Game Theory Radio

Thursday, November 25, 2010

NFL Week #12 Pick 'em

13 units of profit handed out last Sunday alone. Went 5-2 ATS which brings us to a record of 28-24-2. I have a huge slate of action for tonight and Sunday as those of you who listened to last nights show are well aware of. Let's get to the action, I will start off with the Thanksgiving Day games we have on tap for today.



Patriots -7 Pats seeking the best record in the NFL here, the Lions have been dreadful on Turkey Day over the last few years. While they have improved they just won't have the weapons to stay in this game the whole way. The Pats have supplemented their erratic defense by creating turnovers, look for that trend to continue, the Pats take it by 10.
4 units. Win.




Jets -9 I think this is the first time I have taken the Jets this year. They have had some close games the last three weeks against teams who are improving. The Bengals however are not improving, coming in a 2-8 they are little more than just showing up to the game. Palmer is hurt but will play we will see how the foot injury impacts his passing game. T.O. has been running his mouth about Revis so that might give the Jets a little motivation to make an example of Cincy.
2 units. Win.





Buccaneers +8 The surprise Bucs head to Baltimore to play the Ravens. I like the Bucs to cover the 8 here as Freeman has played well and Baltimore has had trouble with big point spreads this season. The Ravens might not of covered last week were it not for two late interceptions of St. Pierre for Ravens touchdowns. The Ravens get it done but t will be closer than you think.
1 unit. Win.





Rams +4 I have been on the Rams all year with the exception of last week. They are a solid squad and Bradford should fare well against the Broncos D. I know the Rams aren't quite road warriors but Denver shouldn't really be laying more than 2 here. The Broncos are still getting credit for their blowout win over KC, how long is Vegas gonna ride that scooter?
2 units.





Eagles -3 The Eagles need to play a good game here as they looked like garbage last week and were fortunate enough to win over the Giants. I think the Bears are a solid squad, but much like my Falcons they lack any kind of consistency on the offensive side of the ball and laying points with Jay Cutler scares me as he was less than impressive against the Dolphins last week, that's saying alot with Miami's meager secondary play. The Bears defense is nasty as usual and generates points for them, the way to stop that is to not turn the ball over. Vick and company need a solid outing here to stand out in the NFC.
2 units. Loss.





Packers +2 Aaron Rodgers getting points? Sign me up for 5 units please. As discussed earlier the Falcons are hit and miss and the Packers are getting healthy. Ryan is hard to beat at home yes, but Atlanta has had some ugly home wins this season. I don't like them in this spot and Vegas thinks the Packers are better or the spread would have been +3.
5 units. Loss.





Jaguars +8 I haven't been a fan of the Jags, but they seem to be more and more stable as the weeks go by. Garrard has been playing well and MJD has been finding the endzone as of late. The Giants on the other hand have a beat up O-line and have struggled mightily in the red zone as evident by last weeks game with Philly. Eli has some problems at WR with his two work horses out in Nicks and Smith. Its just too many points for the Giants to cover.
3 units. Win.





Chargers +3 I love this game, San Diego is getting into mid season form and rolling over opponents, Rivers is in a dog fight with Rodgers for the MVP and Vincent Jackson will be back. Who knows how productive he will be but he still has to be accounted for. Also Malcolm Floyd has returned to the line up. Mike Tolbert from........................? Coastal Carolina has been picking up the slack in the running game well. Manning just doesn't have the weapons right now and his numbers reflect that, the Colts still lack a running game and also struggle to stop the run. I like the Chargers outright.
4 units.


There you go 8 games to give you the ability to transform into a cash business yourself. After this slate you will be able to do your Christmas shopping and leave your credit cards at home. Write that down!

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