No fancy write ups here, the bowl games that I do play will all be small plays in the range of half unit to one unit. One of the key aspects when placing a bet on a team in a bowl game is you have to ask, which one of these teams actually wants to be here? Case in point the Utah vs. Alabama a couple of seasons ago. Its always hard to tell if a team has kept up its preparation for game time. So I will give you a guide on who I think is the better sid ein each bowl game.
New Mexico Bowl
UTEP +12 Both teams are garbage, but this is just too many points.
Humanitarian Bowl
Northern Illinois -1 Huskies will be looking to rebound after being embarrased in the MAC championship game.
New Orleans Bowl
Troy -2 The Trojans can score points quickly, the Bobcats were blown out by Kent State in their last game, really?
St. Petersburg Bowl
L'ville -3 Too much defense for Southern Miss.
Las Vegas Bowl
Boise St -17 Utah has been exposed, Boise State won't fold up shop here.
Pointsettia Bowl
Navy +4 San Diego State will struggle against the triple option, Dobbs goes out a winner.
Hawaii Bowl
Hawaii -10 Hawaii..........where mainland teams go to die.
Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl
FIU +2 The Golden Panthers had a tough non-conference schedule and will be pumped for their first bowl game.
Independence Bowl
GT +3 This will be a hard fought game and the score will be close at the end, I'll take the points.
Saturday, December 18, 2010
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Week #15 NFL Pick 'em
I didn't have a good Sunday last week, pretty frustrating as a matter of fact. We are now sitting at 41-32-2 on the NFL season. I should have a pretty heavy slate this Sunday. I will be adding picks here and there as I breakdown match ups. Lets see what we have batting lead off this week.
Chargers -8 Hard to bet against Rivers when it's November or later. The Chargers offense is almost back to full strength and the Bolts D ranks among the highest in both categories in the NFL. The 49ers are traveling on a short week and the Chargers are not the Seahawks especially coming off a big win versus the Chiefs. Qualcomm will be rocking as the San Diegans? San Diegoans? Will be filled with the holiday spirits. 5 units. Win.
Jaguars +5 I locked this spread in early as I expect it to be around +3.5 by kick-off time. This game is always close, decided by 7 points or less and that's when the Jags aren't playing as good as they are right now. MJD will gash the Colts defense and keep Peyton pouting on the bench. I really like this game as the Jags have alot to play for here and can lock up the division AND sweep the rival Colts with a win. 5 units. Loss.
Falcons -7 I don't normally like to take the Falcons on the road, but the defense has looked portable as of late. I took them a few weeks ago when they beat the Rams on the road and the spread was -3, in my opinion the Rams are better than Seattle and the Seahawks will probably be pee-pee smacked after embarrassing me and themselves by getting projectile vomited by the 49ers on Sunday. 3 units. Win.
Steelers -6 I hate Troy Polamalu unless I have money on his team, this week I shall be a fan. He absolutely crushed me last week due to the fact I had Cincy +9 and Carson Palmer still thinks he is at USC. The Jets if you listen to the show are frauds, I said so before the start of the season, write that down. The Jets just can't respond if they get hit in the mouth, by that I mean scored on first and scored on quickly. Much like myself the Steelers will score quickly while the Jets lay on their backs with their legs behind their ears. 3 units. Loss.
Saints +1 New Orleans has found their offensive stride once again and are stacked at the running back position with Bush, Thomas and Ivory all contributing. Brees seems to have overcome his turnover problems as the running game now has to be accounted for again. The Ravens defense has shown some holes this season and are not the formidable stop unit they have been of seasons past. Joe the Quarterback has been spotty and I am not sure if he can match the Saints production. 2 units. Loss.
Bills +6 Buffalo travels to Miami and the Dolphins for whatever reason hate winning games at home game. After their big win against the Jets last week the Fins could be primed for a let down here. The Bills somehow shut down Peyton Hillis last week so maybe their defense will show up again this Sunday, either way the Bills should be able to keep this contest within 6. 1 unit. Win.
Eagles+3 Leading Pro Bowl vote getter Micheal Vick takes the Eagles into a divisional showdown at the New Meadowlands against the G-Men. This game should be close, so I like getting points here. The Giants hate beating the Eagles and Eli is too prone to the turnover for me to take the other side. huge game for both teams, as long as Vick stays upright we should be good. 1 unit. Win.
Cardinals +3 The Panthers have some serious issues at QB, John Fox seems to not care about his possible unemployment although his named has already been tossed out there for a head coach vacancy. The Panthers are holding the lottery ticket to Andrew Luck in their paws and most likely will not show up for this game. 2 units. Loss.
Browns +1 I locked this game in as soon as the lines went up and it has since been pulled. Both Ocho Cinco and T.O. are banged up for this game, which might be a good thing. Palmer is a shell of his former self and the Bengals are a total mess. The Browns get Colt Mccoy back which means they have a passing game which should open things up for Peyton Hillis against a banged up Bengals defense. 4 units. Loss.
There you have it 9 games, I'm due for a huge Sunday lets hope this is it.
Chargers -8 Hard to bet against Rivers when it's November or later. The Chargers offense is almost back to full strength and the Bolts D ranks among the highest in both categories in the NFL. The 49ers are traveling on a short week and the Chargers are not the Seahawks especially coming off a big win versus the Chiefs. Qualcomm will be rocking as the San Diegans? San Diegoans? Will be filled with the holiday spirits. 5 units. Win.
Jaguars +5 I locked this spread in early as I expect it to be around +3.5 by kick-off time. This game is always close, decided by 7 points or less and that's when the Jags aren't playing as good as they are right now. MJD will gash the Colts defense and keep Peyton pouting on the bench. I really like this game as the Jags have alot to play for here and can lock up the division AND sweep the rival Colts with a win. 5 units. Loss.
Falcons -7 I don't normally like to take the Falcons on the road, but the defense has looked portable as of late. I took them a few weeks ago when they beat the Rams on the road and the spread was -3, in my opinion the Rams are better than Seattle and the Seahawks will probably be pee-pee smacked after embarrassing me and themselves by getting projectile vomited by the 49ers on Sunday. 3 units. Win.
Steelers -6 I hate Troy Polamalu unless I have money on his team, this week I shall be a fan. He absolutely crushed me last week due to the fact I had Cincy +9 and Carson Palmer still thinks he is at USC. The Jets if you listen to the show are frauds, I said so before the start of the season, write that down. The Jets just can't respond if they get hit in the mouth, by that I mean scored on first and scored on quickly. Much like myself the Steelers will score quickly while the Jets lay on their backs with their legs behind their ears. 3 units. Loss.
Saints +1 New Orleans has found their offensive stride once again and are stacked at the running back position with Bush, Thomas and Ivory all contributing. Brees seems to have overcome his turnover problems as the running game now has to be accounted for again. The Ravens defense has shown some holes this season and are not the formidable stop unit they have been of seasons past. Joe the Quarterback has been spotty and I am not sure if he can match the Saints production. 2 units. Loss.
Bills +6 Buffalo travels to Miami and the Dolphins for whatever reason hate winning games at home game. After their big win against the Jets last week the Fins could be primed for a let down here. The Bills somehow shut down Peyton Hillis last week so maybe their defense will show up again this Sunday, either way the Bills should be able to keep this contest within 6. 1 unit. Win.
Eagles+3 Leading Pro Bowl vote getter Micheal Vick takes the Eagles into a divisional showdown at the New Meadowlands against the G-Men. This game should be close, so I like getting points here. The Giants hate beating the Eagles and Eli is too prone to the turnover for me to take the other side. huge game for both teams, as long as Vick stays upright we should be good. 1 unit. Win.
Cardinals +3 The Panthers have some serious issues at QB, John Fox seems to not care about his possible unemployment although his named has already been tossed out there for a head coach vacancy. The Panthers are holding the lottery ticket to Andrew Luck in their paws and most likely will not show up for this game. 2 units. Loss.
Browns +1 I locked this game in as soon as the lines went up and it has since been pulled. Both Ocho Cinco and T.O. are banged up for this game, which might be a good thing. Palmer is a shell of his former self and the Bengals are a total mess. The Browns get Colt Mccoy back which means they have a passing game which should open things up for Peyton Hillis against a banged up Bengals defense. 4 units. Loss.
There you have it 9 games, I'm due for a huge Sunday lets hope this is it.
Wednesday, December 8, 2010
NFL Week #14 Pick 'em
Had a user unfriendly weekend this past weekend. Wrapped up the college regular season going 33-30-5, made some money there. In NFL action we are siting at 37-28-2 with a huge slate of games set for today, so be that I'm already running late lets get to the picks.
Chargers -10 Bounce back game for the Bolts here, a much needed home win opportunity presents itself for the Chargers here. The Chiefs should be relying heavily on the running game here with Cassell out and Croyle starting on the road. Let's hope the Chargers can stop the run this week and get some payback on KC. 3 units. Win.
Ravens -3 Coming off a tough loss to the Steelers the Ravens get to go on the road and play the Texans who are not very good on defense. The Ravens need this win to keep pace with Pittsburgh in the AFC North. Flacco should have a decent game against the less than stellar Texans defense. 2 units. Win.
Bengals +9 This is the Bengals Superbowl game and opportunity to give a hated rival an early Christmas present of a loss. The Steelers are coming of a huge win on the road against Baltimore and could be looking past the Bungals. Cincy has been making a habit of coming back late in games to get a backdoor cover. 1 unit. Loss.
Browns+1 Cleveland goes to play in Buffalo, even though Jake Delhomme is their QB the Browns Peyton Hillis will have a field day against a terrible Bills stop unit who has given up nearly 500 yards on the ground the last two weeks. The Browns pass defense will do enough to keep the Bills offense from producing. 2 units. Loss.
Rams +10 The Saints are laying too many points here, even though they are at home and the Rams do not play so well on the road. Bradford shouldn't have much trouble carving up the Saints wishy-washy defense and the Rams D will do enough to keep them in this game. 5 units. Loss.
Seahawks +6 The 49ers shouldn't be favored by 6 against anyone. Singletary continues to play musical QB and they will have an affect on his team as will the loss of Frank Gore who is integral to the 49ers offense. Given those two factors you cant tell me that the 49ers should be favored by a touchdown. 2 units. Loss.
Pats -3 Should be a sloppy game due to field and weather conditions, but for me the Pats are just playing too well right now and laying money on Cutler is never endearing to me. Usually games like this its a safe bet to take the dog, however I just can't go against the Hoodie & Company right now. 2 units. Win.
Dolphins +6 Henne has been playing better QB as the Dolphins head to the new Meadowlands for a divisional game with the hated Jets. The Sanchise has been less than impressive as has the Jets defense. Their record doesn't reflect all the close games they barely squeaked out, the Dolphins can keep it within 6. 4 units. Win.
Broncos -4 Why not right? The Cards struggle to produce offense even with their starting QB under center, now they are trotting out 3rd stringer John Skelton, from?????? Fordham. We know that the Broncos offense can put up points quickly lets hope the defense gives us the same performance they did last week against KC. 3 units. Loss.
There you go 8 games on tap, lets get some double digit money for our Monday morning deposit.
Chargers -10 Bounce back game for the Bolts here, a much needed home win opportunity presents itself for the Chargers here. The Chiefs should be relying heavily on the running game here with Cassell out and Croyle starting on the road. Let's hope the Chargers can stop the run this week and get some payback on KC. 3 units. Win.
Ravens -3 Coming off a tough loss to the Steelers the Ravens get to go on the road and play the Texans who are not very good on defense. The Ravens need this win to keep pace with Pittsburgh in the AFC North. Flacco should have a decent game against the less than stellar Texans defense. 2 units. Win.
Bengals +9 This is the Bengals Superbowl game and opportunity to give a hated rival an early Christmas present of a loss. The Steelers are coming of a huge win on the road against Baltimore and could be looking past the Bungals. Cincy has been making a habit of coming back late in games to get a backdoor cover. 1 unit. Loss.
Browns+1 Cleveland goes to play in Buffalo, even though Jake Delhomme is their QB the Browns Peyton Hillis will have a field day against a terrible Bills stop unit who has given up nearly 500 yards on the ground the last two weeks. The Browns pass defense will do enough to keep the Bills offense from producing. 2 units. Loss.
Rams +10 The Saints are laying too many points here, even though they are at home and the Rams do not play so well on the road. Bradford shouldn't have much trouble carving up the Saints wishy-washy defense and the Rams D will do enough to keep them in this game. 5 units. Loss.
Seahawks +6 The 49ers shouldn't be favored by 6 against anyone. Singletary continues to play musical QB and they will have an affect on his team as will the loss of Frank Gore who is integral to the 49ers offense. Given those two factors you cant tell me that the 49ers should be favored by a touchdown. 2 units. Loss.
Pats -3 Should be a sloppy game due to field and weather conditions, but for me the Pats are just playing too well right now and laying money on Cutler is never endearing to me. Usually games like this its a safe bet to take the dog, however I just can't go against the Hoodie & Company right now. 2 units. Win.
Dolphins +6 Henne has been playing better QB as the Dolphins head to the new Meadowlands for a divisional game with the hated Jets. The Sanchise has been less than impressive as has the Jets defense. Their record doesn't reflect all the close games they barely squeaked out, the Dolphins can keep it within 6. 4 units. Win.
Broncos -4 Why not right? The Cards struggle to produce offense even with their starting QB under center, now they are trotting out 3rd stringer John Skelton, from?????? Fordham. We know that the Broncos offense can put up points quickly lets hope the defense gives us the same performance they did last week against KC. 3 units. Loss.
There you go 8 games on tap, lets get some double digit money for our Monday morning deposit.
Thursday, December 2, 2010
NFL Week #13 Pick 'em
Great weekend last Sunday, I went 6-2 ATS on my NFL action for +10 units. We are going a little light on units this Sunday, noting really jumped out at me for a multi unit play. I am sitting at 34-26-2 and have been on fire the last few weeks, so lets keep that trend in lockstep.
Dolphins -4 Henne looked sharp last week on the left coast, The Fins are at home this week and Jake Delhomme is the QB for the Browns and he is as useless as a football bat or a pair of swim cleats, write that down!
1 unit. Loss.
Saints -7 Brees and company seemed to have figured it out and the Bengals are a garage sale inside of a double wide that is currently on fire. Bengals are at home, but for some reason they are getting too much credit in this game. Saints easy.
3 units. Loss.
Rams -3 The Cards cannot run or throw the ball and that trend will continue as they stumble through their Kurt Warner-less season. I have been pounding the Rams all season. Bradford is a stud and doesn't throw picks, he uses his young WR's well and the defense is good enough to keep the Cardinals at bay, even on the road.
2 units.Win.
Steelers -3 A rare appearance by Rapistberger in Baltimore, this is a must have game for the Steelers. If they get swept by the Ravens they might not get into the playoffs even as a Wildcard. These games are usually very close but the Ravens offense has been sluggish as of late.Win.
Pats -3 New England is playing much better ball lately the Jets have been winning but have really been squeaking by with the exception of the beat down of Cincy last week. Brady is on fire and the Pats D is making moves, Pays cover at home.
2 units.Win.
There you have it another highly profitable Sunday of football.
Dolphins -4 Henne looked sharp last week on the left coast, The Fins are at home this week and Jake Delhomme is the QB for the Browns and he is as useless as a football bat or a pair of swim cleats, write that down!
1 unit. Loss.
Saints -7 Brees and company seemed to have figured it out and the Bengals are a garage sale inside of a double wide that is currently on fire. Bengals are at home, but for some reason they are getting too much credit in this game. Saints easy.
3 units. Loss.
Rams -3 The Cards cannot run or throw the ball and that trend will continue as they stumble through their Kurt Warner-less season. I have been pounding the Rams all season. Bradford is a stud and doesn't throw picks, he uses his young WR's well and the defense is good enough to keep the Cardinals at bay, even on the road.
2 units.Win.
Steelers -3 A rare appearance by Rapistberger in Baltimore, this is a must have game for the Steelers. If they get swept by the Ravens they might not get into the playoffs even as a Wildcard. These games are usually very close but the Ravens offense has been sluggish as of late.Win.
Pats -3 New England is playing much better ball lately the Jets have been winning but have really been squeaking by with the exception of the beat down of Cincy last week. Brady is on fire and the Pats D is making moves, Pays cover at home.
2 units.Win.
There you have it another highly profitable Sunday of football.
NCAA Week #14 Pick 'em
Another dismal week in college as I went 3-2. We are now standing at 32-27-4 on the season. This is the last week so there are alot of rivalry matchups going down Saturday. Running behind a little bit this week so I will post some small write ups on the games, for more in depth analysis tune into the Vegas Takedown Show at 10pm tonight only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Northern Illinois -18 MAC champy game here and the Huskies are at home and playing some solid football. I dislike betting hard earned money on MAC games, but I think NIU has a solid team and will put the Redhawks at parade rest.Loss.
Oregon -17 The Ducks better step their game up here as the partake in the Civil War against the Beavs. The Ducks have been sluggish in the first half as of late, so that calls for a light play on this game. Oregon State on the other hand has slipped and had trouble finding the endzone as of late.Push.
South Carolina +6 This game in Atlanta will have a mixed crowd, I like Auburn to win by 2. The Gamecocks have the talent to stay with Auburn on both sides of the ball. Newton escapes the Georgia Dome with a W, I escape with some Vegas money! Loss.
FSU +4 The Seminoles have looked really good as of late and Ponder will put everything he has in this game. VT doesn't impress me and the Seminoles have the momentum to take this one outright.Loss.
Nevada -10 I'll be honest, I hate this team and the QB, but La Tech struggles against the pass and it will show in this contest. Win.
There you have it enjoy!
Northern Illinois -18 MAC champy game here and the Huskies are at home and playing some solid football. I dislike betting hard earned money on MAC games, but I think NIU has a solid team and will put the Redhawks at parade rest.Loss.
Oregon -17 The Ducks better step their game up here as the partake in the Civil War against the Beavs. The Ducks have been sluggish in the first half as of late, so that calls for a light play on this game. Oregon State on the other hand has slipped and had trouble finding the endzone as of late.Push.
South Carolina +6 This game in Atlanta will have a mixed crowd, I like Auburn to win by 2. The Gamecocks have the talent to stay with Auburn on both sides of the ball. Newton escapes the Georgia Dome with a W, I escape with some Vegas money! Loss.
FSU +4 The Seminoles have looked really good as of late and Ponder will put everything he has in this game. VT doesn't impress me and the Seminoles have the momentum to take this one outright.Loss.
Nevada -10 I'll be honest, I hate this team and the QB, but La Tech struggles against the pass and it will show in this contest. Win.
There you have it enjoy!
Thursday, November 25, 2010
NFL Week #12 Pick 'em
13 units of profit handed out last Sunday alone. Went 5-2 ATS which brings us to a record of 28-24-2. I have a huge slate of action for tonight and Sunday as those of you who listened to last nights show are well aware of. Let's get to the action, I will start off with the Thanksgiving Day games we have on tap for today.
Patriots -7 Pats seeking the best record in the NFL here, the Lions have been dreadful on Turkey Day over the last few years. While they have improved they just won't have the weapons to stay in this game the whole way. The Pats have supplemented their erratic defense by creating turnovers, look for that trend to continue, the Pats take it by 10.
4 units. Win.
Jets -9 I think this is the first time I have taken the Jets this year. They have had some close games the last three weeks against teams who are improving. The Bengals however are not improving, coming in a 2-8 they are little more than just showing up to the game. Palmer is hurt but will play we will see how the foot injury impacts his passing game. T.O. has been running his mouth about Revis so that might give the Jets a little motivation to make an example of Cincy.
2 units. Win.
Buccaneers +8 The surprise Bucs head to Baltimore to play the Ravens. I like the Bucs to cover the 8 here as Freeman has played well and Baltimore has had trouble with big point spreads this season. The Ravens might not of covered last week were it not for two late interceptions of St. Pierre for Ravens touchdowns. The Ravens get it done but t will be closer than you think.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +4 I have been on the Rams all year with the exception of last week. They are a solid squad and Bradford should fare well against the Broncos D. I know the Rams aren't quite road warriors but Denver shouldn't really be laying more than 2 here. The Broncos are still getting credit for their blowout win over KC, how long is Vegas gonna ride that scooter?
2 units.
Eagles -3 The Eagles need to play a good game here as they looked like garbage last week and were fortunate enough to win over the Giants. I think the Bears are a solid squad, but much like my Falcons they lack any kind of consistency on the offensive side of the ball and laying points with Jay Cutler scares me as he was less than impressive against the Dolphins last week, that's saying alot with Miami's meager secondary play. The Bears defense is nasty as usual and generates points for them, the way to stop that is to not turn the ball over. Vick and company need a solid outing here to stand out in the NFC.
2 units. Loss.
Packers +2 Aaron Rodgers getting points? Sign me up for 5 units please. As discussed earlier the Falcons are hit and miss and the Packers are getting healthy. Ryan is hard to beat at home yes, but Atlanta has had some ugly home wins this season. I don't like them in this spot and Vegas thinks the Packers are better or the spread would have been +3.
5 units. Loss.
Jaguars +8 I haven't been a fan of the Jags, but they seem to be more and more stable as the weeks go by. Garrard has been playing well and MJD has been finding the endzone as of late. The Giants on the other hand have a beat up O-line and have struggled mightily in the red zone as evident by last weeks game with Philly. Eli has some problems at WR with his two work horses out in Nicks and Smith. Its just too many points for the Giants to cover.
3 units. Win.
Chargers +3 I love this game, San Diego is getting into mid season form and rolling over opponents, Rivers is in a dog fight with Rodgers for the MVP and Vincent Jackson will be back. Who knows how productive he will be but he still has to be accounted for. Also Malcolm Floyd has returned to the line up. Mike Tolbert from........................? Coastal Carolina has been picking up the slack in the running game well. Manning just doesn't have the weapons right now and his numbers reflect that, the Colts still lack a running game and also struggle to stop the run. I like the Chargers outright.
4 units.
There you go 8 games to give you the ability to transform into a cash business yourself. After this slate you will be able to do your Christmas shopping and leave your credit cards at home. Write that down!
Patriots -7 Pats seeking the best record in the NFL here, the Lions have been dreadful on Turkey Day over the last few years. While they have improved they just won't have the weapons to stay in this game the whole way. The Pats have supplemented their erratic defense by creating turnovers, look for that trend to continue, the Pats take it by 10.
4 units. Win.
Jets -9 I think this is the first time I have taken the Jets this year. They have had some close games the last three weeks against teams who are improving. The Bengals however are not improving, coming in a 2-8 they are little more than just showing up to the game. Palmer is hurt but will play we will see how the foot injury impacts his passing game. T.O. has been running his mouth about Revis so that might give the Jets a little motivation to make an example of Cincy.
2 units. Win.
Buccaneers +8 The surprise Bucs head to Baltimore to play the Ravens. I like the Bucs to cover the 8 here as Freeman has played well and Baltimore has had trouble with big point spreads this season. The Ravens might not of covered last week were it not for two late interceptions of St. Pierre for Ravens touchdowns. The Ravens get it done but t will be closer than you think.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +4 I have been on the Rams all year with the exception of last week. They are a solid squad and Bradford should fare well against the Broncos D. I know the Rams aren't quite road warriors but Denver shouldn't really be laying more than 2 here. The Broncos are still getting credit for their blowout win over KC, how long is Vegas gonna ride that scooter?
2 units.
Eagles -3 The Eagles need to play a good game here as they looked like garbage last week and were fortunate enough to win over the Giants. I think the Bears are a solid squad, but much like my Falcons they lack any kind of consistency on the offensive side of the ball and laying points with Jay Cutler scares me as he was less than impressive against the Dolphins last week, that's saying alot with Miami's meager secondary play. The Bears defense is nasty as usual and generates points for them, the way to stop that is to not turn the ball over. Vick and company need a solid outing here to stand out in the NFC.
2 units. Loss.
Packers +2 Aaron Rodgers getting points? Sign me up for 5 units please. As discussed earlier the Falcons are hit and miss and the Packers are getting healthy. Ryan is hard to beat at home yes, but Atlanta has had some ugly home wins this season. I don't like them in this spot and Vegas thinks the Packers are better or the spread would have been +3.
5 units. Loss.
Jaguars +8 I haven't been a fan of the Jags, but they seem to be more and more stable as the weeks go by. Garrard has been playing well and MJD has been finding the endzone as of late. The Giants on the other hand have a beat up O-line and have struggled mightily in the red zone as evident by last weeks game with Philly. Eli has some problems at WR with his two work horses out in Nicks and Smith. Its just too many points for the Giants to cover.
3 units. Win.
Chargers +3 I love this game, San Diego is getting into mid season form and rolling over opponents, Rivers is in a dog fight with Rodgers for the MVP and Vincent Jackson will be back. Who knows how productive he will be but he still has to be accounted for. Also Malcolm Floyd has returned to the line up. Mike Tolbert from........................? Coastal Carolina has been picking up the slack in the running game well. Manning just doesn't have the weapons right now and his numbers reflect that, the Colts still lack a running game and also struggle to stop the run. I like the Chargers outright.
4 units.
There you go 8 games to give you the ability to transform into a cash business yourself. After this slate you will be able to do your Christmas shopping and leave your credit cards at home. Write that down!
Tuesday, November 23, 2010
NCAA Week #13 Pick 'em
Less than impressive on Saturday going 2-3, bringing us to 29-25 on the season that's the wrong answer. So lets get a 5-0 Saturday going here. Lets see what I have. The Vegas Takedown Show will be tomorrow night at 9:00 PM as the Game Theory offices will be locked down for Thanksgiving Day celebration. We will have our own Black weekend thanks to the money we will make off my picks for Saturday and Sunday.
Texas A&M -3 Simply put its put up or shut up time for the Aggies, coming off an impressive defensive performance against the Huskers at home its time for rival Texas. A&M needs this game for many reasons. I like them to cover the 3 on the road. Win.
Ohio -3 I don't like betting on MAC teams but the Bobcats aren't half bad and are playing for a MAC championship. The Bobcats are averaging 33 PPG and Kent State has been less than impressive, lets go with the hot team. Loss.
Boise State -14 Nevada is garbage and I hate them. The Broncos will take them apart with ease. I'm not buying into the ESPN hype on this game, it will be a blowout fest by halftime. Loss.
TCU -44 Not quite sure how New Mexico will score in this contest. Last chance for TCU to stay ahead of Boise, and being they are playing the 1-10 Lobos the Frogs need to crush their souls or the Broncos might Leap frog them, pun intended. Write that down. Win.
Auburn +5 The Tigers offense can score points and Auburn loves to cover. This win would solidify Cam Newtons Heisman and Bama's defense has been un-TIDE-y, pause for affect. I think the Tigers offense is good enough to stay within 5. Win.
There you have it, I have 8 NFL games on the money making slate this weekend as well. Look for them to be posted tomorrow night or tune into my radio show at 9:00PM to get them live only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory see you when I see you.
Texas A&M -3 Simply put its put up or shut up time for the Aggies, coming off an impressive defensive performance against the Huskers at home its time for rival Texas. A&M needs this game for many reasons. I like them to cover the 3 on the road. Win.
Ohio -3 I don't like betting on MAC teams but the Bobcats aren't half bad and are playing for a MAC championship. The Bobcats are averaging 33 PPG and Kent State has been less than impressive, lets go with the hot team. Loss.
Boise State -14 Nevada is garbage and I hate them. The Broncos will take them apart with ease. I'm not buying into the ESPN hype on this game, it will be a blowout fest by halftime. Loss.
TCU -44 Not quite sure how New Mexico will score in this contest. Last chance for TCU to stay ahead of Boise, and being they are playing the 1-10 Lobos the Frogs need to crush their souls or the Broncos might Leap frog them, pun intended. Write that down. Win.
Auburn +5 The Tigers offense can score points and Auburn loves to cover. This win would solidify Cam Newtons Heisman and Bama's defense has been un-TIDE-y, pause for affect. I think the Tigers offense is good enough to stay within 5. Win.
There you have it, I have 8 NFL games on the money making slate this weekend as well. Look for them to be posted tomorrow night or tune into my radio show at 9:00PM to get them live only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory see you when I see you.
Saturday, November 20, 2010
NFL Week #11
Lagging behind with my picks, but I have a big slate of action for Sunday so lets get to the money making shall we?
Eagles -3 The G'men come limping into the Linc for a road tilt. Simply put the Giants are too beat up on the O-line and the Eagles and Vick are on fire.
5 units. Win.
Ravens -11 Brian St. Pierre from? Exactly who is this guy. I don't like laying this many points but I don't know how the Panthers will score, this team is bad. Ravens need a win to keep a leg up on Pittsburgh.
4 units. Win.
Packers -3 This was a close game in Lambeau, not so much this time. The Packers are getting healthy and coming off a bye. The Vikings are done and will put on a show early but will fold up shop in the second half.
4 units. Win.
Bills +6 Bills are fresh off a win and the Bengals have stopped playing football. I like the Bills to keep this one within a FG.
2 units. Win.
Browns +2 This is the first team that Colt Mccoy has faced that wasn't in the playoffs last season. I like Mccoy to get it done against the Jags using Hillis and defense for the outright win.
3 units. Loss.
Seahawks +12 The Seahawks are iffy on the road, but Brees has had turnover issues this year. The Saints get Reggie Bush back this week but this is just too many points Seahawks keep it within 12.
2 units. Loss.
Falcons -3 I rarely bet on my team, but if Atlanta wants to prove that they are an upper crust squad they need to put away the upstart Rams on the road. Ryan isn't the best on the the road but he is good in a dome, I like the Falcons to cover.
2 units. Win.
There you have it, 6 money makers to cash out on enjoy. I should have my picks up on Thursday next week, been really busy this week, so bare with me money fans.
Eagles -3 The G'men come limping into the Linc for a road tilt. Simply put the Giants are too beat up on the O-line and the Eagles and Vick are on fire.
5 units. Win.
Ravens -11 Brian St. Pierre from? Exactly who is this guy. I don't like laying this many points but I don't know how the Panthers will score, this team is bad. Ravens need a win to keep a leg up on Pittsburgh.
4 units. Win.
Packers -3 This was a close game in Lambeau, not so much this time. The Packers are getting healthy and coming off a bye. The Vikings are done and will put on a show early but will fold up shop in the second half.
4 units. Win.
Bills +6 Bills are fresh off a win and the Bengals have stopped playing football. I like the Bills to keep this one within a FG.
2 units. Win.
Browns +2 This is the first team that Colt Mccoy has faced that wasn't in the playoffs last season. I like Mccoy to get it done against the Jags using Hillis and defense for the outright win.
3 units. Loss.
Seahawks +12 The Seahawks are iffy on the road, but Brees has had turnover issues this year. The Saints get Reggie Bush back this week but this is just too many points Seahawks keep it within 12.
2 units. Loss.
Falcons -3 I rarely bet on my team, but if Atlanta wants to prove that they are an upper crust squad they need to put away the upstart Rams on the road. Ryan isn't the best on the the road but he is good in a dome, I like the Falcons to cover.
2 units. Win.
There you have it, 6 money makers to cash out on enjoy. I should have my picks up on Thursday next week, been really busy this week, so bare with me money fans.
Friday, November 19, 2010
NCAA Week #12 Pick em
I covered all my picks on the radio show on Wednesday night. If you missed my show here are the picks. My NFL picks will be up tomorrow. All NCAA picks will be 1 unit this Saturday as well.
Fresno State +30
Loss.
Penn State -10
Win.
Wisconsin -4
Win.
South Florida +3
Loss.
San Diego State +3
Fresno State +30
Loss.
Penn State -10
Win.
Wisconsin -4
Win.
South Florida +3
Loss.
San Diego State +3
Saturday, November 13, 2010
NFL Week #10 Pick 'em
Running a little behind with the NFL picks this week but if you listened to the show on Thursday night you will already know my NFL picks and have received my breakdowns on all the games. I went 4-0-1 last Sunday so that brings me to 20-19-2 on the NFL season so we are back over .500 which means I am making you money. Lets get to the picks I like some games alot this week and here they are.
Bengals +7 Palmer and T.O. have a good thing going. Jordan Shipley and Grisham are showing up to the party as well. Benson should have a solid outing as Indy is weak against the run. Colts win, but this is a great match up for Cincy and our bank accounts.
4 units. Win.
Rams +6 I have been on the Rams all season and they have delivered for me. The 49ers shouldn't be favored against anyone, not even the Bills. Coming off a bye Jackson and Bradford will have a nice game. The Rams young but talented D will guarantee a bad day for Troy Smith. Rams outright.
2 units. Win.
Giants -14 Big Blue has turned the corner, the Cowboys are awful and their new coach Jason Garrett hasn't endeared himself to his new troops by making them practice in full pads all week. Giants win in a blowout.
4 units. Loss.
Titans -1 Randy Moss will make his presence felt and stretch the field for Chris Johnson and VY, the Dolphins secondary isn't having a good year and I don't see Chad Pennington leading this team to a win over an underrated Titans squad.
2 units. Loss.
Texans +1 I'm not buying the Jags, even at home. Schaub needs to have a good game against a very pedestrian Jags secondary. Conference game here and the Texans need to show some signs of life. Foster needs to be a factor for Houston to get the win.
1 unit. Loss.
Patriots +5 The Hoodie doesn't lose back to back games and the Steelers D is showing some cracks as of late, I like the points here and the fact that Tom Brady and Belichek don't lose back to back games.
3 units. Win.
There you go money fans, 6 winners for you cash addiction fix. See you next week.
Bengals +7 Palmer and T.O. have a good thing going. Jordan Shipley and Grisham are showing up to the party as well. Benson should have a solid outing as Indy is weak against the run. Colts win, but this is a great match up for Cincy and our bank accounts.
4 units. Win.
Rams +6 I have been on the Rams all season and they have delivered for me. The 49ers shouldn't be favored against anyone, not even the Bills. Coming off a bye Jackson and Bradford will have a nice game. The Rams young but talented D will guarantee a bad day for Troy Smith. Rams outright.
2 units. Win.
Giants -14 Big Blue has turned the corner, the Cowboys are awful and their new coach Jason Garrett hasn't endeared himself to his new troops by making them practice in full pads all week. Giants win in a blowout.
4 units. Loss.
Titans -1 Randy Moss will make his presence felt and stretch the field for Chris Johnson and VY, the Dolphins secondary isn't having a good year and I don't see Chad Pennington leading this team to a win over an underrated Titans squad.
2 units. Loss.
Texans +1 I'm not buying the Jags, even at home. Schaub needs to have a good game against a very pedestrian Jags secondary. Conference game here and the Texans need to show some signs of life. Foster needs to be a factor for Houston to get the win.
1 unit. Loss.
Patriots +5 The Hoodie doesn't lose back to back games and the Steelers D is showing some cracks as of late, I like the points here and the fact that Tom Brady and Belichek don't lose back to back games.
3 units. Win.
There you go money fans, 6 winners for you cash addiction fix. See you next week.
Wednesday, November 10, 2010
NCAA Week #11 Pick 'em
Another 4-1 Saturday last week, that brings us to 25-19-3 on the season. That's pure profit at more than 6 units. I like money and if you are reading this than you do too. I'm going to be drawing down on the game write ups for the blog as traffic is down and ratings on my radio show are up 20% from last week so I will be focusing more of my energy and what little time I have on the show. Be sure and tune in tomorrow night at 9PM and listen in as me give you are picks for this weekend. I will also give more in depth analysis of my picks on the air, catch it at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory now to the picks.
Boise State -35 The Broncos are up against it and facing in state rival Idaho Friday night. Idaho got parade rested by Hawaii recently and the Broncos midget tossed the Warriors last week. The Vandals are a sive on defense and their offense has taken multiple 30" steps backwards. Boise State needs a blowout victory to hedge against falling further out of favor with the all powerful BCS computer. Broncos huge.
2 units.Win.
USC +4 The Trojans have been playing some good football as of late. Matt Barkley has been lighting it up and the D has stepped up as well, Zona has a solid record but hates to cover. Simply put I like the Trojans to keep it within 3.
1 unit. Win.
Oregon -20 Cal is dumpster fire, granted they are slightly better at home but that being said the Ducks have Auburn and TCU breathing down their necks and will have to put on a good show against a crap team. The Ducks will be away from Autzen but they have played well in hostile stadiums this year, for example a couple of weeks ago at USC. Ducks by 24.
2 units. Loss.
Utah -6 The Utes will be looking to bounce back against the hapless Irish. I think we are getting some value here of about 3 points. Taking into consideration that TCU skulldrug Utah last week and Notre Dame is always overvalued due to the public loving them and the fact that they are media darlings. The Utes get back on track here.
1 unit. Loss.
Stanford -5 Andrew Luck and the Whalen brothers come into town to play the Sun Devils. Arizona State has been up and down this year while the Cardinal continues to roll along in their season suffering only 1 loss to the mighty Ducks. Luck and Stanford's physical play will wear the Sun Devils down and we will cover. Loss.
There you have it, NFL picks will be up tomorrow as I have a few multiple unit plays, until that time.
Boise State -35 The Broncos are up against it and facing in state rival Idaho Friday night. Idaho got parade rested by Hawaii recently and the Broncos midget tossed the Warriors last week. The Vandals are a sive on defense and their offense has taken multiple 30" steps backwards. Boise State needs a blowout victory to hedge against falling further out of favor with the all powerful BCS computer. Broncos huge.
2 units.Win.
USC +4 The Trojans have been playing some good football as of late. Matt Barkley has been lighting it up and the D has stepped up as well, Zona has a solid record but hates to cover. Simply put I like the Trojans to keep it within 3.
1 unit. Win.
Oregon -20 Cal is dumpster fire, granted they are slightly better at home but that being said the Ducks have Auburn and TCU breathing down their necks and will have to put on a good show against a crap team. The Ducks will be away from Autzen but they have played well in hostile stadiums this year, for example a couple of weeks ago at USC. Ducks by 24.
2 units. Loss.
Utah -6 The Utes will be looking to bounce back against the hapless Irish. I think we are getting some value here of about 3 points. Taking into consideration that TCU skulldrug Utah last week and Notre Dame is always overvalued due to the public loving them and the fact that they are media darlings. The Utes get back on track here.
1 unit. Loss.
Stanford -5 Andrew Luck and the Whalen brothers come into town to play the Sun Devils. Arizona State has been up and down this year while the Cardinal continues to roll along in their season suffering only 1 loss to the mighty Ducks. Luck and Stanford's physical play will wear the Sun Devils down and we will cover. Loss.
There you have it, NFL picks will be up tomorrow as I have a few multiple unit plays, until that time.
Thursday, November 4, 2010
Week #9 NFL Pick 'em
Couple nice games we can jump on this Sunday, I had a dismal 3-2 performance last Sunday. It didn't make me very happy. I need perfection or close to this weekend. Tune into the show tonight at 9:00 PM EST, The Vegas Takedown Show can only be heard at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory Lets see whats on the money train before we rob it shall we?
Colts +3 Peyton Manning as a dog I like it, sign me up. Vick, Jackson and Mccoy will be a little rusty due to injuries and the Eagles defense can't stop the unrelenting barrage of Colts weaponry. I like the Colts to win outright.
4 units.
Bills +3 Our neighbors to the north get to take in our finest export as the Bears and Bills will play in Toronto. The Bills will get their first win of the season they have been playing everyone tough since Fitzpatrick has taken over the offense. Martz will not use his running backs and will no doubt leave Cutler in a bad spot against an improved Bills pass rush. Buffalo's secondary has been playing better as of late too. The Bears offensive line can't pass protect and Cutler will be getting hit alot.
2 units. Push.
Browns +6 The Pats own the best record in the league and I think this will be a look ahead game for them as the Browns come to Foxboro. The Browns have been playing hard behind Colt Mccoy and Peyton Hillis had a week off the get some rest and heal up. The Browns will stay in this game, Pats win by 2.
2 units. Win.
Cardinals +9 The Vikings season is all but done, they have waaaaay too many issues to get up for a crap Cards squad led by Derek Anderson. 9 points is too much in this spot. Vikings should squeak this game out but not by 9.
3 units. Win.
Chargers -3 I am taking the Bolts as a road favorite. Phillip Rivers is my pick for NFL MVP write that down. The Texans are garbage and will not be able to stop Rivers he should easily put up 400 yards passing in this contest. Rivers will be getting some of his weapons back and the Chargers running game is starting to get on track. Chargers by 5.
2 units. Win.
There you have it folks, tune in tonight for some more in depth analysis on my picks. See you then.
Colts +3 Peyton Manning as a dog I like it, sign me up. Vick, Jackson and Mccoy will be a little rusty due to injuries and the Eagles defense can't stop the unrelenting barrage of Colts weaponry. I like the Colts to win outright.
4 units.
Bills +3 Our neighbors to the north get to take in our finest export as the Bears and Bills will play in Toronto. The Bills will get their first win of the season they have been playing everyone tough since Fitzpatrick has taken over the offense. Martz will not use his running backs and will no doubt leave Cutler in a bad spot against an improved Bills pass rush. Buffalo's secondary has been playing better as of late too. The Bears offensive line can't pass protect and Cutler will be getting hit alot.
2 units. Push.
Browns +6 The Pats own the best record in the league and I think this will be a look ahead game for them as the Browns come to Foxboro. The Browns have been playing hard behind Colt Mccoy and Peyton Hillis had a week off the get some rest and heal up. The Browns will stay in this game, Pats win by 2.
2 units. Win.
Cardinals +9 The Vikings season is all but done, they have waaaaay too many issues to get up for a crap Cards squad led by Derek Anderson. 9 points is too much in this spot. Vikings should squeak this game out but not by 9.
3 units. Win.
Chargers -3 I am taking the Bolts as a road favorite. Phillip Rivers is my pick for NFL MVP write that down. The Texans are garbage and will not be able to stop Rivers he should easily put up 400 yards passing in this contest. Rivers will be getting some of his weapons back and the Chargers running game is starting to get on track. Chargers by 5.
2 units. Win.
There you have it folks, tune in tonight for some more in depth analysis on my picks. See you then.
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
NCAA Week 10 Pick 'em
I had a 4-1 weekend that puts us at 21-18-3. I wanted 5-0 but Utah decided to not kick a 30 yard field goal to go up 8 with 3 minutes left after giving up 18 points in the 4th quarter. Awesome. I am looking for another strong week to try and pad my stats. Don't forget to tune into The Vegas Takedown Show this Friday night only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory unless you don't like money. Why pay for losing picks when you can get free winners here.
UCF -2 The Go;den Knights travel to Houston to play the Cougars without Case Keenum. UCF has been crushing conference opponents and have a solid defense and offense. I was pleased with their road performance a few weeks ago against a solid K State team in Manhattan. It was a losing effort, but the defense played extremely well in a hostile Big 12 environment. If the Knights can shut down Thomas and Coffman they can tune the Cougs out too.
2 units. Win.
N.C. State +4 The Wolfpack need this game as a follow up to their big win against FSU, another conference came on the road against Clemson. Clemson was just beat down by BC and their stagnant offense, I like the 4 points and the Wolfpack to pull out the win.
2 units. Win.
Oregon -35 The Ducks are back in the friendly confines of Autzen this Saturday as they take on the Huskies. Jake Locker is beat up and having a poor season and this Husky team is headed the wrong way. The Ducks need to keep making the case that they are the number 1 team in the land and will need to blow the doors off of a bad Huskies team in order to impress the almighty Oracle that is a computer. Don't let me down Ducks. Oregon's offense is just too potent and the Huskies can't find the end zone. The Ducks could be covering by halftime.
2 units. Win.
Oklahoma -3 I don't quite get this spread, the Aggies defense has been unimpressive and the offense is too streaky. Oklahoma can't afford another loss so they should be bringing their A game. Unless I am missing something the Sooners look like the right side. The Sooners do tend to struggle ATS wise on the road as of late, but I think we are getting some value here as a result, their fans travel well and should have a good turnout at Kyle Field.
1 unit. Loss.
Temple -3 On the road at Kent State, Al Golden's team hasn't given up a single point in two games. The Penn State heir apparent really has his kids dialed in and hopefully they will dial up Vegas and tell them to release payment to myself after the game, the Owls get it done on the road.
2 units. Win.
There you have it money lovers enjoy!
UCF -2 The Go;den Knights travel to Houston to play the Cougars without Case Keenum. UCF has been crushing conference opponents and have a solid defense and offense. I was pleased with their road performance a few weeks ago against a solid K State team in Manhattan. It was a losing effort, but the defense played extremely well in a hostile Big 12 environment. If the Knights can shut down Thomas and Coffman they can tune the Cougs out too.
2 units. Win.
N.C. State +4 The Wolfpack need this game as a follow up to their big win against FSU, another conference came on the road against Clemson. Clemson was just beat down by BC and their stagnant offense, I like the 4 points and the Wolfpack to pull out the win.
2 units. Win.
Oregon -35 The Ducks are back in the friendly confines of Autzen this Saturday as they take on the Huskies. Jake Locker is beat up and having a poor season and this Husky team is headed the wrong way. The Ducks need to keep making the case that they are the number 1 team in the land and will need to blow the doors off of a bad Huskies team in order to impress the almighty Oracle that is a computer. Don't let me down Ducks. Oregon's offense is just too potent and the Huskies can't find the end zone. The Ducks could be covering by halftime.
2 units. Win.
Oklahoma -3 I don't quite get this spread, the Aggies defense has been unimpressive and the offense is too streaky. Oklahoma can't afford another loss so they should be bringing their A game. Unless I am missing something the Sooners look like the right side. The Sooners do tend to struggle ATS wise on the road as of late, but I think we are getting some value here as a result, their fans travel well and should have a good turnout at Kyle Field.
1 unit. Loss.
Temple -3 On the road at Kent State, Al Golden's team hasn't given up a single point in two games. The Penn State heir apparent really has his kids dialed in and hopefully they will dial up Vegas and tell them to release payment to myself after the game, the Owls get it done on the road.
2 units. Win.
There you have it money lovers enjoy!
Friday, October 29, 2010
Week #8 NFL Pick 'em
Pretty solid Sunday last week as I went 4-1, those bums from San Fran cost me a perfect day. So I am sitting at 16-19-1, time for me to move back into the black. Slim pickings this Sunday, not much at all that interested me, everything will be a one unit play this weekend. Here is what I have:
Bills +8 Ryan Fitzpatrick is the second rated passer in the NFL that's what kind of season it has been this far. They have put up some serious points against some good teams with the Harvard alum behind center. The Chiefs can score too, their running game has been successful and Cassel has been throwing the ball well. The Chiefs secondary is young and susceptible to the pass so this game could be a shoot out but I think Buffalo and the points is the right side.
Win.
Vikings +6 The Vikings will lose this game but they are good enough to cover the 6. Moss has been supplying all the info on the Pats defense to Childress, will it help? Maybe. The Pats just aren't the potent offense they used to be and their defense is young but getting better. The Vikings defense will keep them in this game, lets just hop Favre doesn't throw it away. Loss.
Packers +6 The Pack is really beat up and weak against the run but they do have WR's and a QB who can score at any moment. The Jets will win this game but the Pack has the talent to stay with them. Win.
Texans +6 The Texans are built to beat the Colts as they did at home in week #1, they like Jacksonville always play the Colts tough and the Colts have some missing pieces on defense and their running back core is really beat up. Colts will squeak this game out with a late FG and we will cover. Loss.
Rams -3 The Rams are solid at home and the Panthers are not very good, the Moore to Gettis connection doesn't scare me. The Rams have covered alot for me this year and I don't see them stumbling here as a they are looking to get back to .500 on the year. Bradford will take out his displeasure of wearing a Mizzou jersey on the Panthers, hello money! Win.
There you have it enjoy!
Bills +8 Ryan Fitzpatrick is the second rated passer in the NFL that's what kind of season it has been this far. They have put up some serious points against some good teams with the Harvard alum behind center. The Chiefs can score too, their running game has been successful and Cassel has been throwing the ball well. The Chiefs secondary is young and susceptible to the pass so this game could be a shoot out but I think Buffalo and the points is the right side.
Win.
Vikings +6 The Vikings will lose this game but they are good enough to cover the 6. Moss has been supplying all the info on the Pats defense to Childress, will it help? Maybe. The Pats just aren't the potent offense they used to be and their defense is young but getting better. The Vikings defense will keep them in this game, lets just hop Favre doesn't throw it away. Loss.
Packers +6 The Pack is really beat up and weak against the run but they do have WR's and a QB who can score at any moment. The Jets will win this game but the Pack has the talent to stay with them. Win.
Texans +6 The Texans are built to beat the Colts as they did at home in week #1, they like Jacksonville always play the Colts tough and the Colts have some missing pieces on defense and their running back core is really beat up. Colts will squeak this game out with a late FG and we will cover. Loss.
Rams -3 The Rams are solid at home and the Panthers are not very good, the Moore to Gettis connection doesn't scare me. The Rams have covered alot for me this year and I don't see them stumbling here as a they are looking to get back to .500 on the year. Bradford will take out his displeasure of wearing a Mizzou jersey on the Panthers, hello money! Win.
There you have it enjoy!
Thursday, October 28, 2010
NCAA Pick 'em Week 9
After a ho-hum 3-2 Saturday I have crawled back to .500 and I am sitting at 17-17-3. I had a real good weekend off the books with some late picks. So lets keep the trend heading toward the black shall we? Alright freakshows lets get to the pickage. Don't forget to tune into the show tomorrow night at 10PM only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Utah -7 The Utes just keep on rolling. Utah hates not covering, conversely the Falcons hate to cover. Simply math right? I like Utah here even though they are on the road I like them to win by 14. They will use this game to tool up for TCU. I like money.
3 units. Loss.
Oregon -7 Make or break game for the Ducks who keep getting leap frogged in the BCS standings. The Ducks struggle away from Autzen, and the Trojans have been playing some decent football at home. The one thing that scares me is Kiffin's defense, he is pretty solid at stopping the spread offense. The Ducks need to make a statement here and now. It could be a shootout but lets hope for a blowout.
1 unit. Win.
Hawaii -14 Ahhhh Hawaii the place where land locked teams go to die. The Warriors have been quiet cover machines this year. They are very tough at home. The Vandals have taken a step back from last year when they were making us money. I like Hawaii big in this contest.
2 units. Win.
UCF -7 The Knights also love to cover and are a great home team and have picture framed and milk cartoned alot of opponents this season. ECU can score points, but UCF can play some serious D at home in Brighthouse Networks Stadium. ECU doesn't not have much defense and the UCF offense has been pretty potent this year. I like the Golden Knights here.
2 units. Win.
Auburn -7 The Tigers will be looking to maintain their #1 BCS ranking in this road tilt. No one has an answer for Cam Newton. The Tigers were able to get some points on the board against a solid defense last week. I don't see the Rebel Black Bears stopping Cam Newton and I'm not to afraid of Massoli's offensive "prowess".
1 unit. Win.
There you have it money lovers. Another 3-2 Saturday won't cut it, we need a 5-0 day!!
Utah -7 The Utes just keep on rolling. Utah hates not covering, conversely the Falcons hate to cover. Simply math right? I like Utah here even though they are on the road I like them to win by 14. They will use this game to tool up for TCU. I like money.
3 units. Loss.
Oregon -7 Make or break game for the Ducks who keep getting leap frogged in the BCS standings. The Ducks struggle away from Autzen, and the Trojans have been playing some decent football at home. The one thing that scares me is Kiffin's defense, he is pretty solid at stopping the spread offense. The Ducks need to make a statement here and now. It could be a shootout but lets hope for a blowout.
1 unit. Win.
Hawaii -14 Ahhhh Hawaii the place where land locked teams go to die. The Warriors have been quiet cover machines this year. They are very tough at home. The Vandals have taken a step back from last year when they were making us money. I like Hawaii big in this contest.
2 units. Win.
UCF -7 The Knights also love to cover and are a great home team and have picture framed and milk cartoned alot of opponents this season. ECU can score points, but UCF can play some serious D at home in Brighthouse Networks Stadium. ECU doesn't not have much defense and the UCF offense has been pretty potent this year. I like the Golden Knights here.
2 units. Win.
Auburn -7 The Tigers will be looking to maintain their #1 BCS ranking in this road tilt. No one has an answer for Cam Newton. The Tigers were able to get some points on the board against a solid defense last week. I don't see the Rebel Black Bears stopping Cam Newton and I'm not to afraid of Massoli's offensive "prowess".
1 unit. Win.
There you have it money lovers. Another 3-2 Saturday won't cut it, we need a 5-0 day!!
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Week #7 NFL Picks
Another dismal performance on Sunday brings me to 12-18-4 on the NFL season. Vegas is really pounding the public this year, its been almost unrelenting, but instead of pouting I will continue to drive on and tinker with my mechanics until we get dialed in. Here is what I have simmering in the cash crock this NFL Sunday.
Patriots +3 The Chargers are decent at home, but Tom Brady is still Tom Brady. Rivers can't do everything himself, the Bolts running game has been a bust and injuries to Gates, Floyd and a banged up Nene. The Pats will be confident after beating the Ravens in a solid game last Sunday. Rivers simply doesn't have the tools to win by more than 3. I like the Pats in this spot.
2 units. Win.
Browns +14 Try an hold off till Sunday to take this play as I expect the line to shift to +14.5 between now and then, that extra one point creates a nice advantage your way. Colt McCoy played pretty decent against the stout Steelers D all things being considered. Brees rebounded nicely at Tampa Bay's expense, don't expect that again as the Bucs secondary is not very good and missing their best player Tanard Robinson to suspension. The Browns defense is pretty solid and McCoy used his tight ends wisely for some nice gains, also the Saints aren't very good against tight ends. Again, wait and see if the line moves if it does don't be shy to load up. The Saints are as tough at home as the Steelers are.
1 unit. Win.
Seahawks -6 Seattle is tough to beat at home and are coming off a nice road win against the Bears. This is a divisional game so the Seahawks should be ready to go. The Cards are coming to town with undrafted rookie QB Max Hall who did nothing in his first start in the NFL. I don't think he will fare well against the 12th man. Somehow the Seahawks have come up with a solid run stop unit. Seattle is weak against the pass, but Max Hall didn't do much passing in his first start.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +3 The Rams have been making me some money this season. I like them on the road here against Tampa. Bradford had a bounce back game last week. The Rams got blown out in their last road tilt, but I will chalk that up to the team going flat after seeing Clayton their biggest play maker go down. Since then Bradford has found a couple new play makers, Bradford should be able to move the ball with ease against the Bucs porous secondary. This will open things up for Steven Jackson on the ground and he should have a big day against the Bucs non-existent run stop unit.
2 units. Win.
49ers -3 The Panthers are bad, they have no QB or wide outs and their running game has been limited because teams are focusing on stopping it and forcing the Panthers to pass. Matt Moore is back as he will be good for throwing some picks the 49ers way. The 49ers got their fist win last week and held the Raiders in check. I like the 49ers to extend their winning streak to two here, if they want to get back into the NFC West scrum they need this game. Loss.
There you have it, lets hope for some account recovery this weekend as we all need it. Be sure to catch the show tomorrow night at 9:00pm only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Patriots +3 The Chargers are decent at home, but Tom Brady is still Tom Brady. Rivers can't do everything himself, the Bolts running game has been a bust and injuries to Gates, Floyd and a banged up Nene. The Pats will be confident after beating the Ravens in a solid game last Sunday. Rivers simply doesn't have the tools to win by more than 3. I like the Pats in this spot.
2 units. Win.
Browns +14 Try an hold off till Sunday to take this play as I expect the line to shift to +14.5 between now and then, that extra one point creates a nice advantage your way. Colt McCoy played pretty decent against the stout Steelers D all things being considered. Brees rebounded nicely at Tampa Bay's expense, don't expect that again as the Bucs secondary is not very good and missing their best player Tanard Robinson to suspension. The Browns defense is pretty solid and McCoy used his tight ends wisely for some nice gains, also the Saints aren't very good against tight ends. Again, wait and see if the line moves if it does don't be shy to load up. The Saints are as tough at home as the Steelers are.
1 unit. Win.
Seahawks -6 Seattle is tough to beat at home and are coming off a nice road win against the Bears. This is a divisional game so the Seahawks should be ready to go. The Cards are coming to town with undrafted rookie QB Max Hall who did nothing in his first start in the NFL. I don't think he will fare well against the 12th man. Somehow the Seahawks have come up with a solid run stop unit. Seattle is weak against the pass, but Max Hall didn't do much passing in his first start.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +3 The Rams have been making me some money this season. I like them on the road here against Tampa. Bradford had a bounce back game last week. The Rams got blown out in their last road tilt, but I will chalk that up to the team going flat after seeing Clayton their biggest play maker go down. Since then Bradford has found a couple new play makers, Bradford should be able to move the ball with ease against the Bucs porous secondary. This will open things up for Steven Jackson on the ground and he should have a big day against the Bucs non-existent run stop unit.
2 units. Win.
49ers -3 The Panthers are bad, they have no QB or wide outs and their running game has been limited because teams are focusing on stopping it and forcing the Panthers to pass. Matt Moore is back as he will be good for throwing some picks the 49ers way. The 49ers got their fist win last week and held the Raiders in check. I like the 49ers to extend their winning streak to two here, if they want to get back into the NFC West scrum they need this game. Loss.
There you have it, lets hope for some account recovery this weekend as we all need it. Be sure to catch the show tomorrow night at 9:00pm only at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
NCAA Week #8 Pick em
Had another ho-hum Saturday last week going a pedestrian 3-2, which brings me to a total of 14-15-3 on the year. I'm fighting the good fight to get over the hump. Not much for games that caught my eye this week but I have found some that we can make some money on. So lets see whats on the money docket for Saturday (and Friday)
Cincinnati -8 As most readers and listeners of the show know I am a USF Alumni, they have severely disappointed me this year, more so on offense. I have now become jaded with my own team. The Bearcats are a pretty solid squad and they always have USF's number. UC is tough at home and their 3 losses have come against #7 Utah, #3 OU and a decent NC State team on the road. The Bearcats lost to the Sooners and Utes by a combined 5 points on the road. The Bulls defense will do what they can, but ultimately the USF offense just can't sustain drives or move the chains. Daniels will throw his usual 2-3 picks and the Bulls just don't have a homerun hitter on offense. Bearcats by 10.
4 units. Loss.
Michigan St. -5 I never bought into the Wildcat hype, they are paper tigers who haven't played anyone and lost to Perdue and squeaked by Minnie and CMU. Sparty looks like a solid squad this year and have won some big games. I know that NW is 5-1 ATS versus Sparty in the last 6 games but this is a complete Michigan State squad that has yet to take a game off. Sparty takes it by 7.
2 units. Win.
Auburn -6 Let me preface this by saying I can't stand Auburn or Cam Newton. If you have been listening to the show you will have knowledge of the fact that I think LSU is a fraud. They will be on the road and forced to play a ranked team at night in the SEC. The LSU offense is a crap shoot. LSU has yet to beat anyone of note and struggling against Mcnese State isn't a good sign. The Tigers Auburn type will win this battle of undefeated.
1 unit. Win.
Washington State +35 The Cougars have covered 4 out of their last 5. Getting 7 touchdowns my way makes me happy. Stanford has been less than impressive since they got picture framed in Eugene. The Cougars will be able to put up 14-21 on the Cardinals overrated defense, I don't see the Cardinals lighting up the scoreboard and scoring 50-57 points, Stanford wins by 21.
4 units. Win.
Colorado State +31 The Rams have covered 4 out of their last 5 games, to include last weeks 33 point win against the Rebels of UNLV. The Rams have been improving (for them) the last few weeks. They will be on the road against a familiar foe against Utah. Jordan Winn struggled last week throwing 3 picks against Wyoming. No doubt the Utes get the win but 31 points in too much for them in this contest.
3 units. Loss.
There you have it my money loving friends. Would it be too much to ask for a 5-o weekend to get me over the hump or what? Well I am off to start working on my NFL action. Vegas has been getting the better of me thus far, I guess I am due some payback because I have been crushing them over the last few years. Good luck.
Cincinnati -8 As most readers and listeners of the show know I am a USF Alumni, they have severely disappointed me this year, more so on offense. I have now become jaded with my own team. The Bearcats are a pretty solid squad and they always have USF's number. UC is tough at home and their 3 losses have come against #7 Utah, #3 OU and a decent NC State team on the road. The Bearcats lost to the Sooners and Utes by a combined 5 points on the road. The Bulls defense will do what they can, but ultimately the USF offense just can't sustain drives or move the chains. Daniels will throw his usual 2-3 picks and the Bulls just don't have a homerun hitter on offense. Bearcats by 10.
4 units. Loss.
Michigan St. -5 I never bought into the Wildcat hype, they are paper tigers who haven't played anyone and lost to Perdue and squeaked by Minnie and CMU. Sparty looks like a solid squad this year and have won some big games. I know that NW is 5-1 ATS versus Sparty in the last 6 games but this is a complete Michigan State squad that has yet to take a game off. Sparty takes it by 7.
2 units. Win.
Auburn -6 Let me preface this by saying I can't stand Auburn or Cam Newton. If you have been listening to the show you will have knowledge of the fact that I think LSU is a fraud. They will be on the road and forced to play a ranked team at night in the SEC. The LSU offense is a crap shoot. LSU has yet to beat anyone of note and struggling against Mcnese State isn't a good sign. The Tigers Auburn type will win this battle of undefeated.
1 unit. Win.
Washington State +35 The Cougars have covered 4 out of their last 5. Getting 7 touchdowns my way makes me happy. Stanford has been less than impressive since they got picture framed in Eugene. The Cougars will be able to put up 14-21 on the Cardinals overrated defense, I don't see the Cardinals lighting up the scoreboard and scoring 50-57 points, Stanford wins by 21.
4 units. Win.
Colorado State +31 The Rams have covered 4 out of their last 5 games, to include last weeks 33 point win against the Rebels of UNLV. The Rams have been improving (for them) the last few weeks. They will be on the road against a familiar foe against Utah. Jordan Winn struggled last week throwing 3 picks against Wyoming. No doubt the Utes get the win but 31 points in too much for them in this contest.
3 units. Loss.
There you have it my money loving friends. Would it be too much to ask for a 5-o weekend to get me over the hump or what? Well I am off to start working on my NFL action. Vegas has been getting the better of me thus far, I guess I am due some payback because I have been crushing them over the last few years. Good luck.
Friday, October 15, 2010
NFL Week #7 Vegas gets skulldrug
Vegas bent over the casual gambler last Sunday as they only lost on two games paying out on the Colts and Falcons. I did not have a good week myself, I am trying to get locked on to Vegas so lets start retooling and make some money, here we go:
Falcons +3 Eagles at home, whether Kolb or Vick plays I don't think it will matter. The Falcons defense is solid and has been playing well. The Eagles are too beat up to cover this one, I like the Falcons outright.
2 units. Loss.
Steelers-14 The Browns defense will come to play in this one wanting to support their rookie QB, I just don't know how they can score points on that stifling Steelers D. Colt use the check down my friend. Small play here as I don't really trust Rapistberger.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +9 The Rams got skull drug by Detroit last week. I expect a better effort from them this week as the Chargers come to town. Chargers hate winning on the road, really the only weapons they have is Rivers and Gates. The running game has been less then impressive and I bet they are kicking themselves for sending LT to pasture. This is simply too many points to lay right here.
1 unit. Win.
Texans -4 Texans are garbage, but I like this match up right here, Schaub should be able to exploit the Chiefs secondary and I don't see how KC can get up for this one after a tough loss to the Colts its going to be hard to get up for a crap Texans squad that got blown out last week. This is a trap game as the public is going heavy on the Chiefs. We are also getting some value off the Texans getting their doors blown off last week. I figured this spread to be the Texans -7, so we are getting 3 points our way.
2 units. Push.
Jags +3 I have developed a new Theory, we will call it my "Long time no see" Theory. I developed it after the Chiefs prom night dumpster babied the Chargers in week 1. Basically home dogs that haven't been on MNF in more than 3 years will cover. Del Rio tends to prepare for the divisional games and with all 4 teams in 1st place at 3-2 this is a big game. I like the Jags under the bright lights.
2 units.
Bears -7 The Seahawks are petrified excrement on the road. The Bears are 10th versus the pass and 3rd versus the run Seattle will struggle to move the ball. Lynch won't get it done, I'm not sure he is an upgrade over over his college roommate Forsett. Cutler will be back and at home. Bears take it by 10.
1 unit. Loss.
Ravens +3 I love taking the Ravens as dogs. New England can't run the ball on Baltimore so look for Lewis and Suggs to put pressure on Brady and without Moss his deep threat is gone. Ravens take this one outright, this game will also be nice to take on the ML as a live dog.
1 unit. Push.
Raiders +7 Raiders can score some points and I like them to stay in this game. The 49ers shouldn't be laying points to my high school team. Gore has been unproductive and Asomaugh will limit Crabtree, Campbell will be starting so he will be playing for his job. Do you trust Alex Smith laying 7? I didn't think so.
1 unit.
Falcons +3 Eagles at home, whether Kolb or Vick plays I don't think it will matter. The Falcons defense is solid and has been playing well. The Eagles are too beat up to cover this one, I like the Falcons outright.
2 units. Loss.
Steelers-14 The Browns defense will come to play in this one wanting to support their rookie QB, I just don't know how they can score points on that stifling Steelers D. Colt use the check down my friend. Small play here as I don't really trust Rapistberger.
1 unit. Win.
Rams +9 The Rams got skull drug by Detroit last week. I expect a better effort from them this week as the Chargers come to town. Chargers hate winning on the road, really the only weapons they have is Rivers and Gates. The running game has been less then impressive and I bet they are kicking themselves for sending LT to pasture. This is simply too many points to lay right here.
1 unit. Win.
Texans -4 Texans are garbage, but I like this match up right here, Schaub should be able to exploit the Chiefs secondary and I don't see how KC can get up for this one after a tough loss to the Colts its going to be hard to get up for a crap Texans squad that got blown out last week. This is a trap game as the public is going heavy on the Chiefs. We are also getting some value off the Texans getting their doors blown off last week. I figured this spread to be the Texans -7, so we are getting 3 points our way.
2 units. Push.
Jags +3 I have developed a new Theory, we will call it my "Long time no see" Theory. I developed it after the Chiefs prom night dumpster babied the Chargers in week 1. Basically home dogs that haven't been on MNF in more than 3 years will cover. Del Rio tends to prepare for the divisional games and with all 4 teams in 1st place at 3-2 this is a big game. I like the Jags under the bright lights.
2 units.
Bears -7 The Seahawks are petrified excrement on the road. The Bears are 10th versus the pass and 3rd versus the run Seattle will struggle to move the ball. Lynch won't get it done, I'm not sure he is an upgrade over over his college roommate Forsett. Cutler will be back and at home. Bears take it by 10.
1 unit. Loss.
Ravens +3 I love taking the Ravens as dogs. New England can't run the ball on Baltimore so look for Lewis and Suggs to put pressure on Brady and without Moss his deep threat is gone. Ravens take this one outright, this game will also be nice to take on the ML as a live dog.
1 unit. Push.
Raiders +7 Raiders can score some points and I like them to stay in this game. The 49ers shouldn't be laying points to my high school team. Gore has been unproductive and Asomaugh will limit Crabtree, Campbell will be starting so he will be playing for his job. Do you trust Alex Smith laying 7? I didn't think so.
1 unit.
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
NCAA Pick em Week #7
Another .500 Saturday last week bringing me to 11-13-3. I have a small ML play on UCF right now in an effort to generate some pocket change. So lets keep it short and simple and get to the picks, also don't forget to tune into The Vegas Takedown Show tomorrow night at 10pm only @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
West Virginia -10 USF is going to be the Big East basement dweller this year as they lost their homecoming game to powerhouse Syracuse. USF's defense has been keeping them in games but their offense is more unproductive then a government employee. The Mountaineers shouldn't have any trouble with the Bulls in Morgantown. WVU will be looking to collect some payback as USF has beaten them 4 of the last 5 years.
1 Unit. Win.
N.C. State -7 I'm getting back on board the Wolfpack train this weekend as NC State visits ECU on the road. This should be a high scoring game but in the end I don't see how the Pirates will be able to match the Wolfpack touchdown for touchdown. ECU doesn't have the same defense they had under Skip Holtz. Russell Wilson should have a career day here.
2 Units. Loss.
Utah -21 The Cowboys were a decent squad last year, but have been in sharp decline this year. They have had a brutal schedule but the Utes are a solid squad who isn't really getting the press their #10 ranking should be getting them. The Wyoming defense won't have any answers for the Utah offense in this game.
2 Units. Win.
Nebraska -10 I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cornhuskers in their black jerseys for this game against a Texas squad facing their 3rd loss. Nebraska took apart K State on the road with ease last week and I think this game against Texas could be just as bad. Texas still has no running game and their defense tends to quit. I don't think the Longhorns will have any answers for Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez. I think this game could get ugly quick.
3 Units. Loss.
Kentucky +6 The Wildcats at home are a decent squad, yes they got skill drug by the Gators but UK had not game planned for Trey Burton. I think this is a flat spot for the Gamecocks and I don't know if Garcia can string together two good games in a row especially on the road. Hartline and Cobb are veteran players and Joker Phillips should have them focused on this big opportunity. South Carolina wins this game by a late field goal.
2 Units. Win.
There we have it, I won't be happy with anything but perfection this week. I know I have been letting my readers down and I need to make some cash!
West Virginia -10 USF is going to be the Big East basement dweller this year as they lost their homecoming game to powerhouse Syracuse. USF's defense has been keeping them in games but their offense is more unproductive then a government employee. The Mountaineers shouldn't have any trouble with the Bulls in Morgantown. WVU will be looking to collect some payback as USF has beaten them 4 of the last 5 years.
1 Unit. Win.
N.C. State -7 I'm getting back on board the Wolfpack train this weekend as NC State visits ECU on the road. This should be a high scoring game but in the end I don't see how the Pirates will be able to match the Wolfpack touchdown for touchdown. ECU doesn't have the same defense they had under Skip Holtz. Russell Wilson should have a career day here.
2 Units. Loss.
Utah -21 The Cowboys were a decent squad last year, but have been in sharp decline this year. They have had a brutal schedule but the Utes are a solid squad who isn't really getting the press their #10 ranking should be getting them. The Wyoming defense won't have any answers for the Utah offense in this game.
2 Units. Win.
Nebraska -10 I wouldn't be surprised to see the Cornhuskers in their black jerseys for this game against a Texas squad facing their 3rd loss. Nebraska took apart K State on the road with ease last week and I think this game against Texas could be just as bad. Texas still has no running game and their defense tends to quit. I don't think the Longhorns will have any answers for Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez. I think this game could get ugly quick.
3 Units. Loss.
Kentucky +6 The Wildcats at home are a decent squad, yes they got skill drug by the Gators but UK had not game planned for Trey Burton. I think this is a flat spot for the Gamecocks and I don't know if Garcia can string together two good games in a row especially on the road. Hartline and Cobb are veteran players and Joker Phillips should have them focused on this big opportunity. South Carolina wins this game by a late field goal.
2 Units. Win.
There we have it, I won't be happy with anything but perfection this week. I know I have been letting my readers down and I need to make some cash!
Friday, October 8, 2010
NFL Week #5 Against the Spread Picks
My weekend started off good with a Nebraska cover and 3 more units added to my bank account so that is good times. Lets hope the trend continues into Sunday. There isn't much I am excited about in the NFL this weekend so we will have some small plays this week.
Broncos +7 A good sports bettor always takes into a count some off the field trends, professional sports teams do hit flat spots at certain points in the season after winning a big game against or losing to a rival. I think that is the spot the Ravens are in right here, Flacco beat the hated Steelers last Sunday on a late TD points putting Baltimore in the drivers seat in the AFC North. The Ravens will win this contest but I don't know how thrilled they will be in playing the .500 Broncos and neck beard. Meanwhile Kyle Orton is leading the NFL best pass offense into the Ravens nest.
1 unit.
Bills Pick The Jags just won the biggest game of their season against the rival Colts, as a reward Jack Del Rio rewarded his troops with a trip to Buffalo! Yeaaaaaaaah! This game should be deathly boring, I do like the Bills to pull out the win though. Fitzpatrick seems to work within the Bills "offense" and CJ Spiller is starting to get going. The Jags aren't going to want to show up for this game and Del Rio hates preparing for opponents not in his division.
1 unit.
Rams +3 I think the wrong team is favored here, the Lions have been playing well and staying in games but I don't know if they are quite ready to be favored. Rams are coming in at 2-2 and on a two game winning streak, so they might be feeling a little disrespected. Bradford and Clayton seem to be working well and Stephen Jackson is his usual self. Also, the Rams defense is pretty stingy, I think they can stay in this contest.
1 unit.
Packers -3 Redskins just won a very important game at Philly, couple that with the fact the Redskins also don not like to cover at home. Rogers needs a big game as the powers that be have been talking about how the Packers maybe weren't the right pick for the Superbowl. I don't know how the Redskins will defend against Green Bay's passing attack, both teams are less than stellar on the ground and i have to give the nod to the Packers defense.
2 units.
Falcons -3 I am assuming that Seneca Wallace will be the QB this week again. Well I have bad news for you Mr. I hate the Blanket. The Falcons will stop your run game and force you to throw, this will not work out to well as you will be intercepted and the ball will be returned to it's rightful place which is inside of your end zone. The Browns beat the Bengals last week but the Falcons are a different animal altogether, I know Matt Ryan struggles outside of a dime but I think the 49ers put a scare into Atlanta last week and they should get it back on track offensively here.
3 units.
There we have it picks for NFL Sunday, enjoy.
Broncos +7 A good sports bettor always takes into a count some off the field trends, professional sports teams do hit flat spots at certain points in the season after winning a big game against or losing to a rival. I think that is the spot the Ravens are in right here, Flacco beat the hated Steelers last Sunday on a late TD points putting Baltimore in the drivers seat in the AFC North. The Ravens will win this contest but I don't know how thrilled they will be in playing the .500 Broncos and neck beard. Meanwhile Kyle Orton is leading the NFL best pass offense into the Ravens nest.
1 unit.
Bills Pick The Jags just won the biggest game of their season against the rival Colts, as a reward Jack Del Rio rewarded his troops with a trip to Buffalo! Yeaaaaaaaah! This game should be deathly boring, I do like the Bills to pull out the win though. Fitzpatrick seems to work within the Bills "offense" and CJ Spiller is starting to get going. The Jags aren't going to want to show up for this game and Del Rio hates preparing for opponents not in his division.
1 unit.
Rams +3 I think the wrong team is favored here, the Lions have been playing well and staying in games but I don't know if they are quite ready to be favored. Rams are coming in at 2-2 and on a two game winning streak, so they might be feeling a little disrespected. Bradford and Clayton seem to be working well and Stephen Jackson is his usual self. Also, the Rams defense is pretty stingy, I think they can stay in this contest.
1 unit.
Packers -3 Redskins just won a very important game at Philly, couple that with the fact the Redskins also don not like to cover at home. Rogers needs a big game as the powers that be have been talking about how the Packers maybe weren't the right pick for the Superbowl. I don't know how the Redskins will defend against Green Bay's passing attack, both teams are less than stellar on the ground and i have to give the nod to the Packers defense.
2 units.
Falcons -3 I am assuming that Seneca Wallace will be the QB this week again. Well I have bad news for you Mr. I hate the Blanket. The Falcons will stop your run game and force you to throw, this will not work out to well as you will be intercepted and the ball will be returned to it's rightful place which is inside of your end zone. The Browns beat the Bengals last week but the Falcons are a different animal altogether, I know Matt Ryan struggles outside of a dime but I think the 49ers put a scare into Atlanta last week and they should get it back on track offensively here.
3 units.
There we have it picks for NFL Sunday, enjoy.
Thursday, October 7, 2010
NCAA Week #6 Picks
Had an abysmal Saturday last week going 2-4 for the season I am now 9-11-2. I get back above .500 this weekend. Here are my picks:
Nebraska -11 Battle of Big 12 undefeated, both teams are 4-0 KSU will be at home for this contest. I don't like laying this many points on a Thursday night road favorite but I think that Nebraska's defense will dictate this game. They will focus on stopping Daniel Thomas and force K-State to throw on them, which the Cornhuskers have Prince Amakumura and Crick to defend the pass. K State struggled against a UCF squad at home and while UCF has a solid defense they aren't on par with Nebraska. The Huskers had a close game last weekend, but I figure that was a look ahead affect for them.
3 units. Win.
Oregon -36 I am going to be a road warrior this weekend, I'm taking the Ducks here against the punchless Wazzou Cougars. The Ducks proved they were for real last Saturday by beating Stanford and taking my money. They will let me have it back with interest after this game. Oregon should be covering by halftime.
1 unit. Loss.
Arkansas -6 An SWC rivalry renewed. I wonder if they are going to bring this conference back at some point along with power houses like Tulane, Rice, Houston and SMU. Texas A&M is too sketchy for me right now on both sides of the ball. Arkansas is the second best team in the SEC and I am wondering about Jerrod Johnson's confidence and his teams conference in him. A&M is just to turnover prone to stay in this contest I feel.
2 units. Win.
Alabama -7 Here I go taking another SEC team on the road. The Tide beat their toughest opponent on their schedule in Fayetteville. South Carolina is a solid squad, but I think the Tide will stack the box and put pressure on Garcia to force him into some bad decisions, this of course after they shut down the Lattimore and the running game. We will see more of Ingram and Richardson wearing the stout Gamecocks defense out allowing McElroy to move the chains on 3rd and short.
4 units. Loss.
Notre Dame -6 Keeping road warrior weekend in tact I am taking the Irish here against and underachieving Pitt team. Dion Lewis is out and Sunseri just can't make enough plays and his best WR Johnathan Baldwin hates catching his passes. ND took care of BC last week, while BC is not much of an offensive threat, they are a pretty good defensive squad. ND gets it done here.
2 units. Win.
There we have it, lets hope for better results this weekend. I haven't started my NFL action yet but at first glance there isn't much that jumped off the page at me. Other games that look pretty enticing for a small play are Tennessee +11 and Stanford -10 . Good luck, I should have my NFL picks up tomorrow night.
Nebraska -11 Battle of Big 12 undefeated, both teams are 4-0 KSU will be at home for this contest. I don't like laying this many points on a Thursday night road favorite but I think that Nebraska's defense will dictate this game. They will focus on stopping Daniel Thomas and force K-State to throw on them, which the Cornhuskers have Prince Amakumura and Crick to defend the pass. K State struggled against a UCF squad at home and while UCF has a solid defense they aren't on par with Nebraska. The Huskers had a close game last weekend, but I figure that was a look ahead affect for them.
3 units. Win.
Oregon -36 I am going to be a road warrior this weekend, I'm taking the Ducks here against the punchless Wazzou Cougars. The Ducks proved they were for real last Saturday by beating Stanford and taking my money. They will let me have it back with interest after this game. Oregon should be covering by halftime.
1 unit. Loss.
Arkansas -6 An SWC rivalry renewed. I wonder if they are going to bring this conference back at some point along with power houses like Tulane, Rice, Houston and SMU. Texas A&M is too sketchy for me right now on both sides of the ball. Arkansas is the second best team in the SEC and I am wondering about Jerrod Johnson's confidence and his teams conference in him. A&M is just to turnover prone to stay in this contest I feel.
2 units. Win.
Alabama -7 Here I go taking another SEC team on the road. The Tide beat their toughest opponent on their schedule in Fayetteville. South Carolina is a solid squad, but I think the Tide will stack the box and put pressure on Garcia to force him into some bad decisions, this of course after they shut down the Lattimore and the running game. We will see more of Ingram and Richardson wearing the stout Gamecocks defense out allowing McElroy to move the chains on 3rd and short.
4 units. Loss.
Notre Dame -6 Keeping road warrior weekend in tact I am taking the Irish here against and underachieving Pitt team. Dion Lewis is out and Sunseri just can't make enough plays and his best WR Johnathan Baldwin hates catching his passes. ND took care of BC last week, while BC is not much of an offensive threat, they are a pretty good defensive squad. ND gets it done here.
2 units. Win.
There we have it, lets hope for better results this weekend. I haven't started my NFL action yet but at first glance there isn't much that jumped off the page at me. Other games that look pretty enticing for a small play are Tennessee +11 and Stanford -10 . Good luck, I should have my NFL picks up tomorrow night.
Thursday, September 30, 2010
NFL Week #4 Free Money Give Away!!
Alright decent Sunday last Sunday, I went 4-2 ATS bringing me to 9-7 for the young season. College and NFL combined I am 16-14-2. Vegas is continuing to hot air balloon the public, all the Microfinance companies are probably getting hit up for short term loans as the casual bettor is literally losing his shirt. Make sure that you tune in tonight to our Vegas Takedown Show tonight at 9PM @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory become a fan of the show and most importantly LISTEN to the show, call in tell us what you think about our picks and how much you like winning money from the comforts of your couch while the wife is out shopping. Here is what I have for Sunday's NFL action.
Bengals -3 Cincy is not looking sharp on offense, Palmer isn't doing anything on offense. We are due for a big game from Ocho-cinco and T.O. Hopefully this is the week where that happens. The Bengals squeaked out a win in Carolina, yeah I know Claussen played, however the Panthers D is solid and doesn't get much credit because of their 0-3 record. Delhomme will be back so the Iowa State cover buster won't be playing. The Bengals defense should guide us to the money lane here.
1 unit. Loss.
Rams +2 Seahawks away from home are a dumpster fire. Rams are undervalued, Bradford is the exception to the rookie rule. Both teams have some work to do on defense but I think the Rams will have a slight edge here. The Seahawks got lucky with 14 points from two kickoff returns from Leon Washington. I think the wrong team is favored here and I will always take advantage of any gift Vegas attempts to slide by the average joe.
2 units. Win.
Redskins +6 I don't quite get his line its about 2 points too high. I guess the reason for that would be because Vick is the player of the month and also due to the fact that he lit up two secondary's ranked near the bottom of the league in pass defense. Hopefully the Philly faithful give Mcnabb a warm welcome that way we can remove the money from the sweaty palms of Vegas. Mcnabb will no doubt have a chip on his shoulder coming back home to a team that basically discarded him like a piece of used furniture. The Redskins will be playing hard to help their new signal caller get a big win. I know the Eagles have the edge in weaponry with Jackson, Maclin and Mccoy, but lets dig a little deeper. Mcnabb has played against this defense for a long time, if anyone knows the holes in the Eagles D its Mcnabb, plus we are getting 6 points? Me likey!
2 units.Win.
Bears +4 Hmmmm...........why do I have a feeling that I am walking into a trap here. Hell with it I'm taking the Bears and the points. Bears are rolling right now beating the Cowgirls and the Packers in consecutive weeks. Cutler seems to have found his niche under the Martz system. The Bears defense has looked pretty solid. Manning isn't Aaron Rodgers and doesn't really have the weapons on offense that Cutler does. The Bears will be zeroing in on Hakeem Nicks and they should also be able to squash the run. The Bears are believing in themselves Forte is having a bounce back year in his new rule and Hester and Knox seem to be relishing their new offense. Also Greg Olsen has come alive of late. Chicago goes to 4-0 and the G'men are headed for a world of hurt.
1 unit. Loss.
Dolphins +2 Joe Robbie/ Landshark/ Sun Life stadium has been a House of Horrors for Brady and company when they come down to Miami. Dolphins are still underrated even though they beat the Vikings and Bills, on the road, which are both tough places to play. The Pats defense looks pretty bad as Ryan Fitzpatrick sliced and diced them in a shootout in Foxboro last week. The Dolphins defense is pretty good, that being said this should be a high scoring game. Chad Henne loves him some Brandon Marshall and both should have a huge game against a pedestrian Pats secondary. Ronnie Brown will be doing his usual Wildcat action back there keeping Henne in 3rd and short, Dolphins in a covered win.
3 units. Loss.
Panthers +14 I'm taking this game simply on a trend, when the Super Bowl champs lose the week prior they struggle the next week to cover. Also the Saints are 2-7 ATS under Payton as favorites of 10 or more. Write it down. Drew Brees is hurt and will be wearing a brace on his left knee. The Panthers won't have to account for Reggie Bush either. Like I said earlier the Panthers defense is pretty good. Look for the Panthers to copy the Falcons game plan with Williams and Stewart pounding away against the Saints less than stellar run stop unit, this will chew up clock and keep Brees on the sideline. 14 points here is too much for a divisional game and the road team has won 9 of the last 13 games in this series. How copy?
1 unit. Win.
Jaguars +8 The Jags are built to play one team and that is the Colts. The Jags will be bringing it this game as this is the game they look forward to playing. If you have been following my blog that last few seasons you will notice that I always take the dog and the points in this game because out of the last 16 games these two teams have played only twice has the difference been more than 8 points, I'll let you do the math on this one. The Colts were sleep walking through their game with Denver so I doubt they will be clicking their heels to go play the hapless Jags on the road. The Colts struggle to run the ball and I think the Jags will be able to stay in this game, Colts win by 5.
1 unit. Win.
There it is fellow Game Theorists, enjoy the money. I know I had some light plays this week but unless a game really excites me I'm not going to drop a car payment on it. Don't forget to tune in tonight at 9PM and listen to the show @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Bengals -3 Cincy is not looking sharp on offense, Palmer isn't doing anything on offense. We are due for a big game from Ocho-cinco and T.O. Hopefully this is the week where that happens. The Bengals squeaked out a win in Carolina, yeah I know Claussen played, however the Panthers D is solid and doesn't get much credit because of their 0-3 record. Delhomme will be back so the Iowa State cover buster won't be playing. The Bengals defense should guide us to the money lane here.
1 unit. Loss.
Rams +2 Seahawks away from home are a dumpster fire. Rams are undervalued, Bradford is the exception to the rookie rule. Both teams have some work to do on defense but I think the Rams will have a slight edge here. The Seahawks got lucky with 14 points from two kickoff returns from Leon Washington. I think the wrong team is favored here and I will always take advantage of any gift Vegas attempts to slide by the average joe.
2 units. Win.
Redskins +6 I don't quite get his line its about 2 points too high. I guess the reason for that would be because Vick is the player of the month and also due to the fact that he lit up two secondary's ranked near the bottom of the league in pass defense. Hopefully the Philly faithful give Mcnabb a warm welcome that way we can remove the money from the sweaty palms of Vegas. Mcnabb will no doubt have a chip on his shoulder coming back home to a team that basically discarded him like a piece of used furniture. The Redskins will be playing hard to help their new signal caller get a big win. I know the Eagles have the edge in weaponry with Jackson, Maclin and Mccoy, but lets dig a little deeper. Mcnabb has played against this defense for a long time, if anyone knows the holes in the Eagles D its Mcnabb, plus we are getting 6 points? Me likey!
2 units.Win.
Bears +4 Hmmmm...........why do I have a feeling that I am walking into a trap here. Hell with it I'm taking the Bears and the points. Bears are rolling right now beating the Cowgirls and the Packers in consecutive weeks. Cutler seems to have found his niche under the Martz system. The Bears defense has looked pretty solid. Manning isn't Aaron Rodgers and doesn't really have the weapons on offense that Cutler does. The Bears will be zeroing in on Hakeem Nicks and they should also be able to squash the run. The Bears are believing in themselves Forte is having a bounce back year in his new rule and Hester and Knox seem to be relishing their new offense. Also Greg Olsen has come alive of late. Chicago goes to 4-0 and the G'men are headed for a world of hurt.
1 unit. Loss.
Dolphins +2 Joe Robbie/ Landshark/ Sun Life stadium has been a House of Horrors for Brady and company when they come down to Miami. Dolphins are still underrated even though they beat the Vikings and Bills, on the road, which are both tough places to play. The Pats defense looks pretty bad as Ryan Fitzpatrick sliced and diced them in a shootout in Foxboro last week. The Dolphins defense is pretty good, that being said this should be a high scoring game. Chad Henne loves him some Brandon Marshall and both should have a huge game against a pedestrian Pats secondary. Ronnie Brown will be doing his usual Wildcat action back there keeping Henne in 3rd and short, Dolphins in a covered win.
3 units. Loss.
Panthers +14 I'm taking this game simply on a trend, when the Super Bowl champs lose the week prior they struggle the next week to cover. Also the Saints are 2-7 ATS under Payton as favorites of 10 or more. Write it down. Drew Brees is hurt and will be wearing a brace on his left knee. The Panthers won't have to account for Reggie Bush either. Like I said earlier the Panthers defense is pretty good. Look for the Panthers to copy the Falcons game plan with Williams and Stewart pounding away against the Saints less than stellar run stop unit, this will chew up clock and keep Brees on the sideline. 14 points here is too much for a divisional game and the road team has won 9 of the last 13 games in this series. How copy?
1 unit. Win.
Jaguars +8 The Jags are built to play one team and that is the Colts. The Jags will be bringing it this game as this is the game they look forward to playing. If you have been following my blog that last few seasons you will notice that I always take the dog and the points in this game because out of the last 16 games these two teams have played only twice has the difference been more than 8 points, I'll let you do the math on this one. The Colts were sleep walking through their game with Denver so I doubt they will be clicking their heels to go play the hapless Jags on the road. The Colts struggle to run the ball and I think the Jags will be able to stay in this game, Colts win by 5.
1 unit. Win.
There it is fellow Game Theorists, enjoy the money. I know I had some light plays this week but unless a game really excites me I'm not going to drop a car payment on it. Don't forget to tune in tonight at 9PM and listen to the show @ www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory
Wednesday, September 29, 2010
NCAA Week #5 ATS Picks
Alright people, the traffic is getting heavy on my blog so the public must be waiting for me to make them some more money. I went 3-2 ATS last week, bringing me too 7-7-2 on the season. Still nowhere near where I want to be. Don't forget to listen to our show tonight at www.blogtalkradio.com/gametheory it will be on air at 11PM also become a fan of the show on Facebook and you can listen to the show as you are browsing my picks thanks to the widget I added. I really need a solid weekend and there isn't a whole lot to pick from. So here we go on another quest to capture more of that Vegas cash.
N.C. State +4 I guess no one is buying the Wolfpack yet, but I am liking them at home plus I get 4 points...........sweet. VT has no doubt bounced back from their early season stumble. The Wolfpack has been playing some decent defense, albeit they gave up 28 points to GT last week on the road, but how often do they see that style of offense. Tom O'brien has NC State heading in the right direction. Russell Wilson is a Drew Brees style quarterback and freshman running back Mufasa Green looks pretty good running and catching balls out of the backfield. So I hope the Wolfpack can continue their winning ways and win us some cash here!
2 units. Loss.
UTEP-15 Using the same logic as last week, the Lobos got midget tossed by an 0-3 UNLV team last Saturday losing by 35 points. The Miners can score points, the Lobos however have lost their last 4 games by an average of 46 points per game. Even though the Miners are on the road that stat has to make me feel comfortable with laying the 15. New Mexico's QB is also out for this game, so hopefully their back up is just as bad!
1 unit. Win.
Texas Tech -7 The Red Raiders have had two weeks to prepare for this contest, Big Game Tommy needs to get this win as he team is currently 2-1 and would like to stay relevant in the Big 12 especially with Texas losing last week. The Cyclones Austin Arnaud is questionable with a shoulder injury so who knows how effective he will be. I think Tech has the weapons to win this game comfortably, lets hope I am right.
1 unit. Loss.
Georgia -5 Both games I lost last week were from taking SEC dogs on the road, too bad Colorado isn't an SEC team. I don't quite understand this line, is Ralphie suiting up for this game? Lets not forget this is the same UGA team that played Arkansas and SC tough without AJ Greene who just so happens to make his return this Saturday just in time to make us some money. Mark Richt desperately needs this win, lets see if the Dogs can deliver.
1 unit. Loss.
Stanford +7 This is my favorite game of the week. Oregon is a finesse offense and Stanford is a smashmouth physical team. The Ducks aren't cut out to play that kind of game. Harbaugh is a no holds barred coach who will not take his foot off the gas. Stanford just like Oregon has a ton of weapons on offense and replacing Gerhart in the backfield has seemed to be a problem as the Cardinal has several backs who each have rushed for over 100 yards. I know that Autzen Stadium is a tough place to play and if I was a Stanford WR I wouldn't catch one ball because I would be drooling over the Ducks cheerleaders the whole game, but I'm not playing. I think the 7 is too much for the Ducks to handle in this spot. Stanford will wear them down.
4 units. Loss.
Another game I like but didn't put up is Temple -5 @ Army, keep an eye on that game. Until that day my friends, enjoy the money. Vegas..............come at me bro. Listen to the show tonight and I should have my NFL picks up by tonight.
N.C. State +4 I guess no one is buying the Wolfpack yet, but I am liking them at home plus I get 4 points...........sweet. VT has no doubt bounced back from their early season stumble. The Wolfpack has been playing some decent defense, albeit they gave up 28 points to GT last week on the road, but how often do they see that style of offense. Tom O'brien has NC State heading in the right direction. Russell Wilson is a Drew Brees style quarterback and freshman running back Mufasa Green looks pretty good running and catching balls out of the backfield. So I hope the Wolfpack can continue their winning ways and win us some cash here!
2 units. Loss.
UTEP-15 Using the same logic as last week, the Lobos got midget tossed by an 0-3 UNLV team last Saturday losing by 35 points. The Miners can score points, the Lobos however have lost their last 4 games by an average of 46 points per game. Even though the Miners are on the road that stat has to make me feel comfortable with laying the 15. New Mexico's QB is also out for this game, so hopefully their back up is just as bad!
1 unit. Win.
Texas Tech -7 The Red Raiders have had two weeks to prepare for this contest, Big Game Tommy needs to get this win as he team is currently 2-1 and would like to stay relevant in the Big 12 especially with Texas losing last week. The Cyclones Austin Arnaud is questionable with a shoulder injury so who knows how effective he will be. I think Tech has the weapons to win this game comfortably, lets hope I am right.
1 unit. Loss.
Georgia -5 Both games I lost last week were from taking SEC dogs on the road, too bad Colorado isn't an SEC team. I don't quite understand this line, is Ralphie suiting up for this game? Lets not forget this is the same UGA team that played Arkansas and SC tough without AJ Greene who just so happens to make his return this Saturday just in time to make us some money. Mark Richt desperately needs this win, lets see if the Dogs can deliver.
1 unit. Loss.
Stanford +7 This is my favorite game of the week. Oregon is a finesse offense and Stanford is a smashmouth physical team. The Ducks aren't cut out to play that kind of game. Harbaugh is a no holds barred coach who will not take his foot off the gas. Stanford just like Oregon has a ton of weapons on offense and replacing Gerhart in the backfield has seemed to be a problem as the Cardinal has several backs who each have rushed for over 100 yards. I know that Autzen Stadium is a tough place to play and if I was a Stanford WR I wouldn't catch one ball because I would be drooling over the Ducks cheerleaders the whole game, but I'm not playing. I think the 7 is too much for the Ducks to handle in this spot. Stanford will wear them down.
4 units. Loss.
Another game I like but didn't put up is Temple -5 @ Army, keep an eye on that game. Until that day my friends, enjoy the money. Vegas..............come at me bro. Listen to the show tonight and I should have my NFL picks up by tonight.
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