Game Theory Radio

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

NCAA Pick 'em Week #3

Well my money loving friends Vegas got killed on their NFL action Sunday, the Ravens, Saints, Cowboys and Seahawks wrecked their coffers. Don't shed a tear because they came back last night with the Patriots and Chargers squeaking by without covering. However, do not mistake Veags getting bent over as an act of benevolence. Vegas was merely setting up the average gambler for next week, nothing Vegas likes more than an overconfident, uninformed gambler with money to lose. Lucky for my readers you guys do not fall into that category. Me and Billy Vegas exchanged some words last week as we often do during football season because we are passionate about winning and providing ROI for our subscribers. So here are some of my college picks for this weekend as I will be out of town this weekend so I need to get my action in a bit early.


Boise St. -7 I'm going against the grain on this one. As I normally use the homedog theory in this situation. However it is a theory not a rule. Fresno State lost to a Wisconsin team that had half the team down due to the flu, no more Tom Brandstater either. Even with him Fresno State lost to Boise St. 61-10 last year. I know FSU is at home for this game, but Boise State is a great road team. Chris Peterson even though I dont like him is a good coach. Boise State is in a position to make a BCS game so I doubt they will take any opponent lightly. Win.





Bowling Green -3 The Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. I have been keeping an eye on them as I am always looking for a money train to hitch a free ride on! Bowling Green dusted off a decent Troy team and easily covered in a loss to a surprising Mizzou team. Marshall is a dumpster fire and they are 0-4-1 ATS against Bowling Green. Even though they are at home I don't really see the fans swaying this game in their favor. Marshall is coming off a loss getting dump trucked by the Hokies, so they will have difficulty getting up for a "pedestrian" opponent. Loss.




Nevada -3 The Wolfpack has had 2 weeks to lick their wounds and prepare for the Rams. The Rams beat dumpster fire Colorado adn Weber State by 1. CSU is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games versus Nevada. Hopefully Kaepernick will rebound from their dismal performance against Notre Lame and deliver the Rams their first lost of the season.Loss.




Buffalo +4 The Bulls put up some points against a good Pittsburgh team on the road last week. Given that UCF hates winning and they also can't beat teams named the Bulls!!! (had to get my USF reference in there). I like getting 4 points here because it turns a FG into a touchdown. Lets hope Turner Gill has his Bulls ready to play for this one and picks up another win versus a C-USA team!Loss.




Cincinatti -1 The Bearcats continue to get no respect. Cincy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games. Why does that matter? Because they are only laying a point here. The Bearcats only loss in the last 9 came at the hands of VT. Tony Pike has been on fire after lighting up Rutgers (who were favored by 5) and didn't show signs of slowing down against a direction school last week. The Beavers on the other hand squeaked by UNLV, not taking anything away from the Rebels. Plus the Beavers Lyle Moevao is questionable for this game, as are the Beavers chances of winning.Win.




There we have it money lovers, I might add a game or two to my action as I am eyeing a few more games right now as I look to improve on my 6-4 NCAA season record.


Season Record 8-7

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