSU (Buckeyes and Cowboys) and the Owls are 1-4. Even though this game is at home FAU will lose. Troy covers comfortably.

UPSET SPECIAL: Northwestern +3 vs. Michigan St.: Look for Northwestern to win this game outright, it will be a close contest throughout. Northwestern is 5-1 ATS versus Michigan St. Northwestern is 5-0 Michigan St. is 4-1, neither has a quality win, but i have to stay with Northwestern is this game.

BYE-BYE MONEY SPECIAL: Ball St. -16 @ Western Kentucky: Testicle Tech is ranked for the first time in the history of time. 16 is a big number for a unproven team, WKU has had a brutal schedule and will stay in this game, Testicle Tech. wins but doesn't cover.