Game Theory Radio

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

NCAA Week #14 College Pick 'em

Heading into the last week of the season, another tough week to cap as we have conference title games and opponents playing each other for the second time in the same season. Went 3-1-1 last week, I was not to pleased with my results but I guess it could have been worse. For the season my record is now sitting at a respectable 40-22-3 and I am +33 units. Lots of pressure on me to perform this week lets see what I have:



Rutgers -3   Both teams coming off losses, both teams have banged up QB's however I will go out on a limb and say Bridgewater is a bigger cog in the L'ville offense then Nova is to Rutgers. The Scarlett Knights are at home, playing for the Big East title and a shot at a BCS game so they can get destroyed by an SEC team. The Cardinals have been playing with fire all season long the Rutgers defense will rebound coming off last weeks hiccup and put the Cards offense in check. Rutgers by 6.





2 Units.






Kent State +6     This game simply boils down to the points. Kent State is 0-5 straight up and ats when playing NIU. NIU is a very talented team much like Kent State as the MAC has really taken some strides with the quality of their programs this year, I would say that the conference as a whole is better than the Big East. This game is being played at Ford Field so no real home field advantage here. I think the Huskies will take this game but I like the Golden Flashes to hang around, NIU by 4.






2 Units.







Nebraska -3   Big 10 championship game, Wisconsin comes in 7-5 while the Huskers are a decent 10-2. These teams played earlier in the season with Nebraska winning by 3, if you look at the numbers the Badgers really struggle against teams that have some sort of defense. Wiscy has no problem destroying the Indiana's, Minnesota's, Illini's and Perdon'ts. They will have another shot against Bo Pelini on a neutral field, I just think Nebraska's defense will stifle the Badgers offense to squeak out a 4 point win and a cover.






2 Units.






Central Florida +2   This game was just played 2 weeks ago, on the same field and yes, between the same two teams. Very difficult to beat a conference opponent twice in three weeks, the Golden Hurricane won by 2 last time. Lets hope the Knights win by 1 this time. UCF is used to being favorites even on the road, now they are coming in as a live dog, let's see how they play when they aren't supposed to win. Golden Knights outright.






2 Units.








Oklahoma -6       The Sooners have had trouble covering this year due to massive spreads, I think we are getting some value here due to that. TCU is a solid team but I'm not sure Boykin will be able to stay with the Sooners on offense. The game is in Ft. Worth by Sooner fans travel well, so that should neutralize the home field advantage a little. If Casey Pachall was starting this game I might go the other way, I just don't think the Frogs have the horses to stay in this race. Sooners by 7.






2 Units.



Slim pickings this weekend sportsfans, as you can tell I went light with my unit selections as I wasn't head over heels for anything this weekend. If I get the demand for it I will post bowl picks as the Bowl season gets under way, let me know in the comments section if that is something you want to see. Until that day.

Saturday, November 24, 2012

Week #13 College Pick 'em

Down to the bitter end of the season, went 3-2 last week, FSU gave up a touchdown very late to bust my cover.  That brings me to 37-21-2 on the season for a total of +30 units. Rivalry week is always tough to cap but lets get to the picks:





Rutgers +2  The Scarlett Knights last tune up before they go to play L'ville for the Big East title. Again, I do not see how Pitt is laying points here. Rutgers defense is legit and Pitt is probably still soaking in the bask of just barely losing to ND? I will take the points.







4 Units.





Ohio State -4   Unbeaten, at home, I think it will be too much for Michigan to handle with their QB situation in flux at the end of the season. Turnovers for the Wolverines  could be an issue in the Shoe, Michigan will have to play mistake free football. Buckeyes by 6.






2 Units.







Wisconsin +3   Badgers go to Happy Valley, Wiscy is looking at a date with Nebraska, for the Big 10-ish title. Wisconsin is the better team and will play hard even though they are already in the title game, because hey....everyone wants to be in a better bowl game right? Penn State has been a solid team this year, but I think the Badgers are just going to be too much for them, Badgers outright by 4.







3 Units.








Oklahoma State +7  Rivalry game, Bedlam.......better team getting seven points that's right I said it. The Sooners are over valued every season and thanks to them ND actually thinks they can compete with Alabama...................riiiiiiiiiiight. Ok State is a solid squad and can put up points and their defense stops people...........more often than not. I like the Pokes outright.








4 Units.







Virginia +10    I hate the dual quarter back system, but it has some success for the Cavs, Bama expatriate Simms has come along and looks like he has full grasp of the UVA offense, Rocca appears to be the starter for this game, meanwhile VT has not been impressive in the least. These are two teams going in opposite directions, again in a rivalry game. I think the Cavs can stay with in 10.







1 Units.





There you have it late post this week but still in time for you to bet on the  12:00 games! Good luck to all!















Friday, November 16, 2012

NCAA Week #12 Pick 'em

Weird week last week going 2-1-2, which brings my season total to 34-19-2 and +28 in the units department. I have had two picks this season that haven't sat well with me, those being the WVU vs Texas Tech game and last weeks Louisville vs Syracuse game. Should have known better. Lets see what we have this week as the season is winding down.



Northwestern +7  Wildcats on the road to take on Sparty, we have a 7-3 team getting 7 points on a 5-5 team with a pedestrian offense. too many points here but I will take them, I like Northwestern to keep it within 3.



2 Units.






Kent State +3    Getting value with the better team here Bowling Green has a decent offense, but then again so did Rutgers and Kent State scored just shy of 40 on them. I like the Golden Flashes outright in a tight game.







2 Units.







Florida State -31   The Seminoles have the second highest half time point differential in the nation and have had 2 extra days to prep for a team starting a linebacker at QB. Maryland just got crop dusted here and the Noles will be looking for a statement game after a close call against VT.







2 Units.







Rutgers +6    The Scarlett Knights travel to take on the Bearcats in this Big East tilt. I would have thought this spread would be +3 for Rutgers, but I will take the 6 points and the better team. Rutgers was beaten by a solid Kent State team, I don't see Rutgers faltering again. Scarlett Knights outright.






2 Units.







Oregon -21   The Cardinal couldn't beat the Ducks on The Farm with Luck, so how exactly are the supposed to compete with an improved Oregon team with a freshman starting at QB. The Cardinal pass defense is awful and their defense cannot stop the spread offense, see the Arizona game results. Ducks win big in a much needed statement game for them.






2 Units.




There we have it, good luck to all this week.

Thursday, November 8, 2012

NCAA Week #11 Pick 'em

Back at it this week, ever walk into a place and feel suddenly unwelcome? That is the feeling I have this week as Vegas suffered its biggest thrashing in over 25 years this past Sunday. They will be looking to recoup their lost cash this week no doubt about it. Lets see what we can do to combat that. Went 5-0 last week to bring my season total to 32-18 +27 units, I would like to keep my recent success going as no lead is safe with the caliber of the cats in the pick 'em crew.




Northwestern +10   Cats on the road at the Big House, not sure about the spread on this one. I could see N'western +3 but I will take the free 7 points. Michigan has gotten fat off eating cupcakes the last few games, plus who knows how effective Denard Robinson will be with the elbow issue. I like the Cats to keep it within 4.





2 Units.






The Ville -2     One team is 9-0 with a better QB and is used to winning tight games. The other one game under .500 playing in the Carrier Dome, which from what I hear is suddenly a difficult place to play? Maybe the Ernie Davis statue is going to come to life an join the huddle. Charlie Strong has his team playing well, I do not see them stumbling here. I like the Cardinals by 3.






2 Units.






Miami +1     I get this spread as Miami tends to struggle against UVA ATS, but the Cavaliers are an unremarkable 1-9-1 in their last 11 games, lets hope that second number turns to a 10 here. I think Virgina is getting too much credit for destroying a pedestrian NC State team. Al Golden has his team playing well coming off a nice victory over VT, lest we forget that the Cavs lost to Wake Forest and got boat raced by Duke. I like Miami to keep it going on the road.






2 Units.







Penn State +9      Cornhuskers are undefeated at home, however Penn State is a decent squad that can keep this game competitive. Taylor Martinez will no doubt have some turnovers which will help us out here. I have a hard time believing that Nebraska is 9 points better than Penn State, I like the Nittany Lions to keep it within 7.






2 Units.






Washington +1  The Utes have some major issues staying healthy at QB, meanwhile UW is 11-2 in their last 13 at home, the Huskies defense plays well at home too. Keith Price has been improving as of late, so I like the Huskies in this spot at home under the lights.






1 Unit.







There you have it, good luck to all. I'm The Blanket and I approve this message.