Free Money Report NFL Picks for Week #9

After a 4-1 start on my 1 o'clock games last week I felt pretty good even though I didn't care a whole lot for many of the games last week. This week is much different, there are several games that I like alot, one of them will be my November Free Money Selection of the Month! My NFL action has been really good so far this year, but I have hit a break even point the last three weeks and I think I will be enjoying some serious money collecting this week. Vegas made some money back last week going 4-4 which is a good week for them when you factor in the vigorish and busted teasers and Parlay plays as well (Thanks Colts). There are a couple of games that the public is pounding like they already know the outcome, we will exploit that and turn it into profits as the public always looks past the quality of Offensive and Defensive lines when making their uninformed decisions. Here we go with this weeks winners:



Chiefs +7 The Jags are awful, they hate using players with hyphens in their names to move the ball and generate points. Not saying the Chiefs will win, but I do not think the Jags are a touchdown better than KC. I feel this is a trap game to get the public to make a play on the Jags, both teams have problems against the run, the Jags can't get any pressure on the QB so Cassell should have a decent day. Jaamal Charles will get the start and should be productive as the Jags rank 24th against the run, the Chiefs are no better at stopping the run, but have made improvements as of late. Jacksonville has alot of trouble when they are favorites of 6.5 points or more. Lets not forget this is a Chiefs team that gave Dallas fits a couple of weeks ago, while that was at Arrowhead the Jags are not the Cowboys. 2 units.Win.




Ravens -3 What a difference having Jared Gaither back has made as the Ravens took apart the Broncos last week. This is a revenge game for a team that holds a grudge. The Bengals are sans Antwan Odom for this contest which will be problematic. If you remember I called the Bengals to cover last time these two played each other. I am going the other way here. The Bengals are good against the run, but Rice has proven to be an excellent player and can bust one at any time. The Ravens secondary is going to be tested here, they will need an excellent pass rush to help them out. The Ravens really gave Orton problems last week, but Palmer can stretch the field much more than Orton. The Ravens looked really well moving the ball with ease on Denvers stout D last week in the 2nd half, which was surprising since the Broncos have been shutting down teams in the 2nd half. Hopefully the Ravens have woke up!! 2 units.Loss.




Texans +10 Huge game for the Texans here. Good to see Kubiak bench fumble machine Slaton. Ryan Moats came in to have a huge day, but Buffalo's run stop unit isn't very good. So he might be challenged against the Colts. Slaton will have to catch alot of balls out of the backfield with Owen Daniels out. Schaub torched the Bills excellent pass D last week, using Johnson and Walter is a must for this game. I still have my doubts about the Colts pass D, we shall see what happens. Hopefully Chris Brown doesn't make an appearance in this game, I don't want to see him at all since he pants shit on that 1st and goal against the Cards a couple of weeks back. Manning did not look good last week against a team whose best corner, Nate Clements, was out. The Texans have all of a sudden figured out how to stop the run so Addai might not have a big day. This will leave it all up to Manning. The Colts have New England and Baltimore coming up, so they might not be taking the Texans seriously, but we take money seriously. This is the Texans biggest game of the year as far as they are concerned, I expect them to perform. 3 units.Win.




Packers -10 The Packers do well against bad teams, and the Bucs are a dumpster fire. I expect Rodgers to have a huge game here, they need a bounce back game after the loss the Brett and the Vikings. A trip to Tampa will cure that. Ready for that juicy tidbit I talked about last night? Well here it is, as per the Pewter Report, the Bucs and head coach Raheem Morris felt it would be appropriate to only practice for 2.5 hours since their loss across the pond!!!! My co-ed softball team practices more than that! The Bucs are in complete disarray as head coach and law breaking CB Aqib Talib have been fighting since Talib broke curfew in London. Also, the Bucs are starting Josh Freeman, who is garbage. Josh Freeman was so worried about making his debut that he flew home for the bye week to visit family. Nice!! I'm pretty sure he didn't face any 3-4 defenses at K State. Freeman will be throwing to sub-par WR's who happen to be covered by Al Harris and Charles Woodson, good luck with that. This is my November Pick of the Month. 10 units. Loss.




Cardinals +3 Billy Vegas won't like this pick, but time for some fact facing. The Bears offensive line really struggled against the Browns. Shaun Rodgers was in the backfield on every play, as a result Cutler was hurried in alot of his throws. The Bears offense was inept against the Browns who had their defense on the field the whole time because Derek Anderson sucks at life. The Cardinals will be looking to bounce back as Warner did his best to impersonate Delhomme last week. The Bears also struggle against the run, but the Cards are not very proficient at running the ball anyway. Ron Turner is awful and should feel guilty for stealing money from the Bears, his play calling will continue to be the downfall of the Bears in this contest. The Bears are good against the pass, but I feel the D-line won't be able to get to Warner and he has alot of weapons at his disposal, tight game, but I like the points here. 2 units.Win.





Seahawks -9 The Seahawks are still in the hunt for the NFC West oddly enough. Detroit is horrible, with Smith and Johnson out they will continue that trend. The Lions dropped 10 balls last week versus the Rams. The Seahawks will look to rebound at home, where they are usually pretty tough; after the blowout at Dallas they need to make a statement. Hasselbeck is due for a big game, he should be able to torch the Lions punchless secondary. The Lions rank last against the run, so even Julius Jones should have a decent day against them. Hopefully the crowd at Qwest field can induce some false starts out of the Lions and induce some money into my pockets. This game has blowout stamped all over it. 2 units.Win.




Titans +4 Shady line here, I really liked this game at first, but checking the trends Jeff Fisher really struggles on the West Coast. Despite my jokes about VY, the guy wins games, much like Kyle Orton. The 49ers played the Colts tough and put alot of effort into that came so there could be some hangover here. The Titans are re energized after they destroyed Jax last week, this team looks like they believe in themselves again. One thing that pushed me to make a play on the Titans is the fact that both starting tackles are out for the 49ers, might not sound like a big deal but I am big on offensive lines, they are cash cows. So that being said the Titans should have success pressuring Smith. Gore should have a decent game, but the Titans have a pretty solid run defense. Another thing I really like about this game is did you notice that Chris Johnson ran wild against the Jags? I know Jax run stop unit isn't good, but VY's ability to scramble will spread out the defense opening up wider running lanes for Johnson to run through. 4 units. Win.





Chargers +5 Poor Giants, I faded them last week, the public has yet to follow suit, silly public, they hate money possession. The Giants weakness is the deep ball, the Chargers strength? The deep ball. Chris Chambers was cut and replaced with a Vincent Jackson clone in Malcom Floyd who is also 6'5". Eli is hurt, that heel is really bothering him and it shows, he has been inaccurate against good teams with his passes. The Giants running attack has been less than Giant as of late. The Chargers also have not had much success in the running department either. Rivers should have a huge game here as the Giants pass rush has been less than stellar as of late. I might make a small play on the Chargers as a live dog on the ML here as well. 5 units.Win.


Season Record 44-16-1
That's what I have so far, I am still kicking around three games and will probably post them later. I like the Pats -11, Panthers +13, and Steelers -3 as well but I need to do a little more digging before I commit.