Here we go heading into week #4 of the 2009 NFL season. I'm sure the bodies are piling up in the Vegas desert right now, Vegas was bent over in weeks 1 & 2; but that was nothing compared to the beating they took last week. Right now Vegas is bleeding cash from all of its sports books. This begs the question when will it stop? Apparently it is supposed to stop this Sunday, let's keep our eyes out for fixed games. That being said I am cutting back my action to compensate for Vegas clamping down on us. I am posting two games now and I am also looking at a few late games and the Monday night game, so with that we are going to start off with two stalwarts.
Ravens +2 Ok Vegas, continue to discount the Ravens and I will continue to take your money. I think the wrong team is favored here. The Jets defense really got to Brady in the Pats loss, Baltimore runs the same defense only theirs is better. Brady is having some issues with his WR's in both Galloway and Aiken and he is just not himself. Fred Taylor looked great running the ball against the no heart,we hate winning Falcons, as he grinded out a 105 yards. Won't happen today. The Ravens offense is STILL underrated. Flacco has an excellent offensive line and Mcgahee and Rice have been running well as will do so this week since Mayo is out and Seymour is gone. The Pats will not be able to run the ball here so that leaves Brady throwing to receivers he doesn't trust yet. Good luck with that. Raven win outright.Loss.
Giants -9 The Chiefs are awful. They lost to the Raiders when Russell went 9 for 728 on passing attempts. The Chiefs O-line cannot run block or pass protect so Johnson will go no where and Cassell will get sacked several times. Likewise KC's 3 man front will not be able to get to Eli or stop Jacobs and Bradshaw. This is the Giants 3rd road game in a row but they are 28-6on the road ATS since 2006, who are we to buck that trend. Win.
Dolphins +3 At first I didn't like this game, but after kicking it around for a while I think the Dolphins are underrated in this spot. There should not be much of a drop off between Henne and Pennington. The Dolphins have a proud veteran defense that is going to give everything they have to compensate for Pennington being out. That being said the Dolphins will continue to run the ball and use the Wildcat. Hopefully Ted Ginn learns how to catch a big boy throw, I guess those Buckeyes don't realize how hard Wolverines can throw. The Bills got shutout by the Saints last week (told you the Saints had a better defense, the Bills scored the TD on special teams) The Bills have some problems with depth in their secondary and the Bills O-line allowed 4 sacks of Edwards on Sunday, so expect the Dolphins to get pressure and limit TO's touches. Also Marshawn Lynch comes back and Jauron will most likely use him as the feature back even though the Bills best offensive player has been Fred Jackson, who can also catch out of the backfield. Look for Henne to stretch the D with his big arm, this will cause Buffalo to respect the deep ball and open up an already solid running game for Miami. Win.
Broncos +3 The Cowboys laying points on the road???? Bwhahahahahahahahahah!! Really?? Why because you beat the Bucs and Panthers who are 0-6? Not so fast my friends! This is a statement game for the Broncos, the Cowboys meanwhile are down to one RB in Tashard Choice and coming off and emotional win at home to get Jerry Jones off their back, I see the Cowboys coming out flat here. The Broncos are undefeated and their defense has played well as they held a surprising Bengals team in check in week one. Denver has been running the ball effectively with Moreno and Buckhalter and Dallas has not been great at stopping the run this season. This should put Kyle Orton in 3rd and short, which is a throw he can make. Orton will have the time to throw as Denver's O-line is solid!Win.
Vikings -3 The Hefty Bag will be rocking as Minnie's new savior goes against his old team. I assume Favre will be at his best here, which concerns me because he could start pressing and throwing pics. The deciding factor in this game for me is the Packers O-line, they aren't very good and gave up 5 sacks to the Bengals and the Rams applied pressure on Rodgers last week. I don't think the vikings D-line will have trouble getting to Rodgers here. Ryan Grant will not be able to find any running lanes against the Williams wall. Also Green Bay has been giving up nearly 5 yards a carry to Benson and Jackson, expect AP to have a huge day along with Taylor catching passes out of the back field, having a dominate running game will allow Favre to move the chains with short passes. Win.
Chargers +7 Not sure why the Steelers are laying 7 points here. Both teams have multiple injuries at key positions. I don't see Parker doing much in the running game as he hasn't been good this year and is dealing with turf toe, the other alternative Medenhall is a human fumbling machine. Rivers and the Chargers smell blood in the water here and this is a huge revenge game for San Diego as the Steelers swept the Chargers last year. Sproles will be key in this game, Rivers will be throwing deep to Gates and Jackson with the absence of Polamalu. Chargers are in a big spot here and would love nothing more than to send the Steelers to 1-3. Loss.
There we go 6 games for our accounts to get fat on. I am still kicking around the Saints/ Jets game, I like the Saints here, and I am also liking the Rams in a covered loss to the 49ers who will be flat after their last contest.
Season Record 19-3
No comments:
Post a Comment